Using Technology in Urban Areas: Preparing for the Future April 26, 1999 Frank Ferrante Senior Manager Mitretek Systems, Inc. Presented to The Emerging Health Information Infrastructure Conference (HII99) Improving Health in a Digital World Sponsored by the Friends of the National Library of Medicine (FNLM) Washington, D.C. Agenda Technology: Changes and Trends Digital Healthcare Products Applications Current and Future Technologies Summary 2 Technology: Changes Exponential Multimedia applications: Messaging, documents, desktop conferencing, image storage/retrieval, TV distribution ATM/SONET WDM Networks 100+ Gbps Data Rates 100+ Gbps ATM/SONET Networks 1 Gbps+ IP Switching FDDI 1 Gbps 100 Mbps Fast Ethernet Ethernet 100 Mbps (IEEE 802.3) IBM's Token Ring 10 Mbps 16 Mbps 10 Gbps 1 Gbps 100 Mbps 10 Mbps 1 Mbps 100 Kbps 10 Kbps Dial-Up 300 bps 1 Kbps 100 bps • ISDN X.25 Early Modem 56 Kbps Access 1200 bps Modem Access 9.6 Kbps Direct Access 75 bps 10 bps 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 3 Technology: Internet Trends Internet consumer market to reach 43 million in 2000 from 30+ million households in 1998 {INTERNET2 reaching Gbps Rates) Internet Market in Millions $5,000 $4,500 $4,000 $3,500 $3,000 $2,500 $2,000 $1,500 $1,000 $500 $0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Source: The Age of Internet: Capitalization on the Data Opportunity, Information and Interactive Service Report, January 9, 1998 4 Technology: Bandwidth Cost Trends Legend: OC - Optical Carrier Rates (155 Mbps to 4.8 Gbps) WDM - Wavelength Division Multiplexing TDM - Time Division Multiplexing Source: NGN - 1998 Conference Proceedings 5 Technology: Digital Healthcare Products Digital Blood Pressure Monitor (Sphygmonometer) - less than 10 Kbits of data per second (required transmission rates) Digital Thermometer - less than 10 Kbits of data (required transmission rates) Digital Audio Stethoscope and integrated electrocardiogram - less than 10 Kbits of data (required transmission rates) Ultrasound, Angiograph, - 256 Kbytes (image size) Magnetic Resonance Image - 384 Kbytes (image size) Scanned X-Ray - 1.8 Mbytes (image size) Digital Radiolography - 6 Mbytes (image size) Mamogram - 24 Mbytes (image size) Compressed and full motion video (e.g., Nasopharyngoscope, Opthalmoscope, Proctoscope, Episcope, ENT Scope) - 384 Kb/s to 1.544 Mb/s (speed) 6 Technology: Teleradiology Applications - Imaging 8 to 24 bits per pixel 512 to 4096 pixels Ima ge T ype 512 to 4096 pixels Ultra sound Othe r (Angiogra phy, Endoscopy, Nucle a r Me d., Ca rdiology, Ra diology) Compute d T omogra phy Ma gne tic Re sona nce Ima ging Digitize d (Sca nne d) X-ra y Digita l Ra diogra phy Ma mmogra phy Ima ge Re solution Spa tia l Contra st 512x512 x8 Ima ge Size 256 Kbyte s 512x512 x8 256 Kbyte s 512x512 x12 384 Kbyte s 512x512 x12 384 Kbyte s 1024x1250 1024x1024 2048x2048 4096x4096 x12 x8 x12 x12 1.8 Mbyte s 1 Mbyte 6 Mbyte s 24 Mbyte s 7 Technology: Image Transmission Times Note: Service classes changing faster than ever 29.1 min. Coaxial Modem Range Slow-Speed Services High-Speed Services (45 Mb/s - 4.8+ Gb/s) Medical/Scientific Visualization Medium-Speed Services (384 Kb/s - 45 Mb/s) Medical Images 15.0 min. Assumptions: 32.6 sec. 5.0 sec. 1.1 sec. 2048 x 2048x 12 bit image No compression 325 ms 21 ms 10.5 ms 28.8 Kb/s 56 Kb/s 1.544 Kb/s 10 Mb/s 45 Mb/s 155 Mb/s 2.4 Gb/s 4.8 Gb/s (Modem) (Modem) (T1) (Ethernet) (T3) (ATM OC-3) (ATM OC-48) (ATM OC-96) 8 Technology: ATM Collaborative Computing Desktop Video Teleconference Collaborative Work Board {Sample: discussing telemedical application} Live or stored video image transfer {Sample: tissue sample from patient} 9 WDM Technology Pre-WDM: – On a single strand of fiber, a point-to-point backbone link would carry an OC-48 SONET signal at a single wavelength With WDM: – On a single strand of fiber, a point-to-point backbone link could carry multiple wavelengths (color bands) each wavelength capable of carrying an OC-48 SONET signal – Point-to-point throughput increases by a factor equal to number of wavelengths accommodated by the WDM equipment (4-8 in 1995) – Next development trend in WDM is true optical networking via optical cross connects where direct switching of optical signals rather than time slots are performed • Technology trend towards direct IP over WDM (bypassing SONET equipment) 10 Dense Wave Division Multiplexing (DWDM) Cost Savings Versus SONET Take advantage of DWDM bit-rate independence and lack of scaling capital expenditure as compared to SONET Source: NGN - 1998 Conference Proceedings 11 Technology: Smart Cards Definition – Plastic card with embedded silicon chip, 1 to 8 kilobytes of memory, microprocessor, operating system in ROM (Read Only Memory). Capabilities – Typical 1- 8Kbytes storage memory – 32kByte chips being developed – Price range now $2 to $25 per card (8Kb cards @$2) Medical Applications – Military experimenting in triage situations (Dog Tag replacements) – Insurance firms considering usage to • reduce cost of accounting for medical • future storage of patient records (assuming medical records policy changes takes place) Progress – Slow, with focus on billing/accounting – Expected to take off in near future if policy on records change Future – Could be useful in remote areas given inexpensive readers available (current readers cost $300 +) Reference: 3GI home page -http://www.3GI.com/ 12 Technology: Wireless Future Services Digital Voice and Data services Fax / Paging (two-way) Full High Speed E-mail / internet access 28.8 Kbps to n x 1.5 Mbps Today’s Services Basic voice service Fax / Paging (one-way, two-way) Limited e-mail and internet access 9.6 Kbps to 14.4 Kbps H.320 3G Wireless Switch VLR/HLR/ AUC/EIR n X DS1 or DS-3 Air Interface: 3G CDMA Based 5 MHz RF Channels Base Station PSTN MSC BSC IP Gateway Future Corporate Intranet Video Server Key: VLR/ HLR/ AUC/EIR n X DS 1 or DS -3 ISP nX Base Station BSC DS 1o MSC (Circuit Switched Cards) rD S3 PSTN AUC BSC EIR HLR ISP MSC PSTN VLR Authentication Center Base Station Controller Equipment Identification Register Home Location Register Internet Service Provider Mobile Switching Center Public Switched Telephone Network Visitor Location Register 13 Technology: Other Available Services Supporting Telemedical Applications Digital Subscriber Loop Services Cable Modems Frame Relay (predecessor for IP networks) Wireless services (cellular, satellite, other) Faster CPUs and memory storage explosion Future growth of digital record keeping acceptance 14 Technology: Summary Technology is changing exponentially Internet services in urban areas represent a possible outreach approach to the public with high bandwidth offerings and ubiquity of the services Cost of bandwidth is dropping rapidly Telemedicine requires bandwidth which is now becoming more affordable and available in urban areas Urban areas are ripe for considering new technology applications as never before (e.g., wireless beyond the pager and cell phone explosion 15 Technology: Recommendations Perform the cost-benefit tradeoff studies now to identify longer term applications of new technologies in telemedicine Due to the explosive nature of technology changes be flexible in buying into the new offerings (2 to 3 year contracts with options to change or get out; lease as much as possible, don’t own your systems) Finally, encourage changes in insurance and legal restrictions to allow more telemedicine as facts prove their benefits. 16 Contact Information Frank E. Ferrante Mitretek Systems, Inc. Senior Manager, Systems Engineering and Acquisition Center for Telecommunications and Advanced Technology 7525 Colshire Drive McLean, VA 22102-7400 Ferrante@Mitretek.org Tel: (703) 610-2905 fax: (703) 610-2984 17