Chapter 11: Project Management Chapter 11: Project Management 1 Introduction Chapter 11: Project Management 2 Previous Examples of Projects Transporting Olympic Flame (Chapter 1) Mercedes-Benz facility location (Chapter 5) Chapter 11: Project Management 3 Viper Development Project Project team given 3 years to go from concept to roadster. Needed to develop new 8.0-litter V-10 aluminum engine and new high performance six-speed transmission. Comparable projects usually require five years at Chrysler. Chapter 11: Project Management 4 Viper Development Project con’t Project team members hand-picked. Artemis Prestige selected to help manage project ability to track several projects concurrently interactive use provide broad picture of entire project help identify the impact of each activity on the ultimate completion of the project Chapter 11: Project Management 5 Viper Development Project: An Overwhelming Success First test engine required less than a year to develop. Transmission developed in 1.5 years compared to the usual 5 to 6 years. Many important innovations in the frame, body, and brakes were incorporated . Chapter 11: Project Management 6 Zeneca Pharmaceuticals Mission is the development of new drugs for the medical community. The development of a new drug is a complex project with typical durations of 10 years. Chapter 11: Project Management 7 Zeneca Pharmaceuticals: Major Steps in Drug Development Preclinical Testing Investigational New Drug Human Clinical Testing three separate phases New Drug Application Approval Chapter 11: Project Management 8 Differences Between Pharmaceutical R&D Projects and Other Industries Final product is information rather than a physical product. Long duration, extreme costs, and high chances for failure. Chapter 11: Project Management 9 Background Project management concerned with managing organizational activities. Often used to integrate and coordinate diverse activities. Projects are special types of processes. Chapter 11: Project Management 10 Defining a Project Projects are processes that are performed infrequently and ad hoc, with a clear specification of the desired objective. Chapter 11: Project Management 11 Examples of Projects Constructing highways, bridges, tunnels and dams Erecting skyscrapers, steel mills, and homes Organizing conferences and conventions Managing R&D projects Running political campaigns, war operations, and advertising campaigns Chapter 11: Project Management 12 Reasons for Growth in Project Operations More Sophisticated Technology Better-Educated Citizens More Leisure Time Increased Accountability Higher Productivity Faster Response to Customers Greater customization for customers Chapter 11: Project Management 13 Planning the Project Chapter 11: Project Management 14 Life Cycle of a Project (Stretched-S) & (Exponential) Chapter 11: Project Management 15 Organizing the Project Team Ad Hoc Project Form Weak Functional Matrix Strong Project Matrix Chapter 11: Project Management 16 Types of Project Team Members Those having a long-term relationship with the project. Those that the PM will need to communicate with closely. Those with rare skills necessary to project success. Chapter 11: Project Management 17 Project Plans Chapter 11: Project Management 18 Work Breakdown Structure Chapter 11: Project Management 19 Project Master Schedule Chapter 11: Project Management 20 Complexity of Scheduling Project Activities Large number of activities Precedence relationships Limited time of the project Chapter 11: Project Management 21 Planning and Scheduling Projects Planning. Determining what must be done and which tasks must precede others. Scheduling. Determining when the tasks must be completed; when they can and when they must be started; which tasks are critical to the timely completion of the project; and which tasks have slack and how much. Chapter 11: Project Management 22 Scheduling the Project: PERT and CPM Chapter 11: Project Management 23 Terminology Activity Event Network Path Critical Path Critical Activities Chapter 11: Project Management 24 Project Planning When Activity Times are Known Inputs list of the activities that must be completed activity completion times activity precedence relationships Chapter 11: Project Management 25 Project Planning When Activity Times are Known continued Outputs graphical representation of project time to complete project identification of critical path(s) and activities activity and path slack earliest and latest time each activity can be started earliest and latest time each activity can be completed Chapter 11: Project Management 26 Example Activity Time Preceded By A 10 -B 7 -C 5 A D 13 A E 4 B,C F 12 D G 14 E Chapter 11: Project Management 27 Network Diagram Chapter 11: Project Management 28 Early Start and Finish Times Chapter 11: Project Management 29 Latest Start and Finish Times Chapter 11: Project Management 30 Activity Slack Time TES = earliest start time for activity TLS = latest start time for activity TEF = earliest finish time for activity TLF = latest finish time for activity Activity Slack = TLS - TES = TLF - TEF Chapter 11: Project Management 31 Path Slack Duration of Critical Path - Path Duration Path Slack Chapter 11: Project Management 32 Activity Slack Times Activity A B C D E F G ES EF LS LF Slack 0 0 10 10 15 23 19 10 7 15 23 19 35 33 0 10 12 10 17 23 21 10 17 17 23 21 35 35 Chapter 11: Project Management 0 10 2 0 2 0 2 33 Project Planning When Activity Times are Uncertain Inputs Optimistic (to), most likely (tm), and pessimistic (tp) time estimate for each activity activity precedence relationships Outputs graphical representation of project expected activity and path completion times variance of activity and path completion times probability that project completed by specified time Chapter 11: Project Management 34 Expected Activity Time and Variance of Activity Time te t o 4t m t p 6 t p to 6 2 2 Chapter 11: Project Management 35 Example Activity Preceded By to tm tp te 2 A -- 2 6 7 5.50 .694 B -- 5 7 9 7.00 .444 C A 3 5 6 4.83 .250 D A 10 10 10 10.0 0.000 E B,C 3 4 5 4.0 .111 F D 8 12 13 11.5 .694 G E 2 4 8 4.33 1.000 Chapter 11: Project Management 36 Network Diagram with Expected Activity Times and Variances [5.5, 0.694] A 1 [7.0, 0.444] B 2 [10, 0.0] 4 D F C [4.83, 0.250] 3 [11.5, 0.913] 6 E 5 G [4.33, 1.0] [4.0, 0.111] Chapter 11: Project Management 37 Expected Completion Time and Variance of Path A-D-F Expected completion time = 5.5 + 10 + 11.5=27 Path Variance = 0.694 + 0 + 0.913 = 1.607 Chapter 11: Project Management 38 Path Expected Times and Variances Path Expected Standard Time Variance Deviation A-D-F 27 1.607 1.27 A-C-E-G 14.66 2.055 1.43 B-E-G 15.33 1.555 1.25 Chapter 11: Project Management 39 Probabilities of Completion desired completion time - expected completion time z V Chapter 11: Project Management 40 Probability of Project Being Completed on or Before Time 25 Only path A-D-F has reasonable chance of taking 25 or more: 25 27 z 157 . 1.27 From standard normal table in Appendix A, there is a 5.82% chance of completing project on or before time 25. Chapter 11: Project Management 41 Probability of Path A-D-F being Completed on or Before Time 25 5.82% Chapter 11: Project Management 42 Plan E Project Operations Network Chapter 11: Project Management 43 Proper Use of Dummy Activities Chapter 11: Project Management 44 Activity Expected Times and Variances Chapter 11: Project Management 45 Simulating Project Completion Times with Spreadsheets C A F D B E Chapter 11: Project Management 46 Simulating Project Completion Times Activity A Mean (days) 32.1 Standard Deviation 1.2 B 24.6 3.1 C 22.2 2.2 D 26.1 5.2 E 34.4 6.2 F 34.5 4.1 Chapter 11: Project Management 47 Activity Activity Activity Activity Activity A B C D E Activity F Minimum Maximum Path1 Path 2 (A-C-F) (B-D-F) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chapter 11: Project Management Path 3 (B-E) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Project Finish Time 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48 Chapter 11: Project Management 49 Project Management Software Capabilities Chapter 11: Project Management 50 Microsoft Project’s Gantt Chart Chapter 11: Project Management 51 Pert Chart Generated by Microsoft Project Chapter 11: Project Management 52 Calendar of Activities Created by Microsoft Project Chapter 11: Project Management 53 Controlling the Project: Cost and Performance Chapter 11: Project Management 54 Variance Report Cost standard determined using engineering estimates or analysis of past performance Actual cost monitored and compared with cost standard Project manager can exert control if difference between standard and actual (called a variance) is considered significant. Chapter 11: Project Management 55 Cost-Schedule Reconciliation Charts Chapter 11: Project Management 56 Earned Value Chart Chapter 11: Project Management 57 Goldratt’s Critical Chain Chapter 11: Project Management 58 Introduction Similar issues that trouble people about working on projects regardless of type of project unrealistic due dates too many changes resources and data not available unrealistic budget These issues/problems related to need to make trade-offs To what extent are these problems caused by human decisions and practices? Chapter 11: Project Management 59 Three Project Scenarios Chapter 11: Project Management 60 Project Completion Time Statistics Chapter 11: Project Management 61 Observations Average Completion Times Implications of Assuming Known Activity Times Shape of the Distribution Worker Time Estimates Impact of Inflated Time Estimates Student Syndrome Chapter 11: Project Management 62 Multitasking Chapter 11: Project Management 63 Alternative Gantt Charts for Projects A and B Chapter 11: Project Management 64 Common Chain of Events Underestimate time needed to complete project assumption of known activity times and independent paths Project team members inflate time estimates Work fills available time student syndrome early completions not reported Chapter 11: Project Management 65 Common Chain of Events continued Safety time misused Misused safety time results in missed deadlines Hidden safety time complicates task of prioritizing project activities Lack of clear priorities results in poor multitasking Chapter 11: Project Management 66 Common Chain of Events concluded Poor multitasking increases task durations Uneven demand on resources also results due to poor multitasking More projects undertaken to ensure all resources fully utilized More projects further increases poor multitasking Chapter 11: Project Management 67 Reversing the Cycle Reduce number of projects assigned to each individual Schedule start of new projects based on availability of bottleneck resources Reduce amount of safety time added to individual tasks and then add some fraction back as project buffer activity durations set so that there is a high probability the task will not be finished on time Chapter 11: Project Management 68 The Critical Chain Longest chain of consecutively dependent events considers both precedence relationships and resource dependencies Project Buffer Feeding Buffer Chapter 11: Project Management 69 Sample Network Diagram Chapter 11: Project Management 70 Project and Feeder Buffers Chapter 11: Project Management 71 Copyright Copyright 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 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