Sampling distribution of s2 The chi-square distribution results when independent variables with normal distributions are squared and summed. 2 ( x x ) i s2 n 1 Sampling distribution of 2 The chi-square distribution results when independent variables with normal distributions are squared and summed. -stat (n 1) 2 s2 2 2 ( n 1) 0 n–1 Sampling distribution of 2 The chi-square distribution results when independent variables with normal distributions are squared and summed. -stat (n 1) 2 s2 2 .025 2 .025 Sampling distribution of 2 The chi-square distribution results when independent variables with normal distributions are squared and summed. -stat (n 1) 2 .975 2 .975 s2 2 Interval Estimation of 2 To derive the interval estimate of 2, first substitute (n 1)s2/ 2 for 2 into the following inequality 2 2 .975 2 .025 2 .975 (n 1)s 2 2 2 .025 .025 Now write the above as two inequalities Interval Estimation of 2 Next, multiply the inequalities by 2 2 ( n 1) s 22 2 2 2 .975 ( n 1) s .975 2 2 ((nn 1) 1)ss22 22 2 (22n 1) s .025 2 Divide both of the inequalities above by the respective chisquare critical value: 22 .975 .975 2 2 2 22 .975 .975 (n 1)s 2 .975 .975 2 (n 1)s 2 .025 2 2 22 22 (n 1)s 25 2 ..0 025 22 22 .02 .025 5 .025 .025 22 (n 1)s 2 2 .975 Interval Estimation of 2 The 95% confidence interval for the population variance (n 1)s 2 2 .025 2 (n 1)s 2 2 .975 Interval Estimation of 2 The 1 - a confidence interval for the population variance (n 1)s 2 2 a.025 /2 2 (n 1)s 2 2 1.975 a/2 Interval Estimation of 2 Example 1 Buyer’s Digest rates thermostats manufactured for home temperature control. In a recent test, ten thermostats manufactured by ThermoRite were selected at random and placed in a test room that was maintained at a temperature of 68oF. Use the ten readings in the table below to develop a 95% confidence interval estimate of the population variance. Thermostat 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Temperature 67.4 67.8 68.2 69.3 69.5 67.0 68.1 68.6 67.9 67.2 Interval Estimation of 2 xi x xix 68.1 i ( x(ixi 68x.)12)2 67.4 67.8 68.2 69.3 69.5 67.0 68.1 68.6 67.9 67.2 -0.7 -0.3 0.1 1.2 1.4 -1.1 0.0 0.5 -0.2 -0.9 0.49 0.09 0.01 1.44 1.96 1.21 0.00 0.25 0.04 0.81 x 68.1 sum = 6.3 s 2 = 0.7 2 ( x x ) i s2 n 1 Interval Estimation of 2 ((10 n -1)(0.7) 1)s 2 a2 /2 2 2 ((10 n 1) s -1)(0.7) 12a /2 Interval Estimation of 2 ((10 n -1)(0.7) 1)s 2 2 a0.25 /2 2 2 ((10 n 1) s -1)(0.7) 2 0.975 1 a /2 1a .95 .025 .025 0 2 .975 9 2 .025 2 Interval Estimation of 2 Selected Values from the Chi-Square Distribution Table Degrees of Freedom Area in Upper Tail .99 .975 .95 .90 .10 .025 .01 5 0.554 0.831 1.145 1.610 11.070 12.832 15.086 6 0.872 1.237 1.635 2.204 10.645 12.592 14.449 16.812 7 1.239 1.690 2.167 2.833 12.017 14.067 16.013 18.475 8 1.647 2.180 2.733 3.490 13.362 15.507 17.535 20.090 9 2.088 2.700 3.325 4.168 14.684 16.919 19.023 21.666 10 2.558 3.247 3.940 4.865 15.987 18.307 20.483 23.209 2 .975 9.236 .05 2 .025 Interval Estimation of 2 ((10 n -1)(0.7) 1)s 2 2 19.023 a0.25 /2 2 2 ((10 n 1) s -1)(0.7) 2 2.700 1 a /2 0.975 0.331 2 2.333 We are 95% confident that the population variance is in this interval Hypothesis Testing – One Variance Example 2 Recall that Buyer’s Digest is rating ThermoRite thermostats. Buyer’s Digest gives an “acceptable” rating to a thermostat with a temperature variance of 0.5 or less. Conduct a hypothesis test--at the 10% significance level--to determine whether the ThermoRite thermostat’s temperature variance is “acceptable”. Hypotheses: H0 : 2 0.5 H a : 2 0.5 Recall that s2 = 0.7 and df = 9. With 0 = 0.5, 2 2 ( n 1)s (9) ( 0. 7) 2 -stat 12.6 2 0 0.5 Hypothesis Testing – One Variance a = .10 (column) and df = 10 – 1 = 9 (row) Selected Values from the Chi-Square Distribution Table Degrees of Freedom Area in Upper Tail .99 .975 .95 .90 .10 .025 .01 5 0.554 0.831 1.145 1.610 11.070 12.832 15.086 6 0.872 1.237 1.635 2.204 10.645 12.592 14.449 16.812 7 1.239 1.690 2.167 2.833 12.017 14.067 16.013 18.475 8 1.647 2.180 2.733 3.490 13.362 15.507 17.535 20.090 9 2.088 2.700 3.325 4.168 14.684 16.919 19.023 21.666 10 2.558 3.247 3.940 4.865 15.987 18.307 20.483 23.209 2 Our .10 value 9.236 .05 Hypothesis Testing – One Variance H0 : 2 0.5 n 1 9 Do not reject H0 Reject H0 .10 9 a = .10 12.6 14.684 2 2 -stat There is insufficient evidence to conclude that the temperature variance for ThermoRite thermostats is unacceptable. Sampling distribution of F The F-distribution results from taking the ratio of variances of normally distributed variables. 12 1 2 2 if 12 = 22 Sampling distribution of F The F-distribution results from taking the ratio of variances of normally distributed variables. Bigger s12 F -stat 2 ≈1 s2 0 1 if 12 = 22 Sampling distribution of F The F-distribution results from taking the ratio of variances of normally distributed variables. s12 F -stat 2 ≈1 s2 .025 F.025 Sampling distribution of F The F-distribution results from taking the ratio of variances of normally distributed variables. s12 F -stat 2 ≈1 s2 .975 F.975 Hypothesis Testing – Two Variances Example 3 Buyer’s Digest has conducted the same test, but on 10 other thermostats. This time it test thermostats manufactured by TempKing. The temperature readings of the 10 thermostats are listed below. We will conduct a hypothesis at a 10% level of significance to see if the variances are equal for both thermostats. ThermoRite Sample Temperature 67.4 67.8 68.2 69.3 69.5 67.0 68.1 68.6 67.9 67.2 s2 = 0.7 and df = 9 TempKing Sample Temperature 67.7 66.4 69.2 70.1 69.5 69.7 68.1 66.6 67.3 67.5 s2 = ? and df = 9 Hypothesis Testing – Two Variances TempKing xi xi 68.21 x xi 67.7 66.4 69.2 70.1 69.5 69.7 68.1 66.6 67.3 67.5 -0.51 -1.81 0.99 1.89 1.29 1.49 -0.11 -1.61 -0.91 -0.71 x 68.21 2 ( xi( xi 68 x.2)12) 0.2601 3.2761 0.9801 3.5721 1.6641 2.2201 0.0121 2.5921 0.8281 0.5041 sum = 15.909 2 ss21 = 1.768 1.768 ( xi x ) 2 s n 1 2 s22 0.7 Since this is larger Than ThermoRite’s Hypothesis Testing – Two Variances H 0 : 12 22 H a : 12 22 Hypotheses: a/2 = .05 (row) & n2 1 9 n1 = 10 – 1 = 9 (column) Selected Values from the F Distribution Table Denominator Area in Degrees Upper of Freedom Tail 9 Numerator Degrees of Freedom 7 8 9 10 15 .01 6.18 6.03 5.91 5.81 5.52 .10 2.51 2.47 2.44 2.42 2.34 .05 3.29 3.23 3.18 3.14 3.01 .025 4.20 4.10 4.03 3.96 3.77 .01 5.61 5.47 5.35 5.26 F.05 4.96 Hypothesis Testing – Two Variances s12 1.768 F -stat 2.532 s2 0.70 Reject H0 Do not Reject H0 .05 .05 F.95 Reject H0 There is insufficient evidence to conclude that the population variances differ for the two thermostat brands. ≈1 2.53 3.18 F