Chapter 4. Labor Demand Elasticities. Major points. • Measuring elasticity of labor demand. • Determinants of the elasticity of labor demand • Consequences of inelastic or elastic labor demand • Measuring cross elasticity of labor demand • Consequences of a positive or negative cross elasticity of demand Elasticity of Labor Demand • OWN-WAGE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND. % Ei ii % Wi where Ei is the level of employment for type i labor and Wi is the wage rate for type i labor use mid-point for calculating percent changes • If gii > 1, labor demand is elastic. • < 1, labor demand is inelastic. Elasticity of Labor Demand • For a given wage, a steeper labor demand curve is more inelastic At any given wage rate, LD0 is more inelastic than LD1. LD0 LD1 Elasticity of Labor Demand For a linear labor demand curve, the "midpoint" divides the curve into an elastic and an inelastic portion. •Calculate elasticity for wages between •$10-12 •$6-8 •$2-4 •What happens to total labor income as the wage rises? •What wage maximizes total labor income? HICKS-MARSHALL LAWS OF DERIVED DEMAND Based on scale or substitution effects, why is labor demand more elastic when: 1) product demand is more elastic 2) other inputs can be easily substituted for labor 3) the supply of substitutes is more elastic 4) labor is a larger share of total cost Estimates of Own Wage Elasticity of Labor Demand Summary of studies by Daniel Hammermesh (1993) Application: Unions & Elasticity • Unions wish to raise wages while preserving employment. • How does elasticity of labor demand affect union “bargaining power”? Application: Unions & Elasticity • Truckload (TL) and Less than Truckload (LTL) – TL: hauling grain from one part of country to another. – LTL: UPS, FEDEX • Where is product demand more elastic? • Where is labor demand more elastic? • Where should unions have greater bargaining power? Application: Unions & Elasticity • TL: Average union rate 28.4 cents.mile; unionnon-union ratio of 1.23 • LTL: average union rate 35.8 cents/mile; unionnon-union ratio 1.34 Application: Unions & Elasticity • Unions will be most successful at raising wages in industries with inelastic labor demand. – Labor versus capital intensive – Monopolistic versus competitive • Unions will pursue & promote policies that make labor demand more inelastic. – Trade restrictions – Minimum wage – Immigration • Unions might first seek to organize workers in markets where labor demand is inelastic. Predictions for Union Wages • Substitution of capital for labor – Reduced labor demand and less employment – More capital intensive • Effect on elasticity of labor demand? • Effect on union bargaining power and wages? • Effect on power of strike threat? • More competitive product market – Reduced Increased competition – Effect on elasticity of labor demand Dockworkers • Containerisation radically altered cargo handling • Capital substituted for labor • Port of NY/NJ • 1970: 30,000 longshorement • 1986: 7,400. Dockworker Earnings, Containerisation, and Shipping Deregulation Author(s): Wayne K. Talley Source: Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, Vol. 36, No. 3 (Sep., 2002), pp. 447-467 Dockworkers • 1984 deregulation of shipping increased competition across ports • Allowed “door-to-door” rates in addition to “port-to-port” • Made it possible for shippers to decide on best combination of routes for “door to door” • Ports began competing with others 100s of miles away • East coast began competing with west coast • Asia shipping to East Coast began dropping cargo off ship on west coast and using rail across the states. Dockworker Earnings, Containerisation, and Shipping Deregulation Author(s): Wayne K. Talley Source: Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, Vol. 36, No. 3 (Sep., 2002), pp. 447-467 Cross-Wage Elasticity %Ei ij %W j If cross elasticity >0 i & j are gross substitutes (substitution effect > scale effect) If cross elasticity <0 i & j are gross complements (substitution effect < scale effect) Cross-Wage Elasticity Determinants of cross-elasticity: • As type k labor's share of total cost increases, the scale effect of an increase in Wk grows, making it more likely that Ej drops (i.e. more likely gross complements). • As product demand becomes more elastic, the scale effect of an increase in Wk grows, making it more likely that Ej drops (i.e. more likely gross complements). • As the substitutability between the two types of labor increases, the substitution effect of an increase in Wk on Ej grows (i.e. more likely gross substitutes). Cross-Wage Elasticity Some empirical evidence: • labor and energy are substitutes in production, but the degree of substitutability is small. • labor and materials are probably substitutes in production, with the degree of substitutability being small • skilled labor is more likely to be complementary with capital than unskilled labor. Application: Minimum Wage Laws • The debate over the desirability of a minimum wage hike turns on: – Elasticity of labor demand – Who earns the minimum wage (effect on family poverty rates) – Would a minimum wage hike hurt training and reduce future wage growth? – Monopsony power. Application: Technological Change • Does technological advance make society worse off? – PPF as illustration of gains from technological advance. – Winners and losers • Gross compliments or gross substitutes? – Gains exceed loss, but can winners compensate losers? • Unemployment insurance, retraining, etc. • These programs lead to inefficiencies as well.