GS 1 – Introduction to Global Studies Professor: Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Topic 3 – The Challenges of Globalization A – Economic Development B – Inequalities C – War, Conflicts and Terrorism D – The Environment Hofstra University, Department of Global Studies & Geography B – INEQUALITIES Failures to Develop Poverty and its Vicious Circle Global Inequalities Corruption Foreign Debt © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Inequalities Social Inequalities Economic Inequalities Spatial Inequalities © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Main Factors Promoting Inequalities Colonialism Inherited a situation of dependency. Dependency for markets, capital and technology. Demography Fast population growth. Pressures on infrastructure and services. Governance Unstable political regimes. Weak rule of law. Government corruption and inefficiency. Economy Importance of the informal economic sector. Unemployment and underemployment. Low labor productivity. Brain drain. Society Restrictive gender roles. Unequal land distribution. Debt Lack of capital. Large foreign debt. Investment into non-performing activities. Explain three factors promoting inequalities © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Poverty is often Produced Component Issues Precariousness Income and savings. Food supply and housing. Cannot consider long term issues (e.g. education). Excluded locations Ghettos / shantytowns / projects. Low quality infrastructure and services. Difficult access to employment. Weak community organizations. Physical limitations Physical or mental health. Race and/or gender. Rule of law Lack of security (law not enforced). Disempowering institutions (unequal application of the rule of law). © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Poverty and its Vicious Circle ■ Subjective needs • Needs associated with a modern society: • Status symbol. • Clothing and entertainment. • Some poverty can be perceived more than be a tangible reality. • Governments: • Can place more attention on subjective needs than on real needs. • For the sake of modernity and prestige. ■ The “victimization” of poverty • • • • Is poverty a self inflicted situation? Poor often portrayed as victims of some form of “unfairness”. The aid business. Samaritan’s dilemma: • Income transfers alleviating hardship. • Income transfers remove incentives to consider alternatives. © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Poverty and its Vicious Circle Poverty / Population • • • • • • • More children to compensate high mortality. More children to help as labor. Children seen as a form of social security. Lack of education plays against family planning. Unemployment and low incomes, dilution of gain. Division of property among several children. Overburden of healthcare, social services and utilities. Population / Environment • • • • • • Pressures over marginal land, overexploitation, and deforestation. Erosion and floods. Increase use of fertilizers, pesticides and irrigation. Migration to shantytowns. Erosion, salination and floods lower agricultural yields. Overpopulation increases health problems and lowers productivity. © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Poverty and its Vicious Circle How can poverty be a vicious circle for a country? Poverty / Environment • • • • Short term needs are a priority and forbids environmental protection. Development wins over environmental issues. Usage of cheapest fuel alternatives (e.g. coal). Lack of capital available for more environmentally efficient facilities. Instability • • • • • • • Fall back of democracy, repression and dictatorship. Security takes most of public spending. Bad investment environment, loss of tourism incomes. Disorganization of health and education services. National and international resources towards urgencies. Social divisions and political problems. Refugees and potential for terrorism. © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Basic Needs (Wants vs. Needs) Food Health Education Context Basic caloric and nutritional requirement. 2,500 calories per day is the minimal intake for a working adult. Consumption of health services. Provide a level of Fundamental education to expression of insure continuity. comfort and status. Issues Population growth and changes in diet Aging of the population Advanced economies require a higher level of education. Faster spread vectors. Global information networks. Globalization Growing availability of food in quantity, quality and diversity. Housing Necessitates raw materials and infrastructure. © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Percentage of the Population Living on Less than $2 per Day, 19812002 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1980 1985 1990 East Asia South Asia 1995 2000 Sub-Saharan Africa 2005 © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Countries with More than Half of Population in Extreme Poverty, 2011 (less than $1.25 per day) Mali Sierra Leone Republic of Congo Angola Haiti Nepal Burkina Faso Dem. Rep. of Congo Mozambique Chad Central African Republic Swaziland Zambia Nigeria Madagascar Tanzania Malawi Rwanda Burundi Liberia 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Income of the 10% Richest and the 20% Poorest, c2005 Japan Denmark Sweden Germany Canada India United States Russian Federation China Mexico Brazil Bolivia Haiti 0 5 10 15 20 25 Highest 10% Lowest 20% 30 35 40 45 50 © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Reducing Inequalities Private property Guaranteeing and protecting private property (e.g. title to land). Participation of women The capacities, perspectives and contributions of women have long been undervalued or ignored. Often been valued primarily for their reproductive role. Recognition of basic rights and responsibilities: Autonomy in person and property; Rights to land ownership and inheritance; Access to credit. No changes in participation rates since 1990 (global figures): 1990 (58.9%); 2004 (57.8%). Progress in developing countries compensated by aging of the global population. Healthcare Improve the quality of life and increase productivity. Access to healthy and safe shelter, to water, sanitation and to productive livelihoods. Education Exercise of personal capacities. Opportunities for further advancement. What are the main strategies used to reduce inequalities? © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Labor Participation Rate, 2004 United States Thailand Sweden South Africa Saudi Arabia Russian Federation Female 2004 Mexico Male 2004 Japan Italy India China Brazil 0 20 40 60 80 100 © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Corruption ■ Corruption • Where there is government there are misallocations: • • • • • Corruption is a form of misallocation. Using public power to regulate, coerce and confiscate. Lack of transparency. Weak legal systems leaving limited recourse if wronged. Cronyism (favoritism shown to friends and associates); bailouts. • Types of corruption: • Systemic: Part of the society and way of life (access to resources, employment, services). • Political: Leads to the misallocation of resources, but it also perverts the manner in which decisions are made. • Petty: A source of income for low paid bureaucrats (hospitals, schools, licensing, police, taxation). © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Perceived Level of Corruption in Selected Countries, 1998-2012 (10=none) Nigeria Russia Indonesia Mexico India China Italy 2012 Brazil 2007 Taiwan 1998 U.S. Japan Germany Canada Singapore Denmark 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Corruption is a State Sponsored Business Head of government Amount allegedly embezzled GDP per capita (2001) Mohamed Suharto, President of Indonesia (19671998) $15-35 billion $695 Ferdinand Marcos, President of Philippines (19721986) $5-10 billion $912 Mobuto Sese Seko, President of Zaire (1965-1997) $5 billion $99 Sani Abacha, President of Nigeria (1993-1998) $2-5 billion $319 Slobodan Milosevic, President of Serbia/Yugoslavia (1989-2000) $1 billion Jean-Claude Duvalier, President of Haiti (1971-1986) $300-800 million $460 Alberto Fujimori, President of Peru (1990-2000) $600 million $2051 Pavlo Lazarenko, Prime Minister of Ukraine (19961997) $114-200 million $766 Arnoldo Aleman, President of Nicaragua (1997-2002) $100 million $490 Joseph Estrada, President of Philippines (1998-2001) $78-80 million $912 © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Foreign Debt ■ Context • Capital contracted for present projects (consumption) at the expense of future tax revenues (consumption): • Invest in infrastructure (roads, utilities, telecom, etc.). • Cover operating expenses. • Allocation of capital contracted through debt: • Not necessarily a problem if capital accumulated in infrastructure and revenue generating projects: – Roads, ports, utilities (aqueducts, sewers, power generation). • Capital allocated in non revenue generating assets imposes a burden: – Monuments, sport infrastructure, “roads to nowhere”. • Many countries have accumulated large foreign debt and have difficulties servicing it. © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Total Debt Service, % of Exports of Goods, Services, and Income, 2010 Argentina Guatemala Colombia Papua New Guinea Honduras Philippines Macedonia, FYR Brazil Lebanon Lithuania El Salvador Armenia Georgia Romania Turkey Ukraine Serbia Kazakhstan Jamaica Latvia 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue IMF and World Bank Debt for Dictatorships Country Indonesia Brazil Argentina Philippines Syria Sudan Thailand Nigeria Chile Zaire/Congo Dictator Suharto (1967-1998) Military dictatorship (1964-1984) Military dictatorship (1976-1983) Marcos (1965-1986) Assad (1970-present) Nimeiry/al-Mahdi (1969-present) Military dictatorship (1950-1983) Buhari/Abacha (1984-1998) Augusto Pinochet (1973-1989) Mobutu (1965-1997) Debts at start of Debts at end of Dictator debts Dictator generated Dictatorship Dictatorship generated debt % of total debt 3 129 126 0.98 5.1 105.1 100 0.56 9.3 48.9 39.6 0.42 1.5 28.3 26.8 0.65 0.2 21.4 21.2 0.99 0.3 17 16.7 0.98 0 13.9 13.9 0.15 17.8 31.4 13.6 0.43 5.2 18 12.8 0.47 0.3 12.8 12.5 0.98 The problem of transition (odious debt) Many developing countries went through a phase of dictatorship: Chile (Pinochet). Haiti (Duvalier). Indonesia (Suharto). Dictatorial regimes often borrowed large sums to fund spurious projects. Once the regime overthrown, the new government is left with the responsibility of assuming the debt. © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue C – WAR, CONFLICTS AND TERRORISM The Nature of Conflicts Resource Wars Neo-Warfare © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue The Nature of Conflicts ■ Driving forces • Economic factors: • • • • • Economic inequality. Economic decline or stagnation. High poverty. Low social expenditure (infrastructure and services). Valuable natural resources (resource wars). • Political factors and grievances (history): • • • • • • Low state resources and weak governments. Self-determination. Religious, political, ethnic identity. Displacement / internally displaced populations. Predominance of one ethnic or religious group. Ethnic Cleansing/Genocide. What are the main driving forces behind conflicts? © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Types of Conflicts How conflicts are categorized and which form of conflict is the most common? Colonial or imperial war • Between a state and a non-state group outside its own territory. • Power fighting to retain control of a territory outside the state system. • Ex: Vietnam (1954-55), Indonesia (1946-49). Interstate conflict • Between two or more states. • Ex: Israel / Egypt (1967), India / Pakistan (1971) Internal conflict • Between the government of a state and one or more internal opposition group(s) • Ex: Cambodia (1976). Internationalized conflict • Between the government of a state and one or more internal opposition group(s) with intervention from other states. • E.g. Afghanistan (2001-), Iraq (2003-2010). © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Number of Conflicts by Type, 1946-2012 60 50 40 30 20 10 1946 1948 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 0 Colonial or Imperial War Interstate Confict Internal Armed Conflict Internationalized Internal Armed Conflict © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Resource Wars: The Stakes Energy • Conventional resource war (oil); many conflicts since the mid 20th century. • Often involves economic powers (e.g. USA). • Punctual locations. Land • • • • Capture of cropland (for exports) Cash crops (e.g. coffee), timber or drug production. Developing countries are particularly vulnerable. Diffuse locations. Water • Mostly for irrigation. • Linearity (upstream / downstream); often cross-border. • Now over oceanic masses (EEZs) © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Types of Resource Conflicts War / Coup d'état Formal conflict between states. Algeria (gas), Angola (oil), Chad (oil), Iran-Iraq (oil), Iraq-Kuwait (oil), Liberia (iron ore, rubber), Nicaragua (coffee). Secession Separation from an existing state. Angola/Cabinda (oil), Caucasus (oil), Indonesia (oil, copper, gold), Nigeria/Biafra (oil). Rebellion / rioting Rejection of authority. El Salvador (coffee), Guatemala (cropland), Israel-Palestine (water), Mexico (cropland). Warlordism Informal control of a territory, mostly through force. Afghanistan (opium), Angola (diamonds), Burma (timber, opium), Caucasus (drugs), Cambodia (gems, timber), Columbia (cocaine), Liberia (timber, diamonds, drugs), Peru (cocaine), Sierra Leone (diamonds), Somalia (piracy, bananas). What are resource wars and what type of conflicts they are associated with? © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Global Water Scarcity: A Landscape for Present and Future Conflicts © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Neo-Warfare (Unconventional Warfare) Nuclear • Nuclear weapons are deterrents (Cold War). • Risk of rogue states (Iran, North Korea). Chemical / biological • Kill or incapacitate humans, animals or plants as an act of war. • Interdict an area. Terrorism • Asymmetrical violence against non-combatants; usage of fear. • Wear opponent down. Cyber warfare • Gathering intelligence. • Incapacitating infrastructure (e.g. air transport) and utilities (power grid). © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Essay: Conflicts in the 21st Century Looking at the forms of conventional and unconventional warfare, what could be the most significant sources of conflict in the 21st Century? © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue D – THE ENVIRONMENT Global Environment: The Tragedy of the Commons Selected Issues: Deforestation and Climate Change © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Technological Changes and Environment Relationships Hunter-Gatherer Survival based by gathering edible plants and killing animals. Societies Little accumulated economic and food surplus. Small numbers, decentralized and little use of resources. Strong linkage with nature. Agricultural societies Produce larger and more stable food supplies. Larger settlements and populations. First major environmental degradation. Decline or collapse of civilizations linked with the degradation of the soils and resource bases. Human domination of nature (anthropocentric view). Industrial societies Substitution of human and animal labor by machines. Urbanization (population outside natural surroundings). Exploitation of resources exacerbated many environmental problems and created new ones. Pollution exacerbated by the use of synthetic materials. © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Reasons to Study Environmental Problems at the Global Level ■ Transboundary and global nature of environmental problems • Not bound to a single area or jurisdiction. • Increase the complexity of assessments and mitigation. ■ Significant (and potential) impacts on the economic and environmental welfare of the global economy ■ Global environmental governance • Not a single actor can effectively address the issue. • International environmental agreements. © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Global Environmental Issues: The “Tragedy of the Commons” ■ The tragedy of the commons • Freedom in a commons brings ruin to all. • All the resources will be used. ■ Solutions • Private property: • Removes some of the Commons from access. • Encourages conservation and wise management. • Vested interest in maintaining it for future use. • Collective property: • Parts of the Commons not possible to divide into private segments atmosphere, oceans, etc. • Collective (global) ownership. • Taxation and coercive laws as the primary means of preservation. © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue List of the Most Important Global Environmental Issues ■ Climate change • Weather systems and sea level. ■ Environmental degradation • Habitat destruction and invasive species. ■ Overpopulation • Environmental footprint. ■ Pollution • Air, soil, water. ■ Resource depletion • Fishing, logging, mining, water. • Renewable and non-renewable resources. ■ Waste • Hazardous materials (e.g. nuclear waste). © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Environmental Perception: Who Cares? Very Important World Climate Change Nation Community Some Importance Little Importance No Importance Pollution Hazardous materials Family Week Year Lifetime Next Generation © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Deforestation ■ Overview • Farmed or natural forests that can yield timber products. • Environmental functions: • • • • Erosion prevention. Climate stability. Maintenance of hydrological cycles. Sustaining ecological systems. • The world has almost lost half of its original forest cover: • 62 million km2 (1900) to 33 million (1995). • Most of if was destroyed over the last 30 years. • Forests left occupy ecologically less productive land with exception of some few remaining inaccessible jungle areas. © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Changes in the World’s Forest Cover Growing economies and consumption. Population growth and demand for new land. Policies promoting the overexploitation of forests. Corruption and illegal trade. Poverty and landlessness. © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Average Global Temperature and World Carbon Emissions From Fossil Fuel Burning, (in millions of tons) 1800-2013 10,000 14.8 9,000 14.6 8,000 14.4 7,000 14.2 6,000 14 5,000 13.8 4,000 13.6 3,000 13.4 2,000 13.2 1,000 13 0 12.8 Million Tons of Carbon Average global temperature © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Expected Geographical Impacts of Climate Change © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Essay: The Global Environment Identify two global environmental issues and what are their causes, impacts and what forms of mitigation they have been subject to. © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue