SUNBURY OUT OF HUME CITY COUNCIL | Local Government Panel Report ‘Community of Interest’ & Restructuring Report | APPENDIX E – Attachment 2 Demographic Characteristics The following analysis outlines the very wide range of differences between the socio-economic profiles of Hume City Council and Sunbury. 1.0 Higher Education Table 1 | Relative Education - Proportion of State Average Sunbury Hume Melbourne Postgraduate Degree 1.2% 1.3% 3.8% Graduate Diploma and Graduate Certificate 1.3% 0.8% 1.9% Bachelor Degree 7.2% 6.5% 13.4% Advanced Diploma and Diploma 6.5% 5.5% 7.1% 18.0% 13.3% 12.1% Certificate Level Source: ABS Census 2011 Sunbury’s level of education is high for a fringe area, easily exceeding the level of education across Hume City Council. Where Sunbury provides only 20% of the population of Hume City Council, it provides over 35% of its Diploma and Certificate Graduates, 25% of its other Diploma recipients and 28% of its other Certificate recipients. 2.0 Labour Force Status Between 2001 and 2011, Sunbury SLA consistently enjoyed a relatively high participation rate and a relatively high proportion of people when compared to Melbourne and the State of Victoria. Table 2 | Labour Force Comparison - 2001 to 2011 - Change to Sunbury, Hume, Melbourne % OF POPULATION AGED 15+ 2001 2006 2011 Sunb. Melb. Vic. Sunb. Melb. Vic. Sunb. Melb. Vic. Employed, worked full-time 41.3% 38.0% 36.9% 41.6% 37.5% 36.7% 41.3% 37.7% 36.6% Employed, worked part-time 18.6% 16.0% 16.1% 19.3% 17.1% 17.3% 19.9% 18.1% 18.3% Employed, away from work 4.6% 3.7% 3.7% 4.0% 3.5% 3.6% 3.9% 3.4% 3.5% Unemployed, looking for work 3.6% 4.1% 4.1% 3.1% 3.3% 3.3% 3.0% 3.4% 3.4% Total labour force 68.1% 61.8% 60.9% 68.0% 61.4% 60.8% 68.1% 62.7% 61.8% Not in the labour force 29.0% 33.9% 34.8% 27.8% 32.1% 33.0% 27.8% 32.0% 33.0% Labour force status: 1|P a g e SUNBURY OUT OF HUME CITY COUNCIL | Local Government Panel Report ‘Community of Interest’ & Restructuring Report | APPENDIX E – Attachment 2 % OF POPULATION AGED 15+ 2001 2006 2011 Non-school qualifications: Postgraduate Degree Level 0.7% 2.1% 1.8% 1.0% 3.3% 2.7% 1.5% 4.7% 3.9% Graduate Diploma Level 1.5% 1.9% 1.8% 1.4% 2.0% 1.9% 1.7% 2.3% 2.2% Bachelor Degree Level 6.6% 12.0% 10.7% 8.2% 14.3% 12.7% 9.3% 16.6% 14.8% Diploma Level 6.3% 6.5% 6.1% 7.1% 7.6% 7.3% 8.4% 8.8% 8.4% 19.3% 13.9% 14.5% 21.1% 14.2% 15.3% 23.2% 14.9% 16.4% Certificate Level Source: ABS Census 2011 Since 2008, Sunbury had consistently represented 25% of the total labour force of Hume City Council, compared to 21% of the population in 2011. This reflects the different demographics of the Sunbury region, which features an above average percentage of households with both adults employed in at least a part-time capacity. The 2011 Census indicates Sunbury SLA had a population of 35,162 while Hume City Council had an overall population of 167,562. 3 Income Table 3 | LGA Average Income as a percentage of Average State Income - Census Years 1996 to 2011 LGA 1996 2001 2006 2011 Banyule 113% 111% 103% 115% Darebin 86% 90% 97% 97% 105% 102% 98% 100% Moreland 88% 92% 97% 100% Nillimbik 141% 137% 109% 154% Whittlesea 104% 102% 97% 105% Yarra 110% 117% 107% 138% Sunbury 136% 114% 112% 136% Hume Source: ABS Census 1996, 2001, 2006 & 2011 Sunbury is a relatively wealthy area when compared to other Local Government areas, including Hume City Council and the State Average. The period between 1996 and 2011 indicates that Sunbury residents consistently earn above the state average, with a strong period of growth since 2001. Across the last decade, the Sunbury LGA has demonstrated similar growth of resident income averages to the Yarra LGA, suggesting that the earning potential of residents within the Sunbury LGA is not restricted by distance from the Melbourne CBD. 2|P a g e SUNBURY OUT OF HUME CITY COUNCIL | Local Government Panel Report ‘Community of Interest’ & Restructuring Report | APPENDIX E – Attachment 2 4 Employment Rates Table 4 | Unemployment rates - Hume SLAs - 2008 to 2014, Quarterly 18 16 14 Unemployment 12 10 8 6 4 2 Hume (C) - Broadmeadows Hume (C) - Craigieburn Hume (C) - Sunbury 0 Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: DEEWR Small Area Labour Market data – 2013 Over the period of 2008-2013, Sunbury displayed resilience to prevailing economic conditions and outperformed the remainder of Hume City Council in terms of Unemployment. Table 5 | Employment Status of Couples/Families - Hume and Sunbury – 2011 Employment Status of Couples/ Families Both employed, worked full-time Sunbury % Sunbury South % Hume % Vic. % 1,831 23.0 1,272 23.6 6,899 19.3 245,136 21.0 Both employed, worked part-time 218 3.0 141 2.6 945 2.6 44,125 4.0 One employed full-time, one parttime 2,142 27.0 1,410 26.2 6,699 18.8 262,686 23.0 One employed full-time, other not working 1,373 17.0 907 16.8 6,739 18.9 191,291 16.0 332 4.0 222 4.1 2,283 6.4 64,087 6.0 1,119 14.0 794 14.8 7,736 21.7 222,472 19.0 569 7.0 356 6.6 2,369 6.6 71,967 6.0 One employed part-time, other not working Both not working Other Source: ABS Quick Stats, Sunbury SA2 3|P a g e SUNBURY OUT OF HUME CITY COUNCIL | Local Government Panel Report ‘Community of Interest’ & Restructuring Report | APPENDIX E – Attachment 2 5 Employment Types At the time of the most recent ABS census in 2011, 54% of employed persons living in Sunbury SLA were employed in white collar jobs, 33% of employed person who were living in Sunbury SLA worked in blue collar jobs. Table 6 | Types of Employment, Sunbury SLA - 2001 to 2011 2001 2006 2011 Managers 10.3% 10.3% 10.2% Professionals 15.1% 14.5% 15.3% Technicians and trades workers(b) 16.8% 17.0% 17.2% 9.1% 10.0% 10.7% Clerical and administrative workers 19.5% 19.0% 18.4% Sales workers 11.2% 11.2% 10.4% Machinery operators and drivers 8.6% 7.6% 7.5% Labourers 7.5% 8.5% 8.0% Inadequately described/Not stated 1.9% 1.9% 2.1% Community and personal service workers Source: ABS Census 2011 Table 7 | Industries of Employment - Sunbury SLA - 2001 to 2011 2001 2006 2011 Agriculture, forestry and fishing 0.8% 0.5% 0.4% Mining 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% Manufacturing 14.9% 11.4% 9.4% Electricity, gas, water and waste services 0.9% 0.7% 1.2% Construction 7.5% 9.5% 11.2% Wholesale trade 5.2% 4.6% 4.1% Retail trade 12.3% 12.3% 11.6% Accommodation and food services 5.4% 5.7% 5.6% Transport, postal and warehousing 9.8% 11.3% 10.8% Information media and telecommunications 2.1% 1.7% 1.4% Financial and insurance services 4.1% 3.6% 3.7% Rental, hiring and real estate services 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% Professional, scientific and technical services 4.5% 4.5% 4.9% Administrative and support services 3.1% 3.2% 3.1% 4|P a g e SUNBURY OUT OF HUME CITY COUNCIL | Local Government Panel Report ‘Community of Interest’ & Restructuring Report | APPENDIX E – Attachment 2 2001 2006 2011 Public administration and safety 5.8% 7.7% 7.4% Education and training 7.0% 7.0% 7.4% Health care and social assistance 9.5% 9.3% 10.5% Arts and recreation services 1.6% 1.2% 1.6% Other services 4.1% 3.9% 3.8% Source: ABS Census 2011 Over the last ten years, Sunbury has seen a significant shift away from employment in the manufacturing industry, which has been offset primarily by increases in employment in the construction industry. 6 Higher Education Table 8 | Relative Education - Proportion of State Average Sunbury Hume Melbourne Postgraduate Degree 1.2% 1.3% 3.8% Graduate Diploma and Graduate Certificate 1.3% 0.8% 1.9% Bachelor Degree 7.2% 6.5% 13.4% Advanced Diploma and Diploma 6.5% 5.5% 7.1% 18.0% 13.3% 12.1% Certificate Level Source: ABS Census 2011 Sunbury’s level of education is high for a fringe area, easily exceeding the level of education across Hume City Council. Where Sunbury provides only 20% of the population of Hume, it provides over 35% of its Diploma and Certificate Graduates, 25% of its other Diploma recipients and 28% of its other Certificate recipients. 7 Journey to Work Table 9 | Journey to work: people living in Hume. Top 5 LGA destinations - 2011 Local Government Areas – 2011 Boundaries (POW) Hume – Hume – Hume – Broadmeadows Craigieburn Sunbury Hume (C) 6,903 11,148 6,531 Melbourne (C) 2,639 4,002 2,497 Moreland (C) 1,393 1,683 332 Moonee Valley (C) 1,222 1,370 717 Brimbank (C) 1,097 1,122 1,322 5|P a g e SUNBURY OUT OF HUME CITY COUNCIL | Local Government Panel Report ‘Community of Interest’ & Restructuring Report | APPENDIX E – Attachment 2 Local Government Areas – 2011 Boundaries (POW) Total Hume – Hume – Hume – Broadmeadows Craigieburn Sunbury 20,011 30,292 17,400 Source: ABS Census 2011 Of people living in Sunbury, while over one third work in Hume City Council, this could include up to 2,500 people working at Melbourne Airport. The Sunbury journey to work profile is dispersed reflecting the educational attainment and income generated by households. Map 1 | Journey To Work, Place of Work of People Living in Sunbury-SA3 by SA2s – 2011 Source: ABS Census 2011 People employed in Sunbury come from a diverse set of areas, but each in no large number aside from people who live and work in Sunbury. Just under two thirds of employment in Sunbury is located in Sunbury – South SA2, which includes Diggers Rest, as well as small portions of Southern and Western Sunbury. The proportion of people whom live in Sunbury but work in Sunbury – South is extremely low for an area so proximate, especially when considering the distance between Sunbury and other suburbs. 6|P a g e SUNBURY OUT OF HUME CITY COUNCIL | Local Government Panel Report ‘Community of Interest’ & Restructuring Report | APPENDIX E – Attachment 2 8 Future of Employment Table 10 | People employed by Industry - North West Melbourne SLA4 – 2012 Health Care and Social Assistance 17.29 Retail Trade 16.58 Manufacturing 16.19 Construction 15.52 Education and Training 13.38 Transport, Postal and Warehousing 12.47 Professional, Scientific, Technical Services 12.05 Accommodation and Food Services 10.83 Public Administration and Safety 9.09 Administrative and Support Services 7.32 6.62 Financial and Insurance Services 6.45 Other Services Wholesale Trade 5.94 Information Media, Telecommunications 3.97 Arts and Recreation Services 3.02 1.93 Electricity, Gas, Water, Waste Services 1.89 Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing 0.39 0.33 0 November 2012 Employment Level ('000s) 5 10 15 Mining 20 Source: Department of Employment; Employment Projections - 2013 The North West’s employment market is currently dominated by the health services and retail sectors, with manufacturing and construction as additional core employment markets. Manufacturing has declined in recent years, in part due to a strong increase in construction jobs as development within the area intensifies. 7|P a g e SUNBURY OUT OF HUME CITY COUNCIL | Local Government Panel Report ‘Community of Interest’ & Restructuring Report | APPENDIX E – Attachment 2 Table 11 : Employment projections by Industry - North West Melbourne SA4 - 2017 Health Care and Social Assistance 19.60 19.32 Retail Trade 19.17 Construction Manufacturing 14.95 Education and Training 14.48 Professional, Scientific, Technical Services 13.37 Transport, Postal and Warehousing 12.86 Accommodation and Food Services 10.75 Public Administration and Safety 9.18 Administrative and Support Services 7.37 6.89 Other Services 6.85 Financial and Insurance Services Wholesale Trade 6.33 Information Media, Telecommunications 4.26 Arts and Recreation Services 2.89 Electricity, Gas, Water, Waste Services 2.48 Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services 1.85 0.43 Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing November 2017 Employment Level ('000) Mining 0.30 0 5 10 15 20 25 Source: Department of Employment; Employment Projections - 2013 The main sectors of employment within the North West Melbourne SA4 are likely to remain stable, with Health Care and Social Assistance, Retail and Manufacturing currently comprising more than half of jobs within the region. Growth is expected in the construction industry to offset the slight decline in manufacturing, perhaps reflecting the significant developments currently underway within the town; e.g. Sunbury Business Park and the Rosenthal Estate. The growth in this industry profile is likely to maintain relatively low unemployment rates in Sunbury. 8|P a g e SUNBURY OUT OF HUME CITY COUNCIL | Local Government Panel Report ‘Community of Interest’ & Restructuring Report | APPENDIX E – Attachment 2 Table 12 | Projected employment change by Industry - North West Melbourne SLA - 2012 to 2017 Other Services 38.5 Arts and Recreation Services 21.8 Health Care and Social Assistance 177.8 Education and Training 64.5 Public Administration and Safety 43.2 Administrative and Support Services 26.1 Professional, Scientific, Technical Services 62.8 Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services 11.1 Financial and Insurance Services 16.1 Information Media, Telecommunications 9.6 Transport, Postal and Warehousing 41.6 Accommodation and Food Services 66.8 Retail Trade 109.1 Wholesale Trade 15.5 Construction 100.2 Electricity, Gas, Water, Waste Services Manufacturing 14.2 Mining Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing -50.0 Employed Persons (‘000s) 3.3 11.5 -13.5 0.0 50.0 100.0 150.0 200.0 Source: Department of Employment; Employment Projections - 2013 9|P a g e