Inventory of U.S.GHG Emissions and Sinks: UNFCCC Reporting Requirements and IPCC Methodological Guidance FIA User Group Meeting San Antonio, TX—April 2, 2015 Tom Wirth US EPA—Climate Change Division National GHG Inventory • Produced annually—due by April 15 • Accounts for anthropogenic GHG emissions and removals over time: 1990 Present • Five methodological chapters • • • • • Energy Industrial Processes and Product Use Waste Agriculture Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry • Six primary gases • CO2, CH4, N2O, HFCs, PFCs, SF6 IPCC Guidelines and UNFCCC Reporting for National GHG Inventories IPCC Guidelines Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Uses (AFOLU) UNFCCC Reporting LULUCF Agriculture Enteric Fermentation (CH4) Manure Mgt. (CH4 and N2O) Agric. Soil Mgt. (N2O) Rice (CH4) FBAR (CH4 and N2O) • • • • • • Forestland & LCF Cropland & LCC Grassland & LCG Wetlands & LCW Settlements & LCS Other Land & LCO Five C Pools & Non-CO2 Gases • • • • • (36 LU/LUC Categories) GHG Emissions and Removals in AFOLU 2006 IPCC Guidelines for AFOLU Required for UNFCCC reporting in 2015 IPCC Wetlands Supplement IPCC Tiered Methodologies Increasing Methodological Complexity and Accuracy For each source/sink category methods are provided at three tier levels: Tier 1– Designed to use readily available national or international statistics (e.g., FAO) with default emission factors. Any country can apply. Tier 2– Uses similar approach as Tier 1, but with countryspecific factors or further disaggregation Tier 3—Models, measurement or country-specific approach The Tier used is driven by significance of the flux and availability of data Inventory Quality Indicators and Good Practice Guidance TCCCA • Transparent • Consistent • Complete • Comparable • Accurate Inventory • Assessed for Uncertainties • Subject to QA/QC • Efficient use of resources • Uncertainties reduced over time Result • Credible • Reliable • Useful AFOLU Team: • • • • • • Agriculture and LULUCF • Census of Agriculture • NASS • FIA • NRI • NLCD • APHIS • MODIS • CTIC • Ag. Waste Mg. Hnbk. USFS ARS CSU NOAA USGS Contractor support Domestic and International Review Processes • Annual Domestic Reviews – Expert and Public reviews • Thirty days each • Not formal, as with regulatory review • Annual UNFCCC Reviews – Centralized in Bonn – In-Country by multidisciplinary team – Annual review report developed • Inventory team must respond to issues identified in the report Technical Assessment of IPCC Guidelines • Identify new emission sources, improvements to the methods and default emission factors • Survey sent out to inventory experts asking for input • Expert meetings to evaluate survey results – AFOLU meeting in July 2015—Sao Paulo, Brazil • US AFOLU “Dream” Team – – – – – – – – Chris Woodall/USFS: Forest Lands Stephen Ogle/CSU: Croplands & Grasslands Steve Del Grosso/ARS: Soil N2O Lisamarie Wyndham-Myers/USGS: Wetlands Jim Fourqurean/FIU: Coastal Wetlands Jake Beaulieu/EPA: Reservoir CH4 April Leytem/ARS: Manure CH4 and N2O Ermias Kebreab/UC Davis: Enteric CH4 IPCC Guidance on Land Representation • Complete representation of the land base, categorized into 6 IPCC LUCs • Separate into managed and unmanaged land • Apply managed land definition • Under IPCC Guidance “managed” land is a proxy for anthropogenic emissions • Identify the land use conversions between lands • Lands remain in conversion category for 20 years • For all 36 LU/LUC categories estimate C stock changes by pool: • Above/below-ground biomass • Dead wood and litter • Soil organic matter • Non-CO2 emissions US Managed Land Base (1,000s ha’s) • Includes all 50 states • Excludes US Territories • NRI data only goes through 2007 • C stock changes not estimated for entire managed land base: • • • • Interior AK HI Federal Grasslands Wetlands U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks by Sector: 1990-2013 • Emissions grew 4.7% from 1990-2012 • Downward trend since 2007 • CO2 (83%), CH4 (9%), N2O (6%) and HFCs, PFCs and SF6 (2%) 2013 AFOLU Emissions and Removals 2013 AFOLU Emissions Forest Fires CH4/N2O, Peatlands 9.6 Manure CO2, 0.8 CH4/N2O, Urea CO2, 78.7 4 LFYTFS, 12.8 GRG CO2, 12.1 Enteric CH4, 164.5 Soil N2O (All Lands), 265.8 (MMT CO2 eq.) HWP, 70.8 SRS/Urban Trees, 89.5 LCG, 8.8 LCC CO2, 16.1 CRC, 23.4 FLRFL, 704.9 Liming CO2, 5.9 Rice CH4, 8.3 Enteric CH4 LCC CO2 Liming CO2 FBAR CH4/N2O Rice CH4 Soil N2O (All Lands) Urea CO2 Peatlands CO2 Forest Fires CH4/N2O Manure CH4/N2O GRG CO2 2013 AFOLU Removals (MMT CO2 eq.) FBAR CH4/N2O, 0.4 FLRFL CRC LCG SRS/Urban Trees LFYTFS HWP Final Points • US Inventory is one of the best in the world – In large part due to programs such as FIA and NRI • Because it’s used to make/demonstrate compliance for our int’l commitments, it’s important to make it even better • Improvements must be in line with the IPCC and UNFCCC guidance • Significant improvements are underway – Improved LU/LUC tracking and associated GHG fluxes – Decreased the latency in the reporting – Account for forest C stock changes in interior AK • There is huge potential to improve by taking advantage of the data/technical that already exists To download a copy of the Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks 1990-2013 at: http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/ghgemissions/usinventoryreport.html Thanks for listening! Tom Wirth US EPA Climate Change Division (202) 343-9313 Wirth.tom@epa.gov