International Trade and Finance ©2006 South-Western College Publishing 1 Interdependence and Trade Consider your typical day: You wake up to an alarm clock made in Korea. You pour yourself some orange juice made from oranges grown in Florida. You put on some clothes made of cotton grown in Georgia and sewn in factories in Thailand. You watch the morning news broadcast from New York on your TV made in Japan. You drive to class in a car made of parts manufactured in a half-dozen different countries. …and you haven’t been up for more than two hours yet! 2 How do we satisfy our wants and needs in a global economy? We can be economically selfsufficient. We can specialize and trade with others, leading to economic interdependence. Why is interdependence the norm? Interdependence occurs because people are better off when they specialize and trade with others. What determines the pattern of production and trade? Patterns of production and trade are based upon differences in opportunity costs. Why do countries trade? International trade allows a country to consume a combination of goods and services that exceeds its production possibilities curve 6 U.S. Trading Partners, 2004 Mexico Canada Western Europe Australia Eastern Europe Japan Asia Africa Except Mexico China 7 A Parable for the Modern Economy Imagine . . . only two goods: potatoes and meat only two people: a potato farmer and a cattle rancher What should each produce? Why should they trade? Self-Sufficiency By ignoring each other: Each consumes what they each produce. The production possibilities frontier is also the consumption possibilities frontier. Without trade, economic gains are diminished. The Farmer and the Rancher Specialize and Trade Each would be better off if they specialized in producing the product they are more suited to produce, and then trade with each other. The farmer should produce potatoes. The rancher should produce meat. Trade Expands the Set of Consumption Possibilities (a) How Trade Increases the Farmer’s Consumption Meat (pounds) Farmer’s consumption with trade A* 3 Farmer’s consumption without trade 2 1 0 A 2 3 4 Potatoes (pounds) Meat 40 (pounds) Trade Expands the Set of Consumption Possibilities (b) How Trade Increases The Rancher’s Consumption 21 20 B* B Rancher’s consumption with trade Rancher’s consumption without trade 0 2.5 3 5 Potatoes (pounds) Why should countries specialize and trade? Total world output increases, and therefore, the potential for greater total world consumption also increases 13 What conclusion can we draw from this? International trade allows a country to consume a combination of goods that exceeds its production possibilities curve 14 If countries specialize, in what should they specialize? They should produce those goods and services in which they have a comparative advantage 15 What is comparative advantage? The ability of a country to produce a good at a lower opportunity cost than another country 16 What advantage comparative advantage? World output and consumption are maximized when each country specializes in producing and trading goods for which it has a comparative advantage 17 What is absolute advantage? The ability of a country to produce a good using fewer resources than another country 18 Should Tiger Woods Mow His Own Lawn? ? ? ? 19 What is free trade? The flow of goods between countries without restrictions or special taxes 20 What is protectionism? The government’s use of embargoes, tariffs, quotas, and other restrictions to protect domestic producers from foreign competition 21 What is an embargo? A law that bars trade with another country 22 What is a tariff? A tax on an import 23 What is a quota? A limit on the quantity of a good that may be imported in a given time period 24 What are the arguments for protectionism? • Infant industry argument • National security argument • Employment argument • Cheap foreign labor argument • Free trade agreements 25 What is a recent free trade agreement? North America Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) 26 What is NAFTA? A 1993 free trade agreement between the U.S., Canada, and Mexico 27 What is the balance of payments? A bookkeeping record of all the international transactions between a country and other countries during a given period of time 28 What is the current account? The first section of the balance of payments, which includes trade in currently produced goods and services 29 What is the balance of trade? The most widely reported and largest part of the current account defined as the value of a nation’s merchandise imports subtracted from its merchandise exports 30 How is a current account deficit financed? By a capital account surplus 31 What is the capital account? The second section of the balance of payments, which records payment flows for financial capital 32 -350 U. S. Balance of Trade, 1983-2004 -450 -400 -450 -500 Balance of Trade (billions of dollars) -400 -550 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 33 -124 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 -66 -52 -41 -39 -18 -14 China Japan Canada Mexico Germany Ireland Italy -14 -12 Taiwan France 34 What does the balance of payments always equal? Zero; the current account deficit should equal the capital account surplus 35 How could the US have a balance of payments problem? The problem is with the composition of the balance of payments 36 What is an exchange rate? The number of one nation’s currency that equals one unit of another nation’s currency 37 If 1.81 dollars is exchangeable for 1 British pound, what is the exchange rate? 1 / 1.81 = .552 pounds per dollar 38 How is the exchange rate determined? Supply and demand for foreign exchange 39 What happens when a currency depreciates? The price of the currency falls in relation to another currency 40 What happens when a currency appreciates? The price of the currency rises in relation to another currency 41 What can cause a currency to change value? The demand and/or supply of the currency can change 42 What can cause a change in demand of a currency? There can be a change in • tastes and preferences • relative price levels • relative interest rates 43 U.S. exports less popular Decrease in the demand for dollars Value of the dollar falls (dollar depreciates) 44 What can cause a change in supply of a currency? There can be a change in • relative incomes • relative price levels • relative interest rates 45