Workshop: Development and Use of Outcome-based Measures in Government Planning & Reporting September 28th, 2006 Winnipeg, Manitoba Presented by: Manitoba Treasury Board Secretariat , Office of the Provincial Comptroller of Manitoba, and The International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD) 1 Agenda I. The Context in Manitoba [10-10:30am] • • II. Opening Statements and introductions Overview of government-wide departmental planning and reporting Trends in Planning, Reporting and Performance measures [10:30-11:15] • • III. What are outcome-based measures and why are they important? Innovative case examples Sharing of Examples From the Department of Advanced Education and Literacy [11:15-noon] • IV. Plenary discussions based on Pre-work assignment Analytic Tools for the Development and Use Outcome-based Measures [noon-2:15pm] • • Key steps in development, use and analysis of outcome-based measures Group work on key steps Closing Remarks [2:15-2:30pm] 2 Objectives of Workshop • Intro to developing performance measures linked to organizational goals • Overview of current practice elsewhere • Understanding/discussion of issues related to government performance measurement reporting • Context for new Annual Report requirements (looking back) and new PSO requirements (looking ahead) 3 Part I. The Big Picture • • Performance Measurement in Manitoba Role of performance measures in annual reporting 4 I. The Big Picture Trends and context Trend toward reporting on changes in socio-economic and environmental conditions that matter to Manitobans 5 I. The Big Picture 2005 Discussion Document examples: Economy 6 I. The Big Picture 2005 Discussion Document examples: People 7 I. The Big Picture 2005 Discussion Document examples: Community 8 I. The Big Picture 2005 Discussion Document examples: Environment 9 I. The Big Picture The Planning and Reporting context • Performance Measurement is not done in isolation • Identified as part of Priorities & Strategies Overview (PSO) • reported upon in Annual reports • Performance Measures show whether our plans are working 10 I. The Big Picture Full cycle view Spring Yr1 Fall Yr1 Spring Yr2 Spring Yr3 Fall Yr3 PSO New (plan) for initiatives following for Estimates fiscal following for fiscal following Budget fiscal announced Estimates supplement Execution of plans during fiscal year Annual Report 11 I. The Big Picture Full cycle view Spring Yr1 Fall Yr1 Spring Yr2 Spring Yr3 Fall Yr3 PSO New (plan) for initiatives following for Estimates fiscal following for fiscal following Budget fiscal announced Estimates supplement Execution of plans during fiscal year Annual Report 12 I. The Big Picture Multiple cycles in play Fall 04 Spring 05 Fall 05 Budget Estimates supplement PSO (plan) New initiatives Budget Estimates supplement PSO (plan) Fall 06 Annual Report New initiatives Estimates 07/08 Spring 06 Annual Report Estimates 06/07 05/06 04/05 Spring 04 Budget Estimates supplement PSO (plan) New initiatives Estimates 13 I. The Big Picture Issues/Opportunities re Annual Reports • Previous guidelines did not request measures of progress or performance • No specific requirement to link annual reports to larger process (Estimates Supplement or plans) • No specific requirement for Department annual reports to be placed online • New direction set in 2005 through Reporting to Manitobans on Performance 14 I. The Big Picture Trends and issues in government annual reporting • • • • Accountability Who uses annual reports? (internet) Public expectations (of results, of reporting) Limited resources, demographic trends (retirements)… • …governments need to do “more with less” • Trend to shared, horizontal efforts • Important to agree on how to assess, report and use results 15 Recap: Full cycle view Spring Yr1 Fall Yr1 Spring Yr2 Spring Yr3 Fall Yr3 PSO New Annual Reports, (plan) for initiatives including measures, are following for connected back to Estimates fiscal following plans… for fiscal following Budget fiscal announced Estimates supplement Execution of plans during fiscal year Annual Report 16 I. The Big Picture Part II. Trends in Government Planning and Reporting A. What are outcome measures and why are they important Concepts and vocabulary B. Who is doing this really well? Oregon: Results-oriented Strategic Planning C. What are Alberta and Saskatchewan doing? Alberta: Goal-based Budgeting Sask. Government Accountability Framework 17 II. Trends in Reporting A. What are outcome measures and why are they important? Our Environment de•vel•op (di•vel′əp) v.t. 1. To expand or bring out the potentialities, capabilities, etc. Our People Our Economy 18 II. Trends in Reporting A. What are outcome measures and why are they important? Our Environment Experience has shown that a pathway to sustainability cannot be charted in advance. Rather, pathway beout the de•vel•op (di•vel′əp) v.t.the 1. To expand must or bring navigated throughetc. processes of learning potentialities, capabilities, and adaptation. Our People National Academy of Science 1999. Our Common Journey: A Transition Toward Sustainability. Our Economy 19 II. Trends in Reporting IISD International and National-Level Perspective • Nations starting to develop information systems to gauge societal wellbeing and sustainability The United Kingdom Norway 20 II. Trends in Reporting Vision Evaluation and Improvement SD Principles Priorities and Objectives Inter-generational consideration Monitoring Systems thinking Plans Multi-stakeholder participation Adaptive management Implementation Sustainable Development Departmental, Principles Government Accountability Systems Vision Thematic Budgets AccountabilityEvaluation and Principles Improvement Priorities and Objectives Accountability Principles National SD Strategy Process Monitoring Transparency Plans Efficiency Accountability Departmental, Thematic Implementation 21 Budgets • Provinces and states using societal goal and outcome-based planning and budgeting systems Oregon Alberta IISD Provincial and State Level Perspective 22 II. Trends in Reporting • Communities creating new forms of social infrastructure to navigate quality of life and sustainability Orlando – Healthy Community Indicators Initiative of Greater Orlando Winnipeg – Quality of Life Indicators System concept being proposed by range of community stakeholders IISD Community-level Perspective 23 II. Trends in Reporting Logic Model Contributing to society’s Key Priority Areas wellbeing and sustainability objectives High-level Outcomes Outcome Objectives Intermediate Outcome 24 Change in wellbeing conditions (economic, social and environmental) Short to medium-term consequence of an output Output The result of an activity Actions Activity Processes and Inputs of a policy, program, or project Hybrid from three different logic models (Canadian International Development Agency, Province of Alberta, State of Oregon) Example Measures Environmental Social Healthy, sustainable surroundings Quality Jobs High-level Objectives Change in wellbeing conditions (economic, social and environmental) Stream water quality (turbidity) Children entering school ready to learn Intermediate Outcome Short to mediumterm consequence of an output Rate of soil erosion by water Key Priority Areas Output Actions 25 The result of an activity Processes and Inputs of a policy, program or project % children enrolled in Pre-K program Kilometers of river bank with vegetation Demographic surveys for Headstart program completed % of revegetation programs completed Head-start program implemented Climbing the Steps toward Performance Management Performance Measures Objectives Mission/Goals Mission statements declare the agency’s long-range intent; its purpose. Although the goals expressed in a mission statement may help shape the agency’s values and its organizational culture, they often are imprecise and sometimes even a bit vague. Objectives are unambiguous statements of the agency’s performance intentions, expressed in measurable terms, usually with an implied or explicit timeframe. Performance measures indicate how much or how well the agency is doing. Ideally, they track the agency’s progress toward achieving its objectives. Analysis for Continuous Improvement Many agencies compare this month’s or this year’s performance measures to those of the past. Some are beginning to make comparisons with other agencies and to begin the process of benchmarking. (From Gov. of Alberta 1996) 26 II. Trends in Reporting Who does this really well? The Oregon Shines Case Study 27 Oregon Shines Case Study Oregon Shines Oregon's Strategic Plan - Oregon Shines (1989) - Updated every eight years - Encompasses the entire state Oregon Progress Board - independent agency created to be the steward of Oregon Shines - law mandates Board to report biennially - chaired by governor 28 From Conrad (2005) Oregon Shines Case Study Vision – “Oregon Shines II” Economy: Quality jobs for all Oregonians People: Safe, caring and engaged communities Environment: Healthy, sustainable surroundings 29 From Conrad (2005) Oregon Shines Case Study Oregon Benchmarks Measures for how Oregon as a whole is doing. • Quality Jobs for All Oregonians – Economy (#1-17) – Education (#18-29) Key Priority Areas High-level Objectives • Engaged, Safe & Caring Communities – Civic Engagement (#29-38) – Social Support (#39-60) – Public Safety (#60-67) • Healthy, Sustainable Surroundings – Community Development (#68-74) – Environment (#75-90) 30 From Conrad (2005) Oregon Shines Case Study Linking Government to the Benchmarks 31 Is society benefiting? High Level Outcomes (Benchmarks) Are strategies working? Intermediate Outcomes Is work happening? Outputs From Conrad (2005) Oregon Shines Case Study http://www.oregon.gov/DAS/OPB/ 32 Oregon Shines Case Study 33 Oregon Shines Case Study 34 Oregon Shines Case Study 35 Oregon Shines Case Study Oregon Shines Goals & Benchmarks Goal #1: Quality Jobs for All Oregonians Key Priority Areas High-level Objectives Change in wellbeing conditions (economic, social and environmental) Intermediate Outcome Short to mediumterm consequence of an output Output Actions 36 The result of an activity Processes and Inputs of a policy, program or project Benchmark #29 Dept of Community Colleges and Workforce Development Dept Goal #2: Oregon’s workforce is well trained and has access to a wide variety of training programs Percent of participants ranking WIA funded current workforce ratings good or better shared best practices, encouraged quality services and conducted quality assurance review Workforce skill development project Linking Government to the Benchmarks Oregon’s Progress Benchmarks External Influences Organization’s Progress 37 From Conrad (2005) Performance Measures Oregon Shines Case Study Towards Goal-based Budgeting in Alberta http://www.finance.gov.ab.ca/publications/measuring/measup06/index.html 38 Alberta Case Study Key Priority Areas for Alberta 39 40 Alberta Case Study 41 Alberta Measures Up Goal #2: Albertans will be prepared for Lifelong Learning and Work Key Priority Areas High-level Objectives Change in wellbeing conditions (economic, social and environmental) Intermediate Outcome Short to mediumterm consequence of an output Output Actions 42 The result of an activity Processes and Inputs of a policy, program or project Employment Rates of Albertans Age 24-35 by Highest Level of Education Department of Advanced Education Dept Goal #1: High Quality Learning Opportunities for All The learning system meets the needs of all learners, society, and the economy. $3 billion Access to Future endowment; a $1 billion expansion to Alberta Heritage Scholarship Fund, $500 million expansion to Ingenuity Fund Introduced Bill 1, the Access to the Future Act, Part III. Sharing Examples • Sharing of Departmental examples in the use of outcomebased measures 43 III. Department Examples Manitoba Examples: Pre-Work Discussion • Review your pre-workshop assignment • Brief presentations [5 minutes + 5 min questions] • General discussion of issues 44 III. Department Examples Part IV: Development and Use of Outcome-based Measures A. Overview of key steps in the development and use of outcome-based measures B. Working through an example • 45 Groups of at least two (per department if possible) IV. Outcome-based Measures Logic Model Contributing to society’s Key Priority Areas wellbeing and sustainability objectives High-level Objectives Outcome Intermediate Outcome 46 Change in wellbeing conditions (economic, social and environmental) Short to medium-term consequence of an output Output The result of an activity Actions Activity Processes and Inputs of a policy, program, or project Hybrid from three different logic models (Canadian International Development Agency, Province of Alberta, State of Oregon) Key Steps 1. Frame the logic model for your issue 2. Identify SMART measures for the logic model 3. Understand and articulate key external influences 4. Analyze feedback based on the SMART measures and external influences 47 IV. Outcome-based Measures 3. External Influences 1. Logic Model 2. Measures and Targets 4. Analysis & Feedback Key Priority Areas Influences: High-level Objective: Measure: Analysis: Measure: Analysis: Measure: Analysis: _______________ Influences: Intermediate Outcome: _________________ Influences: Output: ________________ Actions Measure: ________________ 48 IV. Outcome-based Measures 1. Logic Model Key Priority Area Safe drinking water, enjoyable recreation High-level Objective: Improved stream Water quality Intermediate Outcome: Reduced soil erosion Output: River bank re-vegetation Actions: River bank re-vegetation program 49 Hybrid from three different logic models (Canadian International Development Agency, Province of Alberta, State of Oregon) 2. Identify SMART Measures • • • • • Specific Measurable Aggressive, yet achievable targets Relevant Time-bound 50 IV. Outcome-based Measures Anatomy of a measure Indicator Target Data Oregon Population Survey, a random sample telephone survey of Oregon households conducted in evennumbered years. Margin of Error +/- 1.60%. 51 Source IV. Outcome-based Measures 1. Logic Model Key Priority Area 2. Measures and Targets Safe drinking water, enjoyable recreation High-level Objective: Improved stream Water quality Intermediate Outcome: Reduced soil erosion Output: River bank re-vegetation Actions: River bank re-vegetation program 52 River water quality (turbidity, nitrogen concentration) Rate of soil and rill erosion on farmland Kilometers of river bank with vegetation % of re-vegetation Programs complete IV. Outcome-based Measures Types of Targets Type Example Policyspecific targets Determined in a political and/or technical process taking past performance and desirable outcomes into account. Standards Nationally and/or internationally accepted properties for procedures or environmental qualities. Example: official development assistance shall be 0.4 percent of national GNP. Example: water quality standards for a variety of uses. Thresholds The value of a key variable that will elicit a fundamental and irreversible change in the behaviour of the system. Example: maximum sustainable yield of a fishery. Benchmark Comparison with a documented best-case performance related to the same variable within another entity or jurisdiction. Example: highest percentage of households connected to sewage system in a comparable jurisdiction. Principle A broadly defined and often formally accepted rule. Example: the policy should contribute to the increase of environmental literacy. 53 STEP 3: External Influences • Your policies, programs and projects are not the only influence on the desired outcomes and outputs • Direct influences • Other department activities, businesses, NGOs, civil society • Other jurisdictions (provinces, countries) • Nature (e.g., weather) • Indirect influences • Broader societal driving forces (e.g., demographics, markets, consumption patterns) 54 IV. Outcome-based Measures 3. External Influences 1. Logic Model 2. Measures and Targets Key Priority Area Safe drinking water, enjoyable recreation • Quality of water flowing into MB • Treatment plant effectiveness High-level Objective: Zero till practices, weather, crop type Intermediate Outcome: Improved stream Water quality Reduced soil erosion • Independent actions farmers • Natural growth Output: River bank re-vegetation Actions: River bank re-vegetation program 55 River water quality (turbidity, nitrogen concentration) Rate of soil and rill Erosion on farmland Kilometers of river bank with vegetation % of re-vegetation Programs complete IV. Outcome-based Measures 4. Analysis and Feedback • What do the measures tell you about your activities? – Output level analysis – Intermediate outcome level analysis – High-level outcome analysis • How does your understanding of external influences help your analysis? 56 IV. Outcome-based Measures 3. External Influences 1. Logic Model 2. Measures and Targets 4. Analysis & Feedback River water quality (turbidity, nitrogen concentration) Analysis: Water quality Key Priority Area Safe drinking water, enjoyable recreation • Quality of water flowing into MB • Treatment plant effectiveness High-level Objectives: Zero till practices, weather, crop type Intermediate Outcome: Improved stream Water quality Reduced soil erosion • Independent actions of farmers • Natural growth/disease Output: River bank re-vegetation Actions: River bank re-vegetation program Rate of soil and rill Erosion on farmland Kilometers of river bank with vegetation % of re-vegetation Programs complete 95% 57 improving. Quality of water flowing into province has improved significantly. Analysis: Could be due to less bank vegetation, change in crop or extreme series of extreme rainfall events Analysis: Cropland expansion could be reason or natural disease. Need to research further Feedback: Water quality improving but not due to program. Other factors counteracted program such as expanded cropland and reduced zero tillage Exercise 1: Development of an Outcome-based Measure • Form your work group [during lunch] – Find your working partner (your departmental colleague if possible) • Select measure to focus on [during lunch] – With your partner select a measure from your department to focus on for the exercise (from your workshop preassignment, or something else of mutual interest and value for your reporting cycle) • Working with your Colleague [1:00-1:45pm] – Use the attached template as a guideline to carry out the 4 analysis steps for developing and/or using outcome-based measures • Summarize your analysis on an overhead sheet • Plenary [1:45-2:15 pm] – Two groups will be asked to share their results, each followed by a plenary discussion 58 3. External Influences 1. Logic Model 2. Measures and Targets 4. Analysis & Feedback Key Priority area Influences: High-level Objective: Measure: Analysis: Measure: Analysis: Measure: Analysis: _______________ Influences: Intermediate Outcome: _________________ Influences: Output: ________________ Action: ________________ 59 Measure: Expectations for this past round of Department Annual Reports (2005-06) New: Section featuring department performance reporting New: Central review of the new section New: Annual Reports to be consistently available online 60 What was required for the new section of the Report? • Five progress or performance measures • The few critical indicators that illustrate progress against desired outcomes • Ideally, those that support key Department priorities • Could be drawn from previous PSOs, Reporting to Manitobans on Performance document, or other sources 61 Overview of Key Questions That Needed to Be Addressed What is Being Measured and How? (A) 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 62 Why is it Important to Measure? (B) Comments/ What is the most What is the Recent Recent Available Trend over Value for this time for this Actions/Rep Indicator? (C) Indicator? (D) ort Links (E) Illustrative Example What is being Measured and How? Access to health services by measuring the percentage of Manitobans reporting “no difficulty” in accessing health services. Why is it Important to Measure this? One key determinant of population health is its access to quality health services. This measure assesses access only. What is the Most Recent Available Value for this Indicator? What is the Trend over time for this Indicator? For 2003 (most recent survey data), % of Manitobans who reported “no difficulty” accessing: Health information or advice: 82% Immediate care: 75% Routine care: 81% Improving Wait times for key procedures have reduced significantly over the last five years. See page X of the report for details. The source of these data is the Statistics Canada Health Access Survey. There is no directly comparable study prior to 2003. The study will be repeated in 20xx. Comments / recent actions / report links See page X of the report for a discussion of recent actions addressing access to health services. NOTE: All information above is adapted from Reporting to Manitobans on Performance 2005 Discussion Document, and is meant for illustrative purposes only. 63 Closing Statements and Next Steps • Workshop evaluation process • First thoughts from the group on further capacity building? 64 References Government of Alberta 2005-06 Annual Report – Measuring Up. [http://www.finance.gov.ab.ca/publications/measuring/measup06/index.html] Manitoba Provincial Sustainability Report. Government of Manitoba [http://www.gov.mb.ca/conservation/sustainabilityreport/] Oregon Progress Board: www.oregon.gov/DAS/OPB Rita Conrad 2005. Results Oriented Strategic Planning: A Framework for Developing Effective Performance Measurement. Presentation to the Botswana Delegation, Salem, Oregon, September 29, 2005. Rita Conrad 2005. Oregon’s Experience with Performance Reporting. AGA’s First National Performance Management Conference. Oregon Progress Board, November 14 2005. Reporting to Manitoba on Performance: 2005 Discussion Report. [http://www.gov.mb.ca/finance/mbperformance/index.html] 65