HIST2128 Germany, 1871-1933: From Empire to Republic Bismarck’s foreign and colonial policy, 1871-90 Lecture 8 16 January 2012 Three Emperors’ League, Oct 1873 • No revival of Holy Alliance of 1815 • No block formation of G, R, A = More rivalries than common interests: • Bismarck: To keep France in check • Gorchakov: To keep Germany weak • Andrássy: To keep Germany + Russia apart War scare, 1875 (1) • France’s strong efforts to re-militarize: → Bismarck’s offer to Russia for political deal, 1875: ► G’s support of R’s Balkan policy ► R’s support of G’s France policy • →To outmanoeuvre pro-French Gorchakov • → To separate Russia from France • = Gorchakov: Unwilling to give up ‘French option’ regarded as pressure tool vs. Germany + succeeded in turning public mood vs. Bismarck War scare, 1875 (2) Bismarck’s reaction, spring 1875: • Threatened with preventive war to break-up Germany’s ‘encirclement’ + launched Is War in Sight?’press article • Sent calculated alarm signals to put pressure on + to intimidate F, R, A • Predicted a ‘Catholic League’ vs. ‘Protestant Germany’ War scare, 1875 (3) Reactions: • F: No end of militarization program • R: No separation from but closer contacts to F + de-facto guarantee for F = Major defeat of Bismarck = Irreparable break Bismarck ≠ Gorchakov = Consolidation of Russia’s hegemony position in Europe War scare, 1875 (4) Consequences for Bismarck: • To accept political-territorial realities in Europe • To recognize 1871 status quo as fundament of policies of R, A, F • To relinquish unsuccessful tactic of terrorizing + beating isolated enemies • To escape ‘encirclement’ not by intimidation + war but by defence + alliance • To look for support vs. Russia’s hegemony 5 Options ☻ Revitalising Three Emperors’ League: G + A + R ☻ Strong alliance + partnership with R ☻ Huge imperialist compensations for F + R ☻ Waging war against F to reach full hegemony ☺ Sophisticated balancing between and with 5 big powers → Strategy of alliances Dual Alliance, Oct 1879 (1) • Committed G + A to resist R’s aggression • Entering war for partner only after R’s aggression = Cornerstone + ‘landmark’ of German foreign policy until 1918 = Unusual peacetime engagement not concluded on eve of wars = Stimulated similar treaties until Europe’s division in pacts + counter-pacts Dual Alliance, Oct 1879 (2) Bismarck’s reasons: • Russia regarded as Slavophil + Francophile: No secure partner for G • Austria regarded as major partner to fight encirclement • Dual Alliance regarded as step forward to new Three Emperors’ League = To improve G’s position vs. R by making A a junior partner = To pave way into more stable Three Emperors’ League connected by mutual alliances Triple Alliance, 1882 • Added Italy to Dual Alliance (1879) • Promised assistance if A, G, I were attacked by 2 or more powers • I’s promise of neutrality in case of war between A+R • I’s promise of support in case of French attack on G • A’ + G’s promise of support of I in case of French attack on I = Italy for Bismarck mainly important to deprive France of a potential ally, not for I’s strength Reinsurance Treaty, Jul 1887 • Promise of benevolent neutrality if R or G were at war with third power → Except: Attack R-A or G-F ☺No contravention to Dual Alliance ☺ Masterpiece of Bismarck’ diplomacy but also another temporary expedient to remove fear of F-R alliance ☻ Weak effect on R-G economic relations ☻ No reduction of Balkan tensions ☻ F’s attack on G still possible Bismarck’s alliance system • Peace-oriented OR ready for preventive war? • Flexible alliance system OR crisis management? • Rapprochement with France OR ‘inherited enemy’? • Dual Alliance major achievement OR trap to be dragged into war in 1914? Colonial Policy (1) • Bismarck’s lack of interest in colonies: Europe in foreground • Private companies as unsuccessful colonizers: No government support • German Colonial Association (Deutsche Kolonialgesellschaft, 1887-1900) as private initiative for mass propaganda Colonial Policy (2) • Society for German Colonisation (Gesellschaft für deutsche Kolonisation, 1884) as private initiative • Acquisition of colonies by Germany: Togoland, the Cameroons, German East Africa, German South West Africa, New Guinea = Apr 1884 to May 1885 = Short imperialist phase Colonial Policy (3): 5 Interpretations 1) Conversion to imperialism (external) 2) Enhancing Germany’s position in Europe and vs. GB (external) 3) Satisfy pro-colonial popular sentiments in 1884 election campaign (domestic) 4) Driving wedge between liberal Crown Prince and GB (domestic) 5) Expansionism as counter-measure vs. economic depression (to find new markets + raw materials for industry) = ‘Social Imperialism’ (domestic) = Probably combination of interpretations 2-5