Case exploration and analysis on Presented by Trevor Zink March 26, 2008 MBAG/H 646 Dr. Anatoly Zhuplev Brief case review Chinese lifestyles and trends ◦ Tradition, change, implications Company overview ◦ Company, founder Industry overview ◦ Competition, analysis models The future ◦ Prospects, recommendations Anthony Le Corre ◦ Started and closed two pizzerias before opening… Hello Pizza ◦ Cheap, consistent pizza Started with $500,000 in seed capital Three restaurants, three delivery centers, others Surprise: Successful Changing Traditions Implications for Business Preference is for Asian tastes, flavors ◦ Western food attractive, but not daily meal Eating out is common ◦ At least 1 meal per day average Majority of sales are eat-in (not take-out) “Chunr” (Street food) is popular ◦ Convenient, cheap, fresh, tasty Fast-casual not popular ◦ Price/convenience first considerations ◦ Difficult to break in to market Source: Euromonitor Consumer Lifestyle Report 2008; Newman, Jacqueline High motivation to eat healthy, organic, local ◦ Traditional foods, such as rice, seen as healthier ◦ Health regulations growing stricter Relative growth in restaurant food/drink spending is low ◦ Cooking is traditional, still common China still very Chinese ◦ Local’s purchasing power equal with foreigners ◦ -0.39 migrants/1,000; 0.655% population growth Source: Euromonitor Lifestyle Report 2008; CIA World Fact Book 2009 Newman, Jacqueline; Law Library of Congress Increasing disposable income ◦ Spend more on entertainment/shopping Growing urban population Concerns of work, career, time management Trend towards prepackaged and frozen food ◦ Singles, working professionals ◦ Refrigeration is common Increasingly, “convenience is king” With growing young working class, price is major consideration ◦ Link Source: Euromonitor Lifestyle Report 2008; Newman, Jacqueline Balance of tradition and change ◦ New businesses Opportunities for non-traditional products, services Large, untapped market willing to seek variety Must be culturally sensitive, aware Inside contacts or cultural assimilation needed 2008 Study: Reputation and relationships play important roles in formal financing of the small private firms ◦ Chains, established businesses Must be willing to adapt to culture Western management with Chinese tastes good mix Partnerships, physical presence, speaking language, government appeasement crucial to success Source: Zhang, Guidin; Anderson, Derek The Man, the Mission Anthony Le Corre Finished French “military service” ◦ Accountant for Swiss water company Motivated by necessity Set up pizza parlor in Kunming Set up another in Chongqing ◦ Was distracted, sold business ◦ Sold standard pizzas at standard prices ◦ Didn’t stand out, closed business after one year Read the history of McDonald’s Was commanded by God himself to make cheap pizza Michelangelo, The Creation of the 10 Yuan Pizza Michelangelo’s alternate title: Adam is disciplined for trying to steal God’s piece of Pizza Competitive Strategy ◦ Aggressively cost-based Overall mission: Turn pizza into an inexpensive commodity Standardization and mass production of pizzas ◦ Precisely measured ingredients separated in single-pizza portions, premade crusts ◦ Prepared the night before, cooked upon order ◦ Small, easily trained workforce, segregation of tasks Offer limited, rotating choices ◦ “People will get sick of old products” Economies of scale ◦ Model viable for large number of restaurants Price ◦ Cost-leader, minimum price Product ◦ The “Model T” of pizza ◦ Limited choices, precise ingredients ◦ “Really not bad at all considering how cheap it is” Distribution ◦ Restaurants, delivery centers Online orders, phone orders Promotion ◦ Online coupons ◦ Room for improvement Link Consistent with business model Slight changes ◦ Price changes September 2007 ◦ 元25-35 up from 元10 ($3.66–5.13) ◦ Specialty pizzas Sweetheart Pizza ◦ Desserts, Risotto Also cheap (元5-25; $0.73–3.66) Growth ◦ 8 restaurants in 5 cities Source: Hello Pizza Website Fast Times in Fast Food China Highly saturated market ◦ Over 1 million outlets, 6% growth in 2007 元340 billion in 2007 (~$49.79 billion) ◦ 9% growth in 2007 ◦ 12% growth per annum since 2002 Dominated by multinational chains ◦ Yum! Restaurants China – 41% KFC, East Dawning, Pizza Hut ◦ McDonald’s – ◦ Ting Hsin Intl Group – 21% 9.5% Source: Euromonitor Industry Report 2008 Slower growth expected Increasing cost of ingredients ◦ Many Chinese consumers are quite price sensitive Western style operations Chains moving to lower-tiered cities 24-hour stores gaining foothold ◦ Started by McDonald’s, picked up by others Food safety, health are main concerns Source: Euromonitor Industry Report 2008 Yum, McDonald’s, Ting Hsin Pizza Hut ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ 400 “casual dining” restaurants in 100 cities 79 Delivery stations Project 20,000 units Link Dominoes entered 1995 ◦ 12 locations ◦ 15 choices, West/Asian mix ◦ 元76-108 ($11-16) Other Premium and “Authentic” Pizza Parlors Source: Euromonitor Industry Report 2008; Yum! Website; Dominoes Websitec Hello Pizza International Chains Chinese Eateries Competitive Advantages Unique business model, unique product Entrepreneur’s business acumen Flexible, fast Established in the market Knowledge of local market Large scale economies Management experience Boundless capital Training and facilities support Bargaining power over suppliers Local Competitive Disadvantages No Cannot No market saturation Lack of brand recognition Promotion??? At mercy of supplier prices respond to market changes Corporate bureaucracy No brand loyalty among customers Limited local offerings tastes, flavors Members of the community Low overhead Familiarity with supply lines economies of scale At mercy of customer’s tastes No unique angle No variety-seeking offering Opportunities ◦ Huge market potential still exists ◦ Growth, expansion, new product lines ◦ Leverage combination of local tastes and western business model Risks ◦ New entrants ◦ Rising cost of ingredients ◦ Increasingly health-conscious market Threat of New Entrants: LOW/MODERATE (1.5) (w=.15) Bargaining Power of Suppliers: HIGH (3) (w=.30) Chinese Cost-Based NonStandard Fast Food Market Competitiveness: LOW/MOD (1.775) Bargaining Power of Customers: LOW/MODERATE (1.5) (w=.20) Threat of Substitute Products: LOW (1) (w=.35) Source: Euromonitor Industry Report 2008; Zhang, Guibin; Euromonitor Lifestyle Report 2008; The Prospects The Pitfalls The Magic 8-Ball says… Niche market Business model unique in sector Motivated, savvy entrepreneur Established, past point of probable failure Meets/solves a growing need/problem Sustainable competitive advantage Promotion, promotion, promotion ◦ Make name known both to convenience seekers… Many choices, low-involvement decision Bombard with image, identity ◦ …And subculture Backwards integrate ◦ Reduce supplier bargaining power Expand ◦ Economies of scale are key Develop business system “package” ◦ Franchising ◦ Training ◦ Expanding Anderson, Derek. “Yes To FTA, but what about the Barriers?” NZ Business; Mar2008, Vol. 22 Issue 2, p12-12, 1/3p “Burger-Thy-Neighbor Policies” Economist; 2/7/2009, Vol. 390 Issue 8617, p68-68, 1p CIA World Fact Book: China; 2009. "Consumer Lifestyle Report: China." 10 Nov. 2008. Euromonitor International. Dominoes Corporate China Site http://www.dominos.com.cn/english/ “Industry Report: Fast Food – China.” 22 Oct. 2008. Euromonitor International. Newman, Jacqueline M. Food Culture in China (Food Culture around the World). New York: Greenwood P, 2004 Pizza Hut Consumer China Website http://www.pizzahut.com.cn/phcda/index.aspx Zeldin, Wendy. “China: Dairy Product Quality and Safety Regulations.” 3 Nov. 2008. Law Library of Congress http://www.loc.gov/lawweb/servlet/lloc_news?disp3_762_text “Yum! Corporate information - China” http://www.yum.com/company/china.asp Zhang, Guibin. “The choice of formal or informal finance: Evidence from Chengdu, China.” China Economic Review (1043951X); Dec 2008, Vol. 19 Issue 4, p659-678, 20p Special Thanks Jesuit Connection Librarian Assistance Dr. Anatoly Zhuplev