Stability of multiple trigger wheeze and episodic viral wheeze in preschoolers Gerben ter Riet, AMC-UvA Lonneke B. van der Mark, AMC-UvA Jacob Mohrs, AMC-UvA Ronald B. Geskus, AMC-UvA Wim M.C. van Aalderen, AMC-UvA Patrick J.E. Bindels, EUR Karina E. van Wonderen, AMC-UvA 2 3 Background • ERS Task Force 2008: tired of retrospective definitions “transient wheezer”, “persistent wheezer” • Multiple trigger wheeze (MTW) • Episodic viral wheeze (EVW) • Guide treatment: effect modification? 4 Objectives We investigated the: 1. Prevalence of stable multiple trigger wheeze (MTW) and episodic viral wheeze (EVW) in a relevant population? 2. Instability patterns over 3 years 3. Association of stable MTW and EVW with asthma at age 6y 5 Methods • ARCADE study1: 14 GP centers, 2004 - 2011 • 1-5 year olds • Previous year (EMD): cough (≥2/y), wheeze (≥1/y), dyspnea (≥1/y) • 2-year follow-up + formal asthma diagnosis (methacholine) • ISAAC (symptoms)2 1. van Wonderen KE et al. Prediction and treatment of asthma in preschool children at risk: study design and baseline data of a prospective cohort study in general practice (ARCADE). BMC Pulm Med. 2009;9:13 2. Asher MI, et al. International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC): rationale and methods. Eur Respir J 1995; 8(3):483-91 6 Methods • Q1: “Child wheezed while having a cold in last year?” • Q2: “Child wheezed while not having a cold in last year?” • MTW¶: Yes – Yes; EVW¶: Yes – No; NWAS¶: No – No • Determine status three times: t0, t12, t24 ¶ ¶ ¶ MTW: multiple trigger wheeze EVW: episodic viral wheeze NWAS: non-wheezing airway symptoms 7 Methods Phenotype ERS label Baseline Stable MTW MTW Stable EVW EVW ¶ ¶ ¶ 12 months 24 months MTW MTW EVW EVW NWAS NWAS Stable NWAS NWAS Stable mixed wheeze MTW EVW MTW MTW MTW EVW .. .. .. EVW MTW EVW MTW NWAS MTW MTW NWAS EVW .. .. .. NWAS EVW NWAS Non-stable wheeze ¶ MTW: multiple trigger wheeze; EVW: episodic viral wheeze; NWAS: non-wheezing airway symptoms 8 Methods Outcomes • Prevalences • Stability over 3 years (transitions, graphs) • Association with asthma (logistic regression) 9 Results Children included in ARCADE cohort (n=771) Excluded 4 and 5 years old at baseline (n=157) No questionnaire at baseline (n=49) One, 2 and 3- year old children (n=565) Children with information on phenotype at 0, 12 and 24 months (n=281) Excluded No questionnaire at 12 or 24 months (n=261) Information about ICS use unknown (n=23) Excluded Asthma at age 6 unknown (n=75) Children with asthma outcome at age 6 (n=206) 10 Results • Prevalence of stable MTW (MTW-MTW-MTW) 10/281 (3.6%; 95%CI 1.9 – 6.4) • Prevalence of stable EVW (EVW-EVW-EVW) 24/281 (8.5%; 95%CI 5.8 – 12.4) 11 Trajectories originating from the three main phenotypes. Numbers are percentages (adding up to 100% in each graph) 18 NWAS N=49 14 16 EVW 8 MTW NWAS 8 12 EVW MTW NWAS Baseline 20 2 After 24 months After 12 months 34 N=126 NWAS 32 2 19 4 3 2 2 EVW EVW 2 MTW Baseline After 12 months After 24 months 76 NWAS NWAS MTW EVW MTW NWAS 6 6 EVW EVW All others < 5% MTW N=106 Baseline t0 After 12 months t12 After 24 months t24 MTW 12 Results • Association of stable MTW and EVW with asthma at age 6 years (n=206) Phenotype Asthma (n=83) No asthma (n=123) OR (95%CI) Stable MTW 8 (9.6) 1 (0.8) 14.4 (1.7-119.1) Stable EVW 10 (12.0) 5 (4.1) 3.6 (1.2-11.3) Stable mixed 12 (14.5) 4 (3.3) 5.4 (1.6-17.8) Non-stable wheeze 39 (47.0) 70 (56.9) Reference Stable non-wheeze 14 (16.7) 43 (35.0) 0.6 (0.3-1.2) Results are not adjusted for other determinants 13 Conclusion • Multiple trigger wheeze and episodic viral wheeze unstable • This hampers use as “phenotype” and treatment selection variable • Stable MTW in preschoolers quite rare • Compared to non-stable wheeze, the 3 stable wheeze types in 1-3y olds are associated with asthma at the age of 6y g.terriet@amc.nl 14 15 ICS No I C S 16 Strengths & limitations • Uniform asthma definition • Misclassification: random?, single episodes underestimation! • Loss to follow-up = yes more siblings at t0 • No differentiation between long-term persistent and short-term intermittent ICS 17