Science, Policy & the $30,000 Fish Phaedra Doukakis, Ph.D. Institute for Ocean Conservation Science, SoMAS, SUNY SB October 9, 2009 SPECIES MANAGEMENT SCIENCE CONSUMER CHOICE GLOBAL TRADE Where can science make the difference for conservation? Science-Policy Interface Presentation Outline • Molecular genetic approaches – Caviar trade regulation, species boundaries, species relationships • Caspian Sea sturgeon fieldwork – Species biology and status • Stock assessment, fisheries management • Policy influence “Living fossils”: lineage extending into the Jurassic. Anadromous, Northern hemisphere 7 S. albus Spawning periodicity - females (years) 6 A. brevirostrum 5 H. dauricus A. medirostris A. fulvescens A. o. oxyrhinchus A. baerii A. gueldenstaedtii A. schrenckii H. huso 4 A. persicus P. spathula 3 S. platorynchus A. transmontanus A. nudiventris A. o. destoi S. suttkusi A. ruthenus A. stellatus 2 1 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 Age at maturity -females (years) Fish and Fisheries 6: 233-265 30 The most valuable fish on Earth Guinness World Record Most Valuable Fish: A Russian sturgeon weighing 2,706 lb caught in 1924 yielded 540 lb of caviar, today worth nearly $1.35-2.7 million. When market fluctuations cause you to change the title of your talk! $8,000 per kilo= $50,000.00 per fish given size of fish now Caviar: the eggs of a mature female THE BEGINNING-ALBANY BEEF FROM THE HUDSON RIVER Caspian & Black Sea Hatcheries main management tool More than 10 around the Caspian Sea; millions released annually Sturgeon& Paddlefish Capture 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 19 60 19 64 19 68 19 72 19 76 19 80 19 84 19 88 19 92 19 96 20 00 20 04 0 FAOSTAT data Sturgeon& Paddlefish Total 35,000 30,000 25,000 Capture Total Aquaculture 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 19 60 19 64 19 68 19 72 19 76 19 80 19 84 19 88 19 92 19 96 20 00 20 04 0 FAOSTAT data Effort calibrated data shows population decline 12 H.huso A.gueldenstadtii 8 A.stellatus 6 4 2 Year 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0 1990 Kg . Day -1 . 100 gillnet -1 10 Catch and # Spawners over Time 25 30 20 25 20 15 15 10 10 5 5 0 0 19671970 19711975 19761980 19811985 From Khodorevskaya et al. 1997, 2000; Khodorevskaya 1999 19861990 19911995 19961997 Number of individuals migrating (thousands) Catch (t) Decline of beluga (Huso huso ) in the Volga River GLOBAL OVERVIEW 2005 Fish and Fisheries 6: 233-265 • Most major sturgeon fisheries now catch 85% fewer fish than at their peak. • Boom and bust: >1/3 of fisheries examined crashed within 7-20 years. • Local extinctions in 19 of 27 species. . •In 1997 CITES was considering listing all sturgeons and paddlefishes. •CITES works through trade regulation with trade quotas set based on sustainable take. •Illegal harvest and trade problematic. •Morphological inspection inaccurate for species id – need enforcement method. Develop a molecular method to assist in CITES enforcement and trade regulation Yes! Cytb-based, species specific nucleotides, PCR and tree building approaches for species ID Position number 1 2 3 4 5 6 Species 1 T G C A T G C A T G C A T G C A T G C A …Species 24 . C . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Species 25 . . . . . . . . . . . . A . . . . . . Species specific primer | | | | | | | | | | | | | | A C G T A C G T A C G T A T . 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 . 1 1 2 8 9 0 No! Basin of origin of commercial caviar •Commercial species of sturgeon cannot be distinguished by basin of origin based on mtDNA (Molecular Ecology 8: S117-S127;. Journal of Applied Ichthyology 21(6): 457-460 ) •Restocking, geology, marker evolution explanations. Using the species identification system •Test on 95 lots of commercial caviar (1998). •23% mislabeling. •Endangered species & cheap caviar substitutes. (Conservation Biology 12(4): 766-775). •System can be developed; monitoring trade is necessary. •Importing countries need to adopt method. Pesky species Systematics work: Copeia 2002(2): 287-301 85(80) 2 93 6 79(74) 3 67 4 98 6 100 27 100 14 97 12 61(59) 5 58(63) 2 100 41 75 2 100 17 1 100 38 100 77 A. persicus A. naccarii A. gueldenstaedtii A. baerii A. brevirostrum A. stellatus P. hermanni P. kaufmanni A. ruthenus H. huso H. dauricus A. fulvescens A. nudiventris A. mikadoi A. medirostris A. transmontanus A. schrenckii A. sinensis A. sturio A. oxyrinchus S. suttkusi S. platorynchus S. albus Polyodon Psephurus A. persicus A. naccarii A. gueldenstaedtii A. baerii A. brevirostrum A. fulvescens A. stellatus P. hermanni P. kaufmanni A. nudiventris A. ruthenus H. huso H. dauricus S. suttkusi S. platorynchus S. albus A. mikadoi A. medirostris A. schrenckii A. transmontanus A. sinensis A. sturio A. oxyrinchus Polyodon Psephurus Morphologically similar Siberian Rivers Sea of Azov Adriatic Sea Black Sea Caspian Sea Increased sampling and loci; too few samples to consider Italian sturgeon 86 66 100 100 74 62 61 76 87 89 100 96 100 70 74 96 97 64 69 74 85 74 85 91 98 91 95 72 95 100 100 89 95 99 100 87 89 Persian(3) RussianNC2 Persian2 RussianI3 RussianI7 Persian3 Persian5 Persian11 Persian6 RussianNC3 RussianNC4 RussianNC7 Persian7 RussianK4 RussianD(7) RussianD9 Persian10 Italian(2) RussianNC8 RussianNC9 RussianI5 RussianD7 RussianBl RussianDn RussianK3 RussianI4 RussianK(2) RussianC(2) RussianI8 SiberianB(6) SiberianO2 SiberianL(12) SiberianO1 SiberianO3 SiberianO6 SiberianO5 SiberianY(2) SiberianO4 SiberianO(5) SiberianO10 SiberianY(2)) RussianNC1 RussianI6 RussianNC5 RussianNC6 RussianI9 SiberianO8 Astellatus Hhuso Two clades: Russian sturgeon in Caspian have Siberian-like genotype 86 66 100 100 74 62 61 76 87 89 100 96 100 70 74 96 97 64 69 100 100 74 85 30bp fixed differences 74 85 91 98 91 95 72 95 89 95 99 100 1 bp difference 87 89 Persian(3) RussianNC2 Persian2 RussianI3 RussianI7 Persian3 Persian5 Persian11 Persian6 RussianNC3 RussianNC4 RussianNC7 Persian7 RussianK4 RussianD(7) RussianD9 Persian10 Italian(2) RussianNC8 RussianNC9 RussianI5 RussianD7 RussianBl RussianDn RussianK3 RussianI4 RussianK(2) RussianC(2) RussianI8 SiberianB(6) SiberianO2 SiberianL(12) SiberianO1 SiberianO3 SiberianO6 SiberianO5 SiberianY(2) SiberianO4 SiberianO(5) SiberianO10 SiberianY(2)) RussianNC1 RussianI6 RussianNC5 RussianNC6 RussianI9 SiberianO8 Astellatus Hhuso Siberian sturgeon aren’t supposed to be in the Caspian Sea?? Siberian Rivers ? Sea of Azov Adriatic Sea Black Sea Caspian Sea •Caspian Sea Russian-Siberian sturgeon and true Russian sturgeon present. •Decreases mislabeling to 19%. Law enforcement relevance Morphology and Molecules Systematics & Biodiversity 3(2): 203-218 Hybrid from aquaculture? Compare “pure” Siberian to Caspian Sea Siberian. Pure Siberian sturgeon distinct from Russian and Russian-Siberian sturgeon in the Caspian Sea. Persian and Russian sturgeon don’t form monopyletic clades. Once subspecies 86 66 100 100 74 62 61 76 87 89 100 96 100 70 74 96 97 64 69 74 85 74 85 91 98 91 95 72 95 100 100 89 95 99 100 87 89 Persian(3) RussianNC2 Persian2 RussianI3 RussianI7 Persian3 Persian5 Persian11 Persian6 RussianNC3 RussianNC4 RussianNC7 Persian7 RussianK4 RussianD(7) RussianD9 Persian10 Italian(2) RussianNC8 RussianNC9 RussianI5 RussianD7 RussianBl RussianDn RussianK3 RussianI4 RussianK(2) RussianC(2) RussianI8 SiberianB(6) SiberianO2 SiberianL(12) SiberianO1 SiberianO3 SiberianO6 SiberianO5 SiberianY(2) SiberianO4 SiberianO(5) SiberianO10 SiberianY(2)) RussianNC1 RussianI6 RussianNC5 RussianNC6 RussianI9 SiberianO8 Astellatus Hhuso •No fixed morphological differences; valid species? •Persian sturgeon are considered separate from Russian sturgeon in management and at CITES. •Need better understanding of species structure and biology. •Better markers for species and populations. •Polyploidy makes this challenging. •Next generation sequencing for SNPS and microsats 10 years later •91 tins •Single digits. •Fewer species. •Pike! in preparation 1998 Pre CITES 2008 Post CITES 12 Trade is regulated but populations still declining H.huso A.gueldenstadtii 8 A.stellatus 6 4 2 Year 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0 1990 Kg . Day -1 . 100 gillnet -1 10 Ural River, Kazakhstan •Last significant Caspian Sea river without a dam. •Last place to study natural migration. •Active, large fishery. Three year program (2005-08) Sturgeon biology and status (beluga focus) Fisheries management Species structure (Persian, Siberian, hybrids) Survival of hatchery released fish? Outreach component Catch, use in hatcheries, tag and release Acoustic tags Pop-up Archival Transmitting (Mk10-PAT) tags Field catch-and release Tagging hatchery reared fish Partnerships formed •Fishing is intense. •Catch and release impossible. •Satellite tagging project difficult. •Extensive government corruption. “… when law-enforcement officials realised that the study could prove what everyone in Atyrau already knew – that the poaching pressure was now so intense that no fish ever reached Uralsk, …they refused to allow Doukakis to tag any fish. So she reoriented what she cheerfully calls her “no-data project” and now is trying to… Get visas for Kazakhstani scientists to come to the USA: stock assessment workshop Stock assessment project • Evaluate the population status of Ural River beluga and determine levels of fishing pressure. – No understanding of current levels of fishing compared to sustainable levels. Stock assessment project • Identify the life history stages best targeted for conservation: – Control harvest of adults and subadults or increase hatchery production? – Current management focus is on hatchery production; fishing nations are issued higher quotas with increased hatchery output. Results • Precautionary target fishing mortality rates are similar to those for other longlived species such as sharks and marine mammals but are smaller than those for the productive teleost species that sustain large fisheries. 25 Mean age of the population declines with increasing F. Mean age (years) 20 15 10 5 0 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 Fishing mortality 40 Spawning weight, kg 35 F=0 30 25 F=0.05 20 15 F=0.1 10 F=0.15 5 F=0.2 0 1 11 21 31 41 51 Age, years 61 71 81 91 Proportion of older and larger fish in the spawning stock declines with increasing F. Compare with observed Fmax average age of the spawning stock: 24 years Observed: 21.8 (1996); 17.4 (2006) 18 16 14 percent 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 age 1996 2006 Removal rate over 70%; 4-5 times › Fmax. Results • Yield per recruit is maximized at age of entry at 31 years: raise minimum size limits or reduce illegal take of subadults. 40 tmin=30 35 Yield per recruit, kg tmin=25 30 tmin=20 25 tmin =11 20 15 10 5 0 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 Fishing mortality 0.4 0.5 Results • Elasticity analysis: – Improving the survival of subadult and adult females would increase population productivity by 10 times that achieved by improving fecundity and egg to age 1 survival (i.e., hatchery supplementation). Assessment: in Summary (in review Conservation Biology) • Strong evidence of overfishing. • Need to focus on recovery. • Best option is to reduce adult and subadult mortality (limit fishing). • Ask CITES to stop issuing trade quotas! • Stop building hatcheries and eliminate incentive of hatchery production! Policy Implications & Actions • CITES recognition of uncertainty regarding species status; leveraging World Bank funds for additional genetics research. • Shift burden of proof so that proper assessments are in place before permitting trade in Caspian Sea sturgeons. • FAO assistance on assessment and TAC method. • Appendix I transfer. Real Change? •Government commitment. •National market control. Acknowledgements • People: Ellen Pikitch (SUNY SB); Elizabeth Babcock (U Miami); Alexei Sharov (Maryland Dept of Natural Resources); Vadim Birstein (Sturgeon Conservation International); Rob DeSalle, George Amato (American Museum of Natural History); Dan Erickson (ODFW); colleagues in the Caspian Sea. • Funding: American Museum of Natural History, Hudson River Foundation, National Geographic Society Conservation Trust Grant, Packard Foundation, Pew Charitable Trusts, US EPA Science to Achieve Results (STAR) Fellowship, Yale University, donations to PIOS and IOCS