Thunderstorms and Twisters Review of last lecture 1. Definition of airmasses? Bergeron classification of air masses 2. Surface weather analysis: Station model, wind speed code, present weather 3. Fronts: 6 types. What is a cold front? A warm front? An occluded front? 4. The developmental stages and vertical structure of middle latitude cyclones (boundary between northern cold air and southern warm air, upper level low to the west of surface low) 5. How upper level longwaves and shortwaves may enhance cyclonic development at the surface (upper level low to the west of surface low) 6. The three regions of cyclogenesis and typical tracks Basic Concepts Tornadoes: about 100-600 m, last 1 minute to 1 hour Thunderstorms: about 10 Km, last 10 minutes to a couple of hours. 3 types: ordinary, multicell, supercell Mesoscale convective systems (MCSs): A cloud system that occurs in connection with an ensemble of thunderstorms and produces a contiguous precipitation area on the order of 100 Km or more in at least one direction, and often last for several hours to a couple of days. Thunderstorms A storm containing lightning & thunder Convective; form when warm, humid air rises in conditionally unstable environment The warmer the rising air parcel is relative to environment, the more buoyant force is driving it upwards (stronger convection) Trigger to start uplift: warming sfc, terrain (orography), converging sfc winds, frontal zones, divergence aloft (or combination) Thunderstorms I. Ordinary Storms Three stages have been identified in ordinary thunderstorms: a) an unstable atmosphere and vertical updrafts keep precipitation suspended b) MATURE: entrainment of dry air that causes cooler air from evaporation, triggering downdrafts and falling precipitation and gust fronts c) DISSIPATING: weakening updrafts and loss of the fuel source after 15 to 30 minutes. Lightning & Thunder Lightning is a discharge of electricity, a giant spark. Charge layers in the cloud are formed by the transfer of positive ions from warmer hailstones to colder ice crystals. When the negative charge near the bottom of the cloud is large enough to overcome the air's resistance, a stepped leader forms. A region of positive ions move from the ground toward this charge, which then forms a return stroke into the cloud. Charge differences between the thunderstorm and ground can cause lightning strokes of 30,000°C, and this rapid heating of air will creates an explosive shock wave called thunder, which requires approximately 3 seconds to travel 1 kilometer (5 sec per mile). Thunderstorms II. Multicell Storm Cool downdrafts leaving a mature and dissipating storm may offer relief from summer heat, but they may also force surrounding, low-level moist air upward. Hence, dying storms often trigger new storms, and the successive stages may be viewed in the sky. A Multicell Thunderstorm Thunderstorm III. Supercell Storm Storms producing a minimum of a) 3/4 inch hail and/or b) wind gusts of 50 knots and/or c) tornado winds, classify as severe. In ordinary storms, the downdraft and falling precipitation cut off the updraft. But in severe storms, winds aloft push the rain ahead and the updraft is not weakened and the storm can continue maturing and maintain its structure for hours. A Supercell Storm in Texas Tornado Movie time! Twisters: Nature’s Deadly Force Tornadoes A rapidly rotating column of air blowing around intense L pressure with circulation reaching ground Various shapes: twisting rope-like funnels to cylindrical funnels, to massive black funnels Various sizes: most are 100-600 m in diameter; some just a few meters; some >1 mile Rotation is almost exclusively counterclockwise (viewed from above!) Most move ahead of cold fronts, from SW to NE, from 20-40 knots (some >70 knots) 3 Stages of Tornado Formation • Before thunderstorms develop, a change in wind direction and an increase in wind speed with increasing height creates an invisible, horizontal spinning effect in the lower atmosphere. • Spinning horizontal vortex tubes created by surface wind shear may be tilted and forced in a vertical path by updrafts. This rising, spinning, and often stretching rotating air may then turn into a mesocyclone. • Most strong and violent tornadoes form within this area of strong rotation. Tornado Breeding Supercell Storm Supercell thunderstorms may have many of the features illustrated here, including a mesocyclone of rotating winds formed when horizontal vortex was tilted upwards. Life cycle of tornadoes Often evolve through a series of stages, from dust-whirl, to organizing and mature stages, and ending with the shrinking and decay stages. Families of tornadoes The forms causing the largest damages are families of tornadoes; when many occur (>6), it is a tornado outbreak Tornado Occurrence Record year: 1998 1424 tornadoes! Tornadoes from T-storms in hurricanes Tornadoes from all 50 states of the U.S. add up to more than 1000 tornadoes annually, but the highest frequency is observed in tornado alley of the Central Plains. Great setting for potent mixing of air masses. Nearly 75% of tornadoes form from March to July, when warm humid air is overlain by cooler drier air to cause strong vertical lift. Mesoscale Convective Systems I. Squall Line • A squall line may contain several severe thunderstorms, some possibly supercells, extending for more than 1000 kilometers. • A squall line always contains a convective precipitation region and a trailing stratiform precipitation region. Mesoscale Convective Systems II. Mesoscale Convective Complex An organized mass, or collection, of thunderstorms that extends across a large region is called a mesoscale convective complex (MCC). They can be up to 1000 x larger than individual storms. With weak upper level winds, such MCC's can regenerate new storms and last for upwards of 12 hours and may bring hail, tornadoes, and flash floods. They often form in summer beneath a ridge of high pressure, with moisture fed from S by low level jets. Summary 1. The general size and lifetime of mesoscale convective systems, thunderstorms and tornadoes 2. 3 types of thunderstorms. 3 stages of the ordinary thunderstorms. 3. Lightning. The 3 steps of lightning development. How fast does thunder travel? 4. 3 stages of tornado formation. Which state has the largest number of tornadoes in U.S.? 5. 2 types of mesoscale convective systems