Forever 21 Expanding Forever 21 into Greenville Prepared for Ann Cadier Kim, CFO Forever 21, Inc. Los Angeles, CA 90058 Prepared by MAMS Consulting Shelby Barry Melissa Westberg Andre Corbett Michael Kruger East Carolina University Greenville, NC 27858 April 23, 2012 MAMS Consulting East Carolina University Greenville, NC 27858 April 21, 2012 Ann Cadier Kim, CFO Forever 21, Inc. 2001 S. Alameda St. Los Angeles, CA 90058 Dear Ms. Kim: Here you will find the report developed by MAMS Consulting to expand Forever 21, Inc. into Greenville, NC. Our team also included a recommendation on what actions should be taken to complete this business endeavor. During our team’s investigation into whether Greenville would be a suitable location for Forever 21, we decided that this location would be beneficial to the corporation. Our team investigated statistics through surveys, demographics, and competing businesses. Since this investigation showed positive results pertaining to the success of the store, there is no doubt that Forever 21 should expand into Greenville, NC. Greenville already contains multiple market competitors including Pac Sun, American Eagle, New York & Company, and Express. Several of Forever 21's competitors have shown success in this area, and we feel that for Forever 21 to remain competitive in the market a store is needed in Greenville. The analysis throughout this report was made from several valuable sources. These include City Data's profile on Greenville, Greenville Mall's leasing information, and East Carolina statistics. The representatives at the Greenville Mall were very helpful and answered our questions. Our team would like to say thank you for allowing us this opportunity. We have gained an abundance of information relating to Forever 21 and its competitors. If there are any questions relating to the proposal, feel free to contact us anytime (910-431-9397; barrys09@students.ecu.edu). Additional questions will require no further compensation. MAMS Consulting looks forward to working with Forever 21 in the future. Sincerely, Shelby Barry MAMS Consulting Team Leader ii Table of Contents Letter of Transmittal ....................................................................................................................... ii Executive Summary ....................................................................................................................... iv Introduction ..................................................................................................................................... 1 Purpose and Scope ...................................................................................................................... 1 Assumptions................................................................................................................................ 1 Methods....................................................................................................................................... 1 Limitations .................................................................................................................................. 1 Criteria ........................................................................................................................................ 1 Background ..................................................................................................................................... 2 Statistics .......................................................................................................................................... 2 East Carolina University Statistics.............................................................................................. 2 Greenville Statistics .................................................................................................................... 2 Target Market .................................................................................................................................. 3 Survey Results ................................................................................................................................ 3 Location .......................................................................................................................................... 4 Costs Associated ............................................................................................................................. 4 Leasing Information .................................................................................................................... 4 Start Up Costs ............................................................................................................................. 5 Employees ....................................................................................................................................... 5 Product Development and Atmosphere .......................................................................................... 5 Advertising ...................................................................................................................................... 6 Competitors ..................................................................................................................................... 6 Profit Margins ............................................................................................................................. 7 Conclusions and Recommendations ............................................................................................... 8 References ....................................................................................................................................... 9 Appendix ....................................................................................................................................... 10 List of Illustrations Figure 1 Survey Male or Female? ..................................................................................................12 Figure 2 How Many Times Do You at the Greenville Mall per Month? .......................................12 Figure 3 Have you Shopped at Forever 21?...................................................................................13 Figure 4 Would Forever 21 Coming to Greenville Effect your Shopping Habits? ........................13 Figure 5 Profit Margins of Competitors...........................................................................................7 iii Forever 21 Expanding Forever 21 into Greenville Executive Summary To take advantage of a growing market, Forever 21 should expand into Greenville, North Carolina. The population of Greenville is about 85,000 people ("Community Development”). This city is growing partly due to the fact that East Carolina University is growing in popularity. Greenville has also been making renovations around the city to improve its popularity. Greenville already contains several of Forever 21's competitors and in order for Forever 21 to stay competitive in this market it will need to open a chain in this area. Our team’s investigation proved that expanding into Greenville would be profitable for the company for a number of reasons. First, East Carolina University supplies many consumers that fit your target market. More than half of the student body consists of females. Second, East Carolina Unversity's popularity has been growing in the past years which will certainly contribute to a higher student population and will continue to introduce more potential consumers to the store. Third, since Greenville has a high unemployment rate, finding suitable employees should not be an issue. Fourth, the potential products this store will be supplying would not only attract female students, but other potential buyers in the surrounding cities of Greenville. MAMS Consulting recommends the following: 1. Expand into Greenville Mall. Introducing Forever 21 into the Greenville Mall will ensure a wide customer base and lots of foot traffic. The location will provide for space to grow, as well as an opportunity to create a profitable business. Start franchise store. Open the store with both MAMS consulting members and a former Forever 21 store manager. Hire local Greenville residents as employees. 2. Evaluate the success of the store in hopes of expanding into a larger retail space. Survey customers in order to receive feedback on popularity, as well as evaluate business's success in numbers. Explore additional places with larger floor space iv MAMS Consulting Expanding Forever 21 to Greenville Introduction Forever 21 asked us to explore expanding into Greenville. In order to make an informed decision, MAMS Consulting has researched Greenville to determine if it would be worthwhile for Forever 21 to expand into this area. Purpose and Scope Our team believes Forever 21 is a hugely successful store throughout the United States. This corporation has shown good management, as well as the ability to adapt to changing markets. The purpose of this report is to decide whether expanding Forever 21 into Greenville would be beneficial to the corporation. This proposal will include the location of the store, the potential of the store, and its ability to dominate competitors. This report will not include future predictions of revenues, costs, and any cash flow that may occur. Our team decided future predictions like these would be determined at a later date if Forever 21 wanted to move forward. Assumptions This proposal is based on the assumption that Forever 21 will be successful in this expansion because of the analysis compiled. Our team would also like to assume Greenville's economic state is going to remain neutral, as well as possibly grow in the future. Methods The information in this proposal was derived from several websites. A survey was administered through Facebook and e-mail. The results from internet research and the survey proved very helpful in determining if this business venture would be profitable. Limitations The research that was obtained for this report was restricted to information that is widely available on the internet. Due to the group’s restricted schedule, the exchange of information between group members was limited to email and there was not a chance to directly contact the Forever 21. No member of the group appears to have any business experience but the diversified backgrounds of all members helps provide a range of work methods, as well as opinions on how to get things done. While it is helpful to reside in the town which you are researching, the true viability of a Forever 21 cannot be established since the majority of the city cannot be thoroughly surveyed. Criteria MAMS Consulting established a number of topics which we thought were very important for this proposal. These include location, statistics, target market, costs, product development, and competitors. 1 MAMS Consulting Expanding Forever 21 to Greenville Background Forever 21 is an established brand that seeks to bring its unique sense of fashion and affordability to the Greenville area. Named by Forbes.com as the number 8 “Best Small Place for Business and Careers” in the nation, Greenville is a more than appropriate location to set up another store in your franchise. As noted earlier in the proposal, the town is home to East Carolina University as well as Pitt Community College and its many thousands of students. Greenville, NC is the site of exponential growth in all industries and Forever 21 can be the company that grows along with this prestigious city. It is because of the consistent expansion of the Greenville area that we see so many new franchises coming to the city. Some of these big names included P.F. Chang’s, Cheesecake Factory, and many more businesses that view Greenville as a place to contribute to that growth as well as introducing unique assets to the market. It is being able to offer services and products that the competition cannot which will help Forever 21 and the aforementioned franchises capitalize on their individual target markets. We are very aware of how Forever 21 can benefit from Greenville and also what it can give back to its people. Specifically speaking, Forever 21 can employ students from both of the colleges in order to reflect the energy, vigor, youth, and appeal of your brand of clothing. We can provide the necessary business experience to students aspiring to make a place for themselves within this industry or any kind of industry which requires business practice. Being cognizant of the economic status of Greenville, Forever 21 is ready to provide a cheaper alternative without sacrificing quality or choice. Statistics East Carolina University Statistics East Carolina University's student population is of vital importance to the success of a Forever 21 store in Greenville. The number of total undergraduates is around 21,000 students, with 73 percent of these undergraduates being female. Also, there are around 6,000 students enrolled in the graduate school. However, the ratio of females to males within the graduate school numbers in unknown. The statistics provided are important to us because it shows the school supplies a lot of the targeted consumers who would provide our profit. Greenville Statistics Greenville's total population sits around 82,000 people. 53 percent of these people are female. This again supplies a lot of your targeted consumers, which we believe is one of the most important factors to consider when determining the projected success of the store. The unemployment rate sits at 8.4 percent as of February 2012. This allows us to assume there will be an abundance people to hire for employment at your store. Also, when the high unemployment rate is combined with Forever 21’s brand of affordability, this will ensure that our profits are maximized. Greenville citizens will turn to the store to stay in tune with the latest trends while at the same time being very cognizant of the economic situation. 2 MAMS Consulting Expanding Forever 21 to Greenville Target Market When selecting a target market for Forever 21, we considered many variables that would play into this process. Examples of these variables include type of products, current fads or trends, and your competitors’ main consumers. After analyzing the market, our team decided that the majority of your consumers would be females. This is due to the incredibly high percentage of women in the Greenville area as well as the high percentage of women attending East Carolina University too. We will focus broadly on people whose ages range from 14-30 to reflect the most interest in your catalog of clothing and whose value it can be best marketed to. However, college age women will be emphasized more due to their ability to support themselves financially and would therefore see more value in our clothing. Besides having jobs, college age women would also be the most likely to receive refund money that they acquire from the school and will be able to shop at Forever 21 more often. The teen aspect of the target demographic would not be as stressed due to the majority of teens who still rely on their parents financially. The teen aspect of your target demographic may partially be in possession of jobs but will still for the most part be reliant upon their parent(s) which is why they will not be emphasized as much. This will not hinder the profitability of the store because the teenage market will want its share of trendy clothing which they can afford when the funds are available. Survey Results We distributed the following survey to 100 people via Facebook and email. We decided to use social networking because it would give us a broader variety of people in Greenville. Surveying the 100 people using social networking allowed us to retain the results that we needed. The exact survey results can be seen in the Appendix. As seen in Figure 1, more females were surveyed than males. Although normally this would provide a skewed set of data, our group felt that it was an asset to the survey because your target audience is mainly female. The female audience that we targeted was females that attend East Carolina University. This was beneficial to us because the ratio at ECU is 4 to 1, and a large portion of the population of Greenville comes from the university and also Pitt Community College. As seen in Figure 2, 67 percent of the survey respondents shop at the Greenville Mall 1-2 times per month. We assumed that only 67 percent shopped 1-2 times at the Greenville mall because there isn’t a general variety of shopping for customers in the mall itself. With an expansion of a new store especially being Forever 21 we feel the 67 percent of these shoppers will come more than 1-2 times. The data we collected also proves that those customers that do shop will be ones to consider shopping at Forever 21. 3 MAMS Consulting Expanding Forever 21 to Greenville Figure 3 shows that most of the survey respondents have shopped at Forever 21 before, and can be expected to shop there again if a store is brought to Greenville, North Carolina. The results show that majority have shopped at Forever 21, and with Figure 1 targeting more female then males, bringing Forever 21 has a big targeting audience. Figure 4 shows that 65 percent of the survey respondents would increase their shopping habits if Forever 21 came to Greenville. Not only will it increase their shopping habits it will increase the economy in Greenville. This is very positive information that supports the viability of Forever 21 in this city. Location Our team recommends the store be brought to Greenville for a number of reasons. Forever 21 is already operating in Fayetteville, Raleigh, Charlotte, and Wilmington; however there is no store in Eastern North Carolina for customers to shop. Greenville is the only other profitable area in North Carolina. This location is surrounded by many smaller towns such as Kinston, Rocky Mount and Goldsboro which could contribute greatly to consumer involvement. The stores actual location within the city will be Greenville Mall (714 S.E. Greenville Blvd. Greenville, NC 27858). We think this location will be the most beneficial because it will easily catch the attention of mall shoppers. Many people will also be more aware of the store because it is one of the main attractions for consumer spending. The mall is also located on a main road in Greenville, and is in the center of town. The fact that East Carolina University resides in this city is a positive thing too. It will provide many targets consumers who will hopefully contribute to the stores success. The mall is 3 miles from campus. This location being close to campus is very beneficial for potential customers and employees. The mall is also serviced by the ECU transit providing students a way to get to and from the mall. Costs Associated We have anticipated several costs that will be incurred with the acceptance of this report. Leasing Information The store location will be leased from Greenville Mall. The total available floor space will be 5500 square feet. The lease will be expected to last for 10 years. At $24 per square foot, the total rent due on the lease per month will be about $132,000. There will be opportunities to expand by buying adjacent spaces in the future. The lease does not include utilities like water or electric. It does include parking for customers and employees and basic mall security. The mall will be able to support the foot traffic generated by Forever 21, and no changes to the mall as a whole will not need to be changed. 4 MAMS Consulting Expanding Forever 21 to Greenville Start Up Costs There will be startup costs associated with opening Forever 21 in this area. Initial remodeling will require a large amount of cash. We are expecting this remodel to cost about $150,000. This would include reconstruction of the space, shelving units, dressing rooms, and all the electrical and security measures needed to run the business effectively. We are also expecting the initial inventory to cost approximately $25,000. This would include all the clothing, shoes, and accessories needed to furnish the store. We also expect to have $10,000 dollars of miscellaneous costs such as bags, pens, name tags, and office supplies. The advertising costs are expected to be $2500 and will include radio time, newspaper ads, and flyers to be put on the college campuses. This cost will be looked into further in the advertising section. Employees Greenville has an 8.4 percent employment rate ("Greenville, North Carolina"). This is very beneficial to any company looking to expand into the area. There are lots of willing employees looking for jobs, including an expanding university population. With such a high unemployment rate, finding employees should not be difficult. Having Greenville be named one of the best small places for businesses and careers will bring more people to the area. This will be beneficial in making sure there are employees that are around long-term. In order to reach the potential employees, our group is suggesting the use of Bettergreenvillejobs.com and the Career center on East Carolina’s campus. Using these will provide a wide range of job applicants to choose from. Not only will this allow us to reach the student demographic, but we will also be able to reach the non-employed people of Greenville. Forever 21 coming to Greenville can help the unemployment rate go down. Product Development and Atmosphere The products your store would be selling are going to mostly appeal to female consumers. Products would include clothing, shoes, and many different accessories. Our team plans to keep the cultural changes that occur in society in mind and will adapt the store to follow these changes. When trends pop up among consumers, we plan to follow these trends and shift your stores outlook accordingly. We do not plan to bring the men’s clothing line or the plus size women’s line to the Greenville location; however we do plan on training your employees to be knowledgeable about these lines in case any questions were to arise. We also plan on making ordering through the store possible for those who are interested. We also plan to create an eye catching and inviting atmosphere. Many competitors in the 5 MAMS Consulting Expanding Forever 21 to Greenville Greenville Mall have lackluster store fronts that do not attract customers. By using a glass front and mannequins displaying the latest trends, many window shoppers will be drawn into the store. One of our main goals is to keep this Forever 21 store in sync with the other stores opened already. We believe that as a corporation it is important to promote the brand in a similar fashion, and we plan to support Forever 21 in any way possible. We feel that this store will represent Forever 21 well and can turn a profit for the company while pleasing customers in Greenville and surrounding areas. Advertising We plan to advertise the opening of Forever 21 through the use of several media outlets. The campus newspaper and campus radio will be essential to reaching your target market. Creating a grand opening event page on Facebook would also help reach the target audience. We also plan to post flyers around Pitt Community College and East Carolina University as well as several of the local high schools. We are proposing the following advertising plan: Local Newspaper Ads: $800-1000 Radio Ads: $500-$1000 Facebook Event Page: $0 Flyers: 25 for $29.99 Price of Full Advertisement Plan: $1500-$2500 Normally businesses would pay much more for advertising because the majority of them like to use commercial. Our consulting group thinks commercials will not be necessary in Greenville because we believe East Carolina will do a lot of our networking for us. Once the store is known by a good number of the students, it can easily grow in popularity because students will spread the news by word of mouth. Competitors The competitors of Forever 21 include, American Eagle, Aeropostale, New York & Company, Pac Sun, JC Penny, Belk, and Macy's. Forever 21 has an advantage over these competitors because of the age range it is associated with. Many people consider Forever 21 a young adult’s store, but this store appeals to everyone, not just young adults. This is because teenagers want to seem grown up and adults want to be younger. Most competitors cannot compete with this because they have their age ranges associated with either teenagers or adults. For example: American Eagle: This store typically attracts young teenagers. This is an age range that is too young for older teens and far too young for adults. Aeropostale: This store also attracts young teenagers. They are losing a lot of potential consumers just like American Eagle. 6 MAMS Consulting Expanding Forever 21 to Greenville New York & Company, and Pac Sun: Both have the potential to appeal to all age ranges but these stores stress certain styles which don’t appeal to everyone. JC Penny, Belk, and Macy's all appeal to an age range that may be slightly older, around 30 to 40 years old. Forever 21's age range is perfect when compared to their competition. We believe the age range Forever 21 is believed to have by consumers is 18 to 30 years old. This is different than our target market which ranges from 14 to 30 years old. We have a larger target market because our age range appeals to people younger and older too, not just consumers that fall between the 18 to 30 ranges. Profit Margins MAMS Consulting also plans to evaluate competitors’ success in Greenville and use that information to lead your store in a direction that has worked for other successful businesses. Below is an example that uses competitors’ profit margins. 6 4 2 0 -2 American Eagle Aeropostale New York & Com. Pacsun -4 -6 -8 -10 -12 -14 Figure 1 Profit Margins of Competitors Through Figure 5 we can see that American Eagle and Aeropostale are profitable. Since this is the case our team will be watching their methods and strategies closely. By doing this we will gain clues as to what added to their success. Since New York & Company and Pac Sun are not profitable, we will assess reasons as to why they are failing, and make sure to repeat mistakes that these companies have made. 7 MAMS Consulting Expanding Forever 21 to Greenville Conclusions and Recommendations Greenville, North Carolina provides the perfect location for Forever 21. It has a large target market and is continuing to show community growth. The East Carolina University and Pitt Community College communities, as well as the many small towns surrounding the area provide the perfect market for Forever 21. We believe that Greenville will be able to support a prosperous Forever 21 and that this will be an advantageous business decision. MAMS Consulting recommends the following: 1. Expand into Greenville Mall. Introducing Forever 21 into the Greenville Mall will ensure a wide customer base and lots of foot traffic. The location will provide for space to grow, as well as an opportunity to create a profitable business. Start franchise store. Open the store with both MAMS consulting members and a former Forever 21 store manager. Hire local Greenville residents as employees. 2. Evaluate the success of the store in hopes of expanding into a larger retail space. Survey customers in order to receive feedback on popularity, as well as evaluate business's success in numbers. Explore additional places with larger floor space 8 MAMS Consulting Expanding Forever 21 to Greenville References "Charlotte Russe." Charlotte Russe. Web. 08 Feb. 2012. "Community Development." City of Greenville, NC. 1 Jan. 2012. Web. 08 Feb. 2012. "Cosmopolitan.com." Cosmopolitan. Web. 09 Feb. 2012. "East Carolina University Statistics." College Prowler. Web. 29 Apr. 2012. Forever 21 INC. Web. 8 Feb. 2012. "Greenville, North Carolina." (NC) Profile: Population, Maps, Real Estate, Averages, Homes, Statistics, Relocation, Travel, Jobs, Hospitals, Schools, Crime, Moving, Houses, News, Sex Offenders. Web. 08 Feb. 2012. "Greenville, NC Economy at a Glance." U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Web. 29 Apr. 2012. "Leasing Information." Greenville Mall- Greenville, North Carolina. Web. 09 Feb. 2012. "Pitt County QuickFacts from the US Census Bureau." U.S. Census Bureau. 31 Jan. 2012. Web. 8 Feb. 2012. "Rue21." Home. Web. 09 Feb. 2012. 9 MAMS Consulting Expanding Forever 21 to Greenville Appendix Survey Results: 1. Male or Female? Male 29 Female 71 2. On average how many times do you go shopping at the Greenville Mall in one month? a. Never b. 1-2 times a month c. 3-4 times a month d. 5 or more times a month A 22 B 67 C 8 D 3 3. What stores do you typically shop at? (Mark all that apply) a. Charlotte Rouse b. Belk c. American Eagle d. Pac Sun e. New York and Company f. Express g. Body Central h. J.C. Penny i. Other A 43 B 19 C 36 D 38 E 11 10 MAMS Consulting Expanding Forever 21 to Greenville F 17 G 24 H 9 I 15 (4 Kohl’s 4. Have you ever shopped at Forever 21? Yes 59 No 41 5. Have you ever shopped online at Forever 21 because there was no store nearby? Yes 28 No 72 6. Would Forever 21 coming to Greenville affect your shopping habits? a. Yes- Increase number of times you shop b. Yes- Decrease number of times you shop c. No- Would not affect my shopping habits A 65 B 2 C 33 7. On average, how much do you spend on clothing and accessories a month? a. Under $50 b. $50-$100 c. $100-$200 d. Over $200 A 31 B 56 C 9 D 4 11 MAMS Consulting Expanding Forever 21 to Greenville Male or Female? Survey Respondents 80 60 Male 40 Female 20 0 Figure 2 Survey Male or Female? Survey Respondents How Many Times do you Shop at the Greenville Mall per Month? 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Never 1-2 Times 3-4 Times 5 or More Times Figure 3 How Many Times Do You at the Greenville Mall per Month? 12 MAMS Consulting Expanding Forever 21 to Greenville Have you Shopped at Forever 21? 70 Survey Respondents 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Yes No Figure 4 Have you Shopped at Forever 21? Would Forever 21 Coming to Greenville Effect your Shopping Habits? 70 Survey Respondents 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Yes- Increase Yes- Decrease No- No Effect Figure 5 Would Forever 21 Coming to Greenville Effect your Shopping Habits? 13