Fiber Access Networks and The GPON Standard David Cleary VP, Advanced Technology Calix david.cleary@calix.com Calix Confidential & Proprietary 1 Meeting Overview Agenda The Need for Fiber Access The Choices of Access Networks The GPON Standard The Market Opportunities for GPON Calix Confidential & Proprietary 2 Meeting Overview Agenda The Need for Fiber Access The Choices of Access Networks The GPON Standard The Market Opportunities for GPON Calix Confidential & Proprietary 3 The Need for Fiber Access It’s all about Bandwidth!!! Video will drive Bandwidth for the foreseeable future Bandwidth usage doubles every 18 to 24 months MPEG4 offers some relief (18 to 24 months?) How Much Bandwidth is enough? Probably more than you think. Calix Confidential & Proprietary 4 The Need for Fiber Access What is special about Fiber Access? Fiber is fundamentally different from copper We are at the limit for bandwidth over copper Double the bandwidth and halve the reach We are decades away from any limitations on fiber We are at 2.4 Gbps today Fiber can support over 100 Terabits per second without reducing the reach Eventually, every operator will deploy fiber... It’s just a matter of time Calix Confidential & Proprietary 5 Meeting Overview Agenda The Need for Fiber Access The Choices of Access Networks The GPON Standard The Market Opportunities for GPON Calix Confidential & Proprietary 6 The Choices for Fiber Access There are 2 choices for Fiber Access: Point to Point Point to Multi-point Point to Point is sometimes called Active Ethernet Point to Multi-point is called PON (passive optical network) Active Ethernet Switch PON OLT Passive Splitters ONT ONT ONT #1#1#1 ONT #1 ... ONT#192 ONT #1 ONT ONT #1#1 ONU #1 ... ONU#192 Calix Confidential & Proprietary 7 The Choices for Fiber Access PON is analogous to wireless telephony (cellular) Active Ethernet is analogous to wireline telephony Active Ethernet Switch PON OLT Passive Splitters ONT ONT ONT #1#1#1 ONT #1 ... ONT#192 ONT #1 ONT ONT #1#1 ONU #1 ... ONU#192 Both CapEx and OpEx cost savings favor PON Calix Confidential & Proprietary 8 Meeting Overview Agenda The Need for Fiber Access The Choices of Access Networks The GPON Standard The Market Opportunities for GPON Calix Confidential & Proprietary 9 The Challenge Edge/Core Network Equipment Low Volume Small Customer pool High customer influence Calix Confidential & Proprietary 10 The Challenge Edge/Core Network Consumer Equipment Equipment Low Volume Small Customer pool High customer influence Calix Confidential & Proprietary High Volume Enormous Customer pool Low customer influence 11 The Challenge Edge/Core Network Access Network Consumer Equipment Equipment Equipment High Volume Small Customer pool High Customers influence is desired Calix Confidential & Proprietary 12 Developing the Standard The first step to writing a standard is to choose the Standards Body The 2 primary players for networking standards are: IEEE (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers) ITU (International Telecommunications Union) Calix Confidential & Proprietary 13 The IEEE IEEE well known Protocols 802.3 Ethernet 802.11 WiFi 802.16 WiMAX IEEE Membership is diverse System vendors, chip vendors, optics vendors, industry cunsultants and academia IEEE Voting Each member gets one vote No limit to the number of votes from a given company “Personality” of IEEE standards reflect interests of Vendors Often leads to low-cost solution Often only hits 80% of market Often doesn’t produce migration strategy IEEE standards don’t necessarily reflect Operator Preferences Calix Confidential & Proprietary 14 The ITU ITU well known Protocols SDH V 5.2 ISDN VoIP protocols H.248 and H.323 ITU Membership Membership controlled by ITU Member-Countries Membership open to Operators, Institutions, and Vendors ITU Voting Voting is through consent Each company get one vote Companies can object (but can’t stall process) “Personality” of ITU standards reflect interests of Operators Addresses the operator requirements Addresses the operator constraints Addresses the service provider’s operational models Not focused solely on low cost Duration of Standardization Process relatively short Calix Confidential & Proprietary 15 The ITU and FSAN In the late 1990’s a “Clandestine” group of operators was formed: Objective: “Global Domination of the Fiber Access Market” The group called itself FSAN Calix Confidential & Proprietary 16 The FSAN Committee FSAN stands for Full Service Access Network Loosely affiliated with the ITU Develops all PON standards prior to submission to the ITU FSAN membership consists of both operators and vendors But operators make all final decisions Membership of vendors is tightly controlled by FSAN Operators Calix Confidential & Proprietary 17 The FSAN Operators Eirecom Telia BT KPN Kuwait MOC KT Telus NTT Bell Canada Bezeq DTAG Chunghwa FT SwissCom TI Sprint SingTel Telstra AT&T Telefonica Verizon Qwest Malta BellSouth FSAN Operators represent a world-wide membership Calix Confidential & Proprietary 18 FSAN OAN-WG members Vendors Operators AT&T Bell Canada BellSouth British Telecom Deutsche Telekom France Telecom Korea Telecom Kuwait MOC NTT QWEST Sprint Telecom Italia Telstra Telus Verizon Adtran Alcatel BroadLight Calix Conexant ECI Telecom Entrisphere FlexLight Freescale Fujitsu Hitachi Huawei Iamba Lucent Mitsubishi Motorola NEC Nortel Novera Optics OFN / Oki LG Electronics Optical Zonu Samsung Siemens Tellabs Terawave Vitesse Infineon ZTE Alphion Calix Confidential & Proprietary 19 Meeting Overview Agenda The Need for Fiber Access The Choices of Access Networks The GPON Standard The Market Opportunities for GPON Calix Confidential & Proprietary 20 The Market Opportunities for GPON There are Numerous Market Opportunities for GPON Lower OpEx Greater Service Offering Future-proof investment The real question is When and Where does it make economic sense to deploy GPON The quickest application appears to be the Developer Market and ‘Smart FTTH’ Communities Calix Confidential & Proprietary 21 Total U.S. Homes Served by FTTH 1,500,000 1,335,000 1,011,000 1,000,000 671,000 500,000 5,50010,35022,50038,000 Se p01 M ar -0 2 Se p02 M ar -0 3 Se p03 M ar -0 4 Se p04 M ar -0 5 Se p05 M ar -0 6 Se p06 M ar -0 7 0 64,700 322,700 213,000 146,500 78,000 Source: 2007 RVA Calix Confidential & Proprietary 22 Homes Served by FTTH by Non-Verizon Service Providers 600,000 500,000 453,000 400,000 376,000 300,000 241,000 200,000 174,000 138,500 100,000 5,500 10,350 22,500 38,000 188,700 64,700 78,000 Se p01 M ar -0 2 Se p02 M ar -0 3 Se p03 M ar -0 4 Se p04 M ar -0 5 Se p05 M ar -0 6 Se p06 M ar -0 7 0 Source: 2007 RVA Calix Confidential & Proprietary 23 Breakdown of Homes Served: RBOC versus Non-RBOC FTTH 882,000 RBOCs All Other Service Providers 436,000 0 200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000 1200000 Source: 2007 RVA Calix Confidential & Proprietary 24 FTTH Homes Marketed By Architecture 2,500,000 BPON GPON EPON/GePon Active/P2P 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: 2006 RVA Note: 2006 Forecast (2007 Forecast not yet available) Calix Confidential & Proprietary 25 Competing for Developers New home developments have become the fastest growth Fiber-to-the-Home market Master planned communities Multi-tenant buildings Resort communities New service providers (developer integrators) are competing in this market against incumbents Innovative and fast moving companies Strong IP and project management experience Strong ties to the developer and builder community Calix Confidential & Proprietary 26 Overview of the Developer Market FTTH is now highly desired by Developers FTTH communities are most prevalent in: West Coast (California, Las Vegas) Southeast (Florida, etc.) U.S. integrators expanding into Caribbean Latin America Calix Confidential & Proprietary 27 U.S. Developer FTTP Market Size 1.5 million new homes per year are built in U.S. Source: U.S. Department of Commerce 50% are managed by Associations Source: U.S. Housing Census. Half of these communities will deploy FTTP Calix Confidential & Proprietary 28 Who is the Competition? Over 50 companies are now acting as developer integrators in the United States and the Caribbean Many have formed partnerships with specific developers for all their projects Many companies specialize in security or ISPs Very low overhead organizations In most cases these integrators out source one or more of their services Calix Confidential & Proprietary 29 Why Developers Choose Integrators Developers want recurring revenue streams Incumbents are perceived as unwilling to share revenue with developer Incumbent telcos are seen as inflexible Incumbents are perceived as not delivering newer service offerings Calix Confidential & Proprietary 30 What is Required to Compete? Minimal requirements Fiber-to-the-Premise architecture Diverse video channel selection (IPTV or RF) News, movies, sports, etc Voice (TDM or VOIP) High speed internet 10 Mb+ Additional offerings Home networking and support Security systems Video on demand Community/member web site Video doorman and camera integration Calix Confidential & Proprietary 31 Closing remarks ICT Infrastructures are best delivered with GPON and FTTH technologies Calix Confidential & Proprietary 32 The Power of Simplicity Calix Confidential & Proprietary 33