A first estimate of LCD by gender (Uruguay) Marisa Bucheli Cecilia González dECON, FCS, Udelar • In Uruguay we are doing NTA by SES • We have estimations of labor income, consumption, LCD and public transfers • We have preliminary estimations of RA and private transfers • We recently began to think of doing estimations by gender • We have not worked on unpaid activities NTA by SES groups • To my best knowledge, in the Latin American team we used (at least at the beginning) different procedures for estimation • In our case, we have estimations basead on two differente procedures (the one we used at the beginning and the proposed late by CELADE) • But we have not compared the sensitivity of the results to the procedures First procedure • We estimate the profiles (mean and smooth mean) as usual but for each SES group separately • Note that all members of the hh belong to the same group so the only challenge is define groups with a “good” size in all ages • We estimate the aggregated value (AV) of each group (g) and age (a), where P is the population and XS is the smooth microdata value: • The Total AV is the sum of the Total AV of groups First procedure • In order to calculate the formula, we need to know the population of each age-group • We estimate it using its proportion in the survey • Note: in the definition of the classification, we took into account (¿?) the size of the age-group population in the survey Second procedure • We estimate the total AV of each group using the weight of the group in the microdata • We estimate the total AV of the age-group using the weight of the age-group in the microdata (X is the mean value in the microdata): • We estimate the mean value as AV of the age-group / Population in the age-group • In the analysis of the data we work with five-year-age group Up to now… • We have a complete NTA estimation (though a preliminary version particularly of private transfers and RA) following the first procedure (using the “educational level of the hh adults” as the proxy of SES) • Many challenges: 1) ¿inter-hh transfers?; 2) public RA; …. • We have estimations of labor income, consumption and public transfers following the second procedure (using the “educational level of the hh head 2” as the proxy of SES) NTA by gender • Our first idea was to follow the first procedure to estimate NTA by gender • Two differences: • In the gender classification we know the population of each age-group. We used it • In the SES classification, all the members of a hh belong to the same group. In the classification by sex, it is possible that members of the same hh belong to a different group • This issue is not important in the estimation of accounts for which we have individual information in the surveys: labor income, some components of private consumption, public inflows and some public outflows Labor income (smooth mean) 4,E+05 3,E+05 3,E+05 2,E+05 women 2,E+05 men 1,E+05 5,E+04 0,E+00 0 3 6 9 121518212427303336394245485154576063666972757881848790 Labor income (aggregate value) 7,E+06 6,E+06 5,E+06 4,E+06 women 3,E+06 men 2,E+06 1,E+06 0,E+00 0 3 6 9 121518212427303336394245485154576063666972757881848790 Public consumption (smooth mean) 4,E+04 3,E+04 3,E+04 2,E+04 women 2,E+04 men 1,E+04 5,E+03 0,E+00 0 3 6 9 121518212427303336394245485154576063666972757881848790 Public consumption (aggregate value) 1,E+06 9,E+05 8,E+05 7,E+05 6,E+05 5,E+05 women 4,E+05 men 3,E+05 2,E+05 1,E+05 0,E+00 0 3 6 9 121518212427303336394245485154576063666972757881848790 Public health (smooth mean) 12.000 10.000 8.000 6.000 women men 4.000 2.000 0 1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 61 65 69 73 77 81 85 89 Public education (smooth mean) 3,E+04 2,E+04 2,E+04 women 1,E+04 men 5,E+03 0,E+00 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 But if the information is given at householdlevel … • Private education: we follow exactly the same procedure than in NTA: – In the survey, we identify the students (and their level of education) that attend private school. We assign to each one the amount of the tuitions paid by the hh. – In the case other spending (books, courses of language, computation, etc.) we use the method proposed by NTA • We classify the persons by age and sex in order to calculate mean and smooth mean values The difference is due to spending not related to attendance (apparently, to “enseñanza no curricular” -language, computation, special teachers, etc.-) ¿Is it the method? ¿Should we take into account the sexcomposition of the hh when we have to assign spending informed at hh level? But if the information is given at householdlevel … • This is the case of most of the private consumption and indirect taxes But if the information is given at householdlevel … • Private health: we follow exactly the same procedure than in NTA: – In the survey, we identify the persons who were ill. We assign to each one the amount of the spending related to be ill. – In the case other spending we use the method proposed by NTA • We classify the persons by age and sex in order to calculate mean and smooth mean values Private health (smooth mean) We do not know which components explain the increasing gap 30.000 25.000 20.000 15.000 women men 10.000 5.000 0 1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 61 65 69 73 77 81 85 89 Health (smooth mean) 40.000 35.000 30.000 25.000 20.000 women 15.000 men 10.000 5.000 0 1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 61 65 69 73 77 81 85 89 We should explore if it is due to a component assigned to an individual through an indirect method (not an ill-related component) But if the information is given at householdlevel … • Rest of private consumption: we follow exactly the same procedure than in NTA: – We used an equivalence scale to calculate the rest of private consumption per hh member – We assigned to each individual of the hh the same amount • We classify the persons by age and sex in order to calculate mean and smooth mean values Consumption (smooth mean) 1,E+05 1,E+05 1,E+05 8,E+04 women 6,E+04 men 4,E+04 2,E+04 0,E+00 0 3 6 9 121518212427303336394245485154576063666972757881848790 Consumption (aggregate value) 3,E+06 3,E+06 2,E+06 2,E+06 women men 1,E+06 5,E+05 0,E+00 0 3 6 9 121518212427303336394245485154576063666972757881848790 Some questions • We would like to know more about the gender difference in the private health and private education. • Are they sensitive to the method of allocation of spending informed at household level? • If there is a gender difference in private / health education, should we use the traditional method of imputation of the rest of private consumption? • Another challenge: private transfers Unpaid work • We have not worked in this issue in the last year • In the past, we performed some estimations of the value of unpaid activities in which we imputed a wage to unpaid work: – Results quite sensitive to use the opportunity cost criteria or replacement criteria – Also sensitive to consider specialist / non-specialist wage in the replacement criteria • There is a new survey (2009) but we had not worked with it yet