AMAZON SHOPPER REVIEW Presented by: Ben Than Soe Analyst June 2013 Executive Summary: Amazon Shopper Update Amazon has seen dramatic growth in its shopper base. Amazon’s broad selection, convenient shipping options, and other key initiatives have consistently attracted shoppers, growing from 34% in December 2007 to 57% in December 2012. Additionally, Amazon has the largest monthly shopper base—including 18% who shop weekly—among any retailer site. Amazon is winning with two important demographic groups: Gen Y and high-income households. As more Gen Y shoppers enter their household formation years, the proportion of Amazon’s shopper base that comprises Gen Y shoppers has grown from 10% in 2008 to 16% in 2012. More than 3 in 10 (31%) of these shoppers shop the site on a weekly basis—11 ppt higher than the next most frequent shopping cohort, Gen X. Gen Y shoppers will become more vital to Amazon as they move into family life stages with greater potential to add everyday household and consumable items to their basket. Additionally, more than one-third (34%) of Amazon shoppers are up-market households (income level of USD85,000 or greater) versus 26% of all shoppers. These shoppers have more spending power than the average shopper—which bodes well for Amazon’s quest to grow share of wallet. Overall, Amazon shoppers’ near-term spending intentions remain higher than all shoppers. As of March 2013, 70% of Amazon shoppers are planning to spend more or about the same at retail in the near term than they did last year, which is 4 ppt higher than the 66% rate of all shoppers. Amazon shoppers are smart about how they shop. Amazon is a trusted online brand and research destination for shoppers who want to vet purchases and read product reviews in advance of making a purchase decision—regardless of where those purchases are made. Feeling like they got a “good deal” is most important to Amazon shoppers, but they are not as concerned as all shoppers are about minimizing spending. Instead, Amazon shoppers are more likely than all shoppers to rate purchasing high-quality products (52%), having access to product info (35%), and discovering new products or brands (16%) as important aspects of shopping. Source: Kantar Retail analysis © Copyright 2013 Kantar Retail 2 Executive Summary: Continued Retailers across various channels are vulnerable to Amazon, but its potential impact is pronounced for category specialists and general merchandisers. Cross-shopping at Amazon in 2012 by competitors’ monthly shoppers has increased an average of 24 ppt since 2007. Vulnerability is evident among mass merchandiser, consumer electronics (CE), fashion, and home improvement retailers. – Amazon is a “sticky” site for Target.com and Walmart.com shoppers. On a weekly basis, 72% of Target.com and 63% of Walmart.com weekly site shoppers also shop Amazon, while a mere 22% and 24% of Amazon weekly site shoppers also shop Target.com and Walmart.com, respectively. – Amazon is the starting and ending destination for CE purchases. More than a quarter (27%) of shoppers began their search for their last CE purchase at Amazon, the most frequently cited starting point. Additionally, when shoppers who first shopped Best Buy ended up purchasing on Amazon, 64% of them cited a better price at Amazon. More than half (55%) of shoppers who started shopping at Walmart but purchased at Amazon cited price. – Amazon has upped the ante in fashion, and shoppers are noticing. Amazon attracts more monthly shoppers than any fashion retailer, with 24% shopping Amazon for clothing, shoes, or accessories on a monthly basis. A bigger threat to fashion retailers is that significantly more of their shoppers are regular Amazon shoppers, e.g., 56% of Bloomingdale’s, 49% of Marshalls and Banana Republic, and 48% of Macy’s monthly shoppers also shop Amazon for clothing at least once a month. – Do-it-yourself … but with Amazon. AmazonSupply (revamped in April 2012) has put Amazon in a better position to steal trips from Home Improvement (HI) retailers. Home Depot and Lowe’s shoppers cross-shop Amazon at higher rates than at the other HI retailers. Source: Kantar Retail analysis © Copyright 2013 Kantar Retail 3 Executive Summary: Continued Amazon’s acute focus on its shoppers has garnered a growing loyal shopper base. Amazon’s most loyal shoppers participate in its membership programs. Designed to deliver added convenience and value to shoppers, Prime and Mom members and participants in Subscribe & Save (SNS) have grown. Overall, Prime incidence has grown from 10% in 2011 to 14% in 2012. SNS also has grown 1 ppt to 5% over the same period and is evolving from an item-loyalty initiative into a basket-building catalyst. New to SNS in 2013 is a 15% discount available to all shoppers when they purchase five or more items in the same month. For Mom members, this discount is a steeper 20%. This latest SNS initiative improves Amazon’s likelihood to be a “prime” option for shoppers wanting add items to their basket. Yet the more interesting trend is that a growing portion of Gen Y shoppers (9%, +3 ppt vs. 2011), is using Subscribe & Save. Another new development is the growth of Prime membership among Gen X (18%, +4 ppt), Boomers (13%, +6 ppt), and Seniors (7%, +2 ppt)—which suggests Prime’s broadening appeal. Source: Kantar Retail analysis © Copyright 2013 Kantar Retail 4 Table of Contents • Shopper Penetration • The Amazon Shopper – Demographic profiles – Motivations and intentions • Shopping Behaviors – Trusted research destination – Cross-shopping to Amazon – Impact to category specialists • Amazon Loyalty – Prime and Subscribe & Save © Copyright 2013 Kantar Retail 5 Shopper Penetration © Copyright 2013 Kantar Retail 6 Online Shopping Is Growing Online shopping peaks in the fourth quarter, with the Q4 2012 shopper incidence hitting 75% of all shoppers. 2011 2012 70.2% 71.3% *Comprises B&M.com sites and major pureplay etailers. Source: Kantar Retail ShopperScape®, October 2010–March 2013 © Copyright 2013 Kantar Retail 7 Dramatic Growth in Amazon Shopper Base Amazon’s broad selection, convenient shipping options, and other key initiatives have consistently attracted shoppers. Past 4-Week Amazon Shoppers Among All Primary Household Shoppers October 2007–March 2013 Key Initiatives Jul. ’10 Launch 2005 Launch 2007 Launch Source: Kantar Retail ShopperScape®, October 2007–March 2013 Sep. ’10 Launch Feb. ’11 Launch Nov. ’11 Launch © Copyright 2013 Kantar Retail 8 Amazon Leads as Most Frequently Shopped Amazon is sticky and has the largest monthly shopper base—including 18% who shop weekly. Walmart and Target—with 19% and 27%, respectively, of their shoppers shopping Amazon weekly—remain susceptible to Amazon. Online Shopping Frequency at Select Sites (Among All Shoppers) 71% 51% 48% Total Shopping Incidence 19% of monthly Walmart shoppers shop Amazon weekly 41% 18% 16% 12% 5% 5% 27% of monthly Target shoppers shop Amazon weekly 4% Source: Kantar Retail ShopperScape®, July 2012 © Copyright 2013 Kantar Retail 9 The Amazon Shopper © Copyright 2013 Kantar Retail 10 Shoppers Are HHs w/Kids, Gen Y/X, Up Market The profile of shoppers in Amazon’s loyalty programs Prime, Mom, and Subscribe & Save skews more heavily younger and affluent. Demographic Shopper Profile All Shoppers Amazon Monthly Shopper Prime Member Mom Member Subscribe & Save User Sample Size 4021 994 554 103 205 79% 21% 11% 14% 11% 74% 13% 31% 38% 18% 25% 48% 26% 79% 12% 3% 1% 78% 22% 13% 14% 11% 72% 16% 35% 36% 13% 18% 48% 33% 80% 10% 5% 1% 79% 21% 14% 21% 16% 64% 17% 39% 35% 9% 19% 42% 39% 79% 9% 5% 1% 86% 14% 47% 24% 18% 38% 24% 57% 16% 3% 19% 46% 35% 65% 11% 8% 1% 75% 25% 24% 16% 10% 62% 24% 40% 23% 14% 25% 40% 35% 67% 14% 10% 0% Female Male Under 6 Presence of 6-12 Children 13-18 No children <19 Gen Y Gen X Generation Baby Boomers Seniors Down Market (<$25K) Income Middle Market Market Up Market ($85K+) White African American Race Asian or Pacific Islander Native American Gender Amazon Shoppers are more likely to be HHs w/Kids Gen Y/X Up Market Asian Note: Shading indicates significantly greater percentage, compared with all shoppers; border indicates significantly lower percentage (95% confidence level). Source: Kantar Retail ShopperScape®, December 2012 © Copyright 2013 Kantar Retail 11 Amazon Is Winning Younger Shoppers Amazon has consistently drawn a disproportionate share of Gen Y and Gen X shoppers, but Gen Y is most active. More than three-fourths of this shopper cohort have ever shopped Amazon, and 31% shop on a weekly basis. Amazon Shopping Frequency Total Shopping Incidence 71% 77% 74% 72% 61% Generations All Shoppers Amazon Monthly Shoppers Note: Border indicates significant change over time. *Read as: 31% of Gen Y shoppers shop Amazon.com on a weekly basis. Source: Kantar Retail ShopperScape®, July 2012 and January–December 2008 and 2012 © Copyright 2013 Kantar Retail 12 Shoppers Skew toward High Income Amazon shoppers have more spending power than the average shopper: 34% of its shopper base is up market vs. 26% of all shoppers. This profile bodes well for Amazon’s quest to grow share of wallet. Income Market: 2012 All Shoppers 26% Up Market $85K+ 34% 48% Middle Market 48% 26% Source: Kantar Retail ShopperScape®, 2012 Monthly Shoppers Down Market <$25K 18% © Copyright 2013 Kantar Retail 13 Financial Concerns Are Steady vs. Last Year Assessment of investments worth and home value have improved since 2012, while views of everything else remain stable. Household Financial Health of Amazon Shoppers Job Security Much better/somewhat better off No change from last year Somewhat worse/much worse off Household Income Level Much better/somewhat better off No change from last year Somewhat worse/much worse off Credit Card Debt Much better/somewhat better off No change from last year Somewhat worse/much worse off Monthly Mortgage/Car Payments Much better/somewhat better off No change from last year Somewhat worse/much worse off Worth of Investments Much better/somewhat better off No change from last year Somewhat worse/much worse off Value of Home Much better/somewhat better off No change from last year Somewhat worse/much worse off Source: Kantar Retail ShopperScape®, January–March 2012 and 2013 Q1 2012 Q1 2013 21% 62% 17% 21% 62% 17% 33% 45% 22% 32% 44% 25% 27% 57% 16% 26% 56% 17% 21% 69% 11% 22% 66% 12% 27% 51% 22% 30% 54% 16% 18% 56% 26% 27% 57% 17% Note: Shading indicates significant year-to-year difference (85% CL) © Copyright 2013 Kantar Retail 14 Stronger Spending Sentiment Amazon shoppers remain more confident than all U.S. primary household shoppers in their near-term spending intentions; however, the gap between all shoppers has narrowed a bit in early 2013. Near-Term Spending Plans: Percent Planning to Spend More/About the Same vs. Same Time Last Year Near-Term Spending Plans vs. Same Time Last Year: Q1 2013 (three-month moving average) Note: Arrow indicates Amazon shoppers as significantly higher than all shoppers; box indicates significantly lower(95% confidence level) Source: Kantar Retail ShopperScape®, October 2009–March 2013 © Copyright 2013 Kantar Retail 15 Shopping Behaviors Trusted Source © Copyright 2013 Kantar Retail 16 Amazon Is Most Trusted Brand Shoppers want to vet purchases; Amazon is the source. More shoppers use Amazon for comparing prices, product reviews, and gift ideas than for deals. Amazon Usage as Part of Holiday Shopping (among holiday gift shoppers) > 2x the 30% of shoppers began researching their last online purchases at Amazon number who began their research with Google Source: Harris Interactive Poll RQ Study, Forrester study July 2012; Kantar Retail ShopperScape®, December 2012 © Copyright 2013 Kantar Retail 17 Amazon Shoppers Are “Smart” Shoppers They prioritize getting a “good deal” over minimizing spending—the opposite of all shoppers. More Amazon shoppers also rate quality products, access to information, and discovering new products/brands as important. What’s Important When Shopping? (percent of shoppers ranking factor as one of top four most-important factors while shopping) Note: Arrow indicates Amazon shoppers as significantly higher than all shoppers; box indicates significantly lower(95% confidence level) Source: Kantar Retail ShopperScape®, January 2013 © Copyright 2013 Kantar Retail 18 Cross-Shopping at Amazon Is Accelerating Retailers’ Monthly Shoppers Who Have Cross-Shopped Amazon in Average 4-Week Period All Shoppers Target Walmart Costco BJ's Wholesale Club Sam's Club Rite Aid CVS/pharmacy Walgreens Toys "R" Us Best Buy PETCO PetSmart The Home Depot Lowe's Macy's Sears Kohl's JCPenney Saks Fifth Avenue Bloomingdale's Nordstrom Neiman Marcus H-E-B Kroger Publix Safeway Dollar General Family Dollar 2007 2012 Change '07-'12 26% 36% 24% 35% 32% 29% 32% 30% 28% 45% 43% 39% 35% 32% 32% 38% 33% 33% 32% 61% 57% 50% 57% 28% 26% 25% 33% 20% 21% 47% 61% 48% 59% 56% 53% 57% 55% 53% 70% 69% 66% 62% 61% 59% 63% 62% 60% 58% 79% 78% 73% 70% 50% 49% 49% 55% 45% 45% 21 25 24 24 24 24 25 25 25 25 26 28 26 29 27 25 29 27 26 18 21 23 12 23 23 23 22 25 24 Source: Kantar Retail ShopperScape®, 2007, 2012 Other retailers are increasingly more likely to share shoppers with Amazon. Across retailers on average, Amazon ended 2012 as the most cross-shopped retailer, replacing Walmart. All shoppers more likely to be shopping Mass Club Drug Cat. Specialists Department Stores Supermarkets Value © Copyright 2013 Kantar Retail 19 Mass Players’ Vulnerability Is 1-Click Away Target’s and Walmart’s online shoppers are significantly more likely to include Amazon in shopping routines than vice-versa. Website Cross-Shopping: Weekly Site Shoppers All Shoppers * * * 18% 100% 72% 63% 5% 22% 100% 42% 7% 24% 54% 100% *Weekly website shoppers Read as: 18% of US primary household shoppers shop Amazon.com weekly; 22% of weekly Amazon shoppers also shop target.com weekly and 24% also shop walmart.com weekly. Source: Kantar Retail ShopperScape®, July 2012 © Copyright 2013 Kantar Retail 20 Amazon Impact Is Pronounced in CE Amazon is the starting place for more than a quarter (27%) of CE purchases. Also, it has lured shoppers from Walmart and Best Buy with lower prices, free shipping, and a broader selection. Where Shoppers Started Search for Last CE Purchase 27% 13% 10% 9% 9% 9% 12% 3% Among shoppers who bought a consumer electronics product on Amazon.com after shopping a Best Buy or Walmart store… Amazon had a better price Free shipping Amazon had a better selection from which to choose Had gift card/gift certificate redeemable at Amazon The item was not in-stock at Best Buy or Walmart Amazon was a more convenient option Amazon had a better selection of brands Its online product reviews helped convince me to buy at Amazon Amazon's product information was more helpful I am a member of Amazon Prime 2% 2% 2% 1% Why Purchased on Amazon Instead of at Best Buy Why Purchased on Amazon Instead of at Walmart 64% 27% 23% 21% 17% 17% 15% 14% 11% 10% 55% 33% 24% 22% 27% 17% 23% 14% 15% 16% Arrows on top chart indicate significant difference from 2012 data (95% confidence level) Source: Kantar Retail ShopperScape®, January 2013 © Copyright 2013 Kantar Retail 21 Fashion Retailers Are Vulnerable to Amazon Amazon’s total apparel shopper base lags that of Kohl’s or JCPenney, but the retailer draws more apparel shoppers on a monthly basis. Many fashion retailers share a significant portion of their shoppers with Amazon. Shopping Frequency at Retailer for Clothes, Total Shoes, or Accessories Shopping 60% Incidence Retailer’s Monthly Shoppers Who Shop at Amazon Once a Month or More for Clothes, Shoes, or Accessories 68% 68% 55% 47% 49% 43% 32% 25% * Past 4-week shoppers of retailer Note: Pink bars indicate significantly higher difference that all shoppers (95% CL) Source: Kantar Retail ShopperScape®,, March 2013 © Copyright 2013 Kantar Retail 22 HI Retailers also Share Shoppers with Amazon AmazonSupply (revamped in April 2012) has put Amazon in a better position to steal trips from Home Improvement (HI) retailers. Home Depot and Lowe’s shoppers cross-shop Amazon at higher rates than at the other HI retailers. Home Improvement Cross-Shopping Patterns (Among shoppers who shopped retailers in the past four weeks) The Home Depot Lowe's Walmart 71% Walmart 77% Amazon.com 58%* Amazon.com 57% Target 55% The Home Depot 51% Lowe's 48% Target 51% Walgreens 46% Walgreens 45% Menards 6% Menards 7% *Read as: 58% of Home Depot shoppers also shopped Amazon.com in the past four weeks. Source: Kantar Retail ShopperScape®, January-December 2012 © Copyright 2013 Kantar Retail 23 Amazon Loyalty © Copyright 2013 Kantar Retail 24 Memberships Are Customer Focus in Action Amazon leverages its membership programs to cultivate a loyal shopper base. The Mom, Subscribe & Save, and Student programs are designed to feed shoppers into the Prime program. Launched Promotional Prime length Discounts/ Benefits Annual Fee 2005 September 2010 May 2007 July 2010 1 month 3 months NA 6 months 2-Day Shipping Expedited shipping options (reduced) Prime Instant Video 1 e-book per month (Kindle) 20% off diapers and wipes (5% SNS), and other SNS items (w/paid Prime); Exclusive babyoriented discounts 5-15% discount off eligible items Free standard shipping; 15% for 5+ items per month Discounts on textbooks, video games, college & dorm room, other exclusive promos $79 3-month trial; $79 for full membership benefits (joining Prime) None 6-month trial; $39 for full membership benefits (joining Prime) Source: Company websites, Kantar Retail analysis © Copyright 2013 Kantar Retail 25 Amazon Loyalty Programs Are Growing Prime members and SNS users have grown, indicating that Amazon is effectively recruiting loyal shoppers. Amazon Membership Incidence of all Prime members are NEW to Prime this holiday season Note: arrows indicate significant difference vs. last year (90% confidence level) Source: Kantar Retail ShopperScape®, December 2011 and 2012 © Copyright 2013 Kantar Retail 26 Amazon Strives for Item and Basket Loyalty Broad selection makes Amazon an ideal place to find a specific item, but growth in SNS and Prime membership across generations suggests Amazon also is becoming a viable basket destination for shoppers. Growing loyalty at the item level Growing loyalty across categories Membership Membership Dec 2011 Dec 2012 Gen Y 17% 17% 7% Gen X 14% 18% 3% 3% Boomers 7% 13% 2% 4% Seniors 5% 7% Dec 2011 Dec 2012 Gen Y 6% 9% Gen X 6% Boomers Seniors From 1 box at a time to many! Note: arrows indicate significant difference vs. all shoppers (90% confidence level) Source: Kantar Retail ShopperScape®, December 2011 and 2012 © Copyright 2013 Kantar Retail 27 Relentless Focus on Shopper Drives Growth Prime, Mom, Student, and Subscribe & Save deliver a value proposition that retains shoppers, resulting in a customer base growing by ~15% each year. Amazon's "Loyalty" Index 60% 57.1% 55.8% 55.4% 54.8% 52.7% (% of Past 4 Week Shoppers that Are Monthly Shoppers) 55% 52.6% 52.3% 48.8% 50% 50.5% 46.8% 45.2% 45% 45.5% 42.7% 40.1% 42.7% 41.2% 41.2% 40% 37.7% 36.0% 35% 34.1% 45.4% 41.5% 34.1% December = Highest traffic month, but convert to monthly 30% Source: Kantar Retail ShopperScape®, December 2007 – March 2013 © Copyright 2013 Kantar Retail 28 Ben Than Soe Analyst ben.thansoe@kantarretail.com 501 Boylston Street Suite 6101 Boston, MA 02116 T +1 617 912 2854 F +1 630 245 5647 www.KantarRetailiq.com © Copyright 2013 Kantar Retail