Future Food Scenarios: Capstone Project Stage 2 Worksheet Capstone Project Stage 2: Water, crops and climate (end of module 6) The diagram below summarizes the topics you will explore in Stage 2 for your assigned region. In Stage 2 of the capstone, you will engage in spatial thinking and geographic facility to interpret spatial data (for example annual precipitation and evapotranspiration data) and interpret how multiple regional factors contribute to determining which crops are produced in your region. 1 Future Food Scenarios: Capstone Project Stage 2 Worksheet What to do for Stage 2? Download and complete the CapstoneProject_Stage2.docx worksheet that contains a table summarizing the data you’ll need to collect to complete this stage. Remember, you need to think deeply about each response and write responses that reflect the depth of your thought as informed by your research. Add relevant data to your powerpoint file. Add questions and continue to research the questions in your worksheets. Capstone Project Overview: Where do you stand? At this stage, you should have started to investigate your assigned region and have added information, maps and data to your worksheets and powerpoint file for Stages 1 and 2. Upon completion of stage 2, you should have at this point: 1. Confirmed which region you will study for your capstone project and identified the members of your group. Set up systems for file sharing, group communication and group meetings. 2. Initiated research and data compilation in the Stages 1 and 2 sections of the Future Food Scenarios table. a. Stage 1: Regional food setting, history of regional food systems, soil types b. Stage 2: Water resources, crops and climate 3. Created a powerpoint file to hold the data that you are collecting about the food system of your assigned region. Information you may have: a. Labeled map of your region b. Soil map of your region c. Precipitation and temperature map of your region d. Major crops and crop families grown in your region 4. Compiled an initial list of questions you have about your region related to key course topics and initiated significant efforts to answer. 2 Future Food Scenarios: Capstone Project Stage 2 Worksheet Stage 2: Water, crops and climate Region Name Country State/Province Water Resources What is the average annual precipitation in your assigned region? Is irrigation necessary in your assigned region? (Learning goal 1) The regional climate data centers of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) post climate data for all of the United States. Go to the following website: http://www.wrcc.dri.edu/precip.html. Select the state where your region is located. Identify the range of annual precipitation that your region receives. 3 Future Food Scenarios: Capstone Project Stage 2 Worksheet Virtual Water How much virtual water is embedded in the food products from this region? Use the website you used in the summative assessment for Module 4 to get some rough estimates of the amount of virtual water embedded in the food products of your assigned region: http://environment.nationalgeographic.com/environment/freshwater/embedde d-water/ Water Pollution Go to EPA’s surf your watershed website. http://cfpub.epa.gov/surf/locate/index.cfm Find your region on this site. Are any waterways impaired by excess nutrients (or other agricultural related pollutants?) (Learning goal 2) Crops and their characteristics What crops are grown in your assigned region? Use the following two websites to find the top five crops produced in your region. 1. http://www.nass.usda.gov Go to the section labeled “Find Data and Reports” Begin by selecting your state, then select the link labeled the name of your State Agricultural Overview. You can also data by counties. 2. Next for US statistics: Use USDA CropScape website 4 Future Food Scenarios: Capstone Project Stage 2 Worksheet http://nassgeodata.gmu.edu/CropScape/ 1. What are the top five crops in your region? 2. Is each crop an annual or perennials? 3. In what plant family is each crop? Recall that you can refer to this reference http://pubs.ext.vt.edu/2906/2906-1393/29061393.html - http://pubs.ext.vt.edu/2906/2906-1393/29061393.html 4. Is each crop a cool season or warm season crop, a C3 or C4 plant? Crops, climate, soil Would you classify the soils and climate of your region as a high resource of low resource environment? How might climate and soils in your region explain why these crops are produced in that region? You may find complementary information on crops, climate, and soil at a regional level in the NRCS Major Land Use Areas publication at http://www.nrcs.usda.gov/Internet/FSE_DOCUMENTS/nrcs142 p2_050898.pdf 5 Future Food Scenarios: Capstone Project Stage 2 Worksheet Crops & Socioeconomic Factors What socio-economic factors might explain why these crops are produced in that region? One major socioeconomic factor could be markets and the ability to transport the products either locally or to other areas of the U.S. or other region. Another might be the economic level and ability to invest in production by residents of the region or companies producing food there. Future Climate What impacts will rising temperature and increased evaporation have on food production in your region? Determine what temperature increases are projected in your assigned region as a result of human-induced climate change. Also, you'll need to start thinking about what impacts those changes may have on the food system in your region. You'll use the National Climate Change Viewer (NCCV) that you were introduced to in Module 6.1 to investigate the projected changes in minimum and maximum monthly temperatures in your assigned region. Find your assigned region on the NCCV (http://www.usgs.gov/climate_landuse/clu_rd/nccv/viewer.asp and refer back to the worksheet from the formative assessment in Module 6.1 for instructions). Explore the data available for your region. Clip any graphs or maps that you think might be useful for your final 6 Future Food Scenarios: Capstone Project Stage 2 Worksheet presentation and paste them into your PowerPoint. Download the summary document from the NCCV and extract appropriate figures into your PowerPoint. Identify the changes in other climate variables from Figure 2 (on this page) for your assigned region. Impacts of climate change on agriculture in your region Use the Agriculture chapter of The effects of climate change on agriculture, land resources, water resources, and biodiversity to identify some likely impacts of the projected future climate changes you’ve identified on the key crops of your assigned region 7 Future Food Scenarios: Capstone Project Stage 2 Worksheet Questions about your region? What additional information do you still need to find? Where have you looked or searched for this info so far? References and Key Resources Include web links, newspaper articles, citations to primary literature, databases, personal communications, etc. 8