The Royal Society SATELLITE MEETING ON Human evolution – plagues, pathogens and selection Recognition of the Mtb-infected Cell: What IGRAS Have Allowed Us To Understand About TB David Lewinsohn, MD, PhD Pulmonary & Critical Care Medicine Portland VA Medical Center Oregon Health & Sciences University TB Diagnostics: Opportunities for Impact • TB Disease – Case Finding • Improved detection of bacterial products – LED / NAAT / Urine Dipstick / Novel Plasma or Urine Markers • Rapid identification of drug resistance – Line Probe / Cepheid • Improved understanding of immune markers of antigenic load • Identification of markers of active infection – Treatment • Tools to identify those at risk for treatment failure • “Latent” TB Infection – Identify those at risk for progression • Improved understanding of bacterial persistence • Improved understanding of immune markers of antigenic load Incidence Mortality Abu-Raddad L J et al. PNAS 2009;106:13980-13985 ©2009 by National Academy of Sciences The Testing Strategy Should be Matched to Benefit TST ≥ 10 mm TST ≥ 15 mm TST ≥ 5 mm The TST Immune Phenotype Rieder, Epidemiologic Basis of TB Control, IUTLD (1999) Acute TB Infection Persistent TB Infection Risk highest shortly after infection Late disease might reflect re-exposures TST poor at identifying those at risk Outcome of contact evaluations ARPES, 2001; S+ Reichler, 1996; all Marks, 1998; S+ close Contacts Evaluated 55-81% of contacts complete TST LTBI dx’d 22-36% found newly infected Start TLTBI 63-74% begin treatment Complete Rx 51-62% finish treatment Outcome ~17-37% of target population actually complete TLTBI Courtesy Andy Vernon, CDC Lesson 1: David vs Goliath TST – – – Associated with Exposure to Mtb Conversion associated with risk of disease Treatment of benefit IGRAs Peter Andersen, SSI Winner 2011 Novo Nordisk Prize Steve Reed, IDRI The Immune Phenotype: Beyond TST Lesson 1: We Can do At Least as Well as the TST IFN-TNF CD4 Lymphocyte CD4 TCR “Professional” Antigen Presenting Cell Protein Class II MHC Peptide 12-18 AA Quantiferon T-SPOT IFN-γ ELISA CD4 IFN-γ ELISPOT CD4 / CD8 ESAT-6 CFP-10 IGRAs and The Diagnosis of LTBI • Test Accuracy – What is the Sensitivity of the test with regard to TB? – What is the Specificity in those unlikely to have been exposed? – What is the Likelihood of infection in those being tested? • Association with Conditions Linked to Treatment Success – Is the test associated with exposure to Mtb? – Is the test associated with progression to TB? • Are there other risks / benefits that might affect the decision as to which test to use? – Test logistics – Client and provider perceptions – Cost • Is treatment based on the test associated with improved outcomes? – More accurate identification of those at risk? – Do more patients accept or complete treatment based on the test results? Test Accuracy – Sensitivity Active TB* • QFT-IT • TSPOT • TST 84% (81,86) 93% (90,95) 77% (71,82) – Association with Exposure • Both QFT and TSPOT are more closely associated with exposure than TST. * Courtesy Madhu Pai, High prevalence countries Test Accuracy – Specificity* • QFT-IT • TSPOT • TST 99% (98,100) 85-98% – BCG 49% (46,73) – No BCG 97% (95,99) * Courtesy Madhu Pai, High prevalence countries Progression to TB – Diel R et al. Predictive value of a whole blood IFN-gamma assay for the development of active tuberculosis disease after recent infection with Mycobacterium tuberculosis. Am J Respir Crit Care Med. 2008. • • • • • – 601 household contacts 40.4% (243/601) TST + 11% (66/601( (11%) QFT+ Six contacts progressed to TB disease within the 2-year follow-up. All were QFT positive and had declined preventive treatment, equating to a progression rate of 14.6% (6/41) among those who were QFT positive. Kik et al. Predictive value for progression to tuberculosis by IGRA and TST in immigrant contacts. Eur Respir J. 2009 . • • • • • 339 TST+ household contacts (5mm); prophylaxis not given 9/288=3.1% (95% CI; 1.3-5.0) for TST ≥10 5/178=2.8% (95% CI; 1.0-4.6) for QFTGIT (54% QFT+; 5/8 cases detected) 6/181=3.3% (95% CI; 1.3-5.3) for T-SPOT.TB (63% TSPOT +; 6/8 cases detected) Review of TB case reporting did not find cases in those who were TST- High Risk Populations • • • • Heterogeneous Population Very Limited Data in High Income Settings TSPOT May be Less Affected by Low CD4 Counts Immunosupression is Associated with Impaired Test Performance for Cellular Assays • Sensitivity Active TB in HIV* – QFT-IT / TSPOT – TST * Courtesy John Metcalfe • 84% (65,100) 43% (25,85) Association with Progression to TB – – – – – – – Aichelburg et al., Clin Infect Dis. 2009 Apr 1;48(7):954-62. 830 HIV+ subjects 44 QFT+ 8 found to have TB at time of testing 7QFT+ 1 QFT – 3/37 QFT+ developed TB during follow up Low Risk Populations – Not candidates for Rx – Specificity of IGRAs may be superior to TST, particularly in those with a history of BCG vaccination. Khoury et al., JOEM, 2011 Lesson 2: There is nothing Latent about LTBI IGRAs Reflect a Dynamic Relationship of the Host, the Microbe, and the Environment • The Host – Vulnerability to infection – Infection / disease status • The Microbe – Strain – Metabolic activity • Environment – Likelihood of exposure / re-exposure – Other mycobacteria – Other infections TST Variability • Menzies, AJRCCM 1999 – 6mm represents 2SD in repeated TST measurements – TST reversions • Following INH therapy among those recently exposed on a submarine – Houk et al., 1968. Arch. Environ. Health 16:46–50 • Estimated 8% in exposed children • Estimated 8% annually in older adults Do IGRAs Reflect Bacterial Burden? • Metcalfe et al., AJRCCM 2009 – 660 TB suspects in San Francisco – Increased IFN-γ associated with increased likelihood of TB Kobashi et al., Lung 2010 Hinks et al., Infection and Immunity 2009 Are IGRAs a Reflection of the Environment and/or Host? Detjen et al., Clinical Vaccine Immunology 2009 Ringshausen et al, Clinical and Vaccine Immunology 2011 Transient Exposure? • Friedman et al., Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol 2006 – 45 % HCW previously positive by TST were negative on repeat testing – Best correlation with persistent TST positivity • Foreign birth • BCG • TST > 15mm – Best correlation with TST reversion • Working in study clinic Transient Exposure? Ewer al al., Am J Respir Crit Care Med Vol 174. pp 831–839, 2006 Transient Exposure • Natural exposure of guinea pigs to MDR/XDR – 75% of the 362 exposed guinea pigs had positive skin test reactions [6 mm]. – 12% had histopathologic evidence of active disease. – Reversions (6mm change) in skin test reactivity were seen in 22% of animals, exclusively among those with reactions of 6-13 mm. – 2of 86 guinea pigs with reversion had histological evidence of disease vs 47% (31/66) of guinea pigs with large, non-reverting reactions. – Immunosuppression had no effect Can IGRAs Discern Recent from Remote Exposures? • Millington et al., JID 2010 – 27 subjects with selfhealed, untreated TB – >50 years – 17 + Ex-vivo ELISPOT (16 IFN-γ ) – 6/10 + long term assay • Recent vs Remote – Hinks et al., I&I 2009 – Kik et al., IJTLD 2009 Cellular Immunology: CD4 Cells IFN-TNF CD4 Lymphocyte CD4 TCR “Professional” Antigen Presenting Cell Protein Class II MHC Peptide 12-18 AA Cytokines Cytotoxicity How Do We Explain the Variability Seen in Longitudinal Testing? • Assumptions – ELISA/ELISPOT have inherent variability (10-15%) – There is a learning curve when IGRAs are introduced van Zyl-Smit et al., AJRCCM, 2009 Ringshausen et al., BMC Infect Dis 2010 Lesson 3: We Need Better Surrogates of Bacterial Burden Novel T Cell Phenotypes Adapted from Seder et al., Nat Rev Immunol, 2008 The Host: Sampling the Intracellular Environment IFN-TNF All Cells CD8 Lymphocyte CD8 TCR 2m Class I MHC Cytoplasmic Protein Peptide 9-11AA Cytokines Cytotoxicity ESAT-6 / CFP-10 Responses During TB Treatment CD4 Response CD8 Response BMI Has a Profound Effect on the CD4 Response CD4 Response CD8 Response * p = 0.02 BMI ≤ 17 BMI > 17 BMI ≤ 17 BMI > 17 Conclusions • IGRAs perform at least as well as TST in those who might benefit from therapy. • Quantitatively, IGRAs likely a reflection of persistent and variable Mtb-antigen. • Improved surrogates of bacterial / disease burden are likely needed. Acknowledgements • • • Portland VA Medical Center Melanie Harriff Lynne Swarbrick Marielle Gold OHSU Deborah Lewinsohn Megan Null Amanda Duncan Veena Rajaraman Tomi Mori Todd Vogt Ervina Winata Sue Smyk-Pearson Joel Weekley Liz Canfield Melissa Nyendak Katelynne Garner-Toren Meghan Cansler Shannon McWeeney Byung Park Guanming Wu Special thanks to: Aeras Collaborators Henry Boom Denise Johnson Keith Chervenak Dave Sherman Karen Dobos John Belisle Lisa Wolf Henry Boom Roy Mugerwa Harriett Myanja Sarah Kiguli Dennis Dobbs Sarah Zalwango Mary Nsereko Payam Nahid Alesandro Sette John Altman CWRU NIH CWRU CWRU University of Washington Colorado State University Colorado State University Colorado State University OHSU Case Western Reserve University Makerere University Makerere University Makerere University TBRU Makerere University TBRU UCSF The La Jolla Institute for Allergy and Immunology Emory University Sean Bennett Bruce McClain Jerry Sadoff Donata Sizemore John Fulkerson David Hokey Tom Evans Christine Sizemore Alison Deckhut Timothy Gondre-Lewis Lynne Swarbrick Amanda Duncan Melissa Nyendak Melissa Kumagi Phyllis Carello Lynne Swarbrick Ervina Winata