• Open-Access Scholarly Publishing Malcolm Getz Vanderbilt University June 1, 2004 Two Questions Can open-access scholarship succeed? Should open-access scholarship succeed? • The goals are to lower costs and increase access. Four Topics Three Fundamental Ideas Transition from Paper to Digital Market Forces Strategies Three Fundamental Ideas • Substitutes versus Complements • Recipient versus Sender Payment • Packaging and Bundling From Paper to Digital • Cost to Universities in 2002 Library subscription fees, average $5,370,000 Library processing and storage, perhaps $1,110,000 Annual Cost in $000s for a Research Library, 2002 Of 21,000 serials titles, let Item Print 10,000 be refereed academic First Copy $1,840 journals. Distribution 320 Accounting 240 Profit 1,290 Other Serials 1,680 Publication Total $5,370 Following Bergstrom, put first copy costs at $1,840th, distribution at $320th, and accounting at $240th. Let 2,400 of the journals be high-priced commercial titles. Put profit at $1,290th. A Research Library’s Expenditures on Serials Annual Cost in $000s for a Research Library Item Print First Copy $1,84 0 Distribution 320 Accounting 240 Profit Other Serials Lib Processing Lib Storage Total 1,290 Publication Plus Library Costs Add $37 per serial title for 1,680 library processing. Put the present value of 790 perpetual storage of the 320 current year of each serial at $15. $6,48 0 Compare print to digital • Replace print subscriptions with digital subscriptions. Digital subscriptions that replace print subscriptions lower the publishers’ distribution costs by $300,000. Digital subscriptions lower library storage costs by $150,000. Annual Cost in $000s for a Research Library Item Print First Copy $1,840 $1,840 $0 Distribution 320 20 $300 Accounting 240 240 0 Profit 1,290 1,290 0 Other Serials 1,680 1,680 0 Lib Processing 790 790 0 Lib Storage 320 170 150 $6,480 $6,030 $450 Total Digital difference Print to Digital Digital Subscription to Open-Access Open-access means that authors pay page charges to journals that are available without charge on the Internet. Lower accounting costs because transactions are with authors rather than with readers. Lower library processing cost with universal free access on the Internet. Annual Cost in $000s for a Research Library Item Print First Copy $1,840 Distribution 320 20 20 0 Accounting 240 240 12 228 Profit 1,290 1,290 1,290 0 Other Serials 1,680 1,680 1,680 0 Lib Processing 790 790 420 370 Lib Storage 320 170 170 0 $6,030 $5,432 $598 Total $6,480 Digital Open difference $1,840 $1,840 Digital to Open-access $0 Profit to Non-Profit • Organize the open-access publications exclusively through non-profit publishers. Eliminate excess profit of high-priced commercial academic journals. Annual Cost in $000s for a Research Library Item Print Digital Open First Copy $1,840 Distribution 320 20 20 20 Accounting 240 240 12 12 Profit 1,290 1,290 1,290 0 Other Serials Lib Processing Lib Storage 1,680 1,680 1,680 1,680 790 780 420 420 320 170 170 170 Total $6,480 $6,030 $5,432 $4,142 $1,840 $1,840 NonProfit $1,840 Open-access to Non-profit Potential Cost Savings Annual Savings in $000s per Research Library • • Significant savings are possible by replacing print with digital, moving to open-access, and moving to non-profit organization. None of these savings is automatic. Distribution $300 Storage 150 Accounting 228 Processing 360 Profit 1,290 Total $2,328 Citation Rates Open-access will allow anyone on the Internet to search full-text databases and retrieve page images for any purpose without charge. Use of Medline increased seven fold after it became open-access. Some 30 percent of use is by people who are not health care providers. With more adults having BAs and more, use of scholarship might increase. Market Forces With large scale, publishers achieve market power, the ability to charge by ability-to-pay rather than cost. Elsevier’s Market Intelligence Manager looks for ways for libraries to lower operating costs so as to pay Elsevier more. Open-access could be offered by commercial publishers. Amount of Publication Fee The publication fees needed to support highquality editing are substantial. American Economic Review $13,000 per article Bergstrom estimate of average $1,820 per article Public Library of Science article $1,500 per Strategies Assure quality of editing of open-access journals. Tie size of publication fee to citation rate. Limit publication fees to not-for-profit publishers. Grow open access journals as ancillaries to indices. Two Conclusions Can open-access scholarship succeed? • Yes. Innovators can gain advantages. Should open-access scholarship succeed? • Yes. It should offer wider access at lower cost. Open-Access Scholarly Publishing • Malcolm.Getz@Vanderbilt.Edu