Objectives (BPS chapter 1) Picturing Distributions with Graphs What is Statistics ? Individuals and variables Two types of data: categorical and quantitative Ways to chart categorical data: bar graphs and pie charts Ways to chart quantitative data: histograms and stemplots Interpreting histograms Time plots Statistics ? Statistics is the science of data Individuals and Variables Individuals are the objects described by a set of data. Individuals may be people, but they may also be animals or things. A variable is any characteristic of an individual. A variable can take different values for different individuals. Example: A data set layout Two types of variables A variable can be either A categorical variable places an individual into one of several groups or categories. What can be counted is the count or proportion of individuals in each category. or A quantitative variable takes numerical values for which arithmetic operations such as adding and averaging make sense. The distribution of a variable tells us what values it takes and how often it takes these values. Example Data from a medical study contain values of many variables for each of the people who were the subjects of the study. Which of the following variables are categorical and which are quantitative? a) Gender (female or male) --- Categorical Age (years) --- Quantitative Race (black, white or other) --- Categorical Smoker (yes or no) --- Categorical Systolic blood pressure --- Quantitative Level of calcium in the blood --- Quantitative b) c) d) e) f) Ways to chart categorical data Because the variable is categorical, the data in the graph can be ordered any way we want (alphabetical, by increasing value, by year, by personal preference, etc.). Bar graphs Each category is represented by a bar. Pie charts Peculiarity: The slices must represent the parts of one whole. Example: Top 10 causes of death in the United States, 2001 Rank Causes of death Counts Percent of top 10s Percent of total deaths 1 Heart disease 700,142 37% 29% 2 Cancer 553,768 29% 23% 3 Cerebrovascular 163,538 9% 7% 4 Chronic respiratory 123,013 6% 5% 5 Accidents 101,537 5% 4% 6 Diabetes mellitus 71,372 4% 3% 7 Flu and pneumonia 62,034 3% 3% 8 Alzheimer’s disease 53,852 3% 2% 9 Kidney disorders 39,480 2% 2% 32,238 2% 1% 10 Septicemia All other causes 629,967 26% For each individual who died in the United States in 2001, we record what was the cause of death. The table above is a summary of that information. Bar graphs Each category is represented by one bar. The bar’s height shows the count (or sometimes the percentage) for that particular category. Top 10 causes of death in the U.S., 2001 The number of individuals who died of an accident in 2001 is approximately 100,000. di se as es C an C er ce eb rs r ov C as hr on cu ic la r re sp ira to ry Ac cid D ia en be ts te s m Fl el u l it & us p Al ne zh um ei on m er ia 's di Ki se dn as ey e di so rd er Se s pt ic em ia H ea rt Counts (x1000) 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Pie charts Each slice represents a piece of one whole. The size of a slice depends on what percent of the whole this category represents. Percent of people dying from top 10 causes of death in the U.S., 2000 Ways to chart quantitative data Histograms and stemplots These are summary graphs for a single variable. They are very useful to understand the pattern of variability in the data. Line graphs: time plots Use when there is a meaningful sequence, like time. The line connecting the points helps emphasize any change over time. Other graphs to reflect numerical summaries (see chapter 2) Example Histograms The range of values that a variable can take is divided into equal-size intervals. The histogram shows the number of individual data points that fall in each interval. The first column represents all states with a percent Hispanic in their population between 0% and 4.99%. The height of the column shows how many states (27) have a percent Hispanic in this range. The last column represents all states with a percent Hispanic between 40% and 44.99%. There is only one such state: New Mexico, at 42.1% Hispanic. Interpreting histograms When describing a quantitative variable, we look for the overall pattern and for striking deviations from that pattern. We can describe the overall pattern of a histogram by its shape, center, and spread. Histogram with a line connecting each column too detailed Histogram with a smoothed curve highlighting the overall pattern of the distribution Most common distribution shapes Symmetric distribution A distribution is symmetric if the right and left sides of the histogram are approximately mirror images of each other. A distribution is skewed to the right if the right side of the histogram (side with larger values) extends much farther out than the left side. It is skewed to the left if the left side of the histogram Skewed distribution extends much farther out than the right side. Complex, multimodal distribution Not all distributions have a simple overall shape, especially when there are few observations. Outliers An important kind of deviation is an outlier. Outliers are observations that lie outside the overall pattern of a distribution. Always look for outliers and try to explain them. The overall pattern is fairly symmetrical except for two states clearly not belonging to the main trend. Alaska and Florida have unusual representation of the elderly in their population. A large gap in the distribution is typically a sign of an outlier. Alaska Florida Stem plots How to make a stem plots: 1) Separate each observation into a stem, consisting of all but the final (rightmost) digit, and a leaf, which is that remaining final digit. Stems may have as many digits as needed, but each leaf contains only a single digit. 2) Write the stems in a vertical column with the smallest value at the top, and draw a vertical line at the right of this column. 3) Write each leaf in the row to the right of its stem, in increasing order out from the stem. Original data: 9, 9, 22, 32, 33, 39, 39, 42, 49, 52, 58, 70 STEM LEAVES State Percent Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada NewHampshire NewJersey NewMexico NewYork NorthCarolina NorthDakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania RhodeIsland SouthCarolina SouthDakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia W ashington W estVirginia W isconsin W yoming 1.5 4.1 25.3 2.8 32.4 17.1 9.4 4.8 16.8 5.3 7.2 7.9 10.7 3.5 2.8 7 1.5 2.4 0.7 4.3 6.8 3.3 2.9 1.3 2.1 2 5.5 19.7 1.7 13.3 42.1 15.1 4.7 1.2 1.9 5.2 8 3.2 8.7 2.4 1.4 2 32 9 0.9 4.7 7.2 0.7 3.6 6.4 Step 1: Sort the data State Percent Maine W estVirginia Vermont NorthDakota Mississippi SouthDakota Alabama Kentucky NewHampshire Ohio Montana Tennessee Missouri Louisiana SouthCarolina Arkansas Iowa Minnesota Pennsylvania Michigan Indiana W isconsin Alaska Maryland NorthCarolina Virginia Delaware Oklahoma Georgia Nebraska W yoming Massachusetts Kansas Hawaii W ashington Idaho Oregon RhodeIsland Utah Connecticut Illinois NewJersey NewYork Florida Colorado Nevada Arizona Texas California NewMexico 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.9 2 2 2.1 2.4 2.4 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.2 3.3 3.5 3.6 4.1 4.3 4.7 4.7 4.8 5.2 5.3 5.5 6.4 6.8 7 7.2 7.2 7.9 8 8.7 9 9.4 10.7 13.3 15.1 16.8 17.1 19.7 25.3 32 32.4 42.1 Percent of Hispanic residents in each of the 50 states Step 2: Assign the values to stems and leaves Time Plots Time plots are for variables measured over time and it is all about changes over time. A time plot of a variable plots each observation against the time at which it was measured. Always put time on the horizontal scale of your plot and the variable you are measuring on the vertical scale. Connecting the data points by line helps emphasize any change over time Example How have college tuition and fees changed over time? Time Plot Time plot of the average tuition paid by students at public and private college foe academic year 1970-1971 to 20012002