Germany – Opportunities and Potentials Ljubljana 15. Mai 2012 Typical German? Vrtni palček Germany at a glance • No sign of a sense of crisis • Strong recovery after financial crisis continued in 2011. • Dynamic GDP growth of 3.0% in 2011 • Situation assessment remains excellent ... • … contrary to the fears in the fall • Private consumption is increasingly taking over the role of the supporter of the economy Germany at a glance • The dynamism shown by exports in the previous 2 years continues the level of the longterm average • The investment intensions of the companies remains pleasingly high • Companies' willingness to recruit remains at a high level. The shortage of skilled labour is again gaining in importance as a business risk for companies Germany at a glance Indicators GDP Private consumption expenditure Government final consumption Gross fixed captial formation (GFCF) GFCF in machinery and equipement GFCF in construction Export (Mrd. EUR) -Growth rate Import (Mrd. EUR) -Growth rate GDP per Head (EUR) Unemployment (in Mil.) Employment (change in thousand) Quelle Commerzbank, Statistisches Bundesamt Deutschland 2010 2011 Forecast 3,7 3,0 1,0 0,6 1,5 1,2 1,7 1,2 1,0 5,5 6,5 1,6 10,5 8,3 2,0 2,2 5,4 1,0 959.479 1.038.156 1.074.492 13,7 8,2 3,5 806.164 864.208 903.097 11,7 7,2 4,5 30.554 3,24 2,98 2,83 191 541 250 Germany at a glance Share of Total GDP and Population in the European Union 2010 GERMANY France UK Spain Netherlands Poland Czech Rep. Slowak Rep. USA Japan EU-27 Eurozone GDP (in EUR Share of Total Population Share of Total billion) GDP (EU-27) (in million) Population (EU-27) 2.477 20% 82 16% 1.933 16% 65 13% 1.697 14% 62 12% 1.063 9% 46 9% 588 5% 17 3% 354 3% 38 8% 145 1% 11 2% 66 1% 5 1% 10.957 309 4.122 128 12.284 501 9.170 331 Slovenian-German Economic Relations German-Slovenian foreign trade balance (in 1000 EUR) 5,000,000 4,000,000 3,000,000 Export to Germany Import from Germany 2,000,000 Trade Balance 1,000,000 0 2005 2006 2007 -1,000,000 Quelle: Statistikamt Slowenien 2008 2009 2010 2011 1000 EUR Country Total 2011 Import share (%) 2011 1000 EUR Import 100 22.158.543 Country Total Export Export share (%) 20.477.552 100 Germany 18,84 4.174.078 Germany 4.387.773 21,43 Italy 18,29 4.052.888 Italy 2.470.512 12,06 Austria 11,72 2.596.669 Austria 1.704.945 8,33 France 4,76 1.056.066 France 1.402.855 6,85 Croatia 3,89 862.603 Croatia 1.375.565 6,72 Netherlands 3,28 727.570 Hungary 619.719 3,03 Serbia 1,87 414.888 Serbia 597.352 2,92 Russia 1,74 386.539 Russia 542.977 2,65 Quelle: Statistikamt Slowenien Germanys Main Import Products (bil. EUR) Wood Products Furniture Textiles Paper Metal Products Rubber and Plastics Agriculture Products Clothing Phamraceutical Products Electrical Products Food & Beverage Row Metal Machinery Chemical products Automotive and Parts Electronic and ICT Products Quelle: Statistikamt Deutschland 5.3 9.5 10.3 14.5 23.2 25.3 26.7 27.3 38.9 42.5 43.3 61.6 70.7 71.7 81.2 89.9 Slovenian-German Economic Relations Market share of German federal states in Slovenian imports from Germany 5% 8% 18% 5% Baden-Württemberg Bayern Nordrhein-Westfalen 16% 17% Market share of German federal states in Slovenien exports to Germany 7% 5% 8% 31% Hessen Niedersachsen Neue Bundesländer Baden-Württemberg Bayern Nordrhein-Westfalen 20% Hessen 22% Niedersachsen Neue Bundesländer Quelle: Statistikamt Slowenien Emerging Industries Energy Efficiency Sector Creating the Future for a Clean Environment Industry & Market Numbers • market leader in energy efficiency technologies • turnover of about EUR 67 billion per year • double-digit growth rates expected in coming years • 1/3 of companies active in the sector realize profit margins of over 10% • average workforce growth of about 15% per year Safety & Security Industry "Made in Germany" for Future Security Industry & Market Numbers • Largest market in Europe • High market potential with industry turnover of 20.3 billion Euro in 2008 • Industry forecast to record 55% growth by 2015 • IT security will grow by 124% within the next six years • Identification, authentication, and biometrics revenue forecast to increase by 87% by 2015 • Market for protection technologies against theft, burglary, and assault expected to grow by 33% through 2015 • Record IT security hardware and software spending of 2.3 billion Euro in 2008 ICT Industry Germany's ICT Industry: Shaping Europe’s Digital Future Industry & Market Numbers • • • • Europe’s largest ICT market in terms of revenue volume (20 percent of total EU market volume). With 5.5% global market share, German ICT industry is ranked fourth worldwide. Turnover of EUR 137 billion Germany’s ICT industry employs a workforce of around 850,000 ICT Industry Germany's ICT Industry: Shaping Europe’s Digital Future Growth Areas IT Security: The market for IT security is growing due to steadily increasing risk potential Cloud Computing: There is significant international demand for secure and cost-effective cloud solutions and services Smart Grids: Increasing importance of sustainable energy supply offer great opportunities for smart grid adoption and ICT solutions for smart grid. Key Sectors in Germany • Automotive • Machinery & Equipment • Metal and Metal Processing Industry • Plastic Industry • • • • • Electronic & Microtechnology Consumer Goods & Retail Food & Beverage, Organic Food Wood & Furniture Industry Construction Industry Automotive Industry Driving Performance through Technology Industry & Market Numbers • Europe's largest automobile market • 5.5 million passenger vehicles manufactured and 2.9 million registrations in 2010 • Average manufacturer and supplier turnover of more than EUR 300 billion • 30 final assembly plants with a production capacity of over one third of total automobile production in Europe • The German auto industry invested EUR 19.6 billion in R&D in 2010 (a 3.1 percent increase on the previous year) • 3,650 patents per year (= 10 patents a day Automotive Industry Market Potential • Germany has a very competitive auto parts market with many domestic and foreign manufacturers • Suppliers are mostly specialized • New Automotive Deal • Consolidation process-oriented sectors • Just in Time Just in Sequence • After sales market is expected to grow in the coming years Automotive Industry Smart Mobility Electric mobility is the technology of the future but existing technologies must be optimized Opportunities for Automotive Suppliers The demand for new technology for this market is enormous Vehicle manufacturers require core components such as batteries and electric motors for electric. Machinery & Equipment Industry Market Leadership Powered by German Engineering Industry & Market Numbers • • • • Annual turnover 173 billion Euro Growth rates between of 7 and 12 percent Domestic market: 87 billion Euro Highly innovative sector producing 28% of the worlds mechanical engineering patents • Technical fields with high import rates: drive technology (10.7%), air technology (9.3%), valves and fittings (6.7%), construction equipment (6.2%) Machinery & Equipment Industry Market Potential • Imports: EUR39.1 billion in 2009 • One of the fastest growing industry sectors in Germany • High domestic demand from industries like the automotive, electronics, chemicals, food as well as the renewable energies sector • very. attractive to foreign companies seeking to sell their high-tech products and components abroad Metal & Metal Processing Industry Industry & Market Numbers • Metal and metal products imports totaled EUR 68.7 billion in 2010 • Sixty two percent of the imported metal products came from the European Union • In 2009, 15 million tons of steel were processed in the production of metal products • The non-ferrous metal industry registered sales of EUR 43.5 billion in 2010 Plastics Industry Germany is Europe's No.1 Plastics Location Industry & Market Numbers • Leadership in plastics production and consumption, export and import, and in investment in fixed assets and expenditure in R&D • Turnover EUR 88 billion, 7,200 companies, 440,000 employees • About 70 application-oriented university and non-university research institutes in the field of polymer and materials research in close collaboration with the plastics industry • Over 40 regional plastics clusters, innovative networks and competence centers Electronics & Microtechnology Your Market for Next-Generation Technology Industry & Market Numbers • • • • • • Turnover of 165 billion Euro in 2010 Market is estimated to grow to 180 billion Euro in 2011 Fourth largest industry segment in Germany by revenue (2010) 12 billion Euro R&D expenses annually Microelectronics is one of our fastest-growing industry sectors market potential for automotive and industry electronics Consumer Goods & Retail Large Markets Create Major Opportunities Industry & Market Numbers • Europe's leading consumer market with 82 million affluent consumers • Private spending remained stable in 2008 at EUR 1,854 billion • Private spending in the leisure and apparel segments is permenently growing due to higher private income • Germany's consumer electronics market fasted growing segment Food & Beverage Industry Supplying the Full Spectrum of Consumer Needs Industry & Market Numbers • Germany is Europe's second largest food producer with sales of 149.5 billion Euro in 2010 • Germany is a net importer of food & beverage products • Largest sector sub-segments in 2009: meat (22.7%), dairy (15.4%), confectionery food (9.4%), and baked goods (8.7%) • Major national and international players, including Dr. Oetker Group, Südzucker AG, Vion Food Group, Kraft Foods Deutschland GmbH, Nestlé, etc Food & Beverage Industry Supplying the Full Spectrum of Consumer Needs Market trends • High demand for health and wellness as well as functional food products to prevent or overcome conditions including diabetes, high blood pressure and cholesterol • Movement for organic food and “free of” foods e.g. lactose and gluten-free products • Driving demand for highly convenient foodstuffs including ready-to-eat meals, frozen foods, desserts, and baked goods • Ethnic foods, beauty foods and fair trade products Market Potential • Large size of the German market in the food and beverage sector are very attractive to exporters worldwide • German consumers are generally well informed. They expect high quality and low prices for their food and beverage products Market Access • The German food & beverage industry is highly fragmented and competitive. • Exporting companies should be aware that product packaging is very important to German consumers since they are highly environmentally conscious • Manufacturers, importers, distributors and retailers must make sure that their packaging materials for their food products comply with the EU's and Germany's domestic regulations in terms of recycling and disposal. There are several dual system companies licensed in Germany offering various waste disposal schemes Wood & Furniture Industry • German forest are the greatest wood supplier in Europe • Forest cluster and timber employ more than the automotive industry • Germany is the largest furniture sales market in Europe, per capita consumption is 360 euro per person (total: 29 bil. €), ranked first in Europe; • Germany imports about 14,8 bil € per year • German furniture sales system is highly concentrated and scale-developed; • Large chains (IKEA, Höffner, XXL Lutz) are dominating the market; • German consumer expect high quality for best (lowest) price; Construction industry • The construction industry is one of the most important sectors of the German economy • Germany’s Construction Industry: Strong Growth Followed by Stagnation • Construction Work on Existing Buildings Dominates • Total market volume: 312,7 bil EUR • Residencial construction: 179 bil EUR • Energy related modernization: 57,5% TOP Regions Quelle: AHK Ranking of the 82 Regions 1 2 Region Grade Frankfurt Offenbach 2,43 2,55 3 Aschaffenburg 2,62 4 5 6 7 38 50 59 63 Hamburg Köln Stuttgart München Leipzig Hannover Berlin Dresden 2,65 2,65 2,67 2,68 3,02 3,1 3,21 3,31 Requirements of the German Market Foreign companies face in the processing of the German market entry a variety of problems and challenges • Lack of market information • Problems by finding a suitable business-partner • Language and communication • Image of the own products • Lack of qualified personnel • Market conditions • Market entry costs Sales in Germany Marketing-Mix Marketing Tools Very important Less important unimportant Fairs 63 28 9 Presentations 62 29 9 Fact-Finding Missions 61 29 10 Brochure / Catalogs 43 47 10 Direct Marketing(Mailing) 33 45 22 Quelle: AHK e-marketing 26 49 25 Advertisement 24 51 25 Retail and Wholesale Distribution channels vary considerably depending on product and industry Line of Business Recommendation textile industry Agents food and beverage Wholesale, agent metal products, automotive, mechanical engineering Direct Sales, agent automotive, mechanical engineering Subsidary How to find a partner? The German Chamber Network "AHK – well connected worldwide" How to find a partner? "AHK – well connected worldwide" … 80 countries ..120 offices … 1.400 employees .. 50.000 member worldwide 98% of overall German trade “AHK – worldwide competent on-site” How to find a partner? AHK Slovenia – Your bridge to the German Market We… Provide information Solve problems Offer service Establish contacts . Market entry to Germany Whatever type of business you are looking for with Germany, the German-Slovene Chamber of Industry & Commerce can help. As a German Bi-lateral Chamber (AHK), we have many years of experience of finding Slovene companies the right business partner. We can assist Slovene agents to expand their range with new, innovative German products or services help and also help Slovene exporters to make contact with potential customers, wholesalers and agents in Germany. Investing in Germany International matchmaking events . Legal services for Germany Information about German companies Debt collection in Germany Legal information about Germany Employees Commercial agents Starting a business in Germany Tax services for Germany German VAT returns Reclaim of German VAT One of the most important marketing tools are fairs and exhibitions The AHK Slovenija website should be your first stop when looking for information on trade shows in Germany www.dihk.si Quelle: Austellungs- und Messeauschuss der Deutschen Wirtschaft Our Partners in Germany Information Center Do you have further questions about the German Market? Contact us directly. We will be glad to answer your questions. Gertrud Rantzen Predsednica Telefon: +386 252 88 63 E-Mail: gf@ahkslo.si http://slowenien.ahk.de