FROM RUSSIA WITH LOVE THE VODKA INITIATIVE • As tensions mount between the US and Russia, the Russians create plans to destroy all Capitalist pigs. • America must know the true terror of the Motherland • Russia will decide a plan of action to cripple America in its homeland CTD… • Our organization has been tasked by Motherland to destroy the Capitalists • Comrade Ivanovo has suggested a terrorist plot to shake the hearts and minds of the American people and make them have to buy vodka instead of water out of fear. • This will raise The Motherland’s GDP. (This is how you say “killing 2 boards with 1 stove”) • We will use a toxin to kill as many people all at once as possible. About New York City • New York State has a population of 19.75 million people, 8 million of which reside in NYC. • The most population dense city in the USA. • The third highest GDP in the US behind California and Texas • 3 major aqueducts currently supply NYC with about 1 billion gallons per day. (We will focus on the Delaware and Catskill aqueducts). F1: NYC Aqueducts INITIAL THOUGHTS AND OBJECTIVES • We want to get away before anyone notices what has happened • Kill at least ¼ of the population of New York State • We should probably keep this on the less expensive side, as rubles are hard to come by these days • Less complication means less work and more time for drinking vodka • Keeping these in mind we want something deadly, but untraceable to the extent that we can run before it is detected. POLONIUM-210 F2: Polonium atom UNSTABLE AS F#@K POLONIUM’S USES • Polonium is a chemical element with symbol Po and atomic number 84, discovered in 1898 by Marie Curie and Pierre Curie. A rare and highly radioactive element with no stable isotopes, polonium is chemically similar to bismuth and tellurium, and it occurs in uranium ores. Applications of polonium are few. • Polonium is an alpha-emitter, and is used as an alpha-particle source in the form of a thin film on a stainless steel disc. These are used in antistatic devices and for research purposes. • A single gram of polonium will reach a temperature of 500°C as a result of the alpha radiation emitted. This makes it useful as a source of heat for space equipment. • It can be mixed or alloyed with beryllium to provide a source of neutrons. F3: Polonium sample Can we use Polomium? F4: Polonium powder CTD… • Nuclear experts call polonium 210 one of the most toxic materials known to science. • One gram of 210Po could thus in theory poison 20 million people of whom 10 million would die. • By some estimates, a lethal dose might cost as little as $22.50, plus tax. • Unlike most common radiation sources, polonium-210 emits only alpha particles that do not penetrate even a sheet of paper or the epidermis of human skin, thus being invisible to normal radiation detectors in this case. F5: How Alpha radiation travels MORE • Hospitals only have equipment to detect gamma rays. Both gamma rays and alpha particles are classified as ionizing radiation which can cause radiation damage. An alphaemitting substance can cause significant damage only if ingested or inhaled, acting on living cells like a short-range weapon. • So little of this material is needed, that you cannot see, smell, or taste it. • Polonium is a metal found in uranium ore whose isotope polonium-210 is highly radioactive, emitting tiny positively charged alpha particles. So long as polonium is kept out of the human body, it poses little danger because the alpha particles travel no more than a few centimeters and cannot pass through skin. ? The effects of Po210 exposure • If you ingest polonium-210, about 50% to 90% of the substance will exit the body through feces, according to a fact sheet from Argonne National Laboratory. • What is left will enter the bloodstream. About 45% of polonium ingested gets into the spleen, kidneys and liver, and 10% is deposited in the bone marrow. • Radiation poisoning from polonium-210 looks like the end stage of cancer • Liver and kidney damage ensue, along with extreme nausea and severe headaches. Victims often experience vomiting, diarrhea and hair loss. The alpha particles emitted from the decaying substance get absorbed in the body, which is what causes harm. Death may come in a matter of days, sometimes weeks. F6: How it effects the body POISONING OF ALEXANDER LITVINENKO F7: Alexander Litvinenko before and after • Alexander Litvinenko was a former officer of the Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) and KGB, who fled from court prosecution in Russia and received political asylum in the United Kingdom. • On 1 November 2006, Litvinenko suddenly fell ill and was hospitalized. He died three weeks later, becoming the first confirmed victim of lethal polonium-210-induced acute radiation syndrome. • For several days after 1 November, Litvinenko experienced severe diarrhea and vomiting. At one point, he could not walk without assistance. As the pain intensified, Litvinenko asked his wife to call an ambulance for assistance. For several weeks, Litvinenko's condition worsened as doctors searched for the cause of the illness. • He died three weeks later, becoming the first confirmed victim of lethal polonium-210induced acute radiation syndrome. • The symptoms seen in Litvinenko appeared consistent with an administered activity of approximately 2 GBq (50 mCi) which corresponds to about 10 micrograms of 210Po. That is 200 times the median lethal dose of around 238 μCi or 50 nanograms in the case of ingestion • Litvinenko died after three weeks of agony in a London hospital and the poison wasn't identified as polonium until shortly after his death. • Filmmaker and friend of Litvinenko, Andrei Nekrasov, has suggested that the poison was "sadistically designed to trigger a slow, tortuous and spectacular demise". Expert on Russia Paul Joyal suggested that "A message has been communicated to anyone who wants to speak out against the Kremlin.... If you do, no matter who you are, where you are, we will find you, and we will silence you, in the most horrible way possible" F8: NYC water shed the Kensico reservoir connects to the Delaware and Catskill aqueducts KENSICO RESERVOIR F9: one of the few water Filtration Systems • Due to the high quality of the Catskill/Delaware supply, New York City is one of only five large cities in the country with a surface drinking water supply of such high quality that filtration is not required as a form of treatment. The water is still disinfected to prevent microbial risk. DEP disinfects its water with chlorine and ultraviolet light • This provides a unique choking point in which our plan may spring into action. WHAT WE’LL DO • The Catskill and Delaware aqueduct systems carry in the majority of water, while the Croton aqueduct carries less. • The two main aqueducts meet in two separate reservoirs where they are slightly filtrated • The Kensico and Hillview reservoirs collect and regulate the flow of water into the city by acting as holding pens for the massive amounts of water collected by the neighboring watershed. • The Kensico reservoir is the first major meeting place. • This is where we will put the Polonium. F10: Kensico Reservoir THE PLAN • August 10th1600, or After many Vodkas. • It is a nice hot day, so many people are to be thirsty. • Comrade Igor will go to the Kensico reservoir filtration center carrying the deadly material in a safe sealed container. • It can be carried in crystalized or powdered form or diluted in a bottle of liquid. Identifying it in any of these forms with current methods is both timeconsuming and requires an experienced analyst. • Igor will easily gain access to the facility, as he is actually, Jim Cunningham, safety inspector sleeper cell. • Trigger phrase: “Jet fuel can’t melt steel beams” F11: Highly advanced transport device MORE PLAN • Igor accesses the two main aqueduct intakes, Catskill and Delaware, dumping in half of his solution of diluted Po into each. • As long as a proper amount is released into the water systems the Polonium will go unnoticed. This is due to the immediate release of particles, dropping the chance of catching it early a significant amount. • Furthermore the gamma radiation which most tests and hospitals can track will be improperly tuned to see the Alpha radiation of Po. F12: Igor ads the perfect ingredients to our delicious murder cake F13: Close up of the 3 tunnels Where will the water go? • This map shows a little more clearly how the water will travel from Kensico Reservoir to the foolish New Yorkers. • Since this is the only path for 90% of the water entering NYC, almost everyone will be exposed very quickly F14: a Simplified layout of the Aqueducts and Tunnels F15: This map shows tunnels 1 and two will cut through highly populated areas WHAT DO THESE MAPS TELL US? • Using GIS we can see that about 2/3 of the water will travel through Manhattan • Manhattan houses 1.62 million people, and we believe they will suffer the greatest number of casualties. • The remainder of the city will also be heavily affected, as long as the particles remain evenly dispersed in the water. • Some water will even travel all the way to Staten Island THE MATH • Math. • 1,000,000,000 gal/day or 3,785,411,784 liters/day • Lethal dose of .00000005g • People drink 2 Liters/day • So only half a dose is necessary per liter • .000000025 grams/Liter x 3785411784 Liters/Day = 94.6352946 grams/Day • We could possibly kill 1.8 billion people if they all drank their recommended water that day. • There are approximately 8million people in New York City, so we should scale it back a bit MATH CTD… • We don’t want to spend too much money, so we set a billion dollar budget. • At $22.50 a lethal dose • $1,000,000,000/ $22.5/ Dose = 44,444,444.44 lethal doses. • 44,444,444.44 Doses = (5X10^8)*(44,444,444.44) = a mere 2.222222222g THE AFTERMATH • Unlike similar radioactive isotopes, Polonium 210 releases Alpha radiation instead of Gamma. • Most radiation poisoning tests are geared towards identifying Gamma rad, so even after people begin to fall ill by the droves, health officials may have no idea of the cause. • Since it will take a few days for anyone to truly become sick, residual contaminated water will continue to be used. • Even when the contamination is discovered, it’ll be too late to save most people. People who are already contaminated will most likely die within the next few months, so any kind of aide and relief help will be basically useless. • Eventually the material will decay into daughter isotopes. A half life of only 138 days renders it relatively less harmless soon after the initial exposure. THE DEVASTATION • Assuming an even dispersal we should probably assume that it won’t kill everyone who drinks it due to the dilution of the particles, but if just 18% of this sample remains concentrated enough, then the 8 million people should be killed. • Hospitals will be overrun by the huge amount of people falling ill all at once. • In addition to that initial death toll, multitudes that will consume smaller doses will face the long term effects of cancer. F16: radiation exposure victim A SLOW DEATH • Polonium, like other sources of radiation, does not kill immediately, sometimes taking a few day for larger doses, but polonium’s Alpha radiation is even slower. • Even Alexander Litvinenko, who consumed over 200 times the median fatality amount, lived 3 weeks after the initial dosage. A smaller dose would still kill most of the people who drink it, while sending the rate for cancer development through the roof for those who don’t. • There is no cure, unless you are treated almost immediately. A small chance exists that treatment can do anything once a fatal dose is administered. CONCLUSIONS • Russia’s supply of polonium is extremely dangerous • Polonium is too difficult to detect before it gets you. • Drinking the contaminated water would lead to almost certain death • Since symptoms would take time to show up, all involved parties can escape NYC before the Jig is up SOURCES • Romer, Alfred. Radiochemistry and the Discovery of Isotopes. New York: Dover Publications, 1970. Print. • http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/news/world/2006-12-13-polonium-guide_x.htm • http://www.rferl.org/content/polonium-facts/25161473.html • http://informahealthcare.com/doi/abs/10.1080/15563650902956431 • http://www.cnn.com/2012/11/27/health/polonium-arafat-explainer • http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poisoning_of_Alexander_Litvinenko • http://www.rferl.org/content/polonium-facts/25161473.html • http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poisoning_of_Alexander_Litvinenko • http://www.nyc.gov/html/dep/pdf/wsstate13.pdf • http://ajrae.staff.shef.ac.uk/img/nyc_popdens_2010.png MORE • http://habitatmap.org/editor_images/0000/2279/Map-of-NYC-Water-Tunnels-2.jpg • http://www.chemicool.com/elements/polonium.html • http://zidbits.com/2011/04/whats-the-most-lethal-poison/ • http://media.web.britannica.com/eb-media/03/62903-004-4A2980FF.gif • http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York_City_water_supply_system • http://iopscience.iop.org/0952-4746/27/1/001/ • John Harrison et al 2007 J. Radiol. Prot. 27 17 • Plan 2011 NYC water supply pdf from folder