Grade 12 Economics Exam September 2014 Paper 1 (Macroeconomics) Time: 90 Minutes Marks: 150 INSTRUCTIONS 1 Answer FOUR questions as follows: SECTION A: COMPULSORY QUESTION (+/- 10 minutes) SECTION B: TWO QUESTIONS OUT OF THREE OPTIONS (+/- 45 minutes) SECTION C: ONE QUESTION OUT OF TWO OPTIONS (+/- 35 minutes) 2 Write the number of the question next to each answer. 3 Number the answers according to the system used in this question paper. 4 Start each question on a NEW PAGE. Leave one to two lines open between subsections of each question. 5 Read each question carefully. 6 A neat and systematic presentation of facts is required. 7 Answer in full sentences. 8 Do not answer more than the required number of questions. Only the required number of questions, in the order in which they have been handed in, will be marked. 9 Use only a black or blue pen (graphs / diagrams may be done in pencil). 10 Non – programmable pocket calculators may be used. THIS QUESTION PAPER CONSISTS OF 10 PAGES AND ONE ANSWER SHEET SECTION A (COMPULSORY) QUESTION 1 1.1 For each question there are three possible answers, A, B and C. Choose the one you consider correct and record your choice in the appropriate space on the ANSWER SHEET attached to the question paper. 1.1.1 If national income increases by R500 million as a result of an investment of R200 million, what is the value of the multiplier? A B C 2,5 0,4 5 1.1.2 Consumption of fixed capital is used to calculate GDP at … A B C basic prices market prices factor cost 1.1.3 A focus on the improvement of input efficiency is a characteristic of the … -side policy. A B C demand supply demand and supply 1.1.4 If the South African Reserve Bank sells foreign exchange to pay for deficits in the current account, this affects: A B C the financial account the capital transfer account the official reserve account 1.1.5 The process whereby previously disadvantaged groups of people are empowered in development is called … A B C Skills support programme (SSP) Black Economic Empowerment (BEE) National Development Plan (NDP) 1.1.6 The scorecard used to measure progress with Black Economic Empowerment (BEE) is published by the … A B C Amalgamated Banks of South Africa Development Bank of South Africa Department of Trade and Industry 2 1.1.7 Spatial areas that offer a passageway to mining, manufacturing and other businesses are referred to as … A B C gateways. corridors. export processing zones. 1.1.8 A corridor that links an area with growth potential to an area of higher economic activity in order to promote job creation and economic development is called: A B C an SDI an IDZ a DTI (8 x 2 = 16) 1.2 Choose a description from COLUMN B that matches an item in COLUMN A. Write only the letter (A – J) next to the question number (1.2.1 – 1.2.8) on your ANSWER SHEET. COLUMN A 1.2.1 1.2.2 1.2.3 1.2.4 1.2.5 1.2.6 1.2.7 1.2.8 Comparative advantage D Marginal propensity to save A Public goods F The BoP current account I Dualistic H Import quota C Exogenous approach E World Bank G COLUMN B A The portion of an increase in income that is not consumed. B Ratio between the eventual change in income and the initial investment. C A limit on the quantity that can be imported D Produces goods at a lower input cost than other countries. E Believes that markets are inherently stable F Non-rival and non-excludable G Provides loans to developing countries H A country where a developed component co-exists with a developing component I Reflects a country’s net income J The two sector circular flow model can also be referred to as being … (8 x 1 = 8) 3 1.3 Complete the following statements by using the words provided in the list below. Write only the word next to the question number (1.3.1 – 1.3.6) on your ANSWER SHEET. The new economic paradigm; Lorenz curve; NEPAD; Laffer curve; current transfer; capital transfer; devaluation; revaluation; import substitution; export promotion; SACU; SADC 1.3.1 Some of the income tax collected by the government is used to finance the payment of pensions. CURRENT TRANSFER 1.3.2 Some countries fix the value of their currency in terms of other currencies. When the value of the currency is adjusted and fixed at a lower rate it is called … DEVALUATION 1.3.3 SASOL and Mossgas (now PetroSA) are examples of … IMPORT SUBSTITUTION 1.3.4 An approach that comprises of both demand and supply side policies. THE NEW PARADIGM 1.3.5 This models the idea that there is an optimal level of tax for the government to charge. LAFFER CURVE 1.3.6 This free trade area would encourage economies of scale with competitive industries that would increase intra-regional trade and boost foreign investment to the region. SADC (6 x 1 = 6) [30] 4 SECTION B (ANSWER TWO QUESTIONS FROM THREE) QUESTION 2 (Macroeconomics) 2.1 Name TWO of South Africa’s macro-economic objectives. ECONOMIC GROWTH; INCREASED EMPLOYMENT; REDISTRIBUTION OF WEALTH; INTERNAL PRICE STABILITY (INFLATION); EXTERNAL PRICE STABILITY (EXCHANGE RATES) (2 x 2 = 4) 2.2 Study the information below and answer the question that follows. 2.2.1 Differentiate between GDP and GNP. GDP: GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT: PRODUCTION OF FINISHED GOODS THAT TAKES PLACE WITHIN THE BORDERS OF THE COUNTRY WITHIN A GIVEN PERIOD. GNP: PRODUCTION BY CITIZENS OF A COUNTRY REGARDLESS WHERE THEY ARE IN THE WORLD. (2) 2.2.2 Which alternative term is used for GDP in the national accounts? GROSS VALUE ADDED (2) 2.2.3 Provide labels for A and C. A: FACTOR COST C: TAXES (2) 2.2.4 Calculate B. BP: 1771 (BP = FC + TAXES – SUBSIDIES) (2) 2.2.5 Which component contributed most to the GDP? COMPENSATION TO EMPLOYEES (2) 2.3 Study the following cartoon and answer the questions that follow. 5 2.3.1 Define economic growth. INCREASE IN PRODUCTION OF FINAL GOODS WITHIN A GIVEN YEAR AS MEASURED BY THE GDP. (2) 2.3.2 Identify two organizations represented in the cartoon. COSATU, SARB, DTI, DEPT OF FINANCE (GOVERNMENT) (2) 2.3.3 Which person (not organization) in the cartoon is responsible for monetary policy in South Africa? GILL MARCUS (2) 2.3.4 Briefly explain one possible policy instrument that the person identified in 2.3.3 could use to stimulate economic growth. LOWER INTEREST RATES, BUYS BONDS, LOWER BANKS’ RESERVE REQUIREMENT (2) 2.3.5 In your opinion, what is the core message of the cartoon? ANY RELEVANT ANSWER… (2) 2.4 Discuss the exogenous approach as a cause of business cycles. CLASSICAL ECONOMISTS BELIEVE BUSINESS CYCLE IS INHERENTLY STABLE. THEY BELIEVE THAT BUSINESS CYCLES ARE CAUSED BY EXOGENOUS FACTORS SUCH AS CHANGES IN MONEY SUPPLY, TECHNOLOGY, GOVERNMENT POLICY OR CLIMATE. (4 x 2 = 8) 2.5 Discuss the workings of the Keynesian multiplier in a four sector model. Focus in particular on the economic effect of Foreign Direct Investment on the South African economy. MULTIPLIER ENABLES US TO UNDERSTAND WHY A CHANGE IN EXPENDITURE CAUSES A LARGER CHANGE IN EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL OF OUTPUT. MULTIPLIER IS EQUAL TO THE CHANGE IN THE EQUILIBRIUM VALUE OF OUTPUT (CHANGE IN Y) DIVIDED BY THE CHANGE IN THE VALUE OF THE INJECTIONS (CHANGE IN J) 6 ALSO, THE VALUE OF THE MULTIPLIER IS DIRECTLY RELATED TO THE MPC. k = 1 / (1-mpc) THE LARGER THE mpc, THE GREATER THE MULTIPLIER EFFECT AND THE BIGGER THE INCREASE IN THE EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL OF OUTPUT(4 x 2 = 8) [40] QUESTION 3 (Economic Pursuits) 3.1 Name any TWO indicators that show important information about education in a country. ADULT LITERACY RATE, AVE. YEARS OF SCHOOLING (2 x 2 = 4) 3.2 Use the data in the table to answer the questions that follow. 3.2.1 Identify the person depicted in the cartoon. TREVOR MANUEL (2) 3.2.2 Apart from poverty eradication and job creation, name two other aims of the NDP. IMPROVE INFRASTRUCTURE, CHANGE TO A LOW-CARBON ECONOMY, TRANSFORM URBAN AND RURAL SPACES, IMPROVE EDUCATION AND 7 TRAINING, PROVIDE QUALITY HEALTH CARE, IMPROVE PUBLIC SERVICES, BUILD SAFER COMMUNITIES, FIGHT CORRUPTION, TRANSFORM SOCIETY (2) 3.2.3 Briefly comment on government’s plans to address poverty eradication as part of the NDP. INTERNATIONAL BENCHMARK FOR THE POVERTY LEVEL IN MIDDLE-INCOME COUNTRIES IS LIVING ON $2,50 PER DAY. 1990 – 50% 2011 – 34% (2) OVER R1 TRILLION WAS SPEND ON SOCIAL SERVICES AND WELFARE IN 2012/13. 3.2.4 Why is the main character in the cartoon peeking to his left? CONCERNED ABOUT CORRUPTION, ABUSE OF POWER AND MISMANAGEMENT OF FUNDS. ANY OTHER RELEVANT ANSWER … (2) 3.2.5 Explain / comment on the title “Uncle Trevor wants you”. ANY RELEVANT ANSWER … (2) 8 3.3 Study the following extract and answer the questions that follow: 3.3.1 What does the abbreviation IDZ mean? INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT ZONES (2) 3.3.2 State the aim of the IDZ’s within the South African economy. ATTRACT BUSINESS INVESTMENT, WHERE EXPORTS WILL INCREASE AND SOUTH AFRICAN PRODUCTS WILL BE MORE COMPETITIVE. (2) 3.3.3 What is the purpose of EIDD? PROVIDE LEADERSHIP IN THE DEVELOPMENT POLICIES AND STRATEGIES THAT CREATE AN ENABLING ENVIRONMENT FOR COMPETITIVENESS, EQUITY AND ENTERPRISE DEVELOPMENT. (2) 3.3.4 In 2012 the IDZ’s were converted into SEZ’s. Explain. ADDITIONAL INCENTIVES HAVE BEEN ADDED TO ENCOURAGE DEVELOPMENT. (2) 3.3.5 Does the DTI contribute to the supply or demand side approach to economic growth? SUPPLY SIDE (2) 3.4 Supply side policies focus on the ability of markets to supply enough goods and services to meet aggregate demand. Briefly discuss this statement by focusing on the effectiveness and efficiency of markets in the South African context. (2 x 4 = 8) MARKETS NEED TO BE ORGANISED EFFICIENTLY, THIS IS DONE BY: REDUCING UNNECESSARY REGULATIONS – MANY LABOUR LAWS HAVE BEEN CRITICISED FOR REDUCING EMPLOYMENT. INCREASING COMPETITION – THE COMPETITION ACT HAVE DONE MUCH TO REDUCE ANTI-COMPETITIVE BEHAVIOUR. PRIVATISATION – SOME STATE OWNED ENTERPRISES HAVE BEEN SOLD TO PRIVATE SHAREHOLDERS, TELKOM ETC. 3.5 Explain any two differences between the developed countries in the North and developing countries in the South. Make use of examples where appropriate. 9 NORTH 15% OF WORLD POPULATION GROWTH RATES LESS THAN 3% CONTROLS WORLD TRADE AND INVESTMENTS SOUTH 85% OF WORLD POPULATION GROWTH RATES OF OVER 6% PLAYS SMALL BUT GROWING ROLE IN WORLD TRADE; RELIES ON NORTH TO PROVIDE INVESTMENT LIFE EXPECTANCY OVER 75 LIFE EXPECTANCY ABOUT 50 YEARS, IN SOME AFRICAN COUNTRIES 40 YEARS LOW LEVELS OF POVERTY HALF THE POPULATION LIVES IN POVERTY 78% OF WORLD INCOME; HIGH PER 22% OF WORLD INCOME; 85% OF CAPITA INCOME WORLD POPULATION; LOW PER CAPITA INCOME LITERACY LEVELS ABOVE 95% LEVELS AS LOW AS 50% IN SOME COUNTRIES; ESPECIALLY THAT OF WOMAN (2 x 4 = 8) [40] 10 QUESTION 4 (Macro & Economic Pursuits) 4.1 Name TWO examples of an indirect tax. 4.2 Study the following extract and answer the questions that follow: (2 x 2 = 4) 4.2.1 The World Bank uses 2000 as the base year? What does that mean? THE YEAR 2000 IS USED AS REFERENCE OR BENCHMARK (2) 4.2.2 Why do we use constant prices when comparing GDP per capita? CONSTANT PRICES TAKES THE EFFECT OF INFLATION INTO ACCOUNT. GROWTH IN REAL FIGURES EXCLUDES INFLATIONARY PRESSURES. (2) 4.2.3 Identify the trend visible from the data provided. FROM 2004 TO 2014 STRONG INDICATION OF POSITIVE GROWTH IN SA’s GROWTH IN GDP PER CAPITA. (2) 4.2.4 Name the single biggest shortcoming when using GDP per capita for comparison purposes. DOESN’T TELL US ANYTHING REGARDING THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE INCOME. (WEALTH GAP) (2) 4.2.5 Which other indicator could be used to measure the problem identified in 4.2.4? GINI COEFFICIENT (LORENZ CURVE) (2) 4.3 Study the cartoon below and answer the questions that follow: 11 4.3.1 How did the first democratically elected South African government address the problems illustrated by the cartoon after the 1994 elections? RECONSTRUCTION AND DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMME (2) 4.3.2 Which social indicator can be used to measure a country’s performance when addressing these issues? Explain. HUMAN DEVELEPMENT INDEX (HDI) – MEASURE OF PEOPLE’S ABILITY TO LIVE A LONG AND HEALTHY LIFE, TO COMMUNICATE, TO PARTICIPATE IN THE COMMUNITY AND TO HAVE SUFFICIENT INCOME TO EXPERIENCE A DECENT LIFESTYLE. (4) 4.3.3 Which type of government policy can be used to address the issues depicted in the cartoon? FISCAL POLICY – BUDGET – SOCIAL AND WELFARE SPENDING (2) 4.3.4 Why can national debt be regarded as a burden on future generations? INTEREST PLUS CAPITAL AMOUNT DUE PAYABLE OVER TIME – FUTURE GOVERNMENTS ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR CURRENT GOVERNMENTS’ SPENDING. FUTURE GOVERNMENTS WILL HAVE TO FUND THE REPAYMENT OF DEBT FROM TAXES LEVIED ON CITIZENS (FUTURE GENERATIONS). (2) 4.4 Explain the working of the Current account in the Balance of Payments. Make use of appropriate examples. RECORDS TRANSACTIONS FOR THE TRADE IN GOODS AND SERVICES, PRIMARY INCOME FLOWS AND CURRENT TRANSFERS. TRADE BALANCE IS THE VALUE OF EXPORTED GOODS PLUS NET GOLD EXPORTS LESS THE VALUE OF THE IMPORTED GOODS. TRADE BALANCE CAN BE POSITIVE OR NEGATIVE. COUNTRIES CAN IMPORT AND EXPORT SERVICES (TOURISTS, INSURANCE, SHIPPING, ETC.) PRIMARY INCOME FLOWS ARE THE PAYMENTS IN RESPECT OF INTEREST AND DIVIDENDS MADE BETWEEN CITIZENS AND FIRMS IN DIFFERENT COUNTRIES. CURRENT TRANSFERS ARE TRANSFER PAYMENTS, SUCH AS PENSIONS AND GRANTS. NET TRANSFERS ARE THE PAYMENTS OF TRANSFERS BETWEEN COUNTRIES. (2 x 4 = 8) 4.5 Briefly explain two of the regional development policies as implemented by the South African government. SDI: *SPATIAL DEVELOPMENT INITIATIVE IS AN AREA WITH HIGH LEVELS OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND POVERTY THAT HAS BEEN IDENTIFIED BY GOVERNMENT FOR A CO-ORDINATED EFFORT TO DEVELOP THE ECONOMIC POTENTIAL OF THE AREA. *UNDER-DEVELOPED AREAS WITH POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINABLE GROWTH. (MANY POOR, UNEMPLOYED PEOPLE) *PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIPS SEZ (IDZ): *ENCLOSED INDUSTRIAL AREA NEAR AN INTERNATIONAL PORT OR AIRPORT WHERE NORMAL CUSTOMS REGULATIONS DO NOT APPLY. *DESIGNED TO INCREASE ECONOMIC GROWTH, BOOST EXPORTS, CREATE JOBS 12 *PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIPS *COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE FOR FIRMS THROUGH INCENTIVES OFFERED *FOCUSSED ON EXPORT-ORIENTATED MANUFACTURING (2 x 4 = 8) [40] SECTION C (ANSWER ONE ESSAY QUESTION FROM TWO) Your answer will be assessed as follows: STRUCTURE OF THE ESSAY: Introduction Body: Main part: Discuss in detail/In-depth discussion/Examine/ Critically discuss/Analyse/Compare/Evaluate/Distinguish/ Explain/Assess/Debate Additional part: Give own opinion/Critically discuss/Evaluate/ Critically evaluate/Draw a graph and explain/Use the graph given and explain/Complete the given graph/Calculate/Deduce/ Compare/Explain/Distinguish/Interpret/Briefly debate Conclusion TOTAL MARK ALLOCATION: Max. 2 Max. 26 Max. 10 Max. 2 40 QUESTION 5 (Macroeconomics) “It is the work of economists to analyse events as they happen, to explain them and to predict or forecast their future behaviour.” – Mike Levin Discuss how business cycle indicators are used in forecasting. Make use of a diagram to explain a typical business cycle. (26) Conclude your discussion with a note to the local business chamber indicating why you think we are at a certain point in the cycle. (10) [40] PTO 13 QUESTION 6 (Economic Pursuits) Source: World Bank Data 2014 Explain and discuss each of the economic and social indicators depicted above for the South African economy. (26) Using the information contained in them, analyse the state of economic development in South Africa (10) [40] 14 Grade 12 Economics Exam September 2014 Paper 1 (Macroeconomics and Economic Pursuits) ANSWER SHEET NAME: _______________________________ A B C D TEACHER: SH / CCS / WHS 1.3.1 1.1.1 1.3.2 1.1.2 1.3.3 1.1.3 1.3.4 1.1.4 1.3.5 1.1.5 1.3.6 1.1.6 1.1.7 1.1.8 1.2.1 1.2.2 1.2.3 1.2.4 1.2.5 1.2.6 1.2.7 1.2.8 15