The Development of Regional Hybrid Environment Accounts Tsunenori Ashiya tsunenori_ashiya@pref.hyogo.lg.jp Data & Analysis division, Policy Planning & Coordination Office Hyogo Prefectural Government , JAPAN CONTENTS 1. Establishment and Development of Regional Hybrid Accounting System 2. Framework and Features of Regional Hybrid Accounting System 3. Estimation Results for Regional Accounting System 4. Application of Regional Hybrid Accounting System Profile of Hyogo Prefecture ・Hyogo Prefecture contains a rich variety of communities ranging from large cities to rural villages. ・Hyogo Prefecture has become known as a Japan in Miniature. ・Hyogo has an overall area of 8,392 square kilometers, with a population of about 5.6 million as of January 2007. Backgrounds 1 The Japanese hybrid accounting system fails to specify the process for disposal of wastes from household and industry sectors as part of economic activities or a physical cyclulation. 2 A regional hybrid account system should be developed to detect emerging environmental problems and to plan effective environmental and economic policies. The purposes of this study are • to model the waste-disposal process in Hyogo Prefecture in a detailed way • to develop a regional hybrid accounting system prototype (a Hyogo Prefecture pilot-case version) The purposes of this study were • to aim at helping prefectural government (statistical and environmental administration departments) , researchers at universities , other institutes – to estimate a Hyogo Prefecture pilot-case version of the regional hybrid accounting system prototype to specify the waste disposal process. Overview of research activities on environmental accounting in the Cabinet Office of Japan 2005~2007 1 Developing the common framework of Regional Hybrid Accounting System Prototype (research on interactions between economy and environment) 2 To estimate a Hyogo Prefecture pilot case version of the regional hybrid accounting system Features of Japanese Hybrid Accounting System 1 It attaches the stock accounts to the capital accounts and records the various social capitals and environmental protection plants. 2 It estimates the emission of pollutions not only by households, but also by the government. 3 It introduces the land use accounts. 4 It adds coal, forests, water, and fish to the category of natural resources. Note) “ The Development of Japanese NAMEA” http://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/sateraito/041012/text.pdf Outline of the common framework of Regional Hybrid Environment Accounts 1 It is based on the original NAMEA estimates for 1990, 1995, 2000 and 2003 * NAMEA : National Accounting Matrix including Environmental Accounts. 2 It has twofold parallel structure: national accounting matrix (NAM) in the monetary term and environmental accounts (EA) in the physical term. Figure 1 Concept of Basic Table for Regional Hybrid Accounting System Environmental accounts Disposal of water pollutants Input of goods for internal disposal Transportation to incineration or final disposal sites Waste goods for disposal Table for accumulations in economy and environment (recording wastes for final disposal) Disposal of air pollutants Goods for internal disposal Input Water pollutants Emission Air pollutants Waste account (recording waste emissions) Prefectural NAM (recording economic activities) EA on quantitative basis Water pollution Attached NAM table on quantitative basis Quantitative account (recording wastes subjected to internal disposal) NAM on monetary value basis Air pollution Economic accounts Structure of Basic Table for Regional Hybrid Accounting System Attached NAM table NAM Prefecture NAM (recording economic activities) Waste account (recording waste emissions) Air pollutants Water pollutants Goods for internal disposal Waste goods disposal feedback EA Quantitative account (recording wastes subjected to internal disposal) Table for accumulations in economy and environment (recording wastes for final disposal) Emitted environment accounts Estimation Results for Hyogo pilotcase (Hybrid Accounting System) Environmental protection service supply and use tables – to allow viewers to see easily which parties provide sewage treatment, waste disposal, recycling and other environmental protection services – to see how these services are provided and utilized. Feature 1 Quantitative illustration of waste disposal process 1. The table is designed to quantitatively record details of the process. 2. The process is as follows; Waste goods for disposal are emitted through economic activities. Waste goods are put into a recycling path or transported to incineration or final disposal sites. Feature 2 Illustration of internal disposal operations 1.The table is designed to quantitatively record the process in which air and water pollutants emitted through economic activities are reduced by internal disposal operations. 2. This table would shed light on internal disposal activities before being emission. 3. These activities the efforts by producers and consumers to reduce environmental pollutions (they might be the results environmental policies) . Feature 3 Economic tabulation of waste disposal and internal operations The NAM includes a mechanism to specifically record the economic activities. That is on a monetary value basis. Feature 4 Potential Applications The regional hybrid accounting system is different from the Japanese hybrid accounting system. The former fails to include ・details of materials accounts, environmental problems, environmental indicators. ・stock accounts. Regional System of Integrated Environmental and Economic Accounting 1. Basic Table for Regional Hybrid Accounting System (Table 1) see page 4 2. Regional Environmental Protection Service-Supply Table (Table 2) 3. Regional Environmental Protection Service-Use Table (Table 3) see page 5 Framework of Regional Hybrid Accounting System Attached NAM table (on Quantitative basis ) 1 Air pollution: CO2、Nitrogen oxide, Sulfur oxide 2 Water pollution: Chemical oxygen, Total phosphorus, Total nitrogen 3 Wastes: Goods for Internal disposal, Recyclable goods, Goods for incineration, Goods for Final disposal, Final waste disposal Application of Regional Hybrid Accounting System 1 The regional hybrid account system gives a prototype Environmental Efficiency Improvement Index 2 It is the SAM Multiplier Analysis Based on Regional Hybrid Accounting System 3 It is the comparison of Regional and Japanese Hybrid Accounting Systems What does EDP indicate? 1 If NDP has larger growth rate than imputed environmental cost, EDP is increasing while the imputed environmental cost is increasing. Therefore, EDP is not adequate indicator for sustainability. 2 We need other indicators such as OECD’s decoupling indicator. Environmental Efficiency Improvement Index (EEII) EEII=(1- Closing EP/Opening EP Closing DF/Opening DF ) X 100 EP: Environmental Pressures DF: Driving Forces ( ex. GDP ) EEII≧0 ⇒ EP’s growth rate ≦ DF’s growth rate ⇒”Environmental efficiency is improving” EEII<0 ⇒ EP’s growth rate > DF’s growth rate ⇒”Environmental efficiency is deteriorating” Remarks on EEII 1 EEII represents the relationship between economic activities and environmental pressures . 2 OECD calls this type of index "decoupling indicator." 3 EEII does not represent a strong sustainability because environmental pressures may be larger than sustainable flow level even if environmental efficiency is improving. (continued) Remarks on EEII 4 EEII is flow a indicator and not a stock indicator. Stock of EP (environmental pressures) is increasing as long as EP occurs every year, even if EP’s growth rate is on the downward trend ( EEII is on the upward trend) year by year. 5 Therefore, the stock of EP might increases over the sustainable stock level of EP. EEII is efficiency indicator, not necessarily adequate indicator for sustainability. Decoupling index improving: wastes final disposal volume deteriorating:CO2,NOx,SOx emissions D ecoupling index ( H yogo P refecture ) % 1995/1990 40.00 2000/1995 2003/2000 29.38 30.00 28.65 21.29 16.38 27.67 24.64 20.00 10.00 -0.46 0.00 -2.07 -10.00 -20.00 -5.85 -8.72 -11.81 -16.63 C O 2 em ission total N O X gross em issions S O X gross em issions W astes final disposal volum e Degree of Improvement in Environmental Efficiency Improvement Index The index is designed to measure the changes in pollution level for the environmental themes. 1 wastes : final waste disposal volume per unit GDP 2 greenhouse gas effects (global warming) 3 acidification or any other themes. SAM Multiplier Analysis • We can use for analyzing economic spillover effects in following situations. – greater export growth – greater internal-disposal activities – greater consumption of recycled products by households • We use the model for simulation under following conditions. – a 10% increase in other goods and service – greater export growth case – industry for goods and services other than those specified below SAM model analysis 1 We can analyze the case – greater export growth – greater internal disposal activities – greater consumption of recycled products by households 2 We can record – pollutants emitted through economic activities – waste disposal processes – waste accumulations Result: SAM Multiplier Analysis of Greater Export Growth Case (FY 2000) Table 5 SAM Multiplier Analysis of Greater Export Growth Case (FY 2000) Goods and services other than those specified on the right Goods and service account NAM(monetary value) 1a Government service producers For households and private nonprofit organization Recycled products 1b Waste disposal service 1e 1c 719,267.1 32,077.1 4.7 687,190.0 1d 7,601.1 4,172.7 514.0 4.7 4,320.0 72.1 7.2 5.4 6.9 0.0 6.4 -1.4 105,621.0 77,883.0 7,427.0 65,961.0 67,463.0 -5,245.0 Non-market Industry activities other than those specified below External Recycling activities environmental Other waste disposal protection activities activities Internal disposal activities in industry 1i 113,222.1 82,055.7 7,941.0 65,965.7 71,783.0 -5,172.9 2a 36,929,269.8 2,493,456.7 7.2 34,435,813.1 2b 94,495.9 6,343.9 7.2 88,152.0 2c 78,015.3 3,967.3 5.4 74,048.0 2d Government service producers Government External Other waste disposal service environmental activities producers protection Sewage treatment activities activities For households and private non-profit service producers Private final Private final Consumption account consumption consumption Employee income Income 2e 19,975.6 2,443,637.8 1,348.7 11,239.8 7.2 0.5 18,626.9 2,432,398.0 2g 73,906.7 518.7 0.7 73,388.0 2h 66,605.9 4,391.9 7.1 62,714.0 2j 693,329.4 30,920.4 4.7 662,409.0 3a 11,289,176.6 623,425.4 5.8 10,665,751.0 4 accrual account 6 655,056.4 117,738.2 373,467.2 904,011.4 5.7 7.1 8.4 5.2 11,509,130.0 1,663,846.0 4,435,278.0 17,468,432.0 Industry Government service producers Economic accounts Industry Estimation results Baseline Gap Ratio(%) 51,299,302.3 3,463,718.3 7.2 47,835,584.0 2,474,787.0 11,383.0 0.5 2,463,404.0 Industry Production account (broken down by category) Waste disposal Sewage Market 1f Non-market 1g Market 1h Operating surplus, mixed income 7 Current transfer (by category) Institutional sector (net prefectural accrual income) Institutional sector (net prefectural disposable accrual income) 8 12,164,186.4 1,781,584.2 4,808,745.2 18,372,443.4 9 37,126,959.2 2,050,273.2 5.8 35,076,686.0 10 20,756,850.8 1,146,261.8 5.8 19,610,589.0 11 219,152.0 5,262,745.3 5,315,474.0 0.0 267,660.3 270,342.0 0.0 5.4 5.4 219,152.0 4,995,085.0 5,045,132.0 Gross value added Taxes on production and imports - Subsidies Income distribution and use account Capital transfer (net) Accumulation Non-financial asstets accounts Institutional sector (net prefecture savings) 12 13 Result: SAM Multiplier Analysis of Greater Export Growth Case (FY 2000) Waste account Air polution Water polution CO2 etc 15a NOx 15b SOx 15c COD 15d T-P 15e T-N 15f Goods for internal 16 Total emissions Waste goods for disposal Recycable goods Goods for incineration Good for final 17 18 19 disposal Final waste disposal 20 Quantitative account Attached NAM table(on quantitative basis) EA(quantitiative basis) Envuronmental accounts Economic accounts Table 5-2 SAM Multiplier Analysis of Greater Export Growth Case (FY 2000) Air pollution Water pollution CO2 etc 21a NOx 21b SOx 21c COD 22a T-P 22b T-N 22c Emissions Disposal Accumulations Estimation results Baseline Estimation results Baseline Estimation results Baseline Gap Ratio(%) Gap Ratio(%) Gap Ratio(%) 83,081.4 5,418.4 7.0 77,663.0 82,586.0 4,923.0 6.3 77,663.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 125,725.5 8,381.5 7.1 117,344.0 125,242.8 7,898.8 6.7 117,344.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 52,213.7 3,490.7 7.2 48,723.0 52,057.4 3,334.4 6.8 48,723.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 31,649.8 1,931.9 6.5 29,717.9 30,728.6 1,010.7 3.4 29,717.9 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 2,064.6 128.4 6.6 1,936.2 2,015.3 79.2 4.1 1,936.2 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 31,897.0 2,005.8 6.7 29,891.2 31,232.9 1,341.7 4.5 29,891.2 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 10,170.2 683.8 7.2 9,486.4 10,169.1 682.7 7.2 9,486.4 1.1 1.1 - 0.0 3,419.8 213.0 6.6 3,206.8 3,206.8 0.0 0.0 3,206.8 213.0 213.0 - 0.0 2,501.9 144.9 6.1 2,357.0 2,357.0 0.0 0.0 2,357.0 144.9 144.9 - 0.0 2,357.0 0.0 0.0 2,357.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 2,357.0 0.0 0.0 2,357.0 82,659.2 125,242.8 52,057.4 30,728.6 2,015.3 31,232.9 4,996.2 7,898.8 3,334.4 1,010.7 79.2 1,341.7 6.4 77,663.0 6.7 117,344.0 6.8 48,723.0 3.4 29,717.9 4.1 1,936.2 4.5 29,891.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - 0.0 83,154.6 0.0 125,725.5 0.0 52,213.7 0.0 31,649.8 0.0 2,064.6 0.0 31,897.0 5,491.6 8,381.5 3,490.7 1,931.9 128.4 2,005.8 7.1 77,663.0 7.1 117,344.0 7.2 48,723.0 6.5 29,717.9 6.6 1,936.2 6.7 29,891.2 Comparison of Hyogo Prefecture and Japanese Hybrid Accounting Systems 1. Economic activities and their environmental pressures (Table 6) 2. Air pollutant emissions (Table 7) 3. Water pollutant emissions (Table 8) 4. Waste emissions (Table 9) Table 6 Comparison of population ,GDP • Hyogo prefecture accounts for – 4.4% of Japan’s population – 4.0% of nation’s production value and GDP – 3.8% of nationwide final consumption expenditure Table 6 C om parison of P roduction V alue,G ross D om estic P roduct and Final C onsum ption Expenditure D ata (betw een Japan and H yogo P refecture for 2000) P opulation 1,000 persons Japan P roduction value G ross dom estic Finalconsum ption (in producer prices) product expenditure (for private (in producer prices) and governm ent sectors) 1 billion yen 1 billion yen 1 billion yen 126,887 941,271 506,373 369,770 H yogo P refecture 5,551 37,882 20,188 13,943 H yogo's share (%) 4.4 4.0 4.0 3.8 Table 7 Air Pollutant Emissions 1)Production activities CO2,NOx, SOx emissions: accounting for 6.0% of nationwide emissions 2)Final consumption NOx,SOx emissions: accounting for 6.0% of nationwide emissions t Air Pollutant Em issions per U nit Production Value and Final C onsum ption Expenditure(per 100 m illion yen for 2000) 350.0 JAPAN 300.0 H yogo Prefecture 250.0 200.0 150.0 100.0 50.0 0.0 C O 2,etc N ox P roduction activities S ox C O 2,etc N ox S ox Final consum ption Expenditure Table 8 Water Pollutant Emissions 1)Production activities COD and T-N emissions :accounting for 4.0% of Japan’s total T-P emissions : accounting for 4.8% of Japan’s total 2)Final consumption expenditure COD ,T-N and T-P emissions : accounting for 4.0% of Japan’s total kg W ater P ollutant Em issions per production value and final consum ption expenditure (per 100 m illion yen for 2000) JA P A N 120.0 H yogo P refecture 100.0 80.0 60.0 40.0 20.0 0.0 CO D T -P T -N P roduction activities CO D T -P T -N Final consum ption expenditure Table 9 Waste Emissions 1) Production activities totaled 27,337,000 tons accounting for 6.4% of the national total 2) Final consumption expenditure totaled 1,806,000 tons accounting for 5.0% of the national total W aste Em issions per unit production value and final consum ption expenditure (per 100 m illion yen for 2000) kg 100,000 JA P A N H yogo P refecture 75,000 50,000 25,000 0 P roduction activities Final consum ption expenditure Table 10 Recyclable Goods Emissions 1)Recyclable goods totaled 9,486,000 tons accounting for 4.9% of the national total 2) Recyclable volume per unit production value in recycling industry 10,761 tons per 100 million yen, equivalent to 87.6% of national level R ecyclable volum e per production value in recycling industry (per m illion for 2000) t 15,000 12,500 JA P A N H yogo P refecture 10,000 7,500 5,000 2,500 0 P roduction activities Final consum ption expenditure T otal Table 11 Emissions of Wastes for Final Disposal 1) Final waste disposal volume totaled 2,357,000 tons accounting for 4.2% of Japan’s total 2) Final disposal volume per production value in the waste disposal industry 1,599 tons per 100 million yen, equivalent to 97.6% of the national level Final w aste disposal volum e per production value in w aste disposal industry (per m illion yen for 2000) t 2,000 JA P A N H yogo P refecture 1,500 1,000 500 0 P roduction activities Final consum ption expenditure T otal Examples of Regional Environmental Assessment Indexes Index Hybrid accounting system indexes Item Input-ouput ratio Goal attainment ratio Others Corporate activity index Environmental conservation activities Environmental conditions Waste disposal activities Other indexes Others Benefit/cost Achievement/Goal Environmental pressure indicators Wastes Air environment Environmental conservation Environmental assessment Environmetnal loss from internal factors Environmental loss from external factors Environmental conservation cost Raw materials cost for disposal Capital cost for disposal Labor cost for disposal Economic efficiency indicator Induced final disposal volume General social indicators Source: "Manual for Developing Regional Hybrid Accounting System," Cabinet Office, 2007 Research issues for the future 1 The regional hybrid account system should include more regional specific features. 2 The account system fails to include details of materials accounts, environmental problems environmental indicators or stock accounts. Prefecture governments may be encouraged to add these contents to make their own hybrid accounts system. Closing remarks I think that International exchange of information is extremely useful. Especially on this party, I would extend my best thanks to organizing this conference and giving me the opportunity of this presentation. Thank You for Your Attention