What can we learn from the paleo record about past changes in ocean productivity and controls of atmospheric CO2? QuickTime™ and a TIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor are needed to see this picture. Bob Anderson, Gisela Winckler, Martin Fleisher Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory Columbia University Exploring Ocean Iron Fertilization, WHOI, September, 2007 Ice core records show tight coupling between CO2 & Climate From Brook, 2005 Comment on Siegenthaler et al., 2005 CO2 Climate How did the ocean lower glacial atmospheric CO2 levels? Plausible mechanisms 1) Increased strength of the biological pump • Increase nutrient inventory (capacity) • Increase nutrient utilization (efficiency; today at ~50%) 2) Increase ocean ALK/DIC ratio ([CO32-]) • Continental weathering • Shelf-basin fractionation (“Coral Reef” hypothesis) • C-org/CaCO3 ratios (“Rain Ratio” hypothesis) Biological pump of Sigman & Boyle, 2000 CO2 CO2 What does “efficiency” of the biological pump mean? It is the fraction of upwelled nutrients that are utilized and exported to depth as organic matter. + DIC !! Regeneration Preformed nutrients are the master variable to characterize the efficiency of the biological pump. Sensitivity of CO2 to preformed nutrients pCO2 vs Preformed PO4 Princeton Ocean GCM runs with different nutrient utilization scenarios. Constant ocean nutrient inventory Marinov et al., Nature, 2006 Annual average Nitrate Concentration at 20 m Levitus Nitrate - Color Levitus Nitrate Only about half of the upwelled nitrate is used by phytoplankton. Efficiency of the Biological Pump today is low. Potential to alter CO2 is high. From: iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/SOURCES/.LEVITUS94 Martin’s “Iron Hypothesis” Dust is inversely correlated with CO2 in Antarctic ice core records -- is there a causal relationship? Martin (1990) reasoned that increased dust fluxes relaxed Fe limitation in the glacial Southern Ocean, allowing increased efficiency of the biological pump to draw down atmospheric CO2 Fe flux (µg m-2 yr-1) CO2 (ppm) Antarctic Ice Core Dust (Fe) - CO2 (anti)correlation Fe flux from Wolff et al., Nature 2006; CO2 from Brook, Science 2005 Questions to ask of the paleo record: 1) Did dust affect Productivity in HNLC regions? 2) Did other sources of Fe have a significant impact on productivity? 3) What caused glacial CO2 to be 80-100 ppm lower? Questions to ask of the paleo record: 1) Did dust affect Productivity in HNLC regions? (No) 2) Did other sources of Fe have a significant impact on productivity? (I think so) 3) What caused glacial CO2 to be 80-100 ppm lower? (?) Equatorial Pacific RC17-177 X VNTR 08 Search for evidence of dust influence in regions with paired records of dust flux and paleoproductivity. Equatorial Pacific Dust-Climate Correlation West Winckler et al., submitted Dust flux proxy East Global ice volume proxy • Dust flux proxy is tightly correlated with climate • Glacial-interglacial amplitude ~2.5X at all sites Equatorial Pacific - Antarctica Correlation Winckler et al., submitted Internally-consistent change in dust flux from at least 3 sources suggests control by global hydrological cycle CEP - No Productivity Response TT013-PC72 Equator, 140°W Barite PP Th-232 Dust 0.4 2.0 0.3 1.5 0.2 1.0 0.1 0.5 0 50 100 150 Age (ka) 200 250 Flux (µg cm-2 ky-1) Dust 0.5 232Th Productivity Barite Flux (mg cm-2 ky-1) 2.5 0.0 300 232Th flux (Dust proxy) - Winckler et al., submitted Barite concentration - Paytan, 1995 Barite flux (PP proxy) - Anderson et al., in press Proxy records for paleoproductivity and dust flux are uncorrelated over the last 3 glacial cycles EEP - No Productivity Response ODP849-Th PC72-Th 2.5 0.45 2.0 0.35 1.5 0.25 1.0 0.15 0.5 0.0 0.05 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Flux (µg cm-2 ky-1) Dust VNTR08-Barite 232Th Productivity Barite Flux (mg cm-2 ky-1) TT013-PC72 Equator, 140°W VNTR08 & ODP 849, Eq., 110°W Age (ka) 232Th flux (Dust proxy) - PC72, Anderson et al., 2006; ODP849, Winckler et al., sub. VNTR08 Barite Flux (PP proxy) - Barite conc. Paytan, 1995 Sediment flux - Pichat et al., 2004 Productivity shows no response to a 2-fold drop in dust flux over the last deglaciation Equatorial Pacific: Increased glacial dust fluxes had no detectable effect on export production. What about the Southern Ocean? Levitus Nitrate - Color Levitus Nitrate Here, increased nutrient utilization south of the Antarctic Polar Front has the greatest potential to affect atmospheric CO2. From: iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/SOURCES/.LEVITUS94 LGM minus Modern Export Production (synthesis of published data; all proxies) High glacial productivity is restricted to the Subantarctic zone Iron fertilization was not pervasive throughout the Southern Ocean Kohfeld, LeQuéré, Harrison and Anderson, Science, 2005 Sites around the Southern Ocean with detailed records showing glacial productivity < interglacial Nutrient utilization south of the APF has the greatest potential to impact global inventory of preformed nutrients. Marinov et al., (2006) SW Pacific - Two Cores & Three Proxies Consistently show glacial productivity < Holocene Anderson et al., 2002 300 250 2 200 150 1 100 50 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 4 0 160 300 250 3 200 2 150 100 1 50 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 0 160 EDC Fe Flux (µg m-2 y-1) 3 EDC Fe Flux (µg m-2 y-1) Opal Flux (g cm-2 ky-1) S Atlantic core RC13-259 - 54°S, 5°W xsBa Flux (mg cm-2 ky-1) Export Production Proxy Diatom Productivity Proxy S Atlantic Productivity anti-correlated with dust Age (ka) Opal & Ba fluxes: Anderson et al., 2002 - EPICA Dome C Fe flux: Wolff et al., 2006 Site is downwind of the Patagonian dust source If dust-borne Fe stimulated nutrient utilization in the glacial Southern Ocean, then it should have been evident here. Southern Ocean (South of APF): Any iron fertilization by increased glacial dust fluxes was more than offset by other factors that reduced export production. Did Fe have any impact on glacial productivity in the Southern Ocean? LGM minus Modern Export Production (synthesis of published data; all proxies) “Hot Spots” - Subantarctic Sites Experienced High Productivity Kohfeld, LeQuéré, Harrison and Anderson, Science, 2005 Examples from Subantarctic “Hot Spot” Higher Subantarctic Productivity in LGM supported by order of magnitude greater C-org burial C-org Flux (mmol m-2 yr-1) 0 Patterns reproduced in two cores 10 20 0 20 40 Glacial Changes were BIG! Age (ky) 60 80 100 Interglacial 120 140 RC13-254 RC15-93 160 Anderson et al., 1998, 2002 Why such different behavior among cores downwind of Patagonia? Blue = Lower glacial productivity; Red = Higher glacial productivity Contours = Summer Nitrate µM; ample nutrients N of APF Why such different behavior among cores? Is the APF (convergence) a barrier to supply of essential factor? Patagonian ice sheet during glacial times delivered Ice- Rafted Debris (IRD) to the Southern Ocean Modern ALACE float tracks show that currents would have carried Patagonian IRD into the S Atlantic Courtesy of S. Gille, SIO Icebergs as a source of Fe location matters! QuickTime™ and a TIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor are needed to see this picture. Subpolar Antarctic Alaskan photos from John Crusius QuickTime™ and a TIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor are needed to see this picture. APF would have been a barrier to icebergs, IRD, and any Fe released from IRD QuickTime™ and a TIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor are needed to see this picture. Evidence for Patagonian Fe fertilization? 1) YES - Isotopic and mineralogical data; Diekmann, Walter, Kuhn, & others at AWI; 2) Nd isotopes in Cape Basin (highlighted star) TN57-21- TN57-21 eps Nd & productivity 1500 -7.0 -7.5 1000 -8.0 500 -8.5 -9.0 0 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 Alkenone Flux (ng/cm2/ka) Alkenone Flux Nd S America -6.5 2000 eNd 230Th-n -6.0 1400 Depth (cm) MIS 3 MIS 4 -6.0 2.0 -6.5 1.5 1.0 Nd S Africa -7.0 -7.5 0.5 -8.0 0.0 eNd -8.5 U auth -9.0 -0.5 0 200 400 600 800 Depth (cm) 1000 1200 1400 Authigenic U (dpm/g) MIS 2 Cape Basin: Nd isotopes correlate with productivity proxies… May reflect Fe supply. Alkenone Flux Sachs & Anderson, 2003 Uranium Sachs & Anderson, 2005 Nd Piotrowski et al., 2005 LGM minus Modern Export Production (synthesis of published data; all proxies) Ongoing Hypothesis- “Hot Spots” reflect Fe from Patagonia & Kerguelan Current work on S Pacific shows no hot spots; supports local Fe fertilization Kohfeld, LeQuéré, Harrison and Anderson, Science, 2005 Summary: No evidence for Fe fertilization of HNLC regions (EqPac & So. Ocean) by increased glacial dust fluxes. Subantarctic: Hot spots of high productivity may have been fertilized by local sources of Fe; not dust, maybe icebergs. Impact of Subantarctic on CO2 minor because disconnected from main inventory of preformed nutrients. Increased ocean stratification, with feedbacks from CaCO3 compensation, lowered glacial atm. CO2 (Marchitto et al., Science, 2007) What caused lower glacial CO2? Increased ocean stratification was a primary factor. Marchitto et al, Science, 2007 Indirect evidence from 14C of benthic forams at 700m in N Pacific. Accelerated overturning of deep waters brought CO2 to the atm., and 14C-depleted DIC, both to intermediate depths and to the atm. More direct evidence: Deglacial increase in So Ocean upwelling coincided with rise in CO2 and drop in 14C of Atm. CO2 F(opal) 6 Hughen06 5 400 IntCal04 4 300 3 200 2 ACR 100 1 14C of Atm. CO2 (‰) Opal MAR (g cm-2 kyr-1) 500 0 7 0 5 10 15 20 25 F(opal) 30 300 CO2 6 280 5 260 4 240 3 220 2 ACR 1 200 0 180 0 5 10 15 Age (ka) 20 25 30 Dome C CO2 (ppm) CO2 from Monnin et al., EPSL, 2004 53.2°S, 5.1°E 0 Opal MAR (g cm-2 kyr-1) Hughen Atm. 14C from Cariaco Basin. Hughen et al., 2006 Increased Upwelling IntCal Atm. 14C from Reimer et al., 2004 Increased Upwelling Opal flux from TN057-13PC 7 Deglacial increase in upwelling is evident at sites all around the Southern Ocean Red star = TN057-13