Lecture 7: Micro Origin of 911 (II) – American Conspiracy Theory -- “Real Conspiracy” Vs “American Crisis Management” 19th February 2003 (Wednesday) Structure of Lecture 7: Logic of Conspiracy Theories Types of Conspiracy Theories: “True Believers” and the “Quasi Believers” Motivations of the American Conspiracy in 911 “Evidence” of the True Believers Counter-evidence against the True Believers Conclusion – Our Stand PART I Logic of Conspiracy Theories Origin of Conspiracy Theories Why are there Conspiracy Theories? De-legitimization of Official History “Trusted History” Vs “Wild History” “Unanswered Questions” in Official Documents (Deaths/ Mistakes/ Money) Ancient Palace Politics Yongzheng Dynasty (1722-1735) The Bottom-up Logic Assessing the Victors, instead of Victims From Victims to Victors “V-V Logic” Who are the Victors? Those gained power after the incident (e.g. Bush) Those gained money after the incident (e.g. Military) Those escaped from punishment after the incident (e.g. Israel) “Classic Conspiracies” A Proven History: Imperial Japan & Manchurian Crisis (1931) An Unproven History: USA & Pearl Harbor Incident (1941) Conspiracy of Other Natures The “Moon Conspiracy” of the US Government and the Aliens Types of Believers of the 911 Conspiracy “Quasi-believers”: USA did not plan the whole plot Conspired to the unexpected incident Excellent Crisis Management e.g. anti-war scholars (Noam Chomsky) “Genuine Believers”: USA planned the whole plot Top-secret: only the few planners know e.g. spy-novel writers (Thierry Meyssan: 911 The Big Lie) Assigned Readings Main Text: Noam Chomsky: “Who Are the Global Terrorists?” (B&D P.128-137) Supplementary Text: Desmond Ball: “Desperately Seeking Bin Laden: The Intelligence Dimension of the War Against Terrorism.” (B&D P.60-73). Steve Smith: “Unanswered Questions.” (B&D P.48-59) Thierry Meyssan: 911 The Big Lie PART II Motivations of American Conspiracy in 911 Deficiencies of Pre-911 World Order Cold War: Bipolarity Post-Cold War: Uni-polarity? But what if Multi-polarity? Potential Rivals: Rising Power: China, European Union, Japan Contained Power: Russia Unexpected Power: Osama Bin Laden Economic Conspiracies The Oil Scramble The Iraqi Oil Fields The Natural Gas Scramble Discovery of Caspian Sea Gas Fields – the New Middle East Natural Gas Pipe: Uzbekistan Afghanistan Iran Iraq Turkey (Black Sea) Alienation from Russia Deposition of Taliban in Afghanistan The Natural Gas Plan Personal Ambition The Psychological Freudian Analysis George W Bush The Fraternity Youth Legacy from George Bush Sr. Shadow of Governor Jeb Bush The 2000 Presidential Election Yale Tri-centenary Speech “If you are graduating with A, well done. However, if you are graduating with C+, you are even better, because you can be the American president. Even if you dropped out, you can still be the vicepresident.” -- President George W Bush (2001) PART III Evidence of the True Believers? Intelligence “Carelessness” Ignored Warnings before 911? Annual Reports of Federal Aviation Administration (1999-2000) Centenary Warning at LAX Airport (2000) Independence Day Warning against US Airports (2001) “The 20th Hijacker” Desmond Ball: “The Intelligence Dimension of the War Against Terrorism.” Steve Smith: “Unanswered Questions” Iron Triangle: the Source of American Conspiracies Military Plan against Iraq since Gulf War (1990) “Iron Triangle” in US Politics Military (weapon makers) Industrial (millionaires who need fuel) Executive (make decisions on war) Why they conspired to make wars? Distribution of Iraqi Oil Fields among US Industrial Complex Mass Production of US Weapons Funding from Military and Industrial to the Republican Party The JFK Case Assassination of President John F Kennedy (1963) “Unanswered Questions”: The Lone Murderer and the “Magic Bullet” The Cover-ups; Murder of the Murderer Oliver Stone: JFK “Victors”? President Lyndon Johnson Military-Industrial-Executive Complex The Ones Escalated the Vietnam War PART IV Counter-Evidence against the True Believers Economic Balance Sheet Economic Losses: The Whole World Trade Tower Wall Street Stock Market Insurance Industry Aviation Industry Auditing Industry Chain Effect, Worldwide Economy Total: Direct Loss of US$33-36 billions What are the gains?! Bureaucratic Politics Federal Government: Decision-making Process: Separation of Power Check and Balance System: Departments, Commissions, Advisors… Regional Government, Legislature, Judiciary… Easy Leaking of Information The Real “Accountability System”: Why do you take the risk? PART V Conclusion – “Sometimes Naïve. I’m Angry!” Blind-spots of the Conspiracy Logics: the Tautology When you’re the gainer, conspiracies are almost impossible to be proven But when you become the loser of the situation, there will always be conspiracies to be made against you… Precedence of the Chinese Cultural Revolution, the “Dreamland of Conspiracies” Usage of the Conspiracy Theory Alienation between Allied-members and between a united nation Interests of Readers Money of Writers Joined-interest of Re-writers! Position of the Course: America as a Superb Crisis Manager Iraqi Crisis and the “Saddam-Laden Link” Against Real Conspiracy Believer: why didn’t attack Iraq from the first place? “Quasi-Conspiracy Believer: 911 is a surprise to America, their instant response is to revenge, to revenge against the real planner as they believe, Osama Bin Laden. When time flies, the Americans are aware of the situation become very advantageous to them, so they make use of the whole situation to expand its power in the regions that it wanted to expand for decades. The Latest Bin Laden Prophecy (Feb 2003) “It is clear that the preparations to attack Iraq are part of a series of attacks prepared for nations of the region including Syria, Iran, Egypt and Sudan”… “The aim of the Crusaders’ campaign is to prepare the atmosphere for the establishment of the so-called greater Israel state, which includes great parts of Iraq, Egypt, Syria, Jordan and large portions of (Saudi Arabia)”… ~~The End~~ Thank you for attending