STAT/MATH 418: Introduction to Probability and Stochastic Processing for Engineering SYLLABUS – Fall 2014, Section 002 Penn State University Instructor: Stefanie Austin Email: Through ANGEL or stefanie.austin@psu.edu Office: 424A Thomas Office Hours: Wed. and Thu. 2:30pm – 3:30pm, and by appointment TA: Eftychia Solea Email: exs392@psu.edu Office: 330A Thomas Office Hours: Fri. 12:00pm – 1:00pm Class: TR 1:00pm – 2:15pm 201 Thomas Course Description: This course is an introduction to probability and stochastic processes for engineering students. Combinatorial analysis as a preparation for the main material will be covered in the beginning of the course. The topics include probability axioms, conditional probability, Bayes theorem, independence, random variables, expectation, continuous and discrete distributions, joint probability functions, conditional distributions, conditional expectations, covariance, correlation, probability inequalities and limit theorems, and stochastic processes. Prerequisite: MATH 230 or MATH 231 (calculus) Required Materials: Textbook: Probability and Stochastic Processes, 2nd edition, by Yates and Goodman Software: There is no software required for this class, though some of the examples in the textbook utilize MATLAB. Course Website: Class announcements and materials will be regularly posted on ANGEL, so it is recommended that you check the site frequently. Materials such as lecture notes, homework assignments, solutions, etc. will be posted. Grading: 1. Homework (30%): There will be approximately twelve (12) homework assignments throughout the semester, assigned weekly from the textbook. - The homework will generally be due on Tuesdays at the beginning of class. - You must show all work to receive full credit. - A reasonable amount of collaboration is allowed, but each student must turn in his or her own written work which reflects his or her understanding of the material. - NO LATE HOMEWORK WILL BE ACCEPTED unless the student has prior permission from the instructor. The lowest two grades will be dropped prior to calculating the final grade. 2. Midterm Exams (40%): There will be two (2) midterm examinations administered in-class, each worth 20% of the final grade. - You may only bring and use the following items: one-page of notes double-sided, plain scratch paper, pen or pencils, and a calculator. You may use no other items nor receive help from anyone. - Midterm exams CANNOT be made up or rescheduled without a legitimate excuse. Midterm #1 will tentatively take place on Thursday, October 2 and will cover Chapters 1 through 3. Midterm #2 will tentatively take place on Thursday, November 6 and will cover Chapters 4 through 6 3. Final Exam (30%): The final examination will be CUMULATIVE but will focus on material after the second midterm. - You may only bring and use the following items: two pages of notes double-sided, plain scratch paper, pen or pencils, and a calculator. You may use no other items nor receive help from anyone. - It will take place during the scheduled final exam week and cannot be rescheduled. Grading Scale: A (93-100); A- (90-92); B+ (87-89); B (83-86); B- (80-82); C+ (77-79); C (70-76); D (60-69); F (0-59) Academic Integrity: All Penn State and Eberly College of Science policies regarding academic integrity apply to this course. See http://science.psu.edu/current-students/Integrity for details. ECOS Code of Mutual Respect and Cooperation: The Eberly College of Science Code of Mutual Respect and Cooperation (http://www.science.psu.edu/climate/Code-of-Mutual-Respect final.pdf) embodies the values that we hope our faculty, staff, and students possess and will endorse to make The Eberly College of Science a place where every individual feels respected and valued, as well as challenged and rewarded. Accommodations for Students with Disabilities: Penn State welcomes students with disabilities into the University's educational programs. If you have a disability-related need for reasonable academic adjustments in this course, contact the Office for Disability Services (ODS) at 814-863-1807 (V/TTY). For further information regarding ODS, please visit the Office for Disability Services Web site at http://equity.psu.edu/ods/ . In order to receive consideration for course accommodations, you must contact ODS and provide documentation (see the documentation guidelines at http://equity.psu.edu/ods/student-information). If the documentation supports the need for academic adjustments, ODS will provide a letter identifying appropriate academic adjustments. Please provide the letter and discuss any adjustments with me as early in the course as possible. You must contact ODS and request academic adjustment letters at the beginning of each semester. TENTATIVE SCHEDULE: THIS IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE and is only intended to serve as a guideline. I will try to keep an updated schedule on ANGEL. Weeks are defined as Monday to Sunday. Week No. Days 1 Aug. 25 to Aug. 31 2 Sep. 1 to Sep. 7 3 4 5 Sep. 8 to Sep. 14 Sep. 15 to Sep. 21 Sep. 22 to Sep. 28 Chapter 1: Experiments, Models, and Probabilities Chapter 1: Experiments, Models, and Probabilities Chapter 2: Discrete Random Variables Chapter 3: Continuous Random Variables Chapter 3: Continuous Random Variables 6 Sep. 29 to Oct. 5 Review 7 8 9 10 Oct. 6 to Oct. 12 Oct. 13 to Oct. 19 Oct. 20 to Oct. 26 Oct. 27 to Nov. 2 Chapter 4: Pairs of Random Variables Chapter 4: Pairs of Random Variables Chapter 5: Random Vectors Chapter 6: Sums of Random Variables 11 Nov. 3 to Nov. 9 Review 12 13 14 15 16 Nov. 10 to Nov. 16 Nov. 17 to Nov. 23 Nov. 24 to Nov. 30 Dec. 1 to Dec. 7 Dec. 8 to Dec. 14 17 Dec. 15 to Dec. 21 Chapter & Topic Assignments Due HW #1 due Tue. 9/2 HW #2 due Tue. 9/9 HW #3 due Tue. 9/16 HW #4 due Tue. 9/23 HW #5 due Tue. 9/30 MIDTERM #1 on Thu. 10/2, covering chapters 1-3 HW #6 due Tue. 10/14 HW #7 due Tue. 10/21 HW #8 due Tue. 10/28 HW #9 due Tue. 11/4 MIDTERM #2 on Thu. 11/6, covering chapters 4-6 Chapter 10: Stochastic Processes Chapter 10: Stochastic Processes HW #10 due Tue. 11/18 THANKSGIVING BREAK Chapter 12: Markov Chains HW #11 due Tue. 12/2 Review HW #12 due Tue. 12/9 FINAL EXAM on TBD, FINALS WEEK - STUDY cumulative