Investing in skills in Europe For more growth and better jobs Jasper van Loo, senior expert 05/06/2014 TransFormación: Skills for Productivity Lima, Peru – 12/13 June 2014 25/10/ 2011 1 Jasper van Loo European Centre for the Development of Vocational Training (CEDEFOP) Established 1975 (Berlin); Thessaloniki since 1995 Evidence-based policymaking: VET & skills policies EU enhanced cooperation in VET European E&T tools (EQF, Europass, EUSP) EU skills forecasting model Cooperation with EU COM, ILO, OECD 05/06/2014 2 Jasper van Loo Skills Odds ratio The currency of modern societies 5.0 4.5 4.0 Likelihood of positive social and economic outcomes for highly literate adults scoring at Level 4/5 compared with those scoring at Level 1 or below 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 Good to Being Employed High levels of excellent health trust 05/06/2014 3 Participation in High levels of volunteer political efficacy activities High wages Jasper van Loo Source: PIAAC (2013) Continuous up-skilling in OECD… Proficiency in literacy skills by country & age cohorts, 24 OECD countries 05/06/2014 4 Jasper van Loo …but skills should not go wasted 05/06/2014 5 Jasper van Loo Source: PIAAC (2013) An integrated skills strategy Skills development & activation Reform E&T in partnerships (curricula, trainers, WBL, quality assurance) Untapped talent (early leavers, NEETs, older workers, females, LTU) Career guidance & counselling Targeted ALMPs (focus on WBL) 05/06/2014 Skills utilisation High-skill product market strategies High performance workplace practices (including recruitment, CVET, job design) High-skill & better quality jobs Employer skills ownership (training levies, tax credits, firm networks, supply chains) 6 Governance LMI / Policy targets (monitoring/evaluation) Education/LM (apprenticeships, dual systems, NQFs, skills ecosystems) Government bodies (Education, Employment, Industry, Innovation) Social partners (joined-up approach) Skills institutions (sector councils, regional observatories, PES) Jasper van Loo A sectoral skills ecosystem 05/06/2014 7 Jasper van Loo Source: Cedefop (2013) European strategy for VET ET2020 Objective Improving the quality and efficiency of VET and enhancing its attractiveness and relevance Bruges Objectives 1. Making I-VET an attractive learning option 2. Fostering the excellence, quality and relevance of VET STD5a & Impact? Work-based learning, including apprenticeships Policy options PO1. Apprenticeship or similar programmes PO2. Work-based learning elements in school based IVET PO3. Incentives for enterprises to provide training or employment PO4. Strategy to foster VET-enterprise cooperation - and more - 05/06/2014 8 Source: Cedefop, 2014 Jasper van Loo More work-based learning: a common aim Jasper van Loo 05/06/2014 Fostering skills for 9innovation in partnerships Figure 3: The composition of Total job opportunities by occupations (2013-2025) Figure 1 European Union employment growth per annum, 2013-25 (%) Baseline scenario Optimistic scenario Pesimistic scenario 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% -0.5% -1.0% -1.5% -2.0% 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 Figure 2 Changes in sector employment share, EU, 2013-20 (%) Non-marketed services Figure 4: Proportion of job openings by qualification level, EU, 2013-20 (thousands) Total job opennings Business & other services Distribution & transport Expansion demand Replacement needs High qualification Construction Medium qualification Manufacturing Primary and utilities -0.8% -0.6% -0.4% -0.2% 0.0% Low qualification 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% -20,000 -10,000 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 Coming up Thank you for your attention! 05/06/2014 11 Jasper van Loo jasper.van-loo@cedefop.europa.eu