FOSSIL FUELS I PETROLEUM Approximately 83 % of the energy used in the US comes from fossil fuels Oil and Natural Gas (Petroleum) Coal Oil Shale and Tar Sand US Energy Sources (2010) Formation Process Results in various hydrocarbons (organic compounds with mostly Hydrogen and Carbon in them…more later). These can be solid, liquid, or gas. Liquid and gas migrate through porous rock layer (sand stone) until they get caught in a trap or escape. Typical Deposit A few miles across Approximately 1 mile down (sometimes more. VERY HARD TO FIND Types of Oil Traps Tools for Searching for Deposits Gravitational/Magnetic Anomalies Easy to do over a wide area, but is a very coarse measurement. Good to pick out regions for further study Geological Survey Look at the rocks and minerals in the region. Certain types are indicative of hydrocarbon deposits. Tools for Searching for Deposits Mapping of surface conditions begins with reconnaissance, and if that indicates the presence of hydrocarbons, then detailed mapping begins. Originally, both of these maps required field work. Often, the mapping job became easier by using aerial photos. After the mapping, much of the more intensive exploration depends on geophysical methods (principally, seismic) that can give 3-D constructions of subsurface structural and stratigraphic traps for the hydrocarbons. Then, the potential traps are sampled by exploratory drilling and their properties measured. Seismic Survey Gives a detailed picture of the subsurface Very expensive Used over limited but promising areas. Example Seismic Image US Oil & Gas Locations Eventually you must drill a wildcat well. (1st well in a region.) Even with all of the research, only 1 out of 9 wildcat wells results in a commercially viable well. Historically, it takes about 11 years for a new discovery to begin producing. Production Primary Recovery gets 15% of oil Secondary Recovery (pumping water down the well) gets another 20%. 65% is still down there. Enhanced Production Much more expensive Works by reducing surface tension and viscosity of the oil Enhanced Production Methods Pump in pressurized Carbon Dioxide to reduce viscosity Pump in steam to reduce viscosity Add detergent to reduce surface tension with surrounding rock (then flood with water. What is in Oil? Hydrocarbons, These are the Alkanes CnH2n+2 Oil Refinery Product Percent of Total Lubricants 0.9 % Other Refined Products 1.5 % Asphalt and Road Oil 1.9 % Liquefied Refinery Gas 2.8 % Residual Fuel Oil 3.3 % Marketable Coke 5.0 % Still Gas 5.4 % Jet Fuel 12.6 % Distillate Fuel Oil 15.3 % Finished Motor Gasoline 51.4 % One barrel contains 42 gallons of crude oil. The total volume of products made from crude oil based origins is 48.43 gallons on average - 6.43 gallons greater than the original 42 gallons of crude oil. This represents a "processing gain" due to the additional other petroleum products such as alkylates are added to the refining process to create the final products. Additionally, California gasoline contains approximately 5.7 percent by volume of ethanol, a non-petroleum-based additive that brings the total processing gain to 7.59 gallons (or 49.59 total gallons). Fun Fact to know and tell… The refining of oil is a very energy intensive process. Approximately 8% of the total US energy consumption goes into running oil refineries. Gasoline Octane Rating Normally, gasoline is composed of hydrocarbons with 5 - 10 Carbon atoms. Each one burns differently. Octane: C8H18 is a standard for comparison, it burns very smoothly. Heptane: C7H16 burns explosively, causes inefficiency and engine “knock” Octane rating Pure Octane: Pure Heptane: 90% Oct, 10% Hep 100 0 90 Using additives we may also produce a fuel with the same level of “engine knock” as a given Octane-Heptane mix. This is given the same octane rating (tetraethyl lead was the old additive… it is now illegal.) Burning of Gas (Ideal) 2C8H18 + 25 O2 16 CO2 + 18 H2O + energy Octane + Air Carbon Dioxide + Water + energy Realistically, 2C8H18 + 25O2 14 CO2 + 2CO + O2 + 18H2O + energy. In addition, since there is Nitrogen in the air we get nitrous oxides (big part of smog) NOx N2 +2O2 2NO2 N2 +O2 2NO Gas Taxes (Chicago) After cost of gasoline (oil, refining, transportation), taxes are the largest contributor to the cost at the pump. $0.579 for gasoline $0.657 for diesel Federal – $0.184 Illinois - $0.201 Cook County - $0.0647 City of Chicago - $0.1275 $0.003 for underground storage tank fund Discussion Question: Should federal and/or state gas taxes be raised or lowered? Explain your reasoning. Profits! (2010): Biggest Companies Revenues ($billions) Net Profit ($billions) Profit Margin Wal-mart 408.2 14.3 3.4 % Exxon – Mobil 284.7 19.3 6.8 % Chevron 163.5 10.5 6.4 % General Electric 156.8 11.0 7.0 % Bank of America 150.5 6.3 4.2 % ConocoPhilips 139.5 4.9 3.5 % AT & T 123.0 12.5 10.2 % Ford Motor Co. 118.3 2.7 2.3 % JP Morgan Chase 115.6 11.7 10.1 % Hewlett-Packard 114.6 7.6 6.6 % Berkshire Hathaway 112.5 8.1 7.2 % Citigroup 108.8 -1.6 -1.5 % Company Profits! (2010): Most Profitable Rank Company Revenues Profit margin 85 Merck 27,428.30 12,901.30 47.03645505 39 Goldman Sachs Group 51,673.00 13,385.00 25.90327637 94 Philip Morris International 25,035.00 6,342.00 25.33253445 36 Microsoft 58,437.00 14,569.00 24.93112241 72 Coca-Cola 30,990.00 6,824.00 22.02000645 33 Johnson & Johnson 61,897.00 12,266.00 19.81679241 75 Abbott Laboratories 30,764.70 5,745.80 18.67660013 40 Pfizer 50,009.00 8,635.00 17.26689196 58 Cisco Systems 36,117.00 6,134.00 16.98369189 22 Procter & Gamble 79,697.00 13,436.00 16.85885291 56 Apple 36,537.00 5,704.00 15.61157183 98 Travelers Cos. 24,680.00 3,622.00 14.67585089 20 International Business Machines 95,758.00 13,425.00 14.01971637 50 PepsiCo 43,232.00 5,946.00 13.75370096 19 Wells Fargo 98,636.00 12,275.00 12.44474634 62 Intel 35,127.00 4,369.00 12.43772597 7 AT&T 123,018.00 12,535.00 10.18956575 59 Comcast 35,756.00 3,638.00 10.17451617 9 J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. 115,632.00 11,728.00 10.1425211 65 Prudential Financial 32,688.00 3,124.00 9.557023984 Profits! (2007) Company Revenue ($billions) Wal-mart 351 Exxon-Mobil 347 General Motors 207 Chevron 200.5 ConocoPhillips 172.4 General Electric 168.3 Ford Motor 160.1 Citigroup 146.8 Bank of America 117 AIG 113.2 JP Morgan / Chase 100 Berkshire Hathaway 98.5 Profit ($billions) 11 39.5 -2 17.1 15.6 20.8 -12.6 21.5 21.1 14 14.4 11 % 3.13 11.38 -0.97 8.53 9.05 12.36 -7.87 14.65 18.03 12.37 14.40 11.17 Taxes! From 1977 to 2004, federal and state governments extracted $397 billion by taxing the profits of the largest oil companies and an additional $1.1 trillion in taxes at the pump. In today's dollars, that's $2.2 trillion. From a Feb 2008 article…Over the last three years, Exxon Mobil has paid an average of $27 billion annually in taxes. That's $27,000,000,000 per year, a number so large it's hard to comprehend. Here's one way to put Exxon's taxes into perspective. According to IRS data for 2007, the most recent year available: Total number of tax returns: 154 million Total Adjusted Gross Income: $ 8.6 trillion Federal Revenue from Income Taxes: $1.55 trillion Number of Tax Returns for the Bottom 50%: 77 million Total Income Tax Paid by the Bottom 50%: $44.8 billion (2.89 %) People earning less than $32 900. Exxon-Mobil’s effective tax rate is 41 %. Taxes! Paying Dearly to Drill "Our industry is one of the most heavily taxed in the world," says Gantt Walton, an Exxon spokesman. "While our worldwide profits have grown, our worldwide income taxes have grown even more." Walton says. From 2003 to 2007, Exxon's earnings grew by 89%, while income taxes grew by 170%. Much of that growth was overseas. Oil-producing countries charge companies like Exxon dearly to dig for oil. Arrangements vary from country to country, but Russia and Libya charge companies up to 90% of the revenues they collect for extracting oil, according to Fadel Gheit, senior analyst for Oppenheimer. These arrangements—whether production share agreements or royalty contracts—are not disclosed by companies and governments. Discussion Questions: Do oil companies make too much money? Do oil companies pay enough or too much in corporate taxes and other fees? In general, what are your thoughts on individual wealth, taxes and government? Explain your reasoning. WORLD & US OIL Proven RESERVES WORLD has around 1300 billion barrels US - 23 billion barrels (1.9%) Canada – 178.5 billion barrels Where are the Proven Reserves Rank Country Proven Reserves in Billion Barrels 1 Saudi Arabia 266 2 Canada* (tar sand) 178 3 Iran 138 4 Iraq 115 5 Kuwait 104 6 United Arab Emirates 97.8 7 Venezuela 87 8 Russia & East Europe 99 9 Libya 41 10 Nigeria 36 US Oil Produced and Found What about ANWR? The Alaska National Interest Lands Conservation Act (1980) established the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR). In section 1002 of that act, Congress deferred a decision regarding future management of the 1.5-million-acre coastal plain in recognition of the area’s potentially enormous oil and gas resources and its importance as wildlife habitat. A report on the resources, including petroleum, of the 1002 area was submitted to Congress in 1987 by the Department of the Interior (DOI). Since completion of that report, numerous wells have been drilled and oil fields discovered near ANWR, new geologic and geophysical data have become available, seismic processing and interpretation capabilities have improved, and the economics of North Slope oil development have changed significantly. What about ANWR? A new assessment estimates that the total quantity of technically recoverable oil in the 1002 area is 7.7 BBO (mean value), which is distributed among 10 plays. Most of the oil is estimated to occur in the western, undeformed part of the ANWR 1002 area, which is closest to existing infrastructure. Furthermore, the oil is expected to occur in a number of accumulations rather than a single large accumulation. Estimates of economically recoverable oil, expressed by probability curves, show increasing amounts of oil with increasing price. At prices less than $13 per barrel, no commercial oil is estimated, but at a price of $30 per barrel, between 3 and 10.4 billion barrels are estimated. Economic analysis includes the costs of finding, developing, producing, and transporting oil to market based on a 12 percent after-tax return on investment, all calculated in constant 1996 dollars.