Conveyancing Services Regulation in Europe Presentation at DG-Competition: “The Economic case for professional services reform” December 13, 2006 by Christoph U. Schmid (ZERP, University of Bremen) Gabriel S. Lee and Steffen Sebastian (IREBS, University of Regensburg) Marcel Fink and Iain Paterson (IHS, Vienna) Objectives • To analyze the relationship between professional legal fees and legal systems for real estate markets Percentage of Legal Fees to House Value PTV 250K Vs Regulation Indices 4.5 R2 = 0.30 R2 = 0.48 without HU 4 HU GR 3.5 3 PL 2.5 2 Actual Predicted Value values IT Notary 1.5 SL FR BE 1 Nordic FI 0.5 SE DK IR Lawyer Netherlands CZ SC ES AT DE NL EW 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 Regulation Index = MERI + MCRI + MII 18 20 Objectives PTV 250k Vs Regulation Indices by Legal Systems 1.80% R2 = 0.75 1.60% Percentage of Legal Fees to House Value Notary 1.40% 1.20% Lawyers 1.00% Actual Values Predicted Values 0.80% Netherlands 0.60% 0.40% Nordic 0.20% 0.00% 0 2 4 6 8 10 Regulation Index = MERI + MCRI + MII 12 14 16 Objectives • German Case Study: • To empirically analyze entry effects on competitive conduct (markups) of notary profession in Bavaria, Germany. • To estimate changes in markups of existing firms when additional firm enters. • To estimate changes in geographic coverage when markups change. Outline • Regulation Indices • • • • Market entry regulations (MERI) Market conduct regulations (MCRI) Mandatory Intervention Index (MII) Consumer Protection Index (CPI) • Market Outcomes: Transaction Costs • Legal Costs • Regulation Indices and Market Outcomes • German Case Study: Bavarian Notary Profession Regulation Indices • Qualitative information on regulation in form of quasi-quantitative measures. • Four regulation indices for each state and each profession providing legal services in the conveyancing process. • Each index has a range of “0” (no regulation) to “6” (highest grade of regulation). Regulation Indices • Market entry regulations (MERI) • Quotas or economic needs tests (50% weight) • Licensing rules (exclusive and shared exclusive tasks) (25% weight) • Professional education requirements (25% weight) Regulation Indices • Market conduct regulations (MCRI) • Rules on fees/prices (50% weight) • Location and diversification, on form of business, and on inter-professional co-operation (each 11%: 33% total weight) • Restrictions on advertising (17% weight) Regulation Indices • Mandatory Intervention Index (MII) • “0”, if no mandatory intervention applies • “2”, if a mandatory intervention is necessary for a certification of signatures only • “4”, if further tasks have to be handled by one professional in the conveyancing process on a mandatory basis • “6”, if more than one professional have to be consulted Regulation Indices • Consumer Protection Index (CPI) • “Compulsory indemnity insurance” the highest weight (38%) • Conduct/quality control (25%) • Continuing education (25%) • The obligation to provide services (12%) Regulation Indices Overall regulation indices for legal services in conveyancing: four “worlds of regulation” Group MERI Market Entry MCRI Market Conduct MERI +MCRI 18,0 15,0 14,7 14,3 14,3 14,2 14,1 14,0 11,9 11,0 14,1 CPI Consumer Protection 2,6 3,0 4,5 3,0 5,3 5,3 6,0 4,5 5,3 6,0 4,5 4,0 4,0 7,1 7,1 6,0 6,0 5,6 7,4 2,9 2,7 4,6 4,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 1,0 9,6 7,4 2,9 2,7 5,6 3,5 4,1 5,3 4,3 4,3 2,8 1,2 1,1 1,7 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 2,8 1,2 1,1 1,7 3,8 4,5 5,3 4,5 N Greece Portugal Belgium Poland France Germany Italy Spain Slovenia Austria Average 6,0 5,0 5,7 5,6 5,1 5,7 5,4 4,8 4,9 5,9 5,4 6,0 6,0 5,0 4,7 5,2 4,5 4,7 5,2 5,0 3,2 4,9 12,0 11,0 10,7 10,3 10,3 10,2 10,1 10,0 9,9 9,0 10,3 D Netherlands Average 1,9 1,9 1,2 1,2 3,1 3,1 L Hungary Czech Republic Scotland England/Wales Average 3,3 3,8 1,9 2,0 2,7 2,3 3,6 1,0 0,7 1,9 S Denmark Sweden Finland Average 2,0 1,2 0,5 1,2 0,8 0,0 0,7 0,5 MII MERI Mandatory +MCRI Intervention MII 6,0 4,0 4,0 4,0 4,0 4,0 4,0 4,0 2,0 2,0 3,8 Market Outcomes: Transaction Costs • Total Transaction Costs (nominal) • EU average: 9.8% of 250k€ property value • 3% - 7% : Czech Repulic, Denmark, England, Ireland, Scotland, Slovenia and Sweden • 7% - 10% : Finland, Germany, Italy and the Netherlands • 10% - 15% : Austria, France, Hungary and Poland • 15% above : Belgium, Greece and Spain Market Outcomes: Transaction Costs • Professional Fees (nominal) • EU average: 4.62% of 250k€ property value • 1% - 3% : England, Ireland, Scotland, Poland and the Netherlands • 3% - 5% : Begium, Czech Repulic, Denmark, Finland, Germany, Slovenia, and Sweden • 5% - 9% : Austria, France, Greece, Hungary, Italy, and Spain Market Outcomes: Transaction Costs • Legal Fees (nominal) • EU average: 0.79% of 250k€ property value • 0% - 0.4% : Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland and Sweden • 0.4% - 1.0% : Austria, England, Germany, Hungary, Ireland, the Netherlands, Poland, Scotland, Slovenia, and Spain • 1.0% and above : Belgium, France, Greece, and Italy Market Outcomes: Transaction Costs Legal Fees for Conveyancing (including 100% mortgage) (excluding Greece) 7,000 € 6,000 € 5,000 € 4,000 € 3,000 € 2,000 € 1,000 € k ar d D en m la n Fi n ed en Sw ly Ita um Be lg i nc e Fr a st ria Au ai n Sp ia en Sl ov an y m G er la nd ic i (s ol ga ry Po to r ) d an Ire l nd d Sc ot la gl an En ch un ze H C N et R he ep rla ub lic nd s 0€ 100,00 € 250,00 € 500,00 € average transaction price (for the respective country) indexed fee for average transaction (price index) Market Outcomes: Transaction Costs Comparison of legal fees (Unadjusted) by regulatory system 3,500 € 3,000 € 2,500 € Nordic 2,000 € lawyer 1,500 € Netherlands 1,000 € notary 500 € 0€ 100,000 € 250,000 € 500,000 € Market Outcomes: Transaction Costs Legal fees as percentage of transaction value (unadjusted) 3.00% 2.50% 2.00% 1.50% 1.00% 0.50% 0.00% 100,000 € 250,000 € 500,000 € England France Germany Italy Netherlands Poland Scotland Spain Sweden Finland Market Outcomes: Transaction Costs Percentage of Legal Fees to House Values (Adjust for net income effect) Legal Fees Adjusted by Net Earning factor for Selected Countries 3.50% 3.00% 2.50% 2.00% 1.50% 1.00% 0.50% 0.00% 100,000 € 250,000 € 500,000 € House Values England Italy Sweden France Poland Netherlands Germany Spain Finland Market Outcomes: Transaction Costs Percentage of Legal Fees to House Values (adjusted for net income effect) Legal Fees Adjusted by Net Earning Factor by Legal Systems 3.00% 2.50% 2.00% Nordic Lawyer Netherlands Notary 1.50% 1.00% 0.50% 0.00% 100k 250k House Values 500k Legal Fees and Regulation Index Legal Fee as Percentage of Average Country-specific Residential House/Apartment Price - by Countries R2 = 0.2363 Percentage of Legal Fees to Aaverage House Price 3.5% GR 3.0% 2.5% HU IT 2.0% BE 1.5% DK 1.0% FR SC NL FI AT SI CZ 0.5% SE ES DE PL EW 0.0% 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 Regulation Index = MERI + MCRI + MII 16.0 18.0 20.0 Legal Fees and Regulation Index • The result of this analysis is straightforward: • A clear positive correlation between the level of regulation and the percentage of transaction value taken by legal fees. • There are some countries with high regulatory indices and rather low cost percentage values (ES and DE). • BUT, no countries with low regulatory index values and high costs. Legal Fees and Regulation Index Legal Fee as Percentage of Average Country-specific Residential House/Apartment Price - by Legal System R2 = 0.9028 Percentage of Legal Fees to Aaverage House Price 1.6% Notary 1.4% Lawyer 1.2% 1.0% Netherlands 0.8% Nordic 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 Regulation Index = MERI + MCRI + MII 14.0 16.0 Legal Fees and Regulation Index • The correlations between the regulation indices and legal systems. • The relationship between the two variables is even closer: the correlation values are 0.75, 0.84 and 0.91 for the house values of 100k, 250k and 500k. Case study for Germany: Entry and Competition for Bavarian Notary Profession By Gabriel S. Lee Objective To empirically analyze entry effects on competitive conduct (markups) of notary profession in Bavaria, Germany. • To estimate changes in markups of existing firms when additional firm enters. • To estimate changes in geographic coverage when markups change. Bavarian Notary Profession Number of notaries per District Number of Notaries Number of Districts 0 1 2 3 4 5 6+ Total 12 22 25 21 8 5 3 96 • Geographic restrictions • Additional notary office is based on previous number of cases + other demographic and economic factors What is an Entry Model? • Relates the number of existing notaries to demographics (population size) and other economic factors (income, unemployment, demographic profile, housing information. – If population size is a proxy for the market size, then one could measure the necessary market size (a reduction in net markups) to sustain an additional firm entry. Data Information Variable Description Mean Std. D. # notaries Number of notaries per district 2.60 4.36 ln(population) Logarithm of number of population 11.59 0.53 % pop. 25 – 40 Fraction of population age between 25 - 40 19.90 1.46 % unemployed Fraction of population between 17 and 65, that is unemployed 8.56 3.01 % change in Houses Percentage change in the number of houses between 1995 and 2003 11.02 3.72 mean income Mean Income per capita (in €1000) 58.71 8.81 Data Information 600000 Correlation (notaries, population) = 0.86 500000 Number of Notaries 400000 300000 8 200000 100000 6 0 4 2 0 10 20 30 40 Number of Notaries 50 60 70 80 90 Population (market size) Population (First Approximation of Market Size) Number of Districts by population and notaries Empirical Results • Net Markup Changes for Existing Notary Number of Existing Firms to addional firm Net Markup Lose to Existing Firms 1 to 2 53% 2 to 3 78% 3 to 4 116% 4 to 5 75% 5 to 6 186% Empirical Results • Geographic Coverage with reduction in markups Reduction in Net Markup for Existing Firms Total Number of Districts with at Least one notary 82 (Actual number from the data) 10% 90 20% 88 30% 87 40% 81 Summary of our results • A clear positive correlation between the level of regulation and the percentage of transaction value taken by legal fees • High levels of regulation go hand in hand with high fee levels whereas low levels of regulation are associated with low fee levels. • For Bavaria, • There exist high net markups for the existing firms: from 53% 186% • No negative effect on the geographic coverage even if there is a reduction in net markups. Some Final Remarks • Market works! Why not give it a try! • There still plenty of profits to be made even with competition • Instead of markups, why not go for Volume! • Frictions in any market can’t be good • Reductions in transaction costs play a major role in the development of real estate markets as well as the whole economy • See the U.S., U.K. Thank you ! Back ups Show these if necessary Total Transaction Costs for Conveyancing 250,000 € sale price 50000 45000 40000 35000 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 Austria Czech Republic England France real estate agent Greece technical services Ireland legal professionals Netherlands land register Scotland transfer tax Spain average Professional fees for transaction of 250,000 € 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 Austria Czech Republic England France real estate agents Greece Ireland technical services Netherlands legal professionals Scotland Spain average Market Outcomes: Transaction Costs Legal Fees for Conveyancing (including 100% Mortgage) 14,000 € 12,000 € 10,000 € 8,000 € 6,000 € 4,000 € 2,000 € ar k m d D en la n Fi n G re ec e Sw ed en ly Ita um Be lg i Fr an ce a st ri Au Sp ai n en ia Sl ov an y m G er la nd Po ito r) nd (s ol ic la H un ga ry Ire nd Sc ot la gl an d En ep R ze ch C N et he rla ub lic nd s 0€ 100,000 € transaction value 250,000 € transaction value 500,000 € transaction value average transaction value in this country Market Outcomes: Transaction Costs Development of Legal Fees for Selected Countries (Unadjusted) 7,000 € 6,000 € 5,000 € Netherlands D England L Scotland L Germany N Spain N France N Italy N Sweden S Poland N Finland S 4,000 € 3,000 € 2,000 € 1,000 € 0€ 100,000 € 250,000 € 500,000 € Legal Fees and Regulation Index PTV100k Vs Regulation Index 12.00 R2 = 0.10 R2 = 0.38 without HU 10.00 Percentage of Legal Fees to House Value HU 8.00 Actual Values Linear (Actual Values) 6.00 GR 4.00 IT PL 2.00 FI SE SL DK IR SC EW BE FR ES DE CZ AT NL 0.00 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Regulation Index = MERI + MCRI + MII 16 18 20 Legal Fees and Regulation Index PTV 250K Vs Regulation Indices 4.5 R2 = 0.30 R2 = 0.48 without HU 4 HU Percentage of Legal Fees to House Value GR 3.5 3 PL 2.5 Actual values Predicted Value 2 IT 1.5 SL FR BE 1 DK IR 0.5 FI SE ES DE AT CZ NL SC EW 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Regulation Index = MERI + MCRI + MII 14 16 18 20 Legal Fees and Regulation Index PTV 500k Vs Regulation Indices 4 R2 = 0.34 GR Percentage of Legal Fees to House Value 3.5 R2 = 0.42 without HU 3 HU 2.5 Actual Values Predicted Value 2 PL 1.5 IT FR 1 SL BE IR 0.5 SC FI SE 0 0 2 AT NL CZ DK DE ES EW 4 6 8 10 12 Regulation Index = MERI + MCRI + MII 14 16 18 20 Legal Fees and Regulation Index PTV 100k Regulation Indices for Legal Systems 3.00% Notary R2 = 0.75 Percentage of Legal Fees to House Values 2.50% 2.00% Laywer Actual Values Predicted Values 1.50% Nordic Netherlands 1.00% 0.50% 0.00% 0 2 4 6 8 10 Regulation Index = MERI + MCRI + MII 12 14 16 Legal Fees and Regulation Index PTV 250k Vs Regulation Indices by Legal Systems 1.80% R2 = 0.75 1.60% Percentage of Legal Fees to House Value Notary 1.40% 1.20% Lawyers 1.00% Actual Values Predicted Values 0.80% Netherlands 0.60% 0.40% Nordic 0.20% 0.00% 0 2 4 6 8 10 Regulation Index = MERI + MCRI + MII 12 14 16 Legal Fees and Regulation Index PTV 500k Vs Regulation Indices by Legal Systems 0.90% R2 = 0.91 Notary Percentage of Legal Fees to House Value 0.80% 0.70% 0.60% Lawyers 0.50% Actual Values Predicted Values 0.40% Netherlands 0.30% 0.20% Nordic 0.10% 0.00% 0 2 4 6 8 10 Regulation Index = MERI + MCRI + MII 12 14 16 3500 3000 2500 2000 Nordic law yer Netherlands 1500 notary 1000 500 0 100.000 € 250.000 € 500.000 € average price adjust ed absolut f ee price level Back Ups Legal Fees for Different Legal Systems 3500 3000 2500 2000 Nordic law yer Netherlands 1500 notary 1000 500 0 100.000 € 250.000 € 500.000 € average price adjust ed absolut f ee price level Back Ups Legal Fee as Percentage of Average Country-specific Residential House/Apartment Price - by Countries R2 = 0.2363 3.5% GR 3.0% PTV-AHP 2.5% HU IT 2.0% BE 1.5% DK FR SC 1.0% NL FI AT SI CZ 0.5% SE ES DE PL EW 0.0% 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 3M = MERI + MCRI + MII 14.0 16.0 18.0 20.0 Back Ups Legal Fee as Percentage of Average Country-specific Residential House/Apartment Price - by Legal System R2 = 0.9028 1.6% Notary 1.4% Lawyer 1.2% PTV-AHP 1.0% Netherlands Nordic 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 3M = MERI + MCRI + MII 12.0 14.0 16.0