7B Day Chapter 7B: Probability M328, Advanced Algebra 2 Topic and In-class Work 7B Homework Assignment Turned in? Thursday, May 9 Friday, May 10 Monday, May 13 Tuesday, May 14 Wednesday, May 15 Thursday, May 16 Friday, May 17 Monday, May 20 Tuesday, May 21 Wednesday, May 22 Thursday, May 23 Friday, May 24 (1/2 Day) Tuesday, May 28 Wednesday, May 29 Thursday, May 30 Section 7.4- Day 1: Binomial Theorem Notes (p3-6) Section 7.4- Day 2: Binomial Theorem Notes (p7-8) **Graded Homework #13 Due** Section 7.6- Day 1: Counting Notes (p9-12) Section 7.6- Day 2: Permutations and Combinations Notes (p17-21) Quiz Review: 7.4 and 7.6 Notes (p25-26) Worksheet 7.6C (p27-29) **Quiz 7.4-7.6** Page 690 #1-15 odd, 21, 23, 25, 27, 31, 33 Page 691 #35, 41-46 Worksheet 7.6A- Counting (p13-16) Worksheet 7.6B- Permutations and Combinations (p22-24) Worksheet Quiz Review 7.4 and 7.6 (p30-31) Section 7.7- Day 1: Odds, Complements, Sample Space Notes (p32-34) **Graded Homework #14 Due** Section 7.7- Day 2: Independent, Dependent, Binomial Notes (p35-37) Section 7.7- Day 3:Mutually Exclusive and Inclusive Notes (p41-42) Quiz Review 7.7 Notes (p45) **Quiz 7.7** Page 716 #1-6, 7, 12, 13, 14, 15, 17 Worksheet 7.7A- Independent vs Dependent (p38-40) Worksheet 7.7B- Mutually Exclusive and Inclusive (p43-44) Worksheet Quiz Review 7.7 (p46-47) Worksheet- Conditional Probability (p49-52) Worksheet- Venn Diagram (p53-59) Test Review #1 (p60-62) Test Review #2 (p64-66) Page 726 #43, 44, 47, 49, 55-59, 62-70 (skip 68), 73, 74 Warmup- Review (p48) **Graded Homework #15 Due** Conditional Probability Notes (p49-52) Venn Diagram Worksheet- Venn Diagram (p53-59) Test Review Warmup- Review (p63) 1 Friday, May 31 Monday, June 3 Tuesday, June 4 **Probability Test** **All Graded Homeworks Due** Review for Final Exams Review for Final Exams Final Exams Chapter 7 Even Answers: Section 7.1 2. 3, 9, 15, 21, 27 4. 3 4 15 12 10. 0, 5 , 5 , 17 , 13 6 5 4 3 , , , ,2 12. 7, 7, 9, 13, 19 consisting of natural numbers 24. -1, -5, -9, -13 Section 7.2 70. 429 6. -2, 8, -24, 64, -160 5 4 3 2 8. 2, -3, 4, -5, 6 14. A sequence is a function with a domain 16. Finite 18. Finite 20. Infinite 22. Infinite 26. 2, 5, 7, 12 72. 465 74. 170m Section 7.3 50. yes; the common ratio is b. 62. $26,214.40 82. The common ratio is 2 Review Pg. 683 26. .9 + .09 + .009 + …; The sum is 1. Review Pg. 725 2. -2, 4, -8, 16, -32; geometric 8. 12, 10, 8, 6, 4 4. 2, 6, 12, 20, 30; neither 10. 6, 12, 24, 48, 96 16. 222 18. -162 20. 45 28. 248 30. Does not exist 38. 2.7 40. 12. -11; -13 + 2n 22. 3 9 13 24. 70 36 27 −9 32. 2 + 8 + 32 +. .. 34. 20 20 4i 6 i 1 42. 12 6. 1, 3, 4, 7, 11; neither i i 1 i 5 2 14. 20 26. 125 36. 1 M328 Chapter 7- Probability Section 7.4- Day 1- Binomial Theorem Name: _________________ Date: __________________ Expand: (x + y) 0 = (x + y)1 = (x + y)2 = (x + y)3 = (x + y)4 = (x + y)5 = Would you want to find (x + y)10? There is a pattern for expanding a binomial. What do you notice? How many terms in the expansion? What do you notice about the variables? Let’s look at the coefficients… 3 For reference, I have included row 0 to 14 of Pascal's Triangle 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 14 10 36 20 35 84 15 35 56 1 6 21 70 126 1 5 56 126 1 7 28 84 1 8 36 1 1 120 210 252 210 120 45 10 1 1 11 55 165 330 462 462 330 165 55 11 1 12 66 220 495 792 924 792 495 220 66 12 1 13 78 286 715 1287 1716 1716 1287 715 286 78 13 1 91 364 1001 2002 3003 3432 3003 2002 1001 364 91 14 1 9 4 10 15 28 1 6 10 21 1 3 4 6 8 3 5 7 2 9 45 1 Example using Pascal’s Triangle to find the coefficients. (x + y)6 = A more efficient way is using factorial notation…. 5! 8! 0! Let’s go back and look at the coefficients of the binomial expansion. Can we get the coefficient by using the exponent of the term? 1st term: 2nd term: 3rd term: 4 4th term: 5th term: 6th term: 7th term: Can we generalize and make a formula for find the coefficient? Example: 3 3 C0 0 Example: 6 6 C2 2 Generalize how to expand a binomial: (x + y) n = 5 Expand (x + y)8 = (a - b)7 = (m+ n2)4 = (4a – 5b)5 = 6 M328 Chapter 7- Probability Section 7.4- Day 2- Binomial Theorem Name: _________________ Date: __________________ Warmup 1. Write the formula for : n n Cr r 2. Expand (3r – y)6 = 4 m 3. Expand n = 4 7 M328 Chapter 7- Probability Section 7.4- Day 2- Binomial Theorem Name: _________________ Date: __________________ Would you want to expand the entire binomial just to find one term? Expand (x + y)3 1st term 2nd term 3rd term 4th term What do you notice? Write a formula for finding a specific term of a binomial expansion. Example: Find the 7th term of (a + 2b)10 Example: Find the 4th term of (2c – d)12 8 M328 Chapter 7- Probability Counting Name: _________________ Date: __________________ Tree Diagram: A restaurant offers 3 salads (house, spinach, chop) and 2 dressing types (ranch and Italian). Make a tree diagram to show all possible salad and dressing outcomes. In this situation, each salad represents an event. Two events are independent events if neither influences the outcome of the other. Fundamental Principle of Counting: If n independent events occur, with m1 ways for event 1 to occur m2 ways for event 2 to occur . . . mn ways for event n to occur. Then there are m1 ∙ m2 ∙ ∙ ∙mn different ways for all n events to occur. Example 1: Jim has 4 pairs of pants, 3 shirts and 2 jackets. How many different outfits can he wear? 9 Example 2: A teacher has 5 different books that she wishes to arrange in a row on a shelf. How many different arrangements are possible? n-factorial : 𝑛! = 𝑛(𝑛 − 1)(𝑛 − 2)…(3)(2)(1) Example 3: 6! = and Example 4: 0! = 1 9! 7! = Example 5: How many ways can the letters of the given word be arranged? a) EXPENSIVE b) MATHEMATICS Example 6: How many four letter words can be made using the letters of the alphabet: a) with repetition b) without repetition Example 7: In how many ways can 5 people line up for service in a cafeteria if 2 of them insist on standing together? 10 Example 8: List all possible 3 digit numbers that can be formed from 1,3,5,7 if repetition is not allowed. Example 9: How many possible 2 digit numbers can be formed from 0,1, 2,3, 4 without repetition? Example 10: How many possible 2 digit numbers can be formed from 0,1, 2,3, 4 with repetition? Example 11: How many possible odd 4 digit numbers can be formed from 0,1, 2,3, 4 without repetition? 11 Cards: ________ cards ________ suits ________ black spades ________ black clubs ________ red hearts ________ red diamonds ________ face cards How many 2 card hands are possible? How many 5 card hands are possible if all 5 cards are of the same suit? 12 M328- Advanced Algebra 2 Chapter 7- Probability Worksheet 7.6A- Counting Name: _______________________ 1. List the possible ways can a consonant and then a vowel be chosen from the letters c, o, a, s, t? Draw a tree diagram to represent the possible choices. 2. If a cafeteria offers 3 choices of appetizer, 4 main courses, 3 desserts and 3 beverages, how many different complete meals are available? 3. A combination lock has 4 dials with 10 digits on each dial. How many combinations are possible? 4. How many odd numbers of 3 digits can be written using the digits 1, 2, 3, 4 without repetition? Draw a tree graph to list the possible choices. 5. How many 3 digit numbers can be written using the digits 0, 1, 2, 3 without repetition? 13 6. How many 3 letter “words” can be made using the letters a, b, c, d, e a) without repetition? b) repetition is allowed? 7. How many 3 letter “words” can be made using the letters of the alphabet: a) without repetition? b) repetition is allowed? 8. In how many ways can 3 different letters be mailed if there are 5 mailboxes? 9. A family of six has two rows of three seats each in an airplane. In how many ways can they be seated so that the two youngest children have the two window seats? 10. How many 5 digit numbers with repetition are there in which the sum of the first and last digits is 6? 14 11. a) In how many ways can a consonant and a vowel be selected from the alphabet of 21 consonants and 5 vowels? b) Given one consonant and one vowel, in how many ways can they be arranged to form a two-letter word? c) How many two letter “words” can be written, each containing one consonant and one vowel, from the alphabet? 12. How many three letter “words” can be written using the letters a, b, c, d, e if repetitions are allowed but no letter may follow itself? 13. In how many arrangements of letters a, e, i, o, u, x do the five vowels come in alphabetical order? 14. Given ten consecutive integers, in how many ways can two of them be chosen so that their sum will be odd? 15 15. How many 5 card hands possible? 16. How many 3 card hands possible of all face cards? Challenge: In how many ways can 4 people take places for a drive in a 5 passenger car if a) Any of them can drive? b) Only 2 of them can drive 16 M328 Chapter 7- Probability Section 7.6: Warmup Name: _________________ Date: __________________ 1. How many ways can 10 runners place 1st, 2nd, and 3rd? 2. How many ways can 7 people stand in a straight line? 3. Use a counting tree to LIST the ways a penny, quarter, and dime can be flipped, in that that order. 4. How many ways can the letters of CALCULUS be arranged to form a word? 5. How many ways can you for a 4 digit odd number without repetition from 0,1, 2,3, 4,5,6,7,8,9 ? 17 M328 Chapter 7- Probability Section 7.6: Permutations and Combinations Name: _________________ Date: __________________ Permutation: How many ways can you arrange something and Order is important!! n Pr = P(n, r) denotes the number of permutations of n elements taken r at a time, with r ≤ n. 𝑃(𝑛, 𝑟) = 𝑛! (𝑛 − 𝑟)! What happens when you arrange all n objects? n Pn = P(n, r) = Example: How many ways can 10 runners place 1st, 2nd, and 3rd place? Example: How many ways can 10 runners cross the finish line? Combination: How many ways can you arrange something and Order is NOT important!!! 𝑛 n C r = C(n, r) or ( 𝑟 ) represents the number of combinations of n elements taken r at a time, with r ≤ n. 𝑛! 𝑛 𝑛𝐶𝑟 = 𝐶(𝑛, 𝑟) = ( ) = 𝑟 (𝑛 − 𝑟)! 𝑟! Example: How many ways can 10 people form a committee of 3 people? Example: How many ways can 10 people form a committee of 10 people? 18 List the 2 letter “words” can you form using the letters E, F, G, and H? Is this a permutation or combination? List the 2 letter combinations can you form using the letters E, F, G, and H? Is this a permutation or combination? Find the value of the permutation or the combination a) 5P2 b) 10C10 Distinguishing Between Permutations and Combinations Permutations Combinations Number of ways of selecting r items out of n distinct items Repetitions are not allowed Order is important Order is not important Arrangements of r items from a set of n items Subsets of r items from a set of n items Clue words: arrangement, schedule, order Clue words: group, committee, sample, selection 19 A club elects a president, vice-president, and secretary. How many sets of officers are possible if there are 13 members, any member can be elected to each position, and no person can hold more than one office? In a contest in which 9 contestants are entered, in how many ways can 3 distinct prizes be awarded if no contestant can win more than one prize? How many ways can 4 kids out of 9 be put in a line? From 8 names on a ballot, a committee of 3 will be elected to attend a political convention. How many different committees are possible? A physics exam consists of 9 multiple-choice questions and 6 open-ended problems in which all work must be shown. If an examinee must answer 7 of the multiple choice and 2 of the openended problems, in how many ways can the questions and problems be chosen? To win at LOTTO in a certain state, one must correctly select 6 numbers from a collection of 50 numbers (1 through 50). The order in which the selection is made does not matter. How many different selections are possible? 20 Your sock drawer contains 8 white socks and 14 blue socks. 4 socks are selected. a. All 4 socks are white b. 2 white and 2 blue c. At least 1 blue sock A bag contains 7 pennies, 4 nickels, and 5 dimes. Three coins are drawn at random. a. P(3 pennies) b. P(2 pennies, 1 nickel) c. P(3 nickels) 21 M328- Advanced Algebra 2 Chapter 7- Probability Worksheet 7.6B- Permutations and Combinations Name: _______________________ Permutations and Combinations 1) Calculate the value of the permutation or combination. a) 8C 3 (by hand) b) 7P 0 (by hand) c) 10C 4 d) 19P 3 (on calc) (on calc) 2) Find C(n, n – 4) 3) In how many ways can horses in a 10-horse race finish first, second, and third? 4) How many different 5 member basketball teams can be formed from 9 players if any player can play any position? 5) In how many ways can 7 out of 10 monkeys be arranged in a row for a genetics experiment? 6) In how many ways can 5 salad topping be chosen from 12 selections? 22 7) In an experiment on social interaction, 8 people will sit in 8 seats in a row. In how many ways can this be done? 8) From a group of 5 men and 12 women, how many committees of 3 men and 5 women can be formed? 9) How many arrangements of answers are possible in a multiple choice test with 10 questions each of which has 5 possible answers? 10) A baseball team has 20 players. How many 9-player batting orders are possible? 11) How many different samples of 3 apples can be drawn from a crate of 25 apples? 12) In a game of musical chairs, 12 children will sit in 11 chairs that are arranged in a line. How many seating arrangements are possible? 13) Five cards are marked with the numbers 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5, shuffled, and 2 cards are then drawn. How many different 2-card hands are possible? 23 14) From 10 names on a ballot, 4 will be elected to a political party committee. In how many ways can the committee of 4 be formed if each person will have a different responsibility? 15) A church has 10 bells in its bell tower. Before each church service 3 bells are rung in sequence. No bell is rung more than once. How many sequences are there? 16) How many ways can five people A, B, C, D, and E, sit in a row at a movie theater if D and E will not sit next to each other? 17) How many different 3- topping pizzas can be made using sausage, pepperoni, extra cheese, green peppers, mushrooms, and black olives? 18) You have six different baseball team flags, how many different ways can 3 flags be placed on a flagpole, one above the other? 19) An urn contains 15 red marbles and 10 white marbles. Five marbles are selected. In how many ways can the 5 marbles be drawn from the total of 25 marbles: a. If all marbles are red? b. If 3 marbles are red and 2 are white? c. If at least 4 are red marbles? 24 M328- Advanced Algebra 2 Chapter 7- Probability Name: _______________________ Warmup- Review Permutations and Combinations In how many ways can a committee of 3 professors be formed from a department of 8 professors? How many ways can 6 people line up for pictures? How many ways can a coach select a starting team of one center, two forwards, and 2 guards if the basketball team consists of 3 centers, 5 forwards, and 3 guards? Write the formula for nPr. Write the formula for nCr. In how many ways can 5 people sit in a row if 2 people have to sit next to each other? 25 M328- Advanced Algebra 2 Chapter 7- Probability Name: _______________________ Warmup Quiz Review 7.6 1. Find the 5th term of (3x2 – 4y3)9 2. Find C(n, n – 4) 3. A box contains 15 red balls and 10 white balls. Five balls are selected. a. All balls are red b. 3 red, 2 white c. At least 3 red 4. How many numbers greater than or equal to 10 exist, without repetition using the numbers 0,1, 2,3, 4,5 26 M328- Advanced Algebra 2 Chapter 7- Probability Worksheet 7.6C Name: _______________________ 1. Sally has 7 candles, each a different color. How many ways can she arrange the candles in a candelabrum that holds 3 candles? 2. Eight toppings for pizza are available. In how many ways can Jim choose 3 of the toppings? 3. How many committees of 5 students can be selected from a class of 25? 4. A box contains 12 black and 8 green marbles. In how many ways can 3 black and 2 green marbles be chosen? 5. A person playing a word game has the following letters in her tray: QUOUNNTAGGRA. How many 12-letter arrangements could she make to check if a single word could be formed from all the letters? 6. Three different hardcover books and five different paperbacks are placed on a shelf. How many ways can they be arranged if all the hardcover books are together? 27 7. In how many ways can a student choose 4 books from 2 geometry, 4 geography, 5 history and 2 physics books? 8. From a list of 12 books, how many groups of 5 books can be selected? 9. Tom can afford to buy 2 of the 6 CD’s he wants. How many possible combinations could he buy? 10. A box contains 12 black and 8 green marbles. In how many ways can 5 marbles be chosen? 11. A golf club manufacturer makes irons with 7 different shaft lengths, 3 different grips, and 2 different club head materials. How many different combinations are offered? 12. In how many ways can the 4 call letters of a radio station be arranged if the first letter must be W or K and no letters repeat? 13. How many 7-digit phone numbers can be formed if the first digit cannot be 0 or 1? B) What if, in addition, no digit can be repeated? 28 14. A briefcase lock has 3 rotating cylinders, each containing 10 digits. How many numerical codes are possible? 15. There are 5 different routes that a commuter can take from her home to the office. In how many ways can she make a round trip if she uses different routes for coming and going? 16. A photographer is taking a picture of a bride and groom together with 6 attendants. How many ways can he arrange the 8 people in a line if the bride and groom stand together in the middle? 29 M328- Advanced Algebra 2 Chapter 7- Probability Worksheet- Quiz Review 7.4 and 7.6 Name: _______________________ 1. Expand: (3x2 – y)4 2. Find the nth term: a) Find the 5th term: (3r – 1)6 b) Find the 3rd term of (2k – 1)4 3. Find and show plugged into appropriate formula: a) P(11, 4) 7 c) 2 b) C(18, 5) 4. A baseball manager has 12 players of the same ability. How many 9-player starting lineups can he create? 5. In how many ways can the letters of the given word be arranged? a) TRIUMPH b) ALGEBRA 30 6. A company offers its customers a choice of any 5 toppings for baked potatoes from a list of 20 that are available. How many combinations may be chosen? 7. A pizza company offers 3 sizes of pizzas, 6 toppings and 2 sauce choices. How many different one-topping pizzas are possible? 8. A board of trustees consists of a chairman, a vice-chairman, a secretary, a treasurer, and 4 members at large. A committee of 3 members is to be selected. a) How many different committees are possible? b) How many are possible if the treasurer must be a member? 9. How many even numbers 3 digit numbers can be formed using the numbers: 3, 4, 5, 6, 0? 10. How many ways can 3 out of 7 people be arranged in a row to stand in line for the cafeteria? 11. How many ways can 3 out of 7 people be selected to a homecoming committee, each with the same responsibilities? 12. How many different 5 digit zip codes are there using the numbers (0-9), if a zip code cannot start with a 0? 31 M328- Advanced Algebra 2 Name: _______________________ Chapter 7- Probability Worksheet- 7.7 Odds, Complements, and Sample Space P(event) = # of times event occurs success = total total # of outcomes (same space) ____ P(E) ____ P(certain event) = P(impossible event ) = Complement of an event P(not event) = _____________ AND OR Example: Sock drawer: 19 white, 8 black, 5 blue P(black) P(white or blue) P(purple) P(not blue) P(white and black) Example: Deck or cards P(black) P(black 5) P(red face) 32 Example: Jelly beans: 3 red, 2 blue, 5 black, 1 white, 4 green P(2 red) P(2 black) P(1 red and 1 blue) P(2 black and 2 green) Example: Committee of 3: 5 females, 7 males P(all females) P(all male) P(at least 2 males) Example: Roll 1 die (1-6), what is the probability of getting a prime number 3 times in a row? Example: Rolling 2 die (1,1) (1,2) (1,3) (1,4) (1,5) (1,6) (2,1) (2,2) (2,3) (2,4) (2,5) (2,6) (3,1) (3,2) (3,3) (3,4) (3,5) (3,6) (4,1) (4,2) (4,3) (4,4) (4,5) (4,6) (5,1) (5,2) (5,3) (5,4) (5,5) (5,6) (6,1) (6,2) (6,3) (6,4) (6,5) (6,6) P(2 fives) P(sum of 6) P(sum of 3 or same number) ** Note: there is no overlap… we will discuss overlap later 33 Example: A family of 3 children Hint: draw a counting tree P(2 boys) P(only 1 boy) P(3 girls) Probability = Example: Odds are Example: P = success total Odds = 5 , what is the probability? 6 5 7 Complement Odds Example: Marbles: 6 blue, 4 red P(red) Odds(red) Example: 3 dogs picked: 4 with spots, 3 no spots Odds (2 spots) Odds (no spots) 34 success failures M328- Advanced Algebra 2 Chapter 7- Probability Notes- 7.7 Independent vs. Dependent Name: _______________________ Yesterday’s lesson: 1 GRAB…. 1 or more objects taken at a time use combinations 1 grab Randomly selected r at a time Today’s lesson: 2 GRABS….successive picks taking 1 at a time with replacement without replacement 1 at a time Flow Chart 35 Dependent (without replacement) Example: 3 rock CDs, 4 country CDs, 2 Jazz CDs played in succession without replacement. P(both rock) P(1 rock, 1 country) Example: 2 cards selected without replacement P(both 4) Example: 3 card hands picked without replacement (in any order) P(one King, one 4, one 2) P(exactly 2 queens) Independent Events (with replacement) Example: Probability of selecting a face card, replacing it and then selecting an ace. Example: Find the probability of a baseball team winning the next 3 games if the odds of winning each game is 5 to 3. 36 M328- Advanced Algebra 2 Chapter 7- Probability Notes 7.7- Binomial Name: _______________________ Binomial Probability – is an experiment that consists of repeated independent trials with only two outcomes in each trial, success or failure. Let the probability of success be p. Then the probability of failure is 1 – p. 𝑛 ( ) 𝑝𝑟 (1 − 𝑝)𝑛−𝑟 𝑟 Three dice are tossed. What is the probability that each occurs? 1. Exactly two 5’s 2. At least two 5’s 3. Three 5’s 4. No 5’s 37 M328- Advanced Algebra 2 Chapter 7- Probability Worksheet 7.7A- Independent and Dependent Name: _________________ Example: There are 3 nickels, 2 dimes, and 5 quarters in a purse. Three coins are selected in succession at random. Find the probability of selecting 1 nickel, 1 dime, and 1 quarter in that order without replacement. Find the probability of selecting 1 nickel, 1 dime, and 1 quarter in that order with replacement. Find the probability of selecting 1nickel, 1 dime, and 1 quarter in any order with replacement. Find the probability of selecting 1 nickel, 1 dime, and 1 quarter in any order without replacement. Example: A red, a green, and a yellow die are tossed. P(all 3 dice show a 4) P(none of the 3 dice shows a 4) P(the red die shows an even number and the other 2 show different odd numbers) P(all 3 dice show the same number) 38 Example: 2 cards picked from a standard deck of cards P(2 black cards selected without replacement) P(2 black cards selected with replacement) P(1 red card and 1 spade in any order without replacement) P(1 red card and 1 spade in that order selected without replacement) Example: 3 cards picked from a standard deck of cards P(exactly 2 queens without replacement in any order) Example: There are 3 yellow marbles, 2 green and 5 red. Four marbles are selected in succession at random. P(1 yellow, 1 green, and 2 red in that order without replacement) P(1 yellow, 1 green, and 2 red in that order with replacement) P(1 yellow, 1 green, and 2 red in any order without replacement) P(1 yellow, 1 green, and 2 red in any order with replacement) 39 Example: A bag contains 7 pennies, 4 nickels, and 5 dimes. Three coins are drawn at random. P(All pennies or all nickels) P(exactly 2 dimes) P(at least 2 dimes) P(exactly 2 nickels or exactly 2 pennies) Example: 5 dice are tossed. What is the probability that each occurs? Exactly two 6’s No 6’s All 6’s (Yahtzee!) 40 M328- Advanced Algebra 2 Chapter 7- Probability Notes 7.7B- Mutually Exclusive or Inclusive Events Name: _________________ Exclusive Events- 2 events that cannot happen at the same time Example: When tossing 1 die, what is the probability of getting a 2 or a 3? Inclusive Events: P(A B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A ∩ B) Example: P(black card or face card) Example: 2 number cubes P(sum of 8 or same number) 41 Example: An urn contains 7 white marbles and 5 blue marbles. Four marbles are selected without replacement. P(all white or all blue) P(exactly 3 white) P(at least 3 white) P(exactly 3 white or exactly 3 blue) Example: Two cards are drawn from a standard deck of 52 cards. P(2 spades) P(2 spades or 2 red cards) P(2 red cards or 2 jacks) P(2 spades or 2 face cards) 42 M328- Advanced Algebra 2 Chapter 7- Probability Worksheet 7.7B – Mutually Exclusive or Inclusive Name: _________________ Probability of Mutually Exclusive or Inclusive Events 1) The French Club is sponsoring a booth at the school carnival. A player selects a colored duck from a pond in order to win a prize. The pond contains the following number and color of ducks: 20 white, 15 gray, 6 red, 3 green, and 1 yellow. You are blindfolded and asked to select one duck. What is the probability that the duck will be gray or yellow? 2) To win a prize on a game show, a contestant must answer at least 3 true-false questions correctly out of 5 questions given. What is the probability that the contestant who guesses on every question will win a prize? 3) A manufacturing company has 2200 employees. The employees attend seminars to obtain additional training. Suppose that 625 employees will attend the January seminar, 850 will attend the February seminar, and 500 will attend both seminars. What is the probability that an employee randomly selected will be attending the January or February seminar? 4) A card is drawn from a deck of 52 cards. Find the probability of drawing a red card or a face card? 43 5) Of 1560 students surveyed, 840 were seniors and 630 juniors and seniors read a daily paper. Only 215 of the paper readers were juniors. What is the probability that a student was a senior or read a daily paper? 6) In one day, 5 different customers bought earrings from the same jewelry store. The store offers 62 different styles. Find the probability that at least 2 customers bought the same style? 7) A pair of dice is rolled. What is the probability that the sum of the numbers rolled is either an even number or a multiple of 3? 8) What is the probability of rolling a die twice and having a 5 and then a 3 show or having a 2 and then a 4 show? 9) Sophomore club is made up of 12 girls and 9 boys. The club needs to create a committee with four members. What is the probability that each occurs? a) All are female or all male b) At least 3 females c) Exactly 3 males d) 2 females and 2 males 44 M328- Advanced Algebra 2 Chapter 7- Probability Warmup 7.7 Quiz Review 1. Odds = Name: _______________________ 7 9 Probability = P(not happening) = 2. The odds that Alex will attend a concert each month is 2 . What is the probability that 9 Alex will attend concerts 2 months in a row? 3. Find the probability that 2 cards drawn from a standard deck will both be face or both be black. 4. There are 13 females and 15 males in your math classroom. What is the probability that at least 3 males will got to the board if 5 students are selected to go to the board? 5. An experiment consists of rolling a die 10 times. Find the probability that exactly 3 of the rolls result in a 5. Round 3 decimal places. 6. There are 4 blue, 6 black, 8 white socks. 2 are selected. a. Both are blue with replacement. b. Both are blue without replacement. 45 M328- Advanced Algebra 2 Chapter 7- Probability Worksheet Quiz Review 7.7 Name: _______________________ 1) If a card is randomly selected from a standard deck of cards. a) What is the probability of selecting a 5 or 7? b) What are the odds of this event happening? c) What is the probability that this event does not happen? 2) Evan has 20 DVD’s. 8 are Curious George, 1 is Dora, 5 are Bob the Builder, and 6 are Blues Clues. Find the probability that: a) If 2 DVD’s are picked at random, they are both Bob the builder. b) If 1 DVD is chosen at random, it is Curious George. 3) 15 friends are picking math classes for next year, 8 choose to take AP Stats. Two friends are chosen at random. Find the probability that: a) Both take AP Stats. b) At least 1 will take AP Stats 46 4) Jen decided that she wanted to bake cupcakes. She decided to vary the frosting. She made 10 chocolate, 7 vanilla, and 5 with confetti. Find the probability that: a) Both cupcakes chosen are chocolate with replacement. b) Both cupcakes chosen are confetti without replacement. c) If two cupcakes are chosen, find the odds that both have chocolate frosting. 5) There are 7 men and 8 women in a group. If a committee of 6 people is to be made, find the probability that the committee will have at least 4 men. 6) An experiment consists of tossing a coin 10 times. Find the probability that in exactly 6 of the tosses, the result is tails. 47 M328- Advanced Algebra 2 Chapter 7- Probability Warmup Review Name: _______________________ 1. Panera offers 3 soups, 5 sandwiches, 4 desserts a. How many meals possible? b. How many meals are possible if you pick 2 soups, 3 sandwiches, and 2 desserts for everyone to share? 2. How many groups of 5 friends can be together if there are 10 friends? 3. How many ways can those 10 friends sit in a 5 passenger car? 4. 3 cards are selected without replacement. Find the probability that exactly two are hearts. 5. A 3 digit number with no repeats using 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, and 8. a. P(even) b. P(between 400 and 800) 6. The probability of playing in a game is 4 . What is the probability that the player will 5 play in 7 of the 10 games? 48 M328- Advanced Algebra 2 Chapter 7- Probability Worksheet Conditional Probability Name: _______________________ Conditional Probability: Is the probability of event A happening if B is known to occur. P( A | B) P( A B) P( B) A, B, and C represent three events. Use the following information to calculate the probabilities. P ( A) 1 3 P (C | B ) P( B) 3 5 1 4 P(C ) P( A B) 5 24 2 5 P( A C ) 1.) P ( A | C ) 2.) P( B | A) 3.) P( Aor B ) 4.) P (C B ) 1 30 The co-ed class has some blondes, brunettes, and some red-haired students, as shown in the table below. One person is picked at random. Sophomore Junior Senior Blonde 1 5 6 Brunette 4 6 7 Red-Haired 1 2 4 5.) P(Junior | Blonde) 6.) P(Red-Haired | Senior) 7.) P( Not Brunette | Sophomore) 8.) P(Not Senior | Not Blonde) 49 9.) The probability of wearing a coat, given that it is raining, is 0.62. If the probability of rain is 0.46, find the probability that you are wearing a coat AND it is raining. 10.) A five digit number is formed from the digits {1,2,3,4,5}. What is the probability that the number ends in the digits 52, given that it is even? Assume no repetition of digits. A card is drawn from a standard deck. Find the probabilities 11.) P(Ace | Black) = 12.) P(6 of Clubs | Value of 6) 13.) P( Jack or King | Face Card) 14.) P(Spade | Red) 15.) In Illinois, the probability that a married man drives is 0.90. If the probability that a married man and his wife both drive is 0.85, what is the probability that his wife drives given that he drives? 16.) Brian often speeds while driving to school in order to arrive on time. The probability that he will speed to school is 0.75. If the probability that he speeds and gets stopped by a Schaumburg police officer is 0.25, find the probability that he is stopped, given that he is speeding. 50 17. The managers of a corporation were surveyed to determine the background that leads to a successful manager. Each manager was rated as being either good, fair, or poor manager by his/her boss. The manager’s educational background was also noted. The data appears below. Rating Good Fair Poor Totals HS Degree 7 8 2 17 Some College 3 15 6 24 College Degree 25 45 1 71 Master/PHD 4 19 25 48 Total 39 87 34 160 a. Given that a manager is only a fair manager, what is the probability that this manager has no college background? b. Given that a manger is a good manager, what is the probability that this manager has some college background? c. Given that a manger has a PhD, what is the probability that the manager was ranked poor? 18. A local country club has a membership of 600 and operates facilities that include an 18-hole championship golf course and 12 tennis courts. Before deciding whether to accept new members, the club president would like to know how many members regularly use each facility. A survey of the membership indicates that 62% regularly use the golf course, 43% regularly use the tennis courts, and 4% use neither of these regularly. Given that a randomly selected member uses the tennis courts regularly, find the probability that they also use the golf course regularly. 51 19. Six of your eight male classmates practice tai-chi, and nine of your thirteen female classmates practice tai-chi. If one classmate is picked at random, find P(male│practice tai-chi). 5 20. The probability of waking up late, given that your alarm clock breaks is 8. If the 3 probability that your alarm clock breaking is 16, find the probability that you wake up late and you alarm clock breaks. 21. You have 51% chance of getting accepted to clown college. You have a 33% chance of getting accepted to clown college and getting the esteemed Bozo Scholarship. What is the probability of getting the Bozo Scholarship, given you have already been accepted to clown college? 3 22. The probability of getting a circus job, given that you flunk out of clown college is 10. If 1 the probability of getting a circus job and flunking out of clown college is 24, what is the probability of flunking out of clown college? 23. A survey taken at Schaumburg High School showed that 48% of respondents liked soccer, 66% liked basketball, and 38% liked hockey. Also, 30% like both soccer and basketball, 22% liked basketball and hockey, and 28% liked soccer and hockey. Finally 12% liked all 3 sports. a. P(a student likes soccer│he/she likes basketball) b. P(a student likes hockey and basketball │he/she likes soccer). 52 M328- Advanced Algebra 2 Chapter 7- Probability Worksheet Venn Diagram Name: _______________________ A Venn Diagram is made up of two or more circles. It is often used in probability to show relationships between events. Rectangle ‘S’ represents a sample space of possible outcomes. Circles ‘A’ and ‘B’ each represent specific unique events in the sample space S. If it is possible for two events A and B to both happen at the same time, then their circles will intersect on a Venn Diagram. I. Shade the region of the picture corresponding to each listed event. 1) A 2) B S S A A B 3) 𝑨 ∩ 𝑩 B 4) 𝑨 ∪ 𝑩 S S A A B 53 B The complement of an event ‘A’ refers to all outcomes that are NOT included in ‘A’. The notation for complement is 𝑨𝒄 . The probability of 𝑨𝒄 = 1 – P(A). Shade the region corresponding to each listed event. 5) 𝑨𝒄 6) 𝑩𝒄 S S A A B 7) (𝑨 ∩ 𝑩)𝒄 B 8) (𝑨 ∪ 𝑩)𝒄 S S A A B B Let ‘S’ represent rolling a 6-sided die. A and B represent different events. Draw Venn diagrams for each pair of events below. 9) A = number less than 3 B = an even number 10) A = a ‘2’ B = an even number 11) A = a ‘2’ B = a ‘3’ 12) A = a # greater than or equal to ‘3’ B = a # less than or equal to ‘5’ 13) In which problem (#9 – 12) are the events mutually exclusive? 54 II. 80 students were asked if they take Math and History classes. The Venn diagram shows the number of students who took each class. Suppose one student is chosen at random, and answer the questions below. Students in Math Students in History 23 14 26 17 14) P(student takes Math) = 15) P(student takes History) = 16) P(student takes Math AND History) = 17) P(student takes Math OR History) = 18) What does the ‘17’ represent in the diagram above? 19) Are the events “taking Math class” and “taking History class” independent? Hint: use the formula 𝑷(𝑨 ∩ 𝑩) = 𝑷(𝑨) ∙ 𝑷(𝑩) for independent events to decide. 55 III. A B C D Passing Photography Passing Economics 20) Which regions (A,B,C, or D) represent passing both classes? 21) Which regions represent failing both classes? 22) Which regions represent passing exactly one class? Students’ records indicate that the probability of passing photography is 0.75, the probability of failing economics is 0.65, and the probability of passing at least one of the two courses is 0.85. Regions A, B, C, and D make up the entire sample space of students taking both classes. 23) P(passing economics) = 24) P(passing both courses) = 25) P(failing both courses) = 26) P(passing exactly one course) = 56 IV. 100 women who recently gave birth were given a survey with 3 yes/no questions, and the following information was recorded. The mother… Is over 35 years of age Just had her first child Has a career Is over 35 and just had first child Has a career and just had first child Is over 35 and has a career Is over 35, has a career, and just had first child Number of Respondents 27 21 42 17 9 16 7 Use the Venn Diagram to organize the information. If a mother from this group is randomly selected, find the probabilities below. 27) P(replied ‘yes’ to exactly 2 of the 3 questions above) 28) P(replied ‘yes’ to at least 2 of the 3 questions above) 29) P(replied ‘yes’ to at least one of the 3 questions above) 30) P(replied ‘yes’ to none of the 3 questions above) 57 17% of students take calculus, statistics and go to prom. 3% take calculus, statistics, and do not go to prom. 24% take calculus and go to prom. 21% take statistics and go to prom. 53% go to prom. 13% of statistics students do not go to prom or take calculus. 10% of students do not take statistics, do not take calculus, and don’t go to prom. Fill in the venn diagram below. 31. Given the student takes calculus what is the probability they will attend prom? 32. What is the probability that the student takes calculus or goes to prom? 33. Given the student does not take statistics, what is the probability the student is going to prom? 34. Given the student is going to prom, what is the probability they are not taking statistics? 58 Fifteen students go to the movies. The theater is playing Star Wars, Star Trek, and Harry Potter. Each student wants to see at least one of the movies. Three of the students will only see Star Wars. Two students refuse to see anything except Star Trek. Four students would be willing to see any movie featuring space travel. Three students don’t care what movie is playing, they will see anything. In all, a total of 8 students would see Star Wars, and a total of 7 students would see Star Trek. 35) What is the probability that a person will only see Harry Potter? 36) What is the probability that a person is willing to see Star Trek or Harry Potter? 37) Given the student will not see Star Wars, what is the probability they will see Star Trek? 59 M328- Advanced Algebra 2 Chapter 7- Probability Worksheet Test Review #1 Name: _________________ 1. How many five-digit numbers (without repetition) are possible if: a) Only odd digits can be used? b) The number must be even? c) Repetition is allowed with no other restrictions? 2. How many even numbers of 3 digits can be written using 0, 1, 2, 4, 5, 7 without repetition? 3. In how many ways can 4 people take seats in a row of 9 chairs? 4. In how many ways can a constant and then a vowel be chosen from the letters p,a, t, e, s, q? 5. Out of 8 managers and 13 assistants a committee consisting of 3 managers and 6 assistants is chosen. In how many ways can this be done if: a) Any manager and any assistant can be included? b) One particular manager must be on the committee? 60 c) Three particular assistants must be on the committee and one particular manager cannot be on the committee? 6. How many different 5 card hands containing exactly 3 aces can be dealt? 7. Simplify: a) 8. 𝑎! (𝑎−2)! b) (𝑥+2)! 𝑥! In science class, 3 of 8 girls wear glasses and 4 of 12 boys wear glasses. What is the probability of choosing a boy or a person who wears glasses? 9. A bag of candy contains 4 grapes, 3 lemons and 6 oranges. What is the probability of choosing: a) A grape or an orange? b) A grape, followed by a lemon (without replacement)? c) Two oranges (one after the other, without replacement)? 10. Two different letters are chosen at random from the word PIANO. What is the probability that both are vowels? 61 11. A three digit number with no repeated digits is made from the digits 2 through 8. What is the probability that the number is: a) Even? b) Between 400 and 700? 12. A coin is tossed 5 times. What is the probability of getting: a) All heads? b) Exactly 2 heads? c) At least 1 tail? 13. There are 8 used and 12 new cars in a dealer’s lot. What is the probability of selling 2 used and 3 new cars, if 5 of them are sold at random? 14. Write the first 3 terms of: (𝑥 4 − 2𝑦)11 15. Find the sixth term of: (3𝑥 + 𝑦)8 62 M328- Advanced Algebra 2 Chapter 7- Probability Warmup- Review Name: _________________ 1. Find the 8th term of (3x + 4y)10 2. Expand (3x – y)4 3. Solve for n… show all work! (n 2)! 6 n! 4. How many ways can 6 different books be placed on a shelf if the dictionary must be placed on the end? 5. How many different 3 digit odd numbers can be formed from the digits 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6? 6. How many different orders can 4 people be selected to get their homework checked out of 8 students? 7. 6 out of 8 freshman students are in an elective class. 7 out of 10 sophomores are in an elective class. 8 out of 13 juniors are in an elective class. 9 out of 10 seniors are in an elective class. If you pick a student at random P(student is a junior | not in an elective) 63 M328- Advanced Algebra 2 Chapter 7- Probability Worksheet Test Review #2 Name: _________________ 1. Mary’s car will not start. Based on past experience, Mary knows that the probability that it is the battery is 0.65, the probability that it is the automatic choke on the carburetor is 0.45, and the probability that it is both is 0.24. Find the probability that it is either of these two problems. 2. Georgia is repairing her car. She has removed the 6 spark plugs. Four are good and two are defective. She now selects one plug and then, without replacing it, selects a second plug. What is the probability that both spark plugs selected are good? 3. The Casco Corp. uses many different delivery services. The probability that any given parcel will be sent with the ABC Speedy Delivery Service is 0.71. The probability that the parcel will arrive on time given that the ABC Speedy Delivery was used is 0.93. If a parcel is randomly selected, find the probability that it will be sent with the ABC Speedy Delivery Service and that it will arrive on time. 4. Jon has ten single dollar bills of which three are counterfeit. If he selects four of them at random, what is the probability of getting two good bills and two counterfeit bills? 5. Two fair dice are rolled. Find the probability that: a) the sum is 5. 64 b) the sum is 6 or both dice show the same number. c) the sum is even 6. Three fair coins are tossed. Find the probability that: a) all 3 are heads. b) exactly two are heads. 7. A nursing home employs 13 nurses on its morning shift and 11 nurses on its afternoon shift. As a cost-reducing measure, management decides to fire 2 nurses. What is the probability that: a. both fired nurses will be from the morning shift? b. both fired nurses will be from the afternoon shift? c. one of the fired nurses will be from the morning shift and one will be from the afternoon shift? 8. Solve for n: (n + 1)! = 6 ∙ n! 65 9. Expand each of the following: a) (x + y)5 b) (x + y5)4 c) (2x – y)4 9. Find the indicated term: a) 4th term of (a + b)11 b) 3rd term of (x + 3y)8 c) 6th term of (x – y)12 d) 5th term of (x2 – y4)10 66