Lecture two © copyright:qinwang 2013 Qinwang@mail.shufe.edu.cn SHUFE school of international business Demand, Supply, and Market Equilibrium Demand and demand function Supply and supply function Market equilibrium Demand and supply 1、Demand 2、Supply Demand definition Supply definition Demand and Supply and influences influences Demand function Supply function Demand curve (firm Supply curve (firm and industry) and industry) The rule of demand The rule of supply Shift of demand Shift of supply Demand Quantity demanded (Qd) Amount of a good or service consumers are willing & able to purchase during a given period of time Demand is different from need General Demand Function Some variables that influence Qd Price of good or service (P) Incomes of consumers (M) Prices of related goods & services (PR) Taste patterns of consumers (T) Expected future price of product (Pe) Number of consumers in market (N) • General demand function Qd = f(P, M, PR, T, Pe , N) General Demand Function Qd = a + bP + cM + dPR + eT + fPe + gN b, c, d, e, f, & g are slope parameters Measure effect on Qd of changing one of the variables while holding the others constant Sign of parameter shows how variable is related to Qd Positive sign indicates direct relationship Negative sign indicates inverse relationship General Demand Function Relation to Qd Variable Sign of Slope Parameter b = Qd/P is negative P Inverse M c = Qd/M is positive Direct for normal goods Inverse for inferior goods c = Qd/M is negative PR Direct for substitutes Inverse for complements d = Qd/PR is positive d = Qd/PR is negative T Direct e = Qd/T is positive Pe Direct f = Qd/Pe is positive N Direct g = Qd/N is positive Direct Demand Function The direct demand function, or simply demand, shows how quantity demanded, Qd , is related to product price, P, when all other variables are held constant Qd = f(P) Law of Demand Qd increases when P falls, all else constant Qd decreases when P rises, all else constant Qd/P must be negative Demand curve firm1 Q1 firm2 Q2 Q3=Q2+Q1 industry Q3 Graphing Demand Curves Change in quantity demanded Occurs when price changes Movement along demand curve Change in demand Occurs when one of the other variables, or determinants of demand, changes Demand curve shifts rightward or leftward Supply Six variables that influence Qs Price of good or service (P) Input prices (PI ) Prices of goods related in production (Pr) Technological advances (T) Expected future price of product (Pe) Number of firms producing product (F) General supply function Qs = f(P, PI, Pr, T, Pe, F) General Supply Function Variable Relation to Qs P Direct Sign of Slope Parameter k = Qs/P is positive PI Inverse l = Qs/PI is negative Inverse for substitutes Direct for complements m = Qs/Pr is negative m = Qs/Pr is positive T Direct n = Qs/T is positive Pe Inverse r = Qs/Pe is negative F Direct s = Qs/F is positive Pr Direct Supply Function The direct supply function, or simply supply, shows how quantity supplied, Qs , is related to product price, P, when all other variables are held constant Qs = f(P) Law of Supply Qs increases when P rises, all else constant Qs decreases when P falls, all else constant Qs/P must be positive Supply curve firm1 Q1 firm2 Q2 Q3=Q2+Q1 industry Q3 Supply curve of labor labor Graphing Supply Curves Change in quantity supplied Occurs when price changes Movement along supply curve Change in supply Occurs when one of the other variables, or determinants of supply, changes Supply curve shifts rightward or leftward Market Equilibrium Equilibrium price & quantity are determined by the intersection of demand & supply curves At the point of intersection, Qd = Qs Consumers can purchase all they want & producers can sell all they want at the “market-clearing” or “equilibrium” price Market Equilibrium Excess demand (shortage) Exists when quantity demanded exceeds quantity supplied Excess supply (surplus) Exists when quantity supplied exceeds quantity demanded Value of Market Exchange Economic value Maximum amount any buyer in the market is willing to pay for the unit, which is measured by the demand price for the unit of the good Consumer surplus Difference between the economic value of a good (its demand price) & the market price the consumer must pay Producer surplus For each unit supplied, difference between market price & the minimum price producers would accept to supply the unit (its supply price) Social surplus Sum of consumer & producer surplus Area below demand & above supply over the relevant range of output Changes in Market Equilibrium Qualitative forecast Predicts only the direction in which an economic variable will move Quantitative forecast Predicts both the direction and the magnitude of the change in an economic variable Case 1 Demand Shifts (Supply Constant) – D increase, ? – D decrease, ? Case two Supply Shifts (Demand Constant) – Supply increase, ? – Supply decrease, ? Case three When demand & supply increase simultaneously Quantity? Price? Case four When demand & supply decrease simultaneously Quantity,? Price,? Case five Supply increase, demand decrease Quantity? Price? Case six Supply decrease, demand increase Quantity ? Price? Example: House leasing In a competitive market of house leasing, analyze the following market (other factors are given) : Consumers income increased Levy rent tax for $100/unit/month An regulation: the rent is no more than 2000/unit/month. Ceiling & Floor Prices Ceiling price Maximum price government permits sellers to charge for a good When ceiling price is below equilibrium, a shortage occurs Floor price Minimum price government permits sellers to charge for a good When floor price is above equilibrium, a surplus occurs Ceiling & Floor Prices Px Sx 2 1 Price (dollars) Px Sx 3 2 Dx Dx 22 50 62 Quantity Panel A – Ceiling price Qx 32 50 84 Quantity Panel B – Floor price Qx Cobweb Theorem Elasticity Elasticity and its calculation Price Elasticity of Demand (Ep) Income elasticity of demand(Em) Cross elasticity of demand(Exr) Elasticity • Measures responsiveness or sensitivity of dependant variable Y to independent variable X E X X & Y are related variables,The larger the absolute value of E, the more sensitive Y are to a change in X Calculating Elasticity Point elasticity Y Y / Y Y X E X X/ X X Y Interval (arc) elasticity Y Average X E X Average Y Price Elasticity of Demand (E) • Measures responsiveness or sensitivity of consumers to changes in the price of a good Q Q P E P P Q P & Q are inversely related by the law of demand so E is always negative The larger the absolute value of E, the more sensitive buyers are to a change in price Case:Levy Jeans Demand of Levy Jeans in Sears $price(/unit) Sales(unit/week) 20 19 18 17 16 12 11 12 14 16 18 20 28 30 Price Elasticity of Demand (E) Table Elasticity Responsiveness E Elastic %∆Q> %∆P E> 1 Unitary Elastic %∆Q= %∆P E= 1 Inelastic %∆Q< %∆P E< 1 Price Elasticity & Total Revenue Elastic Unitary elastic Inelastic %∆Q> %∆P%∆Q= %∆P%∆Q< %∆P Quantityeffect dominates Price rises Price falls No dominant effect TR falls No change in TR TR rises No change in TR Price-effect dominates TR rises TR falls Case:Basketball shoes’ pricing N is a company of basketball shoes. It sells 10000 pairs of shoes per month (shoes price is $100). Its competitor reduces the price of basketball shoes. After that N company’s sale reduce to 8000 pairs. According to experience, the Ep in such range of price and quantity is about -2.00。 If N company want increase its sale to 10000 pairs per month,what price would N company set? Ep of some goods in US economy Industry Ep Elastic Finished food 2.27 Metal 1.52 Furniture 、wood 1.25 Auto 1.14 Logistics 1.03 Inelastic Gas、power、water Oil Chemical Drinks Tobacco Food House/ Clothes Book, magazine, newspaper Meat 0.92 0.91 0.89 0.78 0.61 0.58 0.55 0.49 0.34 0.20 Demand & Marginal Revenue When inverse demand is linear, P = A + BQ (A > 0, B < 0) Marginal revenue is also linear, intersects the vertical (price) axis at the same point as demand, & is twice as steep as demand MR = A + 2BQ Linear Demand, MR, & Elasticity MR, TR, & Price Elasticity Marginal revenue Total revenue MR > 0 TR increases as Q increases (P decreases) MR = 0 MR < 0 TR is maximized TR decreases as Q increases (P decreases) Price elasticity of demand Elastic (│E│> 1) Unit Elastic (│E│= 1) Inelastic (│E│< 1) Marginal Revenue & Price Elasticity For all demand & marginal revenue curves, the relation between marginal revenue, price, & elasticity can be expressed as 1 MR P 1 E Example:Price strategy of telecom Fixed-line toll:increase International telephone fee decrease : Example:Tax for luxuries The government want to levy tax on luxuries to narrow the gap between the poor and rich? Income Elasticity Income elasticity (EM) measures the responsiveness of quantity demanded to changes in income, holding the price of the good & all other demand determinants constant Positive for a normal good Negative for an inferior good Qd Qd M EM M M Qd EM >1:high-grade products 0< EM <=1:normal product EM <0:inferior EM =0: EM =1: EP And EM in US product EP EM Food -0.21 0.28 Auto -1.20 3.00 Petrol -0.54 1.06 Power -1.14 0.61 Beer -1.13 0.93 Flour Marijuana -0.36 -1.50 0 Engel's Coefficient 1989 US Japan France Brazilian India 13 16 16 35 52 China 1964 1985 1990 1992 1994 1999 2009 City 59.2 53.3 54.2 52.9 50 41.9 37 Rural 68.5 57.7 58 56.8 57 52.6 43 Cross-Price Elasticity Cross-price elasticity (EXR) measures the responsiveness of quantity demanded of good X to changes in the price of related good R, holding the price of good X & all other demand determinants for good X constant Positive when the two goods are substitutes Negative when the two goods are complements E XR QX QX PR PR PR QX EXR >0:substitute EXR <0):complement EXR =0: EXR In US Goods Y Goods X EXR power gas 0.20 pork beef 0.14 Orange from california Orange from fo 0.14 EXR and decision Substitutes and Complements Questions?