IFS Taxation in the UK Stuart Adam Outline Overview of the UK tax system in historical, international and theoretical contexts: 1. 2. 3. Level and composition of revenues Structure of the major taxes Economic aspects of the overall tax (and benefit) system: – – – Effect on the income distribution Effect on incentives to work Effect on incentives to save and invest For more on 1 and 2: S. Adam & J. Browne, A survey of the UK tax system – www.ifs.org.uk/bns/bn09.pdf © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 The tax burden in the UK 46% 44% % of GDP 42% 40% 38% 36% 34% 32% 30% 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 Public sector total receipts Line 3 Source: HM Treasury © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 Net taxes and SSCs Line 4 07 09 11 Tax to GDP ratios Taxes and social security contributions 60% 1979 2003 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% UK EU15 OECD Source: OECD © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 USA FRA GER JAP SWE IRE AUS CAN ITA Composition of revenues Current receipts, 2006-07 Income tax + CGT National Insurance VAT Other indirect taxes Corporation tax Recurrent buildings taxes Other capital taxes Other receipts Source: HM Treasury © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 Composition of revenues Current receipts 100% Other receipts 90% 80% Other capital taxes 70% Recurrent buildings taxes 60% Corporation tax 50% Other indirect taxes 40% VAT 30% 20% National Insurance 10% Income tax + CGT 0% 1978-79 Source: HM Treasury © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 2006-07 Composition of revenues 2003 Taxes and social security contributions 100% Other taxes 90% Other capital taxes 80% Recurrent buildings taxes 70% 60% Corporation tax 50% Other indirect taxes 40% VAT / retail sales taxes 30% SSCs + payroll taxes 20% Income tax + CGT 10% 0% UK EU15 OECD USA FRA GER JAP SWE IRE Source: OECD © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 AUS CAN ITA Income tax schedule For earned income, 2006 prices £60,000 1978-79 Income tax liability £50,000 2006-07 £40,000 £30,000 £20,000 £10,000 £0 £0 £20,000 £40,000 £60,000 Gross income © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 £80,000 £100,000 Changes to income tax rate structure • Big reduction in top rates (83/98% 40%) – the start of an international trend • Reduction in basic rate (33% 22%) – part of an international trend • Abolition and re-introduction of starting rate (now 10%) – international trend is to reduce number of rates • Large-scale fiscal drag – some increase in no. of taxpayers – massive increase in no. of higher-rate taxpayers © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 The income tax burden For single worker at multiples of average full-time earnings Income tax as % of gross earnings 35% @ 167% of AW @ 100% of AW @ 67% of AW 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% UK Source: OECD © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 EU15 OECD USA FRA GER JAP SWE IRE AUS CAN ITA Changes to treatment of families • Independent taxation introduced 1990 – part of an international trend away from family taxation • Abolition of additional tax allowances for married people and those with children • Tax credits bring support for children and low earners into the tax system – spread of means-testing revives joint assessment – major delivery problems with latest (2003) reforms © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 National Insurance schedule Combined employer and employee NICs, 2006 prices Weekly NICs £200 £180 1984-85 £160 2006-07 £140 £120 £100 £80 £60 £40 £20 £0 £0 £200 £400 £600 Weekly earnings © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 £800 £1,000 Changes to National Insurance More like income tax: • Abolition of ‘entry fee’ • Entry point aligned with tax allowance • End of cap on contributions • Extension to benefits in kind • Erosion of the contributory principle © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 The burden of income tax + NICs For single worker at multiples of average full-time earnings @ 167% of AW @ 100% of AW @ 67% of AW PIT + SSC as % of gross earnings 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% UK © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 EU15 OECD USA FRA GER JAP SWE IRE AUS CAN ITA Main corporation tax rate 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 Changes to corporation tax • Main rate cut (52%30%) • Small companies’ rate cut (40%19%) – ill-fated experiment with 0% starting rate • Reduced capital allowances – – – – aim is to tax profit = revenue – expenses expenses should include true economic depreciation hard to measure so give fixed capital allowances instead these deduct capital spending bit by bit over several years • R&D tax credit introduced 2000 • Rate cuts and base broadening is in line with international trends © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 Taxation of corporations and shareholders 2005 100% 90% Top net income tax rate on dividends 80% Main corporation tax rate 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% UK79 UK05 EU15 OECD USA Source: OECD © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 FRA GER JAP SWE IRE AUS CAN ITA The corporation tax burden Effective average tax rates and capital allowances 2005 100% Capital allowances (p.d.v.), plant and machinery EATR, equity-financed plant and machinery 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% UK79 UK05 Source: Klemm (2005) © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 USA FRA GER JAP SWE IRE AUS CAN ITA VAT • Main rate 8%15% in 1979 and 17.5% in 1991 – part of international move towards uniform VAT • UK has lots of zero-rated items – but uses reduced rates less than other countries © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 VAT rates and bases 100% main VAT rate 90% c-efficiency ratio: revenue / (main rate x national accounts consumption) 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% UK1980 UK2003 EU15 Source: OECD © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 OECD FRA GER JAP SWE IRE AUS ITA NZ VAT • Is this narrow base a good idea? • Atkinson-Stiglitz: if leisure is weakly separable from all other goods, uniform VAT is optimal • May still be arguments for differential rates… – if not separable, tax complements with leisure more to offset usual distortion towards leisure – externality or merit good arguments • But widespread distributional defence is just wrong – progressive income tax is more efficient tool for redistribution © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 Excise duties • Fuel, alcohol and tobacco • Rates increased, yet share of revenues declined (as in most other countries) – Rates fallen since 2000 • Fuel protests in 2000 • Serious concerns about smuggling © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 Environmental taxes • Various new environmental taxes introduced: – – – – – Air passenger duty (1994) Landfill tax (1996) Climate change levy (2001) Aggregates levy (2002) London congestion charge (2003) • None of these raised more than £1bn in 2005 – compared with £24bn (+ VAT) from fuel duty • But revenues don’t tell the whole story © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 Environmental tax revenue, 2006-07 Fuel duty (+ VAT on duty) Vehicle Excise Duty Other © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 Property / local taxes • Council tax: – Replaced poll tax in 1993 (previously domestic rates) – Based on property values (banded, no revaluation) with discounts for 1-person households and low-income families – UK’s only local tax (councils set average rate only) • Business rates: – Proportion of estimated market rent (unbanded, revalued) with discounts for businesses with low rents – Centralised in 1990 • Lyons Inquiry report due on Wednesday © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 Distributional effect of the tax and benefit system Excluding most ‘business taxes’ 80% Benefits - Taxes as % of original (private) income 60% 40% 20% 0% -20% -40% Poorest 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th Decile group of equivalised household disposable income Source: Authors’ calculations from ONS (2006) © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 Richest Effect of tax and benefit system on income inequality 1998, personal taxes and benefits only 0.6 Private income Disposable income Gini coefficient 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 UK EU15 Aus Bel Den Fin Fra Ger Gre Ire Ita Lux Neth Por Source: Immervol, Levy, Lietz, Mantovani, O’Donoghue, Sutherland and Verbist (2005) © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 Spa Swe Effect of tax and benefit system on income inequality Excluding most ‘business taxes’ 0.6 Gini coefficient 0.5 0.4 0.3 Private Private Private Private 0.2 0.1 income + benefits + benefits - direct taxes + benefits - all taxes 0.0 79 81 Source: ONS (2002, 2006) © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 Effect of tax and benefit changes on income inequality Personal direct taxes and benefits only, 1997-98 population relative to RPI uprating relative to RPI uprating of taxes, GDP uprating of benefits Cumulative change in Gini 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.00 -0.01 79 81 83 Source: Clark and Leicester (2004) © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 Work incentives among workers Personal taxes and benefits only 70% Mean effective marginal tax rate 65% Mean participation tax rate 60% 55% 50% 45% 40% 79 81 Source: Adam (2005) © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 Work incentives among workers 1998, personal taxes and benefits only 80% Mean effective marginal tax rate Mean participation tax rate 75% 70% 65% 60% 55% 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% UK EU15 Aus Bel Den Fin Fra Source: Immervol, Kleven, Kreiner and Saez (2005) © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 Ger Gre Ire Ita Lux Neth Por Spa Swe Taxation of savings • Starting point not obvious – Tax all income (earnings and savings) equally? – Savers are rich so tax them more? – No… • Saving is just deferral of consumption • Atkinson-Stiglitz again: under various assumptions, should tax consumption today and consumption tomorrow the same • This implies no net tax on the normal return to saving • The assumptions are unrealistic, but it’s a useful benchmark © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 How not to tax saving • Present value of lifetime earnings and expenditure are the same if all saving earns the normal return r – Ignoring bequests: a tricky issue! So three mechanisms: 1. Tax earnings, ignore savings completely: NICs 2. Tax expenditure, ignore income completely: VAT 3. Tax expenditure, calculated as: earnings – net contributions into saving accounts © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 Income tax treatment of saving Default is to tax returns to saving (interest, dividends, capital gains) as well as earnings But… • ISAs: returns tax-exempt (wage tax treatment) • Housing & other durables: ditto • Pensions: expenditure tax treatment – – – contributions deducted from taxable income returns within the fund untaxed withdrawals (pension income) mostly taxed These account for most saving for most people © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 Other taxes on saving • • Savings cut entitlement to means-tested benefits Other capital taxes – • council tax, inheritance tax, stamp duties Corporation tax – – – lots of savings are invested by companies effective marginal tax rate (EMTR) depends on how far investment and returns can be deducted from taxable profits this varies: • • © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 different types of investment (plant & machinery, buildings, R&D,…) different methods of finance (debt, equity) Company-level EMTRs, 2005 80% 60% Equity-financed plant and machinery Debt-financed plant and machinery Equity-financed industrial buildings 40% 20% 0% -20% -40% -60% -80% UK1979 Source: Klemm (2005) © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 UK2005 USA FRANCE GERMANY JAPAN Conclusions • UK mostly in line with international trends – – – – – Rise in overall tax burden since 1979 Income tax rates cut Shift from excise duties to VAT Corporation tax rates cut, base broadened Shift from family to individual taxation • Whether reforms have increased inequality depends what you mean by a “reform”! – Labour’s reforms (relative to price-indexation) have been progressive but weakened work incentives • Distortions between different savings vehicles and forms of investment have been reduced © Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2007 IFS Taxation in the UK Stuart Adam