2.0 Labour Force Status

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SUNBURY OUT OF HUME CITY COUNCIL | Local Government Panel Report
‘Community of Interest’ & Restructuring Report | APPENDIX E – Attachment 2
Demographic Characteristics
The following analysis outlines the very wide range of differences between the socio-economic
profiles of Hume City Council and Sunbury.
1.0
Higher Education
Table 1 | Relative Education - Proportion of State Average
Sunbury
Hume
Melbourne
Postgraduate Degree
1.2%
1.3%
3.8%
Graduate Diploma and Graduate Certificate
1.3%
0.8%
1.9%
Bachelor Degree
7.2%
6.5%
13.4%
Advanced Diploma and Diploma
6.5%
5.5%
7.1%
18.0%
13.3%
12.1%
Certificate Level
Source: ABS Census 2011
Sunbury’s level of education is high for a fringe area, easily exceeding the level of education across
Hume City Council. Where Sunbury provides only 20% of the population of Hume City Council, it
provides over 35% of its Diploma and Certificate Graduates, 25% of its other Diploma recipients and
28% of its other Certificate recipients.
2.0
Labour Force Status
Between 2001 and 2011, Sunbury SLA consistently enjoyed a relatively high participation rate and a
relatively high proportion of people when compared to Melbourne and the State of Victoria.
Table 2 | Labour Force Comparison - 2001 to 2011 - Change to Sunbury, Hume, Melbourne
% OF POPULATION AGED 15+
2001
2006
2011
Sunb.
Melb.
Vic.
Sunb.
Melb.
Vic.
Sunb.
Melb.
Vic.
Employed, worked full-time
41.3%
38.0%
36.9%
41.6%
37.5%
36.7%
41.3%
37.7%
36.6%
Employed, worked part-time
18.6%
16.0%
16.1%
19.3%
17.1%
17.3%
19.9%
18.1%
18.3%
Employed, away from work
4.6%
3.7%
3.7%
4.0%
3.5%
3.6%
3.9%
3.4%
3.5%
Unemployed, looking for work
3.6%
4.1%
4.1%
3.1%
3.3%
3.3%
3.0%
3.4%
3.4%
Total labour force
68.1%
61.8%
60.9%
68.0%
61.4%
60.8%
68.1%
62.7%
61.8%
Not in the labour force
29.0%
33.9%
34.8%
27.8%
32.1%
33.0%
27.8%
32.0%
33.0%
Labour force status:
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SUNBURY OUT OF HUME CITY COUNCIL | Local Government Panel Report
‘Community of Interest’ & Restructuring Report | APPENDIX E – Attachment 2
% OF POPULATION AGED 15+
2001
2006
2011
Non-school qualifications:
Postgraduate Degree Level
0.7%
2.1%
1.8%
1.0%
3.3%
2.7%
1.5%
4.7%
3.9%
Graduate Diploma Level
1.5%
1.9%
1.8%
1.4%
2.0%
1.9%
1.7%
2.3%
2.2%
Bachelor Degree Level
6.6%
12.0%
10.7%
8.2%
14.3%
12.7%
9.3%
16.6%
14.8%
Diploma Level
6.3%
6.5%
6.1%
7.1%
7.6%
7.3%
8.4%
8.8%
8.4%
19.3%
13.9%
14.5%
21.1%
14.2%
15.3%
23.2%
14.9%
16.4%
Certificate Level
Source: ABS Census 2011
Since 2008, Sunbury had consistently represented 25% of the total labour force of Hume City Council,
compared to 21% of the population in 2011. This reflects the different demographics of the Sunbury
region, which features an above average percentage of households with both adults employed in at
least a part-time capacity. The 2011 Census indicates Sunbury SLA had a population of 35,162 while
Hume City Council had an overall population of 167,562.
3
Income
Table 3 | LGA Average Income as a percentage of Average State Income - Census Years 1996 to 2011
LGA
1996
2001
2006
2011
Banyule
113%
111%
103%
115%
Darebin
86%
90%
97%
97%
105%
102%
98%
100%
Moreland
88%
92%
97%
100%
Nillimbik
141%
137%
109%
154%
Whittlesea
104%
102%
97%
105%
Yarra
110%
117%
107%
138%
Sunbury
136%
114%
112%
136%
Hume
Source: ABS Census 1996, 2001, 2006 & 2011
Sunbury is a relatively wealthy area when compared to other Local Government areas, including
Hume City Council and the State Average.
The period between 1996 and 2011 indicates that Sunbury residents consistently earn above the
state average, with a strong period of growth since 2001. Across the last decade, the Sunbury LGA
has demonstrated similar growth of resident income averages to the Yarra LGA, suggesting that the
earning potential of residents within the Sunbury LGA is not restricted by distance from the
Melbourne CBD.
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4
Employment Rates
Table 4 | Unemployment rates - Hume SLAs - 2008 to 2014, Quarterly
18
16
14
Unemployment
12
10
8
6
4
2
Hume (C) - Broadmeadows
Hume (C) - Craigieburn
Hume (C) - Sunbury
0
Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Source: DEEWR Small Area Labour Market data – 2013
Over the period of 2008-2013, Sunbury displayed resilience to prevailing economic conditions and
outperformed the remainder of Hume City Council in terms of Unemployment.
Table 5 | Employment Status of Couples/Families - Hume and Sunbury – 2011
Employment Status of Couples/
Families
Both employed, worked full-time
Sunbury
%
Sunbury
South
%
Hume
%
Vic.
%
1,831
23.0
1,272
23.6
6,899
19.3
245,136
21.0
Both employed, worked part-time
218
3.0
141
2.6
945
2.6
44,125
4.0
One employed full-time, one parttime
2,142
27.0
1,410
26.2
6,699
18.8
262,686
23.0
One employed full-time, other not
working
1,373
17.0
907
16.8
6,739
18.9
191,291
16.0
332
4.0
222
4.1
2,283
6.4
64,087
6.0
1,119
14.0
794
14.8
7,736
21.7
222,472
19.0
569
7.0
356
6.6
2,369
6.6
71,967
6.0
One employed part-time, other not
working
Both not working
Other
Source: ABS Quick Stats, Sunbury SA2
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5
Employment Types
At the time of the most recent ABS census in 2011, 54% of employed persons living in Sunbury SLA
were employed in white collar jobs, 33% of employed person who were living in Sunbury SLA worked
in blue collar jobs.
Table 6 | Types of Employment, Sunbury SLA - 2001 to 2011
2001
2006
2011
Managers
10.3%
10.3%
10.2%
Professionals
15.1%
14.5%
15.3%
Technicians and trades workers(b)
16.8%
17.0%
17.2%
9.1%
10.0%
10.7%
Clerical and administrative workers
19.5%
19.0%
18.4%
Sales workers
11.2%
11.2%
10.4%
Machinery operators and drivers
8.6%
7.6%
7.5%
Labourers
7.5%
8.5%
8.0%
Inadequately described/Not stated
1.9%
1.9%
2.1%
Community and personal service workers
Source: ABS Census 2011
Table 7 | Industries of Employment - Sunbury SLA - 2001 to 2011
2001
2006
2011
Agriculture, forestry and fishing
0.8%
0.5%
0.4%
Mining
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
Manufacturing
14.9%
11.4%
9.4%
Electricity, gas, water and waste services
0.9%
0.7%
1.2%
Construction
7.5%
9.5%
11.2%
Wholesale trade
5.2%
4.6%
4.1%
Retail trade
12.3%
12.3%
11.6%
Accommodation and food services
5.4%
5.7%
5.6%
Transport, postal and warehousing
9.8%
11.3%
10.8%
Information media and telecommunications
2.1%
1.7%
1.4%
Financial and insurance services
4.1%
3.6%
3.7%
Rental, hiring and real estate services
1.6%
1.7%
1.7%
Professional, scientific and technical services
4.5%
4.5%
4.9%
Administrative and support services
3.1%
3.2%
3.1%
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SUNBURY OUT OF HUME CITY COUNCIL | Local Government Panel Report
‘Community of Interest’ & Restructuring Report | APPENDIX E – Attachment 2
2001
2006
2011
Public administration and safety
5.8%
7.7%
7.4%
Education and training
7.0%
7.0%
7.4%
Health care and social assistance
9.5%
9.3%
10.5%
Arts and recreation services
1.6%
1.2%
1.6%
Other services
4.1%
3.9%
3.8%
Source: ABS Census 2011
Over the last ten years, Sunbury has seen a significant shift away from employment in the
manufacturing industry, which has been offset primarily by increases in employment in the
construction industry.
6
Higher Education
Table 8 | Relative Education - Proportion of State Average
Sunbury
Hume
Melbourne
Postgraduate Degree
1.2%
1.3%
3.8%
Graduate Diploma and Graduate Certificate
1.3%
0.8%
1.9%
Bachelor Degree
7.2%
6.5%
13.4%
Advanced Diploma and Diploma
6.5%
5.5%
7.1%
18.0%
13.3%
12.1%
Certificate Level
Source: ABS Census 2011
Sunbury’s level of education is high for a fringe area, easily exceeding the level of education across
Hume City Council. Where Sunbury provides only 20% of the population of Hume, it provides over
35% of its Diploma and Certificate Graduates, 25% of its other Diploma recipients and 28% of its other
Certificate recipients.
7
Journey to Work
Table 9 | Journey to work: people living in Hume. Top 5 LGA destinations - 2011
Local Government Areas – 2011 Boundaries (POW)
Hume –
Hume –
Hume –
Broadmeadows
Craigieburn
Sunbury
Hume (C)
6,903
11,148
6,531
Melbourne (C)
2,639
4,002
2,497
Moreland (C)
1,393
1,683
332
Moonee Valley (C)
1,222
1,370
717
Brimbank (C)
1,097
1,122
1,322
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SUNBURY OUT OF HUME CITY COUNCIL | Local Government Panel Report
‘Community of Interest’ & Restructuring Report | APPENDIX E – Attachment 2
Local Government Areas – 2011 Boundaries (POW)
Total
Hume –
Hume –
Hume –
Broadmeadows
Craigieburn
Sunbury
20,011
30,292
17,400
Source: ABS Census 2011
Of people living in Sunbury, while over one third work in Hume City Council, this could include up to
2,500 people working at Melbourne Airport. The Sunbury journey to work profile is dispersed
reflecting the educational attainment and income generated by households.
Map 1 | Journey To Work, Place of Work of People Living in Sunbury-SA3 by SA2s – 2011
Source: ABS Census 2011
People employed in Sunbury come from a diverse set of areas, but each in no large number aside
from people who live and work in Sunbury. Just under two thirds of employment in Sunbury is located
in Sunbury – South SA2, which includes Diggers Rest, as well as small portions of Southern and
Western Sunbury. The proportion of people whom live in Sunbury but work in Sunbury – South is
extremely low for an area so proximate, especially when considering the distance between Sunbury
and other suburbs.
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SUNBURY OUT OF HUME CITY COUNCIL | Local Government Panel Report
‘Community of Interest’ & Restructuring Report | APPENDIX E – Attachment 2
8
Future of Employment
Table 10 | People employed by Industry - North West Melbourne SLA4 – 2012
Health Care and Social Assistance
17.29
Retail Trade
16.58
Manufacturing
16.19
Construction
15.52
Education and Training
13.38
Transport, Postal and Warehousing
12.47
Professional, Scientific, Technical Services
12.05
Accommodation and Food Services
10.83
Public Administration and Safety
9.09
Administrative and Support Services
7.32
6.62
Financial and Insurance Services
6.45
Other Services
Wholesale Trade
5.94
Information Media, Telecommunications
3.97
Arts and Recreation Services
3.02
1.93
Electricity, Gas, Water, Waste Services
1.89
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing
0.39
0.33
0
November 2012 Employment Level ('000s)
5
10
15
Mining
20
Source: Department of Employment; Employment Projections - 2013
The North West’s employment market is currently dominated by the health services and retail
sectors, with manufacturing and construction as additional core employment markets.
Manufacturing has declined in recent years, in part due to a strong increase in construction jobs as
development within the area intensifies.
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SUNBURY OUT OF HUME CITY COUNCIL | Local Government Panel Report
‘Community of Interest’ & Restructuring Report | APPENDIX E – Attachment 2
Table 11 : Employment projections by Industry - North West Melbourne SA4 - 2017
Health Care and Social Assistance
19.60
19.32
Retail Trade
19.17
Construction
Manufacturing
14.95
Education and Training
14.48
Professional, Scientific, Technical Services
13.37
Transport, Postal and Warehousing
12.86
Accommodation and Food Services
10.75
Public Administration and Safety
9.18
Administrative and Support Services
7.37
6.89
Other Services
6.85
Financial and Insurance Services
Wholesale Trade
6.33
Information Media, Telecommunications
4.26
Arts and Recreation Services
2.89
Electricity, Gas, Water, Waste Services
2.48
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services
1.85
0.43
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing
November 2017 Employment Level ('000)
Mining
0.30
0
5
10
15
20
25
Source: Department of Employment; Employment Projections - 2013
The main sectors of employment within the North West Melbourne SA4 are likely to remain stable,
with Health Care and Social Assistance, Retail and Manufacturing currently comprising more than half
of jobs within the region. Growth is expected in the construction industry to offset the slight decline
in manufacturing, perhaps reflecting the significant developments currently underway within the
town; e.g. Sunbury Business Park and the Rosenthal Estate. The growth in this industry profile is likely
to maintain relatively low unemployment rates in Sunbury.
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SUNBURY OUT OF HUME CITY COUNCIL | Local Government Panel Report
‘Community of Interest’ & Restructuring Report | APPENDIX E – Attachment 2
Table 12 | Projected employment change by Industry - North West Melbourne SLA - 2012 to 2017
Other Services
38.5
Arts and Recreation Services
21.8
Health Care and Social Assistance
177.8
Education and Training
64.5
Public Administration and Safety
43.2
Administrative and Support Services
26.1
Professional, Scientific, Technical Services
62.8
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services
11.1
Financial and Insurance Services
16.1
Information Media, Telecommunications
9.6
Transport, Postal and Warehousing
41.6
Accommodation and Food Services
66.8
Retail Trade
109.1
Wholesale Trade
15.5
Construction
100.2
Electricity, Gas, Water, Waste Services
Manufacturing
14.2
Mining
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing
-50.0
Employed Persons (‘000s)
3.3
11.5
-13.5
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
Source: Department of Employment; Employment Projections - 2013
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