Nuclear Technology and Energy Per F. Peterson Professor Department of Nuclear Engineering University of California, Berkeley March 2, 2008 UC Berkeley U.C. Berkeley and Nuclear Science Seaborgium Berkelium Americium Lawrencium Neptunium and Plutonium Uranium Californium UC Berkeley Binding Energy: Why Nuclear Power is Possible • • • • • The mass of an atom is smaller than the sum of its parts The difference is called the “mass defect” The “binding energy” is the energy required to hold the atom together E = Dmc2 If we split or combine atoms, we can release some of the binding energy UC Berkeley Energy from Nuclear Fission • • • Fission Fuel Energy Density: 8.2 x 1013 J/kg Fuel Consumed by 1000-MWe Plant: 3.2 kg/day Waste: UC Berkeley Energy from Nuclear Fusion • • • Fusion Fuel Energy Density: 3.4 x 1014 J/kg Fuel Consumed by 1000-MWe Plant: 0.6 kg/day Waste: UC Berkeley Energy from Fossil Fuels • • • Fossil Fuel (Coal) Energy Density: 2.9 x 107 J/kg Fuel Consumed by 1000-MWe Plant: 7,300,000 kg/day Waste: 2005 Global Coal Consumption: 5.4 billion tons UC Berkeley Nuclear has very low life-cycle CO2 emissions UC Berkeley France closed its last coal mine in April, 2004 UC Berkeley California Electricity Consumption 2004 UC Berkeley Why renewed interest? Improved performance of existing U.S. nuclear plants UC Berkeley Reliable Power Production 100 Capacity Factor (%) 89.6 * 90 80 70 60 50 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 * 2005 Preliminary Source: Global Energy Decisions / Energy Information Administration Updated: 4/06 UC Berkeley Stable, Low Production Costs 9.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 Cents per kwhr 2005 Nuclear 1.72 Coal 2.21 Gas 7.51 Oil 8.09 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Production Costs = Operations and Maintenance Costs + Fuel Costs Source: Global Energy Decisions Updated: 6/06 UC Berkeley The major near-term question: can new nuclear plants be built on schedule, for a reasonable cost, and operate reliably, safely, and securely? UC Berkeley Resource inputs will affect future capital costs and competition • Nuclear: 1970’s vintage PWR, 90% capacity factor, 60 year life [1] – 40 MT steel / MW(average) – 190 m3 concrete / MW(average) • Wind: 1990’s vintage, 6.4 m/s average wind speed, 25% capacity factor, 15 year life [2] – 460 MT steel / MW (average) – 870 m3 concrete / MW(average) • Coal: 78% capacity factor, 30 year life [2] – 98 MT steel / MW(average) – 160 m3 concrete / MW(average) • Natural Gas Combined Cycle: 75% capacity factor, 30 year life [3] – 3.3 MT steel / MW(average) – 27 m3 concrete / MW(average) Concrete + steel are >95% of construction inputs, and become more expensive in a carbon-constrained economy 1. R.H. Bryan and I.T. Dudley, “Estimated Quantities of Materials Contained in a 1000-MW(e) PWR Power Plant,” Oak Ridge National Laboratory, TM-4515, June (1974) 2. S. Pacca and A. Horvath, Environ. Sci. Technol., 36, 3194-3200 (2002). 3. P.J. Meier, “Life-Cycle Assessment of Electricity Generation Systems and Applications for Climate Change Policy Analysis,” U. WisconsinReport UWFDM-1181, August, 2002. UC Berkeley New nuclear infrastructure will be more highly optimized 1978: Plastic models on roll-around carts 2000: 4-D computer aided design and virtual walk-throughs McGuire Nuclear Station Reactor Building Models. 2002 NRC processing time for 20-year license renewal: ~18 months 1000 MW Reactor (Lianyungang Unit 1) UC Berkeley The new passive light water reactors provide substantial improvements over earlier designs AP-1000 • • • ESBWR Capable of safe shutdown without an external heat sink or AC power supply Large reductions in equipment and building size Reduced security costs UC Berkeley New licensing and construction plans call for a high degree of design standardization Current NRC Construction License Review Plan UC Berkeley The Generations of Nuclear Energy Source: DOE Generation IV Project UC Berkeley Nuclear energy and transportation — Plug-in hybrids and low-carbon fuels UC Berkeley World’s Largest Oil Accumulations: What future role for nuclear energy? Name Type Country OOIP (109 Bbl) Orinoco X-Heavy Oil Venezuela 1,200 Athabasca Tar Sand Canada 869 Cold Lake Tar Sand Canada 271 Ghawar Oil Field Saudi Arabia 190 Burgan Oil Field Kuwait 190 Bolivar Coast Oil Field Venezuela 160 Melekess Tar Sand Russia 123 Wabasca Tar Sand Canada 119 Source: Roadifer 1987 UC Berkeley Canadian tar sands provide a very large resource Alberta Athabasca Peace River Fort McMurray Wabasca Cold Lake Edmonton Lloydminster • Production from oil sands in Alberta could be 2.8 million BOPD in 2015, up from 1.2 million BOPD in 2004. • Current tar sands carbon intensity is 15 to 40% higher than for conventional oil production Red Deer Calgary UC Berkeley The Pebble Bed Modular Reactor • Being constructed in South Africa • Helium-cooled modular reactor uses “pebble fuel” • Power output options: – 200 MWe gas Brayton cycle – 136 MWe gas Brayton and 286 MWt process steam production – 500 MWt hightemperature process heat – 250 MWc hydrogen • Can be used to produce low-carbon transportation fuels UC Berkeley High temperature reactors can make hydrogen directly through for thermo-chemical processes UC Berkeley ORNL DWG 2001-102R Nuclear Waste UC Berkeley Major international R&D efforts have improved the current understanding of nuclear waste disposal • Broad scientific consensus exists that deep geologic isolation can provide long-term, safe and reversible disposal for nuclear wastes • 25 years of scientific and technical study led to a positive site suitability decision for Yucca Mountain in 2002 UC Berkeley Geologic Isolation Places Nuclear Wastes Deep Underground Nuclear energy produces small volumes of waste which makes it practical to isolate it from the environment. UC Berkeley Long-term Safety Requirements are Stringent Compared to Those for Chemicals The potential long-term impact from geologic disposal is limited groundwater contamination, a problem that current public health systems already understand how to manage 28 miles 640 miles The potential incremental impact from Yucca Mountain in the next 1 million years is small UC Berkeley Advanced fuel cycles can impact repository performance • Yucca Mountain’s current legal capacity limit is 63,000 MT of spent fuel – Current U.S. plants will reach this limit in 2014 • Technical limit for the current 2000 acre repository footprint is between 120,000 and 300,000 MT of spent fuel • Advanced fuel cycles that recycle the heavy elements in spent fuel would increase this capacity by a factor of ~ 50x. Under advanced fuel cycles, Yucca Mountain could potentially hold 500 kg/m of fission products in 400 km of drifts (2000 acres), equal to 0.5 trillion tons of coal UC Berkeley Repository Licensing Involves Detailed Technical Review • The EPA has issued a draft one million year safety standard for Yucca Mountain – Maximum impact to an individual using ground water must be less than 15 mrem/year up to 10,000 years, less than 300 mrem/year up to 1 million years – Average natural background is 300 mrem/year • DOE has committed to completing a license application in 2008 – Independent review will be performed the Nuclear Regulatory Commission – A decision on a construction license would be reached by 2011 • With a construction license for Yucca Mountain, the U.S. will have an approved technology for nuclear waste disposal UC Berkeley Conclusions • Recent activity in nuclear energy has been substantial – Improved performance for existing plants – Waste repository site selected in United States » Future remains uncertain – 2005 Energy Bill provisions for new nuclear construction and R&D – New research to demonstrate high-efficiency electricity and hydrogen production UC Berkeley Fusion Energy UC Berkeley Thermonuclear fusion reaction rates vary strongly with temperature UC Berkeley Progress in D-T fusion UC Berkeley MFE magnet configurations:complex to simple Externally Controlled Stellarator 3-D coils Planar coils with nested sets Tokamak Low-field external coils RFP No toroidal or poloidal coils Spheromak FRC Self Organized No toroidal field UC Berkeley Inertial fusion uses the rocket effect to compress fusion fuel • “Direct” drive: lasers directly heat outside of capsule • “Indirect” drive: lasers or heavy ions (shown) heat inside of a hohlraum, indirectly heating capsule surface UC Berkeley NIF is designed as the first ICF driver to achieve ignition and substantial gain • The National Ignition Facility is a 1.8million joule laser under construction at LLNL NIF Target UC Berkeley