Class 2. 2.1. Selection of Markets International Evaluation of International Markets: Two Main Approaches Considering international market as country or group of countries Considering international market as groups of consumers (from different countries) with similar behavior «+» Secondary information is often enough «+» A lot of information on the country «+» More adequate information «+» Sales and marketing often organized divided by countries «+» More possibilities to adapt products to the needs of foreign consumers «-» From the marketing point of view it is crucial to work similarly with similar customers, and vice versa «-» Firm needs to conduct primary research «-» Problems in finding reliable crossnational statistics 2 Three Qualifying Criteria Criteria Purpose To determine accessibility Accessibility Can we serve the market effectively and efficiently? What may prevent us from doing so? To determine profitability Profitability Can the market afford us? Can we get adequate profits? What is the likely return on investment and timescale of payback? To determine market size Market size What is the existing market size? Is there a latent market? What is the potential for emerging demand? Secondary Data “Fine” Market Screening Process Internal Environment • Size / amount of • Internationalization • resources • Type and nature of industry economic, legal, socio-cultural, technological factors objectives •Degree of international knowledge External Environment Political, • International industry structure • Competitive environment •Market size, potential Potential Markets (by continent) Primary Data Specific country within the chosen continent Specific segment within the chosen country Target segments of customers 4 Globalizing processes as a system of interconnected elements THE GLOBAL ECONOMY THE REGIONAL ECONOMY THE NATIONAL ECONOMY Transnational corporations Nation-states THE LOCAL ECONOMY Technology& Global Shifts Environmental Analysis Macro Environment • International laws & wars • Economic situation • Socio-cultural factors • Technological development • Ecological factors • Political • Economic • Socio-cultural • Technological Regional Environment • Legal • Public policy, risk and regulation Micro Environment • Market Opportunity Analysis • Competitive Environment • Consumer Behavior 6 Market Opportunity Analysis Market Opportunity Analysis (MOA) enables the firm to identify opportunities within new markets and thoroughly understand the market structure, competitive landscape, customer needs and competing technologies The analysis of the findings provides the firm with: an expert assessment of whether the market is attractive / penetrable; a market entrance strategy; the optimal approach to gain market share; more profitable links in the value chain; potential partner organizations and acquisition targets and a depth understanding of how to maximize chances of success. Competitive Environment The competitive landscape Which companies are active within the market? Which companies are the major players ? Who are the specialists that focus on the business ? Which companies are important but minor players in the business ? Recent entrants to the market ? Segments of the market serviced by each competitor Product and service profiles of suppliers Claimed product or service advantages Distribution channels used Partners Key information on each competitor (geographical coverage, locations of head offices, production plants and sales offices, staff numbers) Growth history within the business Financial performance of suppliers Nature of the competitive environment (stable, change or rapid change) Pricing Consumer Behavior The key components of Consumer Analysis are: Analysis of buying processes and decision making Analysis of customer expectations Customer satisfaction research Measurement of customer loyalty Pricing research The key components of B2B Customer Analysis are: Composition and structure of decision making unit Analysis of buying processes and decision making Analysis of suppliers within target markets Methods of identifying and evaluating suppliers Analysis of customer expectations from suppliers Customer satisfaction research Measurement of customer loyalty Pricing research Analysis of reasons for lost business Expanded Marketing Process Model Capture value from customers Create value for customers and build customer relationships Understand the marketplace and customer needs and wants Research consumers and market Manage marketing information and customer data Design a customer-driven marketing strategy Select customers to serve: segmentation and targeting Decide on a value proposition: differentiation and positioning Construct a marketing program that delivers superior value Product and service design: build strong brands Pricing: create real value Distribution: manage demand and supply chains Promotion: communicate VP Marketing technology Global markets Build profitable relationships and create customer satisfaction CRM and CEM: build strong relationships with chosen customers Partner relationship management: build strong relationships with marketing partners Capture value from customers to create profits and customer quality Create satisfied loyal customers Capture customer lifetime value Increase share of market and share of customer Ethical and social responsibility Marketing Information System General data bank Analytical data bank Statistical data bank Information Dissemination Processes / Mechanisms Internal and Environmental Data / Information Information Processing Organization Decisionmakers Decisions Strategy Market Strategic decisions Managerial decisions Operational decisions How to compete Marketing Mix Resources Control Decision to Enter International Market Alternatives Main factors Questions To enter international market immediately Firm’s resources Motivations of managers / owners Experience of top managers in international activity Ability to export competitive goods / services International market opportunities Are our goods / services able to meet export demand? On what information the answer is based? What changes are needed in the marketing mix to meet the international demand? If our good / services are suitable for foreign markets why didn’t we act internationally before? What do we know about governmental support of export or entry of foreign markets? To postpone international market entry No intention to enter international market Process of International Markets Selection 5. Target markets within target countries Microsegmentation 4. Market Attractiveness (BCG Matrix, McKinsey Matrix) 3. Scanning (BERI, other indexes) Target countries selection 2. Segment profiles Global market segmentation 1. Segmentation criteria 13 CAGE Model Source of distance Cultural distance Administrative Geographical distance distance Economic distance Linguistic differences Different ethnic groups Underdeveloped ethnic and social networks Weak institutions No common monetary or political organizations Political hostility State policy No colonial interconnections Income differences Differences in the value and quality of: - natural resources - financial resources - human resources - infrastructure - information and knowledge - intermediary services Religious differences Different social norms Physical distance No common boundaries No access to seas and rivers Small size of the country Underdeveloped transport and communications infrastructure Different climate BERI Index – Business Environment Risk Information Index Criteria Political stability Weight Value1) Total value2) х4 (max) =100(max) 3 Economic growth 2,5 Currencies convertibility 2,5 Manpower costs/productivity of labour 2 Short-time credits 2 Long-time credits/venture capital 2 Attitude to foreign investors and profits 1,5 Nationalization 1,5 Inflation 1,5 Balance of payments 1,5 Execution of contracts 1,5 Bureaucracy 1 Communications 1 Local management and partners 1 Professional services and contractors Sum 0,5 25 1) Scale «0» to «4»: 0 – unacceptable terms; 1 – bad terms; 2 – middle terms; 3 – good terms ; 4 – ideal terms 2) BERI ≥ 80 – favorable investment environment, developed economy; 70 ≤ BERI ≤ 79 – not so favorable and developed; 55 ≤ BERI ≤ 69 – developing economy having investment potential; 40 ≤ BERI ≤ 54 – high level of risk, underdeveloped economy; BERI < 40 – a very high level of risk, investing is possible only exceptionally GE /McKinsey Matrix GE /McKinsey Matrix Class 2. 2.2. International Entry Modes Market Entry Mode Choice Considered by many as the most important aspect of a firm’s internationalization strategy Entry mode will determine long-term success or withdrawal from foreign markets Poor decisions can be very costly for the firm Factors in the Entry Mode Decision Target country market factors Target country environmental factors External factors Internal factors Company product factors Target country production factors Home country factors Entry mode decision Company resource and commitment factors Strategies of Foreign Market Entry Step by step (Waterfall model) Simultaneously (Watering can model) Developed countries Developing countries Underdeveloped countries Время Developed countries Developing countries Underdeveloped countries Foreign Market Entry Modes Entry Modes Export Associated Investment Licensing Joint ventures Indirect Franchising Direct Management contracts Production Fully owned companies Acquisitions Strategic alliances 22 Types of Exporting Indirect exporting Distributor Export agent EMC Direct exporting Export department Export sales representatives E-business Cooperative exporting Export groups Piggyback exporting Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) The ultimate form of foreign involvement Direct ownership of foreign-based assembly, manufacturing or sales facilities The company can buy part or full interest in a local company (M&A) or build its own facilities (GFI, ex nihilo) Considered the “preferred” mode of entry Advantages and Disadvantages of FDI Advantages - - Cost economies (labor, raw materials, incentives, freight savings, etc…) Better image in host country Deeper relationship with government, customers, local suppliers, distributors Better adaptation Full control of investments Long term objectives Disadvantages - High initial and operating costs High level of risk FDI Options Make-or-buy decision Greenfield investment / Ex nihilo Mergers and acquisition Branch or subsidiary? Structure Legal status Analyzing FDI project Assessing profitability Discounted cash flow analysis FDI nowadays Developing economies absorbed close to half of global FDI inflows Development of South-South cooperation 15% below pre-crisis level FDI to developed countries continued to decline Poorest regions continued to see declines in FDI FDI to service industries fell: business services, finance, transport and communications, utilities 50% of global FDI – TNC’s market-seeking projects Associated Entry Modes Newest, most recent forms of international business Transfer of technology or know-how between two firms Shared risks Only option in countries where the government requires foreign firms to use local capital Better access to local market knowledge Types of Associated Entry Modes Joint venture: foreign and local investors share ownership and control of local operations Licensing: licensor licenses a foreign company to use a manufacturing process, trademark, patent, trade secret or other item of value for a fee Management contracts: firm exports management services instead of a product, separation between ownership and management International Franchising: contractual association between a franchisor (manufacturer, wholesaler or service organization) and franchisees (independent business people who buy the right to own and operate units in the franchise system). Franchising is based on some unique product, service or method of doing business. Industrial franchising Distribution franchising Service franchising NEM cooperation $2 trillion in sales 2010 NEMs include contract manufacturing, services, outsourcing, contract farming, franchising, licensing, management contracts $1.2 trillion – outsourcing, $340 – franchising, $340 licensing, $100 – management contracts TNCs make choice between FDI and NEM based on its strategy, the relative costs and benefits, the associated risks, feasibility of available options Example of International Franchising Entry Modes Direct modes Direct franchising (16%) Subsidiary (19%) Area development agreements (14%) Indirect modes Joint venture (16%) Master franchising (34%) In the Direct system the franchisor is controlling and coordinating the activities of the franchisees directly. In the indirect system a master franchisee (subfranchisor) is appointer to establish and service its own Subsystem of franchisees within its territory International franchising comparative matrix Strong Master franchising Distance / Adaptation Direct franchising Joint venture FDI Area development agreement Direct franchising Weak Weak Commitment / Control Strong Foreign Market Entry Modes Entry mode Control Assets share MIN MIN MAX MAX VC MAX FC MIN Market share Risk MIN MIN MAX MAX Indirect export Direct export Licensing Production by contract Local production VC - Variable (direct) costs FC – Fixed (overhead) costs MIN MAX Entry Mode Choice Summary Entry modes vary in terms of resource or equity commitment to foreign markets Low-commitment modes can allow firm to reduce risk in high-risk countries, culturally diverse countries or limited potential markets Desired degree of control over international operations influences choice of entry mode Loss of control yields limited returns No market entry strategy is appropriate in all circumstances Most firms will have a vast portfolio of entry modes, depending on each specific market situation Comparing Different Entry Mode Options High Franchising FDI Licensing Wholly owned subsidiary (M&A) Management contract Contribution of know-how Branch office AD / Concessionaire EMC Piggy back Agent Minority shareholding through partial acquisition ITC / distributor Low Majority JV investment (local partner know-how) Foreign buying department Low Level of ownership High Choosing the Right Entry Mode All entry modes Internal factors External factors Comparative profit contribution analysis Rejected entry modes All feasible entry modes Comparative risk analysis Comparative analysis for nonprofit objectives Ranking by overall comparative assessment The right entry mode Target market Marketing channels within markets Class 2. Practical work Task 2. Choosing proper country to enter Compare BRICS countries, create the chart and find the closest country to Russia Global shift Transformation of world economy to geo-economy Globalization: geographically and organizational tendencies TNCs play significant role Interactions between state and TNC Surge economy: the only thing is certain - changes New tendencies Internet commerce High competition Networking Innovations Intangible assets Information, knowledge driven economy Growing power of developing and BRICS countries No geographical barriers