HI 224 Raffael Scheck Colby College Overview My Home Page http://www.colby.edu/personal/rmscheck/ German Unity as a Flaw “There are, it appears, some creations of the human hand, the establishment of states among them, upon which a curse weighs from the very beginning. The gods turn away and relinquish their place to the lesser demons. The Reich of 1871, the German national state, belonged to these creations. . . . [It] was too big and too mighty in achievement to fit reliably into the European balance of power and too limited to be a real world power. That was one part of the curse. And the attempt to base self-confidence of a nation on domination and hierarchy instead of freedom and equality, an experiment that contradicted European civilization, that was the second part.” Christian Graf von Krokow (1990) Debates on German Unity German “peculiarities:” Hans-Ulrich Wehler Critique: Geoff Eley and David Blackbourn Why did Germany Remain Divided for so Long? Historical Background Who are the Germans? The Germanic tribes Conquest and Destruction of the Western Roman Empire (4th to 5th century CE) The Kingdom/Empire of the Franks Consolidated in the 6th century CE Division of Charlemagne’s empire in 843 The Holy Roman Empire (of the German Nation) Very powerful around 900-1000 But: weakness of the medieval emperor (elective monarchy); challenged by the princes and the Pope The rise of Habsburg Austria (14th-15th century) The Reformation: Religious division The Thirty Years War (1618-1648) The Rise of Prussia (18th century) German Cultural Awakening Luther’s Bible translation The cultural bloom of the eighteenth century (Goethe, Schiller, Kant) High literacy (particularly in Prussia) The Impact of the French Revolution and Napoleon The French Conquest of “Germany,” 1793-1806 Dissolution of the Holy Roman Empire, 1806 Mediation: middle-sized states annex small and smallest territories Standard weights and measurements But: Growing German resentment (draft, taxes, trade embargo) Upshot: A German National Revolt, 1813 The Congress of Vienna 1814-15 Dynastic principle Fear of revolution Nationalism seen as democratic, hence as revolutionary and dangerous The German Confederation - a poor substitute Repression of nationalist feeling How to Define a German Nation Absence of a state Reference to the people (Volk) Definition on cultural-linguistic terms Anti-French bias Unification through War Obstacles to Unification The German Confederation, 1814-1866 The Princes The Nobility Prussian-Austrian Dualism Foreign Influences Failed Unification from Below: 1848-49 Hopes of creating a liberal Germany through revolution What to do with Austria? Or: großdeutsch versus kleindeutsch The Prussian army breaks the revolution Economic Pressures Small states bad for trade Division of Prussia (Map) Customs Union (Zollverein), 1834 Industrial Take-Off After 1850 Bismarck A conservative Prussian Junker Opponent of the liberals A critical monarchist The Prussian constitutional conflict 1862 German unification under Prussian and conservative leadership? The Wars of Unification The German War Against Denmark (1864): Prussia as an Agent of the “German” Cause Prussia Defeats Austria (1866) The North German Confederation (1867) A German War With France (1870-71) Germany under Bismarck The Constitution Democratic elements: – – Universal manhood suffrage Budget right of the Reichstag Conservative safeguards: – – – – The Constitution is a princely insurance institute against democracy. (W. Liebknecht) Supreme power of the emperor/Prussian king The Bundesrat Persistence of undemocratic state constitutions and separate rights for the states The status of the army The Territory and the People Relative territories of the German states Germans outside the Second Empire Non-Germans inside the Second Empire Regional disparities Domestic Politics Kulturkampf: Fighting the Catholics (Center Party); alliance with the liberals Estrangement between Bismarck and the conservatives The shift in 1879: high tariffs; break with the liberals; rapprochement with the conservatives and Center Party Repression of the Socialists; social insurance and other welfare measures as a bait to the workers Bismarck’s Foreign Policy Germany as a “saturated state” Danger of geographic position French hostility Tactics: 1) balance of interests 2) deflection of expansion 3) threat of war And domestic politics as a motivator?? A conservative foreign policy! Your socialist critic! Europe after 1871 Bismarck’s Alliances Dual Alliance with Austria-Hungary, 1879 Triple Alliance with Austria-Hungary and Italy, 1882 Alliance with Russia: together with AustriaHungary, 1881-87; separately 1887-90 See what I mean?? The Dismissal of Bismarck: End of an Era? The Pessimistic View: Dropping the Pilot Loss of experienced leadership Collapse of Bismarck‘s alliance system; hence growing isolation and danger Impulsive and inconsistent policy of Wilhelm II A powerful state in full speed but without a rudder? The Power Issues Constitutional problems The political education of Wilhelm II Temperaments The Substantial Issues in 1890 Renewing anti-Socialist legislation Renewing the Reinsurance Treaty with Russia Bismarck‘s dwindling power base in the Reichstag The New Course: Weltpolitik Germany after Bismarck Chancellor Leo von Caprivi (1890-94) Reversion to free trade Failure of German-British alliance Chancellor Chlodwig zu HohenloheSchillingsfürst (1894-1900) Foundation of the Bismarck cult Sum: more freedom, less press control, less manipulation of parliament, but failures in policy and crisis of monarchic authority (inability of Kaiser Wilhelm II to rule effectively) Motives for Weltpolitik The rapid spread of news The changing character of public opinion Rise or decline: the influence of Darwinism Massive industrial progress This is social imperialism. Prestige Governments want success abroad to prevent the inevitable socialist revolution!!! Another form of opium for the masses! Signals and Policies Max Weber‘s inaugural lecture (1895) Bernhard von Bülow (foreign minister 1897-1900, chancellor 1900-1909) Alfred von Tirpitz (naval minister 18971916) Powerful affirmation by Wilhelm II The Effects of Weltpolitik More confrontational diplomacy. Germany turns from honest broker to assertive claimant for a place in the sun Strengthening of anti-German alliances (FranceBritain in 1904 and Britain-Russia in 1907) Futile attempts to split the anti-German alliances (Morocco, 1905 and 1911) Increasing isolation; stereotype of the „ugly German“ Was Weltpolitik morally wrong? The Tirpitz Plan The Situation Before Fleet Building Geographic situation: good for defense but not good for an offensive navy. Vulnerability to naval blockade No chain of overseas coaling stations and trade posts to support a global naval presence The Reichstag: the Left and the Conservatives against fleet-building Priority of the army YET: Growing dependence on imports of raw materials and food Tirpitz‘s Plan Commitment to large battleships concentrated in the North Sea rather than overseas cruisers Focus on Britain as potential enemy Strategic expectations: – – Large-scale battle to win sea power (Mahan) Close enemy blockade near the German coast The battlefleet as a lever and deterrent – – – Risk theory Alliance Value Danger Zone Building the Fleet Naval propaganda (Navy League) Building a supportive coalition in the Reichstag The Navy Laws (1898, 1900) Did fleet building benefit heavy industry? Domestic motives? Hey class: don‘t believe what Scheck is saying! Fleet building was a panacea against Social Democracy. Tirpitz said so!!! Yes, he did. But it was also a protection against the Kaiser (although Tirpitz did not say that)! The Failure of the Tirpitz Plan Arms race with Britain: Dreadnought building Increasing German isolation (failure of the risk theory; no alliance value of the fleet) Cost explosion and growing deficit: higher taxes threaten to split the pro-navy coalition Growth of Social Democracy (SPD) Neglect of the army Lessons of World War I (Battle of Jutland; submarines) Naval Strength in 1914 80 70 60 50 40 Britain Germany 30 20 10 0 New Old BSh BSh Lg. Cr. Sm. New Old New Old Cr. T-B T-B U-B U-B Tradition vs. Modernity: Politics, Culture, and Society before 1914 Politics The parties: – – – The rise of the social democrats The decline of the conservatives Center party, Liberals (Progressives), National Liberals Chancellors between Kaiser and Reichstag The Rise of the Social Democrats Elections 1890-1912 120 100 80 Conserv. SPD 60 40 20 0 1890 1893 1898 1903 1907 1912 The Big Political Issues Taxes and tariffs (conservatives for tariffs and against property taxes) Suffrage reform in Prussia and other states Role of the army (military justice) Demand for accountability of the government to the Reichstag, not the Kaiser Vote of no confidence Crisis of monarchism against the chancellor in 1913! The emergence of a radical right (anti-Semites, PanGerman League, Agrarian League) In sum: Old-fashioned structures of authority based on conservative institutions and old social classes versus New, democratically legitimated, claims, represented by the more modern groups Culture and Society Rapid industrialization and technological progress A highly advanced university system and high literacy Large white-collar sector Large women‘s movements (socialist and bourgeois) Crisis of traditional religious beliefs State-sponsored counter-measures The Pessimistic View (Wehler) Bismarck‘s constitutional settlement remained unstable and could only be preserved by manipulative politics Democracy is the „modern“ norm, but Germany cannot democratize because of the dependence on pre-modern groups (Junkers) By 1914: pre-revolutionary situation and escape into war Long-term trend: call for a new Bismarck, a powerful charismatic leader The Optimistic View (Eley) Stress on the modern aspects of late Wilhelmine society Latent parliamentarization? Thriving economy and culture Reformist Social Democrats No need for revolution Foreign policy problems were not the outcome of a domestic crisis. Hence: no escape into war