INDIA HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2011 TOWARDS SOCIAL INCLUSION 1 To the Members of Parliament 26th April 2012 Institute of Applied Manpower Research Planning Commission Structure of the Presentation 2 Conceptual Framework Human Development Index Employment, Asset Ownership, and Poverty The Right to Food and Nutrition Health and Demography Education: Achievements and Challenges Supporting Human Development: Housing, Electricity, Telephone, and Roads Vulnerable Groups Structure of the Presentation 3 Conceptual Framework Human Development Index Employment, Asset Ownership, and Poverty The Right to Food and Nutrition Health and Demography Education: Achievements and Challenges Supporting Human Development: Housing, Electricity, Telephone, and Roads Vulnerable Groups Conceptual Framework 4 Feedback loop model - states that human development outcomes feed back as inputs into the development process. These feedback loops operate both at the micro (individual) as well as macro (societal) levels. Interventions to promote human capital formation (through investments in health and education) are key requirements for economic growth to be more successful in reducing income poverty. Feedback Loops in the Human Development Process – at the micro level 5 Human development outcomes/outputs Social services Knowled Family Health ge size status inputs/ processe s Educ ↲ ↲ Nutritio Healthy nal living status conditio ns ↲ ↲ ↲ ↲ Family ↲ Plg ↲ Health Nutritio ↲ n Water & Sanitati on ↲ ↲ ↲ While shaded cells show relationship b/w an input & output variable, arrows depict feedback effects from development outcomes to inputs. An example 6 Education makes an individual more aware of healthy & hygienic practices. Education therefore can serve as an input towards better health and nutritional status which feeds back into better learning ability. Similarly, educated parents understand importance of family planning & reduced family size which in turn feeds back into better health (both for the mother and the child) & education for all children in the family. Feedback loops at the Macroeconomic level 7 Economic growth, human capital formation, & income poverty reduction are synergistically related such that, the impact of intervention in any one is enhanced by investments in any other (Synergy 2) improved human capital formation, for both men and women, ensures an educated workforce that can engage in eco activities & earn better livelihoods Structure of the Presentation 8 Conceptual Framework Human Development Index Employment, Asset Ownership, and Poverty The Right to Food and Nutrition Health and Demography Education: Achievements and Challenges Supporting Human Development: Housing, Electricity, Telephone, and Roads India’s rank in the world in Human Development Index falls in 2011? 9 Gross national income per capita rank HDI value 2011 HDI rank 2011 High Human Development Russia Brazil 0.755 0.718 66 84 53 77 0.691 0.688 0.619 0.547 97 101 123 134 109 94 79 124 0.504 0.500 145 146 187 138 157 187 Medium Human Development Sri Lanka China South Africa India Low Human Development Pakistan Bangladesh No. of countries UNDP HDR 2011: India’s rank fell from 119 in 2010 to 134 in 2011. Fall only because 18 new (tiny) countries like Antigua, Saint Tome etc. have been added this time. India HDR 2011: 21% increase in HDI between 2000 and 2008: Education Index pulled up HDI, but Health Index constrains 10 30.0 28.5 25.0 Percentage Change in components of HDI 21.5 HDI 20.7 20.0 13.2 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 Education Income Health Income index based on consumption; but consumption on average is lower than income. Increase in HDI is over 30%, when Income Index is computed from per capita Net Domestic Product -10 0 Uttarakhand Jharkhand Assam Orissa Madhya Pradesh Chhattisgarh Andhra Pradesh Bihar NE (excl assam) India Karnataka Uttar Pradesh Tamil Nadu West Bengal Kerala Maharashtra Jammu and… Gujarat Himachal Pradesh Rajasthan Punjab Haryana Goa Delhi 2. Gap narrowing in HDI across states –– poorer states growing faster, their health/educ indicators improving faster – inter-state disparity falling 11 Percentage Change in HDI between 1999-2000 to 2007-8 50 40 30 20 10 3. HD indicators for SCs, STs, OBCs & Muslims : gap narrowing with national average (though with some imp exceptions)– move towards social inclusion 12 Indicators Divergence Convergence Per capita consumption expend. SCs STs, Muslims Unemployment rate SCs, Muslims STs Child labour rate SCs, STs, Muslims SCs,STs,OBCs, Muslims Female malnutrition (Body Mass Index <18.5) Infant Mortality Rate SCs, STs, OBCs, Muslims Under five mortality rate SCs, STs, Muslims Total fertility rate SC, Muslims OBCs Child immunization STs, Muslims SCs Toilet facility OBCs SCs, STs Literacy SCs, STs, Muslims Electricity for domestic use SCs, STs, OBCs Sachar Committee on Muslims IHDR 2011 on Muslims Published in 2006, uses data points till 2004-5 Published in 2011, uses data points till 2011 IMR, U5MR both decreasing ; DIVERGENCE between national and Muslim average (1992-93- 1998-99) IMR, U5MR both decreasing ; CONVERGENCE between national and Muslim average (1998-99-2005-6) Muslim Underweight children worse than Muslim Underweight children better than national average (1998-99) national average (2005-6) Muslim Fertility rate higher than national average by 0.7 in 1992-93. The Difference increased to 1 in 1998-99. Muslim Fertility rate on average higher than national average by 0.4 in 2005-6, and CONVERGING Muslim Literacy rates in rural (6 % points) Muslim Literacy rate CONVERGES with & urban areas (10 % points) below the national avg in 2007-8, i.e., gap narrows : rural national avg in 2001 (3.5 % points) & urban (8.5% points) 1. Gaps narrowing b/w Muslim & national average i.e. improving conditions of Muslims. 2. Muslims are consistently better than SCs & STs for all HD indicators 3. Muslims absolute level still lower compared to national avg (except IMR, U5MR) 13 For most HD input & outcome indicators Muslims have better indicators than SCs & STs – but absolute levels for all 3 worse than rest of society 14 Indicators SC ST Muslims All Groups Literacy 63.5 60.5 67.6 72 Malnutrition among Women (BMI<18.5) 41.2 46.6 35.2 33 Underweight Children 47.9 54.5 41.8 39.1 Pucca Housing 38.3 57.9 63.8 66.1 No toilet facility 65 69.1 35.8 49.2 Electricity for domestic use 61.2 66.4 75.2 75 IMR 66.4 62.1 52.4 50 U5MR 88.1 95.7 70 74.3 TFR 2.92 3.12 3.09 2.6 Child Immunization 39.7 5.4 36.3 43.5 Geographical Concentration of SC, ST, and Muslim Population Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, M.P, Orissa, Rajasthan, West Bengal, U.P – account for 56% of SCs 56% of STs 58% of Muslims These States account for 66% of poor in the country in 2009-10. In most indicators SCs and STs in LWE states are not only performing worse than national average but also worse than their national counter parts 7 LWE States SC BMI<18.5 (Female) ST All India All SC ST All 50.7 59.0 46.2 41.2 46.6 33 101.0 121.0 88.9 88.1 95.7 74.3 No latrine 77.2 84.8 69.6 65 69.1 49.2 Literacy( R ) 69.9 63.8 74.3 60.5 58.8 67 Pucca House 54.2 42.0 62.0 57.9 38.3 66.1 Electricity 73.6 57.6 78.2 66.4 61.2 75 U5MR Naxal states : Bihar, Orissa, AP, MP, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, WB 4. States doing well do it across the board – for all social groups 17 SCs in Delhi and Kerala have higher literacy rates than the upper castes in Bihar and Rajasthan SCs in Tamil Nadu in most health indicators are better than upper castes in UP But in central and eastern belt – with concentration of SC and ST population, for most indicators, latter doing worse than State average SC/ST average in India This highlights importance of good governance and social mobilization by state governments Basic service delivery as an area of potential policy consensus Structure of the Presentation 18 Conceptual Framework Human Development Index Employment, Asset Ownership, and Poverty The Right to Food and Nutrition Health and Demography Education: Achievements and Challenges Supporting Human Development: Housing, Electricity, Telephone, and Roads Poverty (Tendulkar line): number of Poor and incidence of Poverty are declining 19 Incidence of Poor 40 Number of Poor in Million 500 37.2 35 30.1 400 406.6 353 Percentage 30 300 25 20 200 15 10 100 5 0 0 2004-5 2009-10 2004-5 2009-10 Source: NSS 2004-5, 2009-10 SC Poverty rate is declining faster than the national average (URP) 20 60 50 48.3 37 40 30 20 10 27.5 37 SCs 28 20.1 India 0 1993-4 2004-5 2009-10 Rising wages in both rural and urban India 21 Casual wages in both rural and urban areas increased significantly between 2004-5 and 2009-10 (Rs.) 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 365(57% ) 232 194(45% ) 134 69(41% ) 49 2004-5 2009-10 Salary / Regular Wage 2004-5 122 (31% ) 93 2009-10 Casual Labour Rural Urban Consistent rise after 2004-5 in monthly per capita consumption expenditure (Rs) 22 MPCE (URP) at constant prices 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 311 (1.6%) 355 (2.7) 264 175 187 (1.4%) (0.9%) 159 Rural (base 1987-88) 1993-94 2004-05 2009-10 Urban (base 1987-88) Note: Figures in brackets indicate Compound Annual Growth Rate Despite achievements, problem areas remain: 23 Employment not growing in industry or services Nutritional outcomes not improving or no data Health outcomes improving too slowly Sanitation is the worst in the world Education levels extremely low for a emerging market economy SC, ST, Muslims have absolute levels of indicators that are still the worst These problems concentrated in northern & eastern states where these communities are concentrated Employment: Declining Unemployment but… 24 Unemployment (current daily status) declined from 8.2% in 2004-5 to 6.6% in 2009-10 But only 2.8 mn new jobs – not growing in manfg and services, falling in agriculture: Absolute decline in agri emp by 14 mn during 2005-2010 But for the decade, still increase of 7 mn Structural transformation employment?? towards productive Employment in industry – Manufacturing & NonManufacturing 25 Manufacturing employment increased only by 6.7 million in the last decade (from 44 million in 1999-2000 to 50 million in 2009-10) Absolute decline in mfg employment by 5 mn in the 2nd half of the decade Approach Paper 12th Plan & National Manufacturing Policy targeting 100 million by 2022? 27 mn new jobs in non-mfg industry (due to 26 mn in construction) during the last decade (from 21 million in 1999-2000 to 48 million in 2009-10) Services employment 26 Rise in service employment from 94mn in 19992000 to 112 million in 2004-5, but only to 116 million in 2009-10 (3.5 million increase) Most of the increase been due to services like transport, banking & insurance, computer & related activities, business management & consultancy services Despite Increase in share of organised sector employment (14-18%): Rising informalization 27 Informal Employment in Organised Sector Formal empl share in total empl small & falling (%) 70 100 90 91.2 92.4 57.8 60 92.8 46.6 50 80 70 40 60 50 Formal 40 Informal 37.8 30 20 30 20 10 10 8.8 7.6 0 7.2 0 1999-2000 2004-05 2009-10 1999-2000 2004-05 2009-10 Share of informal employment in organized sector has risen from around 1/3 in 1999-2000 to just under 2/3 in 2009-10. Employers in organized sector increasingly hire on contract Source: NSS emp-unemp rounds Structure of the Presentation 28 Conceptual Framework Human Development Index Employment, Asset Ownership, and Poverty The Right to Food and Nutrition Health and Demography Education: Achievements and Challenges Supporting Human Development: Housing, Electricity, Telephone, and Roads Worst performer in terms of low birth weight India is the worst performer in terms of low birth weight 30 Low Birth Weight (In Percentage) 25 22 21 Nepal 19 22 10 Maldives 15 15 Small mother gives birth to small children. 22 28 20 2 6 8 5 Sri Lanka Pakistan Bhutan Bangladesh Russia China 0 Brazil Gender Discrimination through life cycle Small Mother India Percentage of Underweight Children Underweight children Sri Lanka Pakistan Nepal Bhutan Bangladesh 6 China Afghanistan 4 Brazil 14 23 31 33 39 41 43 Inadequate access to food+ Lack of education of mother + Poor Sanitation + Unsafe Drinking Water • 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Under Five Underweight Children (WHO Reference Population) (In Percentage) India India has the highest underweight children among the BRIC and SAARC Countries • Percentage of Women with BMI<18.5 Among the industrial states, Gujarat has a very high incidence of malnutrition among SC and ST women • Gujarat fares the worst in terms of overall hunger and malnutrition • MALNUTRITION: Percentage of adult women with Body Mass Index<18.5 for SC, ST, & Muslims worse than & not improving compared to national average (“important exception”) 32 1/3rd Indian women underweight • 50 45 SCs and STs diverge from the national average • • Worsening of adult female malnutrition for Muslim • 40 Percentage of Women with BMI<18.5 46.6 46.3 41.2 41.1 35.8 35.2 35 34.1 30 33 25 1998-9 India Muslims 2005-6 SC Source: NFHS- 2and 3 ST Policies to Address Nutritional Problems 1. Near universalization of ICDS Programme 33 1000 Increase in Number of Beneficiaries (in lakhs) • But focus should shift to children below three years, pregnant women, and adolescent girls - ICDS 35 years old – but without this focus still • Withdrawal of hot-cooked meals in UP, Karn, Guj – in violation of Supreme Court 751 500 377 75 167 0 2004 Children 2010 Pregnant & Lactating Mothers •Reform PDS – but progress remains slow on •National Food Security Bill •No “Ministry of Nutrition” – so PM’s Nutrition Council in need of revival Structure of the Presentation 34 Conceptual Framework Human Development Index Employment, Asset Ownership, and Poverty The Right to Food and Nutrition Health and Demography Education: Achievements and Challenges Supporting Human Development: Housing, Electricity, Telephone, and Roads HEALTH: Infant mortality rate - Gap of SCs, STs & Muslims with national average narrowing 35 From 80 /1000 IMR in 1990, IMR down to 50 in 2009. But still far behind MDG target 26.7 by 2015 – health index improved slowly Lower IMR Lower TFR 90 80 70 84.2 83 67.6 60 I 50 M 40 R 30 58.8 66.4 62.1 57 52.4 All India SCs STs Muslims 20 10 0 1998-9 2005-6 Source: NFHS 2 & 3 Replacement level of Total Fertility Rate reached 36 9 major states achieved the replacement level of TFR (2.1) - states with functional PHCs Unless public health system improves, the population growth rate can not be reduced Source:RGI 2011 States Kerala Tamil Nadu Andhra Pradesh Punjab West Bengal Himachal Pradesh Delhi Karnataka Maharashtra Jammu & Kashmir Orissa Gujarat Haryana Assam All India* Chhattisgarh Jharkhand Madhya Pradesh Rajasthan Uttar Pradesh Bihar TFR 1995-7 1.8 2.1 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.5 2.6 2.8 3.1 3.1 3.5 3.3 3.4 4.1 4.2 2.7 4.5 TFR 2008 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 2 2 2 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.8 3.9 Total fertility rate 37 India could achieve replacement rate TFR 2.1 by 2015 – but “unmet need” for contraception over 30% in 4 States – NRHM must focus attention Migration out of UP, Bihar, MP, Raj will rise Total Fertility Rate: Narrowing gaps in case of SCs & Muslims 38 Maximum fall in fertility rate experienced by Muslims along with a sharp increase in Contraceptive Prevalence Rate 4 3.5 3.59 3.09 3.15 3 T F R 2.5 2.92 2.85 2.68 2 1.5 All India SCs Muslims 1 0.5 0 Source: NFHS 2 & 3 1998-9 2005-6 Rise in institutional deliveries leads to lower Maternal Mortality Rate 39 Rise in institutional deliveries (from 39% to 78%, 2005-9) post NRHM & JSY resulted in decline of MMR – fall of 89 points in 6 years But to achieve 11th Plan target of MMR of 100 by 2012, a further reduction of 28 per 100,000 per year is needed Highest MMR in poorer states with lowest levels of institutional delivery – need more rural doctors/para medics needed in 8 EAG NRHM states MMR 350 301 300 254 250 212 200 150 100 50 0 2001-3 2004-6 2007-9 Source: RGI 2011 Highest MMR in poorer states with lowest levels of institutional delivery – need for ASHA, ANM, AWW to focus on these states within NRHM 40 400 359 350 300 318 261 269 250 258 212 Institutional Delivery 200 150 81 100 97 MMR 50 Tamil Nadu Kerala All India Uttar Pradesh Rajasthan Orissa Madhya Pradesh Bihar 0 Source: NFHS 3 (2006) & RGI 2011 (MMR-2008) Replicate best practice in high focus States of other States to attract health providers to rural areas 41 Rural recruitment TN: introduced reservation policy in higher educ. Consequently, cadre of doctors from small towns willing to work in PHCs in villages at commuting distance Because 15% of seats for medicine courses reserved for rural schools. Increases retention of medical officers (with rural background) in rural areas since there will be no resistance . Also doctors recruited on zonal basis Chhattisgarh: 3 yr degree in Rural Health Care in – called Rural Medical Assistant to eliminate vacancies for medical officers; Miny of Health support for each State to replicate & enable drug procurement 42 Essential drugs at affordable prices in public health system To strengthen logistics management sys of healthcare, TN Medical Services Corporation established in Jan’95. Apex body for purchase and distribution of generic essential drugs for govt medical centres Open defaecation in India – worst in world 43 Nutritional/health outcomes cannot improve if OD continues % hhs with access to sanitation facility 60 51 58% of all persons in the world defecating in open, live in India Improvement in households with access to sanitation facilities from 40 % in 2002 to 51 % in 2008-9 50 40 40 30 20 10 0 2002 2008-9 Source: NSS 2002, 2008-9 Poor sanitation concern for rural areas, but consequences equally serious in urban 44 85 85 88 88 MP MP Orissa Orissa 82 82 79 79 Uttarakhand Uttarakhand 84 84 Rajasthan Rajasthan 82 82 Jharkhand Jharkhand 65 65 80 80 Chhattisgarh Chhattisgarh % of rural hhs with no toilet % of rural hhs with no toilet Bihar Bihar 100 100 80 80 60 60 40 40 20 20 0 0 Toilet availability in urban India, but density of population in India 10 times greater than Africa, hence in urban areas open defaecation spreads infection faster All India All India Source: NSS 2002, 2008-9 But toilets built under Total Sanitation Campaign put to other uses – TSC redesign needed 45 In villages winning Nirmal Gram Puraskar (“Open Defaecation Free”), toilets often used for storing, bathing & washing purposes Design problem with TSC: Rather than subsidy for construction of toilets, need for creating effective demand for sanitation through community participation – e.g. HP & Haryana A complete redesign of MORD’s Total Sanitation Campaign is needeed Lessons from Himachal Pradesh 46 HP Adopted a participatory innovative approach called Community Led Total Sanitation (CLTS) for creating effective & sustainable demand for sanitation under TSC It engages people in analysis of their existing sanitation situation through triggering exercises leading to collective local action to clean up & sanitize surroundings to put end to OD & adopting safe solid & liquid waste mgt practices CLTS training involved triggering initially (2006) some 200 villages with arnd 50 natural leaders from grass root levels Lessons from Haryana 47 Haryana Again CLTS approach followed by empowering local communities to end OD & build toilets without any external subsidies. District Rural Development Agency (DRDA) works on capacity building & identifies village motivators assigned 300 hhs to encourage proper sanitation & hygienic practices. Targeted women to inform about TSC & families about low cost options for building toilets. Structure of the Presentation 48 Conceptual Framework Human Development Index Employment, Asset Ownership, and Poverty The Right to Food and Nutrition Health and Demography Education: Achievements and Challenges Supporting Human Development: Housing, Electricity, Telephone, and Roads EDUCATION drove up HDI – BUT Low Mean Years of Schooling - a major challenge for inclusive growth 49 Adult (15 Yrs and above) mean years of schooling in 2010 were 5.12 (India), 8.17 (China), 6.24 (Indonesia). Note: for 7 years and above Source: NSS 1999-2000 , 2007-8 & 2009-10 Fulfillment of provisions of RTE Act, 2009 remains major challenge – Implementation of RTE in Bihar & UP require 50% of total finances (additional from 1.5 lac cr) needed for the country 50 Indicator Norm as per RTE Reality (2007-8) Act, 2009 Pupil – Teacher ratio 30 (at primary level) Number classroom 47 (U.P – 76, Bihar – 68) of One classroom for one 9% of schools were one class in all schools classroom schools Girls’ Toilet School building should Half of the schools did not have separate toilet have separate toilets for facilities for boys and girls girls Drinking Water School building should 87 per cent schools have have safe drinking water drinking water facility facility Policy: “Low-hanging fruit” type actions 51 Pre-primary school education training for AWWs neglected ; but funds allocated in 11th Plan Rs. 2000 cr for MHRD, but not utilized Without PSE, children unprepared for school, as they are children of functionally illiterate parents Children also unprepared because of malnutrition PSE can improve learning outcomes for children in earliest yrs High teacher absenteeism (25%) – one of worst in developing world – SSA fund release shd be conditional upon teacher absenteeism improving School Management Committee should be responsible for Leave granting Salary releasing Addressing poor learning outcomes of children needs better Subject Content Knowledge of Teachers 52 • • • • Well trained teachers do not go to rural areas – DIETs, BRCs, CRCs in poor shape Poor learning ability: 47% in grade V students could not read grade II text (ASER 2010) Expand Online teacher training system • Block HQ already have 256 kbps optical fibre – start using this network today • Village level whole country coverage coming: 3G coming with optical fibre network, OR within 2 yrs National Optical Fibre Network operational Use of Technology • lectures broadcast in multiple languages in classrooms • local teachers interact with expert teachers and play local coordinator role • Adult Literacy – Total Literacy Campaign Towards Adult Literacy – Technology-based solution for 26% Illiterates of India 53 Poor & illiterate people need to learn 500 words for daily functional needs Writing often discourages adult learners, and so focus on functional literacy: reading through graphic recognition of 500 words sound pattern inferential feeling & sensation Programme launched in year 2000 and has 250 active centres 1,20,000 people became literate through this programme – universalization needed Structure of the Presentation 54 Conceptual Framework Human Development Index Employment, Asset Ownership, and Poverty The Right to Food and Nutrition Health and Demography Education: Achievements and Challenges Supporting Human Development: Housing, Electricity, Telephone, and Roads Vulnerable Groups Housing: 2/3 Indians now reside in pucca houses 55 2/3 Indians now reside in pucca houses compared to less than 50% in 2002 Large inter state variations in housing conditions Around 95 % hhs reside in pucca houses in Delhi & Haryana compared to around 40% in Chhattisgarh & Orissa % hhs residing in pucca houses 66.1 70 60 50 47.4 40 30 20 10 0 2002 2008-9 Steep rise in hhs with access to electricity 56 Rise from 64 % to 75 % in percentage of hhs with electricity for domestic use b/w 2002 – 2008-9 But Large inter state variations HP 98 % is the best State, while Bihar 31 % has lowest proportion in India % hhs with access to electricity 75 76 74 72 70 68 66 64 64 62 60 58 2002 2008-9 Rural-Urban convergence in hhs with access to elec 57 Still about 1/3 rural households do not have access to electricity for domestic use in 2008-9. % hhs with access to electricity 120 100 92 80 China had ensured 94 per cent of rural households had electricity by 1991 through off grid distribution 60 96 66 Rural Urban 53 40 20 0 2002 2008-9 SCs & STs converging with national avg for hhs with electricity for domestic use 58 80 70 75 66 64 60 % of 50 households with electricity 40 for domestic 30 use 61 52 All India SC ST 47 20 10 0 2002 2008-9 Structure of the Presentation 59 Conceptual Framework Human Development Index Employment, Asset Ownership, and Poverty The Right to Food and Nutrition Health and Demography Education: Achievements and Challenges Supporting Human Development: Housing, Electricity, Telephone, and Roads Vulnerable Groups Disabled 60 18-03-2016 Magnitude Official estimates of disability in India is around 2 percent Estimates using more inclusive definitions suggest a higher incidence of disability (of at least 5-8 percent) Number of disabled persons increased from nearly 12 million in 1981 to 18.49 million in 2002 (Latest Data) Ch. 8 of NHDR - Vulnerable Groups Scanty Opportunities for Disabled 61 Education Only 45 % Literacy rate High share of out of school disabled children About 9 per cent of disabled completed ‘Secondary and above’ level of education Employment Only 26 % of the disabled persons were employed 15 % Self-employed 8 % Casual Worker 3 % Regular Job Only 10 % of the disabled females are having jobs 55 % lost their work due to onset of disability 18-03-2016 Ch. 8 of NHDR - Vulnerable Groups Requirements for Disabled 62 Lack of trained manpower Mismatch between Estimated Demand and Supply of Personnel in the Area of Disability Major constraint in expanding the rehabilitation services Very few Training Institutes Huge Demand Supply gap of trained personnel Source: IAMR 2009 18-03-2016 Ch. 8 of NHDR - Vulnerable Groups Window of Opportunity 63 Share of Elderly in Total Population 12.5 10.7 9.2 6.7 1991 7.45 2001 Projected 2016 2021 2026 Youngest population (with the median age of less than 24 in 2000) – Demographic Dividend: Compared to 38 for Europe, 41 for Japan and 30 for China Declining ‘Dependency Ratio’ But, Second Largest aged Population of the World Rapidly increasing share of Elderly 18-03-2016 Ringing alarm 64 18-03-2016 Increasing ‘Old Age Dependency Ratio’ In 1991 – 12.19% In 2001 – 13.08% Higher for female Decreasing Work participation of Elderly Demographic Dividend will be open till 2035 Dependency Ratio will start increasing again Proportion of the middle age group will also decline Only one in ten worker is covered for pension Looking ahead for Vulnerable Groups 65 For Disabled Low opportunities of Education and Employment for disabled Serious limitations like low coverage, lack of funds, lack of awareness programmes, non-cooperation of local authorities, loopholes in the system of selection and certification of beneficiaries, need to be removed Services confined only to urban areas, and should penetrate rural areas as well Policy Issues 18-03-2016 Equal opportunities for better education and employment need to be provided Services need to be strengthened Need to expand services to rural areas Ch. 8 of NHDR - Vulnerable Groups Looking ahead for Vulnerable Groups 66 For Elderly Decreasing work participation of Elderly Demographic Dividend will be open till 2035 Only on in ten worker is covered under pension scheme Policy Issues Coverage of insurance need to be widened Subsidies and transfer of public money should be increased 18-03-2016 Ch. 8 of NHDR - Vulnerable Groups India’s Human Development Report 2011 : Main Messages 67 India’s Human Development Index registers impressive gains in last decade Developed states continue to perform while backward states performed better – inter-state inequality in HDI declining over time SC, ST & Muslim communities show promising improvements on social parameters & convergence with national avg – a move towards social inclusion Consumption & wages rise b/w 2004-5 & 2009-10 India’s Human Development Report 2011 : Main Messages 68 2/3 hhs reside in pucca houses & 3/4 hhs have access to electricity for domestic use today Despite Right to Education Act, school education faces challenges of quality & employability Despite improvements, health/ nutrition / sanitation challenges are most serious