Business Plan Indulge In Your Sweet Tooth Prepared For: Comm 447 Marv Painter December 02, 2011 Prepared By: Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt b Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 Table of Contents 1.0 Executive Summary ……………………………………….……………………………Page 4 2.0 Business Overview ……………………………………………………………………...Page 7 2.1 Mission Statement ………………………………...…………………………….Page 7 2.2 Goals/Objectives ………………………………………………………………..Page 7 2.3 Industry Overview ……………………………………………………………....Page 8 2.4 Saskatoon Economy ………………………………………………………….…Page 8 3.0 The Operations Plan …………………………………………………………………….Page 9 3.1 Organizational Structure ………………………………………………………..Page 9 3.2 Site Plan ……………………………………………………………………….Page 11 3.3 Floor Plan ………………………………………………………….…………..Page 11 3.4 Average Business Day ……………………………………………………...…Page 13 3.5 Average Business Week …………………………………………………….…Page 14 3.6 Average Business Month …………………………………………………...…Page 15 3.7 Average Business Year ………………………………………………………..Page 15 3.8 Typical Custom Order …………………………………………………………Page 15 3.9 Quality control Plan ………………………………………………………...…Page 16 3.10 Supply Analysis ………………………………………………………...…Page 16 3.11 Capacity Limits ……………………….…………………………………...Page 16 3.12 Cost of Sales ……………………………………………………………….Page 17 3.13 Operations Expense …………………………………………………….….Page 17 3.14 Working Capital Planning …………………………………………………Page 18 3.15 Capital Expenses …………………………………………………………..Page 19 3.16 Summary of Operations Plan ……………………………………………...Page 20 4.0 The Human Resources Plan ………………………………………………………...…Page 21 4.1 Hiring/Firing of Employees …………………………………………………...Page 22 4.2 Training ………………………………………………………………………..Page 23 5.0 The Marketing Plan …………………………………………………………………....Page 24 5.1 The Marketing Mix ……………………………………………………………Page 24 5.1.1 Product …………………………………………………………….Page 24 5.1.2 Pricing …………………………………………………………..…Page 25 5.1.3 Promotion ……………………………………………………….…Page 26 5.1.4 Place ……………………………………………………………….Page 26 5.2 STP Segmentation, Targeting, Positioning ……………………………………Page 26 5.3 Competitors ……………………………………………………………………Page 27 5.4 SWOT Analysis ……………………………………………………………….Page 27 5.4.1 Strengths …………………………………………………………...Page 28 5.4.2 Weaknesses ………………………………………………………..Page 28 5.4.3 Opportunities ……………………………………………………....Page 28 2|Page Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 5.4.4 Threats ……………………………………………………………..Page 28 5.5 Projections of Revenues and Marketing Mix ………………………………….Page 29 5.6 Marketing Plan (Advertising Mix) …………………………………………….Page 29 6.0 The Financial Plan ……………………………………………………………………..Page 33 6.1 Financial Description ……………………………………………………….....Page 33 6.2 Required Rate of Return ……………………………………………………….Page 33 6.3 Critical Success Variables ……………………………………………………..Page 34 6.4 Best and Worst Case Scenarios and Sensitivity Analysis ……………………..Page 35 6.5 Critical Variables …………………………………………………………...…Page 35 6.6 Break Even Analysis ………………………………………………………......Page 36 6.7 Ratios …………………………………………………………………………..Page 37 6.8 NPV and IRR ………………………………………………………………….Page 37 6.9 Overall Feasibility of Indulge …………………………………………………Page 38 7.0 References ……………………………………………………………………………..Page 39 8.0 Appendix ………………………………………………………………………………Page 40 8.1 Appendix A – Customer Order Form ………………………………………….Page 41 8.2 Appendix B – Operating Expenses …………………………………………....Page 42 8.3 Appendix C – Capital Costs …………………………………………………...Page 43 8.4 Appendix D – HR Pay Rates and Needed Hours ……………………………...Page 44 8.5 Appendix E – Sample Product ……………………………………………...…Page 45 8.6 Appendix F – Pricing Comparisons ………………………………………...…Page 46 8.7 Appendix G – Marketing Projections ………………………………………....Page 47 8.8 Appendix H – Marketing Cost Break-Down ………………………………….Page 48 8.9 Appendix I – Financial Projections …………………………………………....Page 49 8.10 Appendix J – Break-even Analysis ………………………………………..Page 50 8.11 Appendix K – Ratio Analysis ……………………………………………..Page 51 3|Page Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 1.0 – Executive Summary Indulge is a locally owned and operated bakery which makes and sells cupcakes and wedding cakes. Since these products are high quality they will be sold at a premium price. Cupcakes can be bought directly from the store with no previous order necessary or specialty orders can be placed for both cupcakes and wedding cakes. Due to the high cost to produce, wedding cakes will only be offered by special order/request. Operations Plan Indulge will be open daily which will accommodate all products being baked fresh day by day with the exception of Sunday. In order to guarantee freshness inventory management will be extremely important. The baker and management staff will manage inventory. On average, inventory will be purchased on a bi-weekly basis. It will also be essential to closely monitor cupcakes produced on a daily basis in order to maximize the quality. Since cupcakes will not be carried to the next day, management will want to only produce what is necessary for that given day. These inventory levels will be tracked and adjusted on a day by day basis. Indulge will operate with an extremely high profit margin on both wedding cakes and cupcakes since the cost of producing these items is not high. The selling price of one cupcake is not very high therefore it will be essential to make sales which in return will be an important variable to make the business a success. In order for the business to cover its high cost of rent and salaries it will be essential to obtain an operating line of credit during the first year of operation. Indulge will be located in the University Heights Square at 138 – 1820 McOrmond Drive. This will be considered an asset to Indulge since this area is surrounded by seven neighborhoods and has a higher than average household income. This area is also located by two high traffic streets which include Attridge Drive and McOrmond Drive. Human Resources Plan The Indulge team will consist of four staff members who include a manager, assistant manager, and two part time staff in the first year. All staff members will be required to have Food Safety 4|Page Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 certification and CPR courses. In the third year, if necessary, Indulge will hire additional staff members to help balance the work load with an increased clientele base. The two owners, Kally Schlemko and Jennifer Schmidt will hold the manager and assistant manager positions which will include all necessary hiring and firing practices, accounting and bookkeeping tasks, inventory control, and the baking process. Two part time staff members will be recruited and hours increased when necessary to keep up with demand. In addition these staff will be trained on the baking duties if need be. Marketing Plan Indulge will target three groups of consumers which consist of single and married females with middle to high income and wedding clientele. These groups will be looking to fulfill a need and indulge in their sweet tooth. They will have at least a middle income level in order to spend disposable income on a premium priced product or luxury good. The atmosphere Indulge will promote will be consistent with these target market groups in that it will be upbeat, fun, and a girly atmosphere. Indulge has two direct competitors which consist of The Cupcake Corner located on 8th Street and the Cupcake Conspiracy located downtown. Both of these bakeries produce similar products with a relatively close pricing range. Since Indulge will located on the east side of the city, it will be quite far from both of these locations and will take advantage of those consumers driving to the other end of the city to purchase cupcakes. In addition Safeway has recently became a close competitor with the introduction of high-end cupcakes. Since Safeway’s cupcakes are slightly cheaper but are not as high quality Indulge will not be competing on the same direct level with Safeway. The marketing strategy consists of several phases. Firstly, Indulge will concentrate on its grand opening and ensuring consumers are aware that a new cupcake location has opened up. In order to bring consumers in on this initial day, a buy one get one free offer will be available on this day only. Indulge will also take part in the Bridal Spectacular event that is help at TCU place in Saskatoon. This will give Indulge the opportunity to connect with brides in the Saskatoon area and advertise to the wedding clientele target market. The company will also take part in expos in 5|Page Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 the Saskatoon area where they can set up a booth and offer samples to consumers and reach the intended target markets. Lastly, Indulge will take place in tradition marketing methods which will include: newspaper, radio, webpage, yellow pages, flyers, posters, pamphlets and signage. In addition, non-traditional methods will include: word of mouth and facebook. Financial Plan The financial statements are based upon the above information which includes the operations plan (operating costs, capital costs, and cost of sales), the human resources plan (wages and benefits costs), and the marketing plan (marketing expenses). During the first year of operations Indulge will incur a loss due to rent expense, salaries, and a large marketing plan with minimal sales since the company is still building awareness. Indulge will generate profits in years two, three, four and five with dividends being paid out in year five. In the initial year an operating line of credit will be necessary to pay rent and salaries while sales are being made and awareness increased. Indulge has used a 50% equity and 50% debt approach. The equity portion will be contributed half and half by the owners while the remainder will be obtained from a bank loan. This loan will be paid back in the initial five years of operations. With this an internal rate of return of 103% can be achieved which meets and exceeds the 25% required return. This IRR is extremely high due to the low initial capital costs. In addition the net present value of the company is calculated to be $82,891. Indulge feels the business will be successful and has a promising future in the booming Saskatoon economy. 6|Page Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 2.0 – Business Overview Indulge was established in 2011 by two Edwards School of Business students, Kally and Jennifer, with each student having equal equity in the company. With an interest in baking, the team came together to join a business idea. Indulge sells cupcakes and wedding cakes. Cupcakes are made fresh daily, while wedding cakes are made only by special order/request. Cupcakes can also be specially ordered for events and will be made fresh the day of the event. The products will be priced at a premium price in order to accommodate the specialty design and high quality. The products are differentiated through specialty designs on a customer-to-customer basis or the availability of cupcakes when walking through the front door. 2.1 Mission Statement Indulge will provide delicious cupcakes and wedding cakes made to customer specifications at an affordable price, a friendly atmosphere, and a convenient time and location. 2.2 Goals/Objectives The short-term goal for Indulge consists of establishing a brand and market in the Saskatoon community. First, Indulge will need to create a name for themselves and build positive word of mouth. Indulge will then also promote the girly and friendly atmosphere that will be created within the store. Thus making a visit a memorable one. The medium term goals will consist of continually increasing brand awareness and spreading positive word of mouth throughout the Saskatoon community and surrounding areas. This will in turn create positive cash flow for the company. This will be sustained through the marketing plan and setting targeted sales objectives. The long-term goals consist of increasing sales and profits the company is making. It will be important to maintain the Indulge brand image. Another long-term goal is to open more Indulge locations in other large centers, firstly in Saskatchewan and move throughout Canada eventually. It will be important to continually change the business plan and adjust sales targets as needed. 7|Page Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 Indulge will achieve this objects by ensuring to continually update the business plan as needed. Goals and objectives will be set that are achievable and consistent with the companies values and environment. In order to promote our environment it will be necessary to ensure that proper staff are on the Indulge team and are in agreement with the business plan. In order to keep costs low, only necessary inventory levels will be kept. Not only will this prevent products from going bad, but also decrease the cost of having unnecessary products on hand. 2.3 Industry Overview Currently cupcakes are a popular trend among weddings. They are less expensive than the traditional wedding cakes. This trend seems to be influenced by the many reality TV shows showcasing different bakeries. Cupcakes are the current trend but it is unknown if that trend will remain strong or diminish over time. 2.4 Saskatoon Economy Saskatoon is a much smaller city then the cities featured in the various cupcake reality TV shows. According to Saskatoon Regional Economic Development Authority, Saskatoon is currently the fastest growing city in Canada with the on of most diversified economies in the country (Fastest Growing City, 2011). As of June 30, 2011, Saskatoon’s population is 231,900 people (City of Saskatoon, 2011). The average household income in Saskatoon is $85,407 with an estimated 4% of disposable income (Fastest Growing City, 2011). 8|Page Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 3.0 – The Operations Plan Indulge specializes in the backing and decorating of cupcakes. Indulge will also offer wedding cakes upon request. Cupcakes will be baked daily at 4:00am and iced and on display before the doors open at 10:00am. The assistant manager will be responsible for the baking and decorating of the cupcakes five days a week and the manager will fill in on the other two days in the week. The storefront will have a cooled display case to display the cupcakes throughout the day. Two part-time employees will be responsible for the storefront. Only one part-time is needed per day. At the end of each day the cupcakes will be given away to the local Saskatoon food bank. 3.1 - Organizational Structure Manager Assistant Manager Staff Staff Figure 3.1 – Organizational Chart The organizational structure will be relatively flat. It will consist of a manager, assistant manager, and two part-time staff members. The manager will be responsible for the accounting and book keeping work, hiring and firing of staff, training staff, ordering of products, ensuring the store is kept up, and baking as needed. It will be necessary that the manager implements FIFO inventory system. This means, the first products in the door are the first products out the door. This system will help to ensure no proud is going bad before it is sold. While the assistant manager will be responsible for majority of the baking, up keep of the kitchen (including ensuring of adequate product and cleaning), assisting the manager and other 9|Page Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 staff members. Ensuring enough cupcakes are made, but not too many will be crucial since leftover cupcakes will be waste. On Saturday mornings extra cupcakes will be made and stored in cooler to sell on Sundays. This will cut down on wages expense while still having adequate product to sell on Sunday. The two hired staff members will be responsible for the front end of the store. The manager will train them and their duties will include: selling goods, taking orders, answering phones, and ensuring the cleanliness of the front. The front-end staff will also be responsible for ensuring customer satisfaction. It will be essential for these employees to be responsible individuals since on Sundays one will be left alone to run the store for four hours. If necessary one of the frontend staff will be trained to bake and will help bake half of the time and help with the front of the store the other half. More staff will be hired, as needed in years three, four, and five once Indulge gains more clientele. The business structure will be set up as a corporation. There will be two main shareholders with equal share held in the company. The shareholders will consist of the two owners, Jenn and Kally, who are the founders of the business. There are three main advantages and reasons why Indulge will be incorporated. Initially, by incorporating Indulge will be able to take advantage of the small business tax credit. This will be necessary since Indulge is a start-up business and cash flows will be stretched at the beginning and any extra savings will be essential to the company’s success. Next, a corporation is treated as its own person and therefore the profits of the company are taxed in the company rather than divided among the owners. This way the owners will not incur additional tax expenses once the business begins making profits, but rather can take dividends out of the company to supplement their salaries. Lastly, the owners of the company are not personally liable if the company goes under. If not incorporated the owners could lose all their personal belongings. On the other hand, with incorporation they can only lose what they have invested in the business. Overall, incorporation is the less risky method for starting up the Indulge business. 10 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 3.2 – Site Plan Due to the fact that cupcakes are not exactly a necessity, Indulge must be located in an area where residents have high levels of disposable income. We have decided to lease a space in University Heights Square located at 138 – 1820 McOrmond Drive. University Heights Square is surrounded by seven neighborhoods with a combined population of over 45,000 people (City of Saskatoon, 2011). These surrounding neighborhoods have an average household income of $85,704 (City of Saskatoon, 2011). University Heights is also located next to two high traffic streets, Attridge Drive and McOrmond Drive. In 2009 McOrmond Drive saw an average of 183 vehicles in an hour while Attridge Drive saw 738 vehicles in an hour. It is projected that in the year 2014 McOrmond Drive will see 1117 vehicles in an hour while Attridge Drive will see 1073 vehicles in an hour (City of Saskatoon, 2011). This projected increase in traffic illustrates the potential of this developing area. Due to the increased traffic and the surrounding neighborhoods considerably large average income, this would be a promising location for Indulge. The building we would be leasing is a brand new building that would be built to suit our needs prior to our possession. The lease has a very high monthly rent but that is because all utilities and taxes will be included in that expense. 3.3 – Floor Plan The storefront has been set up fairly simple. It consists of a display case, which will be used to hold the cupcakes. It will refrigerated and have a sliding door to easily remove cupcakes when ordered by the client. Signage will also be used to display the price of an individual, half dozen, full dozen, and two dozen cupcakes. Signage will also be used to display the flavors and icing flavors available for clients to choose from. Sings will be posted informing clients that wedding cakes are also available when on an order first basis. The process will begin by taking the customer order at the counter, the employee will then fill the order and place it at the far end of the counter where the till will be positioned. The employee will then price up the order and take the money from the customer. No credit will be given. No seating area will be present in the front of the store. The store will be a walk-in and out service. 11 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 The back of the store is also set up in a simple manner. It consists of a washroom and office for employees to use. The office will be used for management tasks such as accounting and payroll, but can also be used for employee breaks and lunches. The office is also where all notices for employees will be posted in addition to schedules. The back corner of the store will consist of a walk-in cooler where perishable products such as butter, icing, milk, etc will be stored. There will also be an area for dry storage for things such as flour and sugar. In addition the dry storage can also be used for cooling of cupcakes and cakes after baking. Counter space will be provided along the side of the back room. The baker would enter in the morning through the front door and proceed to the back and put belongings in the staff room. The baker would then combine ingredients in mixer located beside the counter, in the meantime arrange pans on the counter. Once the batter is mixed the baker will place the batter in the pans and put in the oven. While the cupcakes are baking the baker can use the dishwasher or the three industrial sink system to wash the mixer. The first sink will be for washing, the second for rinsing, and the third for sanitizing. The dishes will then be placed beside the sink on a rack to dry. Once the cupcakes are baked they can be placed on the cooling racks until they are cool enough to decorate. The baker will then decorate the cupcakes and fill the front case with the necessary amount while placing the remaining cupcakes in the walk-in cooler in the back to fill the front case when necessary. 1400 Square Feet Figure 3.2 – Floor Plan 12 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 3.4 – Average Business Day Indulge’s business hours will be Monday to Saturday from 10am to 6pm and on Sunday from 12pm to 4pm with the exception of holidays. It will necessary to have the store open for four hours on Sundays since many birthday and family events take place on Sunday. In addition, no other specialty bakers in Saskatoon are open on Sunday so this will allow for extra income. Opening at 10 am will allow the baker enough time to prepare cupcakes for that morning and begin working on specialty orders. On Sunday no baker will come in unless there is a high demand for specialty orders. In this case, extra cupcakes will be prepared on Saturday and placed in the cooler to sell the following day. In addition morning coffee breaks often occur around 10 am, so this will allow clients to purchase a treat for their morning coffee break. Being open until 6pm will allow for clients to pick up dessert on their way home from work. Indulge will outsource website creation to Saskatoon Web Design where a service will be set up for clients to go online and order their cupcakes so the order will be ready for them to pick up on their way home. The day would begin with a baker coming in at 4am, checking the board to see if there are any special request orders, checking for online orders, and starting the baking process. The baking and cleaning should take approximately 5 hours. The baker will measure and mix the first recipe and begin baking. While these are baking the second recipe will then be mixed so when the first comes out of the oven, the second will be ready to go in. In years one and two until a clientele is built the baker will do two – three rounds of baking. The amount of baking will be logged and kept track of on a daily basis so it easy to assess which days have the highest sales, which cupcakes are most popular, and what doesn’t sell well. With this baking will easily be adjusted and better able to judge the proper amount to bake. If there are any special request orders (special cupcake flavors or wedding cakes) the baker will also have to make and decorate these orders. Once the cupcakes are ready the baker will place them in the front displace case for sale and the remainder in the cooler to fill the displace case later on in the day. The next staff member (manager or assistant manager) will enter the store at 9am. They will ensure the front of the store has enough cupcakes and looks full and ready for business. They will then count the float of the till and put it in to being business. The next step will be to ensure 13 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 that the front is clean and ready for clients to enter the store. The store will then be opened and clients will begin to be served. Throughout the morning the manager will take care of the front of the store with duties such as: taking phone calls, working the till, serving customers, taking specialty orders, and restocking the cupcakes in the displace case. The manager will also need to check the internet order frequently for any income orders to be prepared throughout the day. Specialty orders will be posted in the back office and the baker will be informed of them. In the afternoon once the part-time staff member comes in the manager will need to do office work in addition to helping serve customers during busy times. The manager will need to prepare daily cash sheets, keep accounting records, schedule employees, and keep track of payroll. Also once a month (or as needed) the manager will need to make a trip to the grocery store to pick up orders and products for baking. The part-time staff member will be responsible for taking phone calls, working on the till, serving clients, taking specialty orders, checking for incoming online orders, and restocking the cupcakes. Near the end of the day the employee will be responsible for ensuring the front of the store is cleaned and tidied and ready for business the following day. The staff member will also be responsible for disposing of any leftover cupcakes and cleaning out the front display case. The manager on duty will reconcile the till, count the money, and if necessary make a cash deposit at the bank depending on the amount of cash received. 3.5 – Average Business Week On a bi-weekly basis the management team will be responsible for making a supply order and going and picking up these items. Items will be ordered from the Wholesale Club. Management will first take a count of what is left over in the back and decide how much more will need to be ordered. The Wholesale Club will be called first thing in the morning to give them plenty of time to get the order together. Management will then go pick up the order in the early afternoon. Ordering will only be done every other week to ensure quality of the cupcakes and that old product is used before new product is ordered. Every week the manager will create a schedule for two weeks in advance. This will allow employee members to know two weeks in advance when they will be working. 14 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 3.6 – Average Business Month On a monthly basis the manager will be responsible for updating the company books and doing any necessary accounting entries. Monthly statements will be made in order to track company sales, profits, and expenses. This will also make it easier to file a tax return at the end of the year. A staff meeting will also be held. This meeting will allow all staff members to be informed of the monthly sales, where improvements could be made, and things that were done very well. 3.7 – Average Business Year On a yearly basis the manager will create and print fiscal year-end reports to file in the company‘s records. These records will be used to file income tax returns in addition to tracking company progress. In addition, the manager and assistant manager will create goals for the upcoming fiscal year that they would like the business to achieve and ways to achieve these goals. The management team will also do evaluations of the employees. Once evaluations are completed they will sit down one on one and discuss the evaluation. 3.8 – Typical Custom Order A typical custom order will begin with a client expressing a need for a special order. For cupcakes the client will simply fill out an order form, which will state name, phone number, date and time needed, quantity needed, and flavors. An example of a typical form can be found in Appendix A. In addition, clients can go on the Indulge website and fill out the order form for a custom cupcake order. The form will be similar to the in-store form and the client must provide their phone number in order for Indulge staff to contact them with any necessary questions and/or concerns about the order. A wedding cake custom order will begin with an initial meeting with the client and/or the manager or assistant manager. It will be established what the client is looking for and their expectations. The client will also have the opportunity to taste the flavor options available (taste cupcakes in those flavors) and decide on their flavor of choice. When size and flavor are established the Indulge team will work out a cost for the cake and take payment from the client. 15 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 Payment will be required in advance due to the large time commitment of a baking a wedding cake. 3.9 – Quality Control Plan Indulge will be registered with HACCP (Hazardous Analysis and Critical Control Points). This will be necessary to ensure Saskatoon residents that all the products they are purchasing are quality products and up to standards. In order to meet the requirements of HACCP raw eggs and cupcake batter will be stored in a separate area in the cooler from prepared food products. It will be ensured that staff members are taking properly cleaning procedures and all baking equipment is properly sanitized. Indulge staff will be required to attend a food safety course which will teach proper food safe handling practices. In addition, all staff members will be taught proper hand washing procedures. Staff will be expected to practice good hygiene. The bakers will be expected to have their hair tied back during the baking process. Indulge products will only be handled by the Indulge staff team to prevent any transfers of germs from unclean customer practices. If an Indulge product has left the store it will not be able to be returned and put back on display for sale, the product will need to be disposed of. 3.10 – Supply Analysis Indulge is a very small business that will not require contracts with large suppliers. All baking ingredients will be purchased at The Wholesale Club. These will be purchased only when inventory is low so there are never large amounts of inventory at one time. The couple of specialty ingredients, such as icing flavors, will be purchased at Michael’s only when needed. The manager or assistant manager will purchase all these products. 3.11 – Capacity Limits Indulge has two ovens that can each holds three pans of twelve cupcakes. Seventy-two cupcakes can be cooked at one time, meaning two bakes will have to be done every morning to attain our ideal daily cupcake projections. There is only one employee mixing the different icing flavors 16 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 and icing the cupcakes. Therefore Indulge will only be able to produce seventy-two cupcakes every three hours. If the demand increases drastically requiring more then the current capacity, more bakers would be hired. 3.12 – Cost of Sales A cupcake requires very inexpensive ingredients. Each cupcake is sold for $3.00 but only contains $0.27 worth of ingredients. Therefore each cupcake has a Gross Profit Margin of 91%. Wedding cakes will only be produced once an order is placed. Each cake will sell for roughly $700.00 depending on the detail required. The average wedding cake requires $105.00 worth of ingredients therefore creating a Gross Profit Margin of 85%. 3.13 – Operations Expenses Operating expenses will consist of a monthly lease payment, phone and internet, manager wages, staff wages, baking supplies, insurance expense, and utilities expense. A five year lease will be signed for the current building and the cost of the lease will not increase throughout these five years. An option to renew the lease will be presented half way through the fourth year to be renewed before the expiration of the old lease. The manager wages will consist of the manager and assistant manager. The manager will be paid $20 an hour, while the assistant manager will be paid $15 an hour. Manager wages expense is estimated with a 40 hour work week. If managers are required to work additional hours, overtime will be rewarded at time and a half. Managers will also receive bonuses in accordance to how well the store does. The bonuses will be based on revenue generated and therefore are not possible to estimate at this time. Part-time staff will initially consist of two staff members. One employee will work 22 hours a week and the other 18 hours per week. Both part-time staff members will be paid $10.50 per hour. This wage expense will increase in year three since it will be necessary to increase the hours of part time staff or hire on more staff members with the expected increase in demand. It 17 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 will also be necessary to give original staff members a raise. These raises will be based on the quality of work they do, and how long they have been with the company. Baking supplies will be the necessary ingredients to make the cupcakes. This will include things such as flour, butter, sugar, icing, etc. These costs will continually increase from years two to five since the Indulge name will become more known to consumers and demand will increase. An additional operating expenses that are included will be insurance. Insurance expense will be approximately $500 per month. Please refer to Appendix B for a full detailed chart of operating expenses. 3.14 – Working Capital Planning Cash flows are important since they help manage the working capital. Indulge will aim to have a liquidity ratio around 1.5, but no less than 1. If excess cash accumulates Indulge will have two options. Firstly, Indulge will invest in both short-term and long-term investments, which will be agreed upon by the two owners. Secondly, Indulge can pay out excess salaries to the to the owners in the form of dividends. Since both the manager and assistant manager aren’t taking home high salaries, dividends will be the initial way of dealing with an excess cash issue. Indulge will not have accounts receivable since all payments must received at the time of sale. The baker and the manager will manage the inventory closely. Both these people will best know the business and be able to predict inventory levels needed. Large amounts of inventory will not be carried, but rather enough to cover the baking on a bi-weekly basis. In this business it is important to ensure the quality and freshness of the product and therefore it will be essential to carry small amounts of inventory. Since Indulge will not be negotiating credit terms for inventory purchases, it will be essential to ensure that adequate amounts of cash are on hand to pay for inventory purchases. In year one, Indulge may face cash issues at the beginning of the month when rent is due and salaries need to be paid up. All salaries will be paid on the last day of the month while rent will need to be paid on the first day of the month. Since an excess amount of cash will be leaving the 18 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 company on these two days, Indulge’s cash balance may hit a negative number. For this reason it will be essential to obtain an operating line of credit to cover these excess costs. The line of credit will be worked back into a positive number each month once sales begin coming in. Also the cash balance will get higher and higher each month as more and more sales are generated. Initially the line of credit will be needed, but by year two Indulge hopes this will no longer be an issue. 3.15 – Capital Expenses Capital expenses that Indulge will incur include items such as: Ovens Mixers Cash Registers Signage Dishwasher Sinks Website outsourcing Display cases Microwave Walk-in cooler These items will need to be purchased once and regular maintenance and up keep will be the only necessary costs with these objects. Included in the purchasing contract is 5 year warranty that the company will take care of. These items will need to be amortized. This will be called Capital Cost Allowance from an accounting perspective. Most of the items for the business will be included in Class 8 and will be amortized at a capital cost of 20% per year; the half year rule also applies since these items are being purchased new. No leasehold improvements will be required since the building being leased is brand new. Within the original contract the owners incur the costs of putting proper flooring, painting, and walls in. 19 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 It will also be necessary to purchase kitchen supplies such as cupcake tins, bowls, spoons, etc. It is estimated that these will incur a cost of $500 and will be replaced as needed. A computer and necessary software will also be purchased. The computer will need to be amortized in class 52 which has a 100% rate per year. The computer will be continually taken in for upkeep and to ensure current programs are installed. A detailed chart of capital expenses can be found in Appendix C. 3.16 – Summary of Operations Plan Saskatoon is currently the fastest growing city in Canada. Indulge is located in a promising area of Saskatoon which is surrounded by seven neighborhoods that have a higher than average household income. 20 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 4.0 – The Human Resources Plan Indulge will have a store manager, assistant manager, and two additional part-time staff members. The job duties and necessary skills for each are as follows: Store manager Over sees store operations Approving all major store decisions Accounting/bookkeeping duties Hiring/firing of staff members Training staff Creating work schedules Ordering products Ensuring the store is kept clean and full of product Assisting in baking as needed Cash deposits Helping in the front during busy times Leadership skills Accounting training Baking skills Creative Assistant Manager Baking Up keep of kitchen Supervising part-time staff members Assisting manager with accounting/bookkeeping duties Assisting with order process for kitchen supplies Helping in the front during busy times Cash deposits Leadership skills Baking skills 21 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 Creative Part-time Staff Selling goods/taking money Taking orders Answering phone calls Ensuring cleanliness of the front Ensuring customer satisfaction Must be outgoing, friendly, and energetic All Indulge staff must have proper food safety certification, in addition management must hold CPR certification. If part-time staff have not previously completed this course, Indulge will provide the training. If necessary Indulge will train the part-time staff to assist with baking duties. In year three it will necessary to add additional part-time staff when business begins to pick up and a clientele is established. At this time, part-time staff already employed will have the option of increasing their hours and baking training if they are interested before the option is given to new staff members. Please refer to appendix D for hour and wage break-down. 4.1 – Hiring/Firing of Employees To hire employees a process will be used which is as follows: Review of resumes Initial Interviews Management Discussion Offer Initially, the Indulge team will place an ad in the Star Phoenix and on Saskatoon Job Shop about the position being hired for. It will include a job description, duties, and necessary 22 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 qualifications/experience. Once the application deadline has passed the Indulge manager and assistant manager will review all applications and pick candidates for interviews. Management will be looking for someone who fits well with the Indulge culture and has previous baking background. It will also be essential that the candidate is available for the work hours needed. This individual would preferably be a mom looking for part time work while the children are at school. Initial interviews will be held and then the Indulge management team will sit down and pick the best candidate that will fit the business. The manager will then call this individual and place an offer and if accept that individual will be hired. The manager will do any firing. The decision to fire someone will be made by both the manager and assistant manager. The manager will sit down with the individual and tell them the job is not working out, tell them the reason they are being let go, and end the meeting. 4.2 – Training Training will be both on the job and school setting learning. The school setting learning will be for the Food Safety certification in addition to the CPR courses necessary for the job. This will both take place off the premise and will be conducted by a third party. Indulge will give preference when hiring to applicants with these course, but if they are not equipped Indulge will provide the training to the right applicant. On the job training will be provided at the Indulge location. Both the manager and assistant manager will conduct the training. All training will be hands-on learning with the trainer allowing the trainee to do things with guidance and eventually by themselves. 23 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 5.0 – The Marketing Plan Indulge will have to be very strategic about their marketing choices. In a small business such as Indulge, a large amount of money isn’t available to be spending on a marketing campaign. However, sales are considered their most critical factor. Without some type of marketing Indulge may not be able to meet the sales requirements. 5.1 – The marketing mix Product Cupcakes are the main product Indulge will offer. Two flavors of cupcake will be offered, white and chocolate. In addition ten icing flavors will be offered. These flavors include: lemon, banana, peanut butter, mocha, strawberry, peppermint, coconut, vanilla, chocolate, and orange. Indulge will also take special requests for flavors not offered with 24 hours necessary notice. Please refer to appendix E for picture of sample product. In addition to cupcakes, Indulge will offer wedding cakes upon request. A client must place an order where they can specify the size, flavor, color of icing, and when they need the cake prepared for. It will be necessary for the client to give Indulge at least a week’s notice, in order to ensure necessary supplies are purchased and adequate time is given to prepare and decorate the cake. Indulge will also accept any special request orders a client may have. Indulge will do its best to accommodate orders but will only accept orders that include cake ingredients. Due to the fact that Indulge only has the necessary space to store cake and decorating supplies, no other baking requests will be able to be taken. Indulge will also be selling the upbeat, girly atmosphere of the store. Indulge will aim to make the environment feel friendly and welcoming. It will appear girly, but at the same time be welcoming to men and any consumers who may want to take part in a high class cupcake experience. The cupcakes and wedding cakes will also be presented as high class and a specialty 24 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 item. In addition to specialty items for parties and events, cupcakes will be sold as a snack or treat for everyday occurrences. Pricing Indulge will want to stay aggressive in pricing in order to gain competitors clients. Since Indulge is located in the University Heights Square, where no other bakeries are currently located, consumers will be willing to spend a little extra as opposed to driving to the other side of the city. Also, this area of the city has a slightly higher average income per house hold. Thus, these consumers have more disposable income to spend on luxury goods. Indulge cupcakes will be priced competitively against competitors. Indulge’s single cupcakes will be priced at $3.00 while direct competitors Cupcake Corner and Cupcake Conspiracy are priced at $3.00 and $2.50 respectively. In Appendix F a detailed chart and graph can be found with a price comparison of a single, half dozen, full dozen and two dozen cupcakes. Wedding cakes will also be competitively priced compared to the competitors. Indulge’s wedding cakes will be sold for $700 or $3.50 per serving. The direct competitors, Cupcake Corner and PicNic’s Catering, are priced at $3.00 and $3.50 respectively. Indulge has no control over supplies needed to make its products. In order to cover costs and ensure profit margins are maintained, Indulge will raise its prices with inflation. Inflation in the financial model is assumed at 2% per year, but will be re-evaluated and adjusted on a yearly basis. Since Indulge is offering luxury goods, large amounts of discounts will not be offered. On grand opening day, a 2 for 1 deal will be offered to encourage consumers to come into the store, otherwise Indulge will not offer discounts. Indulge feels that discounts will potentially tarnish the reputation of the luxury good. In addition, Indulge does not want to encourage consumers to only buy its goods while discounts are being offered. Instead Indulge staff wants to encourage consumers to buy these items on a daily basis. 25 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 Promotion Promotions will include a 2 for 1 discount on grand opening day. This will encourage consumers to try the store for the first time and not incur a large cost for something they may not enjoy. By offering this promotion, Indulge is putting their name in the consumers mind. Indulge hopes this promotion will generate consumers acquired taste for the Indulge brand and will continue to return to the store. In addition, Indulge will offer a birthday special. When a client comes in to the store on their birthday, and can provide proof it is their birthday they will receive a free cupcake. Proof of birth date could include: ID, school ID’s and a valid birth certificate. With this promotion Indulge hopes that consumers will not simply come in for just one cupcake, but for several for a birthday celebration. Also, this promotion gets the Indulge name in consumers’ minds and potentially spreads positive word of mouth. Place Indulge will be located at 138 – 1820 McOrmond Drive Saskatoon Saskatchewan. Which as discussed above is a University Heights Square location with seven surrounding neighborhoods with a combined population of 45,000 people. 5.2 – STP Segmentation, Targeting, Positioning Segmentation The market will be segmented into five segments that include: Single middle to high income females Married middle to high income females Males Seniors Wedding clientele These segments are based on the Saskatoon market and the Saskatoon residents. 26 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 Target Market The market Indulge will want to target consists of single and married females in addition to wedding clientele. The single females will be middle aged and have middle to high income. Indulge will strive to satisfy these woman’s sweet tooth. In addition, Indulge will target married females with families. This will be essential for children’s parties and special occasions. These women will also have middle to high income. Lastly, Indulge will want to reach the wedding clientele to market wedding cakes and cupcakes for their special occasion. These three groups will be beneficial since they will have the disposable income and will have unmet needs for these types of luxury goods. Positioning Indulge will be positioned as a high-end luxury product. Indulge will offer premium cupcakes and wedding cakes to consumers at a fair price. In addition, it will strive to adapt any necessary aspects to suit the needs of individual consumers, as Indulge understands not all consumers are looking for the same product or are fulfilling the same need. 5.3 – Competitors The cupcake trend has only recently entered the Saskatoon market. There are only two other direct competitors within the Saskatoon market. The Cupcake Corner is located on 8th Street and the Cupcake Conspiracy is located downtown. Indulge will be located on the east end of the city quite far from the others. Both bakeries would produce similar cupcakes to ours with a relatively close price range. See the competitors’ price graph in Appendix F. Safeway has recently begun selling high-end cupcakes. These cupcakes are slightly cheaper then Indulge cupcakes but not the same quality. Therefore Safeway is an indirect competitor. 5.4 – SWOT Analysis A SWOT analysis consists of internal strengths and weaknesses and external opportunities and threats. In order to continue to improve the positive aspects of the business it is essential to 27 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 understand what they consist of. Likewise, to improve weaknesses and mitigate risks it is necessary to first establish the potential drawbacks. Below is an analysis of the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats Indulge will face. 1. Strengths Fun, outgoing and energetic staff Unique girly and upbeat atmosphere A wide variety of flavors and flavor requests accepted Fresh, high-quality ingredients will only be used in baking of cupcakes and wedding cakes Local suppliers will be used 2. Weaknesses New to the Saskatoon market with no brand image or reputation yet built A need to find external financing Age of management may have a negative image since so young 3. Opportunities Saskatoon currently has a booming economy Mining sector attracts young couples who may potentially start families and have disposable income to potentially buy cupcakes/luxury goods 4. Threats Entering an industry with trends. For example currently the wedding trend is to buy large amounts of cupcakes Entering a niche market Established competitors already exist in the Saskatoon market In conclusion, Indulge has many strengths and areas where opportunities can grow and make larger profits possible. It will also be necessary to be continually working on weaknesses and finding ways to overcome flaws to generate strengths. In addition, it will necessary to continually be aware of potential threats and find ways to mitigate risk where possible. 28 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 5.5 – Projections of Revenues and Marketing Mix Marketing projections will consist of 36,000 cupcakes and 14 wedding cakes per year for a profit of $117,800 in the first year. These projections increase at a rate of 3% per. A full chart for the five years can be found in Appendix G. The marketing mix will consist of the following six methods: radio, newspaper, website, print ads, signage, and yellow page ads. Radio ads are based on two ads per day. One will air in the morning and the second will air in the evening, which will cost a total of $232.50 per week. In 2011, ads will air three days a week for the full fifty-two weeks. This will be a total of 3.5 minutes of radio advertising per week. Initially Indulge will air radio ads three days a week while slowly decreasing as the name and product becomes more known. A single day newspaper ad would cost a total of $175.67. Initially an ad would be placed in the paper once every two weeks for the full year. Indulge will slowly decrease the frequency the ads will be placed in the paper once the Indulge name and brand becomes better known. The website will initially cost $950 to set up and then $200 per year for upkeep and to ensure all the ordering functions are working properly. It may also be necessary to add new flavors and additional options. Print ads will initially cost $10,000 for pamphlets, posters, flyers, etc. After the grand opening it will not be as necessary to do as many ads but still circulate some. Signage and yellow pages will respectively cost $3000 and $240 per year. These costs will stay the same since we will continue to use these same mechanisms year after year. After the five years is up, it will be necessary to use an evaluation to see how effective these methods are at reaching new clientele. For a full break down of costs see Appendix H. 5.6 – Marketing Plan (advertising mix) 29 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 The main goal of the marketing plan is to generate awareness of the Indulge store; what it is, what it provides, and where it is. A second goal the advertising would need to do is promote the Indulge brand, and attract consumers that are looking for a brand like this. In order to achieve these two goals Indulge will use a mix of different media methods. This will include: Newspaper. Indulge will put an ad in the Star Phoenix since it circulates around Saskatoon and it is a main media method that Saskatoon resides read. This is a good way to get initial contact with a client and get them thinking about the Indulge name and trying it out. Radio. Ads will be played on the radio about the grand opening of Indulge to put the Indulge name in consumers’ heads. After the grand opening, ads will continue to play to generate more awareness and catch those consumers that may not have already heard about Indulge. Web page. Indulge will outsource a webpage with information on the business. It will speak about what we do, who we are, hours of operation, the product we are offering, the special atmosphere Indulge has created and the pricing. It will focus on the flavors and types of cupcakes and wedding cakes Indulge makes. In addition the website will clearly clarify that Indulge doesn’t not strictly stick to flavors listed, but is open to special requests. Also on the website there will be an order form, where the client can fill out the type and amount of cupcakes they would like in addition to the time they will pick them up and submit this order online. This will create awareness and convenience for busy working clients. Yellow Pages. Indulge will get their name listed in the yellow pages under the bakery listings. This way when consumers are looking for a bakery to fulfill their special needs Indulge will automatically become an option. Also in this yellow page add, it will list the store hours and a basic menu and pricing list. Flyers, Poster, Pamphlets. These items will be strategically placed around Saskatoon to reach possible clients. They will be made to catch the eye so consumers passing by will be drawn to read them and see what it is about. They will initially start with advertising the grand opening, but continue to promote the business. Pamphlets will be left at bridal shops for potential brides to pick up and see the possibilities for wedding options. 30 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 Pamphlets will also be available at the store, so clients can take them home for a future partying planning reference. Signage. Signage will be displayed on a risen sign by the strip mall where Indulge will be located. By placing the sign here consumers will easily be able to see where the store is located. If they have not already heard of the business it may gain attention and get consumers coming it to see what it is about. In addition to these advertising methods Indulge will offer promotions. In order to promote consumers coming and trying our brand new products, Indulge will offer a buy one, get one free on the grand opening day. This may provide extra costs to the company but will ensure the consumers come out and get a taste for the product. It is essential Indulge creates a good name for itself since word of mouth is also a very important advertising campaign. Since a cupcake costs Indulge $.27 to make this campaign will still generate a profit for Indulge of $2.46 when a client takes advantage of the buy one get one free. As a promotional offer Indulge will also offer a free cupcake to clients on their birthdays. When a client comes in and provides proof of their birthday, they will be given a cupcake. In addition Indulge will take part in Bridal Spectacular. This will give the company a chance to connect with Saskatoon and area brides and potentially increase sales. Most of all this will give Indulge the opportunity to network with Saskatoon residents and get the Indulge name out there. Taking part in this even may create interest for Indulge and if nothing else increase consumer awareness. Indulge will also take opportunities as they present themselves to increase the brand awareness. The company will take part in things such as expos where they can set up a booth and offer samples to consumers and any networking events where potential clients can be gained. Since the business was started by women, Indulge management will also take place in Woman in Business events and courses. Free advertising Indulge will take advantage of includes: Word of Mouth. By creating a positive buzz about the company, consumers will pass along information to their friends and create awareness of the Indulge company. It is said 31 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 that a consumer is more likely to go to a business after hearing about it through a friend or family. Facebook. A Facebook account will be set up where consumers can ‘like’ the company. Also pictures of previous made products will be posted for everyone to view. Store hours and product information will be posted. 32 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 6.0 – Financial Plan 6.1 – Financial Description Indulge will finance its capital assets through 50% long-term bank loan in addition to 50% equity through the owners. Since capital assets only consist of $38,300 the two owners will be able to provide $19,150 in an equity investment for common shares. It will also be essential for Indulge to acquire a line of credit. The operating line of credit will be obtained from a local bank in Saskatoon. The line of credit will be revolving and will be allowed to dip as low as -$5000. The line of credit will be financed at prime plus three percent and will be used for cash flow shortages. The main needs of the line of credit will be for wages, inventories and advertising in the first and second years. The long-term bank loan will be financed at 7% for 5 years. Since Indulge only requires a bank loan of $19,150, five years will be adequate time to pay the loan back. Since the business could be seen as a little risky, Indulge may be required to pay a little bit higher interest rates. Therefore, the plan has been proposed with 7%. In order to acquire the loan it may be necessary to sign personal guarantees, in addition to getting the parents of the owners to sign guarantees too. The debt amortization schedule can be found in Appendix I. Equity investments will be obtained from the owners and/or their families up to a maximum of 50% of the business. Since Indulge is a small business it will be essential that only owners or family members make equity investments. Since Indulge is a start up business it will be unable to pay dividends in the first year. Once profits are being made they will begin going to retained earnings. Once Indulge is more established and making a profit it can begin to pay dividends. Once the retained earnings account has $100,000 or more, dividends will be paid. Refer to Appendix I to see projections of the retained earnings account and dividend payout schedule. 6.2 – Required Rate of Return 33 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 Indulge has assessed the rate of return at 25%. Since Indulge is assessed as a medium to high risk for a business we feel that it is essential to obtain a 25% rate of return. This business may be a bit riskier since the high volume of competition that already exists in the Saskatoon market. Saskatoon has two competitors that would directly compete with Indulge which consist of The Cupcake Corner and Cupcake Conspiracy. In addition, indirect competitors exist. These include places such as Starbucks, Safeway and other bakeries/wedding shops. We feel that the risk is not high due to the location Indulge will be placed. This area of the city does not have any other bakeries near it and is placed to reach the target market. This are of the city is new and consists of higher income consumers which is what Indulge wants since it is selling a more expensive luxury good. 6.3 – Critical Success Variables The main critical success variable Indulge will face is meeting and/or exceeding sales projections. Sales projections are hard to predict since other competitors do exist and is based on consumers’ disposable income. It is essential for Indulge to meet these projections in order to keep the business running and being able to cover the fixed costs. Also, this success variable includes making enough cash to prevent dipping into the operating line of credit. Since using the line of credit would increase interest expense, Indulge would be successful if using the line was not necessary. The second success variable includes inventory management. Since consumers are looking for fresh baking it will be essential to provide that or they will go elsewhere. In order to do this the necessary amounts of product will need to be baked every morning, but not too much since the excess will have to be disposed of, and additional costs will be incurred. It will be necessary to make sure inventories are being rotated properly. We do not want to be using old inventory to make cupcakes every morning. Since it is hard to predict sales, Indulge will want to keep track daily how many sales are being made so by the second and third month approximately the correct amounts are being made. The last success variable includes paying out dividends to common shareholders. This is a success factor since it is an indication of profits being made. In order to pay dividends it is 34 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 necessary to have excess cash in the retained earnings account. The only way money gets placed into the retained earnings account is through excess profits that are not needed to cover expenses therefore, paying dividends is essential to the company’s success and growth. 6.4 – Best and Worst Case Scenarios and Sensitivity Analysis Best The best-case scenario would occur if Indulge reached 60 customers per day. This would allow for all costs to be covered and incur a net income of $143,468 in the first year. At this rate, 85 customers would be reached by the fifth year and a net income of $311,608. Indulge would also be sharing dividends under this scenario by the second year. The current dividend policy consists of giving dividends when the retained earnings account is about $100,000. Dividends will then be given in years two, three, four and five. Worst Worst-case scenario would consist of having no customers for the year. If this happened Indulge would suffer a $170,758 loss. This would be due to high amounts of fixed costs that need to be covered even in the event of no sales. This would insist of things such as rent, salaries, and advertising. This loss would increase for 2013 and would slowly decrease over the remaining three years. Sensitivity Analysis The average amount spent per customer is extremely sensitive. At the base case of 30 customers per day and an average of $18 per customer spent, Indulge has a net loss of $2,926. If the average spent per customer is adjusted downward by $2 to $16 the net loss decreases to $21,574. On the other hand, if the average amount spent is adjusted upward to $20 per customer the loss then turns into a gain of $13,678. Therefore, it is extremely important that Indulge reaches the average number of estimated customers with an average spending of $18 per customer. 6.5 – Critical Variables 35 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 Indulge has three main critical variables. The first and most critical variable is the number of customers coming into the store on a daily basis. This is critical because if the break-even number of customers is not reached Indulge will be operating at a loss. It is essential that Indulge at least meets the break-even number if not exceeds. Since this variable is hard to control it becomes even more critical. The only way of attempting to control it is through increased marketing campaigns to encourage clients to enter the store. The second critical variable is wages and benefits expense. Since it is essential to have employees to run a business this expense is not something that we can eliminate. Wages and benefits make up over half of the operating costs at 58%, Due to this, if break-even number of customers is not met, Indulge will have to cut back on staff members to decrease costs. The third and final critical variable is rent expense. This expense accounts for 24% of operating expenses. This expense is also necessary since it is impossible to have a bakery without a place to operate it. Also Indulge will need the utilities, which are included in the rental agreement. If break-even number of customers are not reached, it may be essential to find a different location where it is cheaper to run the business. 6.6 – Break Even Analysis The break-even analysis is based on net income and the amount of customers entering the store each day. It is assumed that each customer will spend an average of $18 per transaction. The $18 will accommodate for clients making larger purchases (such as wedding cakes or large numbers of cupcakes) and clients purchasing smaller orders (such as a single cupcake or just a half dozen). In order to break even Indulge has to meet the following number of customers in the given year: Year 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Number of customers 31 31 29 28 27 The base case Indulge is projecting is as follows: Year Number of customers 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 30 36 40 42 42 36 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 As you can see, in 2012 Indulge is not capable of reaching the breakeven point due to high initial investment in capital items and operating costs. By the end of 2013 the breakeven point will be reached and exceeded in order to make a profit. In the remaining three years, breakeven is exceeded and profits are generated. Please refer to Appendix J for a break-even line chart. 6.7 – Ratios The debt to equity ratio decreases from .49 to 0 over the course of five years. This is due to the low amount of debt Indulge is taking on, and its ability to pay it off over the course of a five year loan. The debt to equity ratio begins at 1 in year one and decreases to 0 by year five. This is also due to paying off the loan by year five. In year one Indulge has the ability to cover its interest charges 1.67 times and by year five this increases to 286.67 times. Indulge does not incur high amounts of interest since the loan is not significantly high, and by year five the loan will be paid off. The profit margin is 90% throughout the five years of the business plan. This means Indulge has a cost of sales of 10% on a yearly basis. This is significantly lower than the industry average at 60% cost of sales (Canadian Industry Statistics). Indulge has relatively low cost of sales since the main products needed can simply be picked up at the grocery store in bulk and be made into several products and sold for an extremely higher price. The profit margins on cupcakes and weddings cakes are high and can generate a large profit on just one sale. Return on assets begins with a negative number in year one since Indulge is not making a profit in this initial year. By year five indulge has .42 return on assets. This number significantly increases over the course of the business plan. Likewise, the return on equity in year one is a negative number, but by year five has adjusted to a positive .42. For a breakdown of ratios please refer to appendix K. 6.8 – NPV and IRR 37 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 With an expected return on investment of 25%, the net present value (NPV) after five years is calculated at $82,891. The positive number indicates that Indulge will be earning back more than it is paying into the business. Since the equity portion of the investment is $19,150 Indulge investors will earn this back and make a profit. Positive cash flows begin in year two which makes Indulge able to generate a positive large NPV. The internal rate of return (IRR) is calculated at 103.3%. This is not the best indicator of profits since the initial investment is $19,150 and considered to be extremely low. Although this number is over the 25% return on investment, other indicators may be more accurate for Indulge to use. The non-leveraged IRR is calculated at 73.2%. This may be more accurate since the initial portion that needs to be paid in is the full $38,300. Since the initial pay-in is higher, it makes the IRR more accurate, but still may not be the best indicator of the business returns. The nonleveraged IRR is also about the 25%, meaning Indulge will be making the required return on the investment in order for investors to invest in the business. The payback will be $237,421 over the five year period. It is essential to take into account the initial equity investment to come to a net payback of $218,271. The payback period will be reached by the end of the second year. Since the first year a loss is generated, it is not possible to reach the payback period until the second year. After this the remainder of income will be profits. Since investors are usually looking to generate profits as soon as possible this payback period may be something they would take into account when looking at investing in Indulge. 6.9 – Overall Feasibility of Indulge Due to Indulge’s populated high income location, strong marketing plan, and business plan for operations Indulge would be a profitable business to invest in. Since a positive net present value is calculated and an internal rate of return higher than expected is achieved, Indulge is seen as a good investment and a feasible business option. Therefore, Indulge will continue looking into a Saskatoon location. 38 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 7.0– References (2011). Retrieved 2011 йил 19-September from City of Saskatoon: http://www.saskatoon.ca/Pages/default.aspx Benchmarking. (2011, September 13). Retrieved 2011, from Industry Canada: http://www.ic.gc.ca/cis-sic/cis-sic.nsf/IDE/cis-sic31181bece.html Fastest Growing City. (2011). Retrieved 2011 21-November from Saskatoon Regional Economic Development Authority: http://sreda.com/ Olson, E. (2009, November 25). The Latest Entrepreneurial Fantasy Is Selling Cupcakes. Retrieved 2011, from The New York Times: http://www.nytimes.com/2009/11/26/business/smallbusiness/ Standard Cupcake Holders. (2010). Retrieved 2011, from BRP Box Shop: http://www.brpboxshop.com/cupcake-boxes-and-holders-standard.html Writing Your Business Plan. (2011, 12 02). Retrieved 2011, from Canada Business Network: http://www.canadabusiness.ca/eng/86/4877/#c6726 39 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 8.0 – Appendix Appendices 40 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 Appendix A – Customer Order Form 138 – 1820 McOrmond Drive www.indulgesaskatoon.ca Customer Name: ________________________________ Phone Number: ( )____________________________ Date Needed: Month: __________ Day: __________ Year: __________ Pick-Up time: __________________ am / pm Cake Flavors Frosting Flavors Vanilla Lemon Chocolate Peppermint Banana Strawberry Peanut Butter Vanilla Chocolate Mocha 41 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 Cake Flavor Request: __________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ Frosting Flavor Request: ________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ Appendix B – Operating Expenses Lease ( $30/sq ft) Sasktel (Internet 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 $42,000.00 $42,000.00 $42,000.00 $42,000.00 $42,000.00 $93.00 $93.00 $93.00 $93.00 & $93.00 Phone) Manager Wages $67,200.00 $67,200.00 $67,200.00 $67,200.00 $67,200.00 Part Time Staff Wages $18,144.00 $18,144.00 $20,000.00 $23,144.00 $26,200.00 General Baking Supplies $466.87 $500.00 $600.00 $800.00 $1000.00 Insurance Expense $500 $500 $500 $500 $500 Total $127,403.87 $128,437.00 $130,393.00 $133,737.00 $136,993.00 42 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 Appendix C – Capital Costs Item Cost Oven (2) $17800.00 Mixer (2) $800.00 Cash Register $400.00 Signage $1000.00 Dishwasher $3200.00 Sinks $800.00 Outsourcing of Website $950.00 Display Case (Chilled) $4400.00 Display Case (2 – Countertop) $538.00 Microwave $216.00 Walk In Cooler $6700.00 Kitchen Supplies $500.00 Computer $1000.00 Total Cost $38,304.00 43 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 Appendix D – HR Pay Rates and Needed Hours Job Title Hours Pay Rate Total Pay/Week Manager 40 $20.00 $800.00 Assistant Manager 40 $15.00 $600.00 P-T Staff 1 22 $10.50 $231.00 P-T Staff 2 18 $10.50 $189.00 Total Wages/Week 120 $56.00 $1820.00 Position Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Manager Assistant Manager P-T 1 P-T 2 Total 9-6 4-1 9-6 4-1 9-6 4-1 9-6 4-1 4-1 1-6 1-6 1-6 21 1-6 21 21 21 Saturday Sunday Total 40 40 4-1 10-6 16 12-4 10-6 16 4 22 18 120 It will be necessary for manager and assistant manager to alternate Saturdays. Part-time staff will also rotate shifts. 44 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 Appendix E – Sample Product Chocolate with peppermint icing. 45 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 Appendix F – Pricing Comparisons Indulge Cupcake Corner Cupcake Conspiracy Per Cupcake $3.00 $3.00 $2.50 Half Dozen $16.00 $15.00 $14.00 Dozen $28.00 $27.00 $25.00 Two Dozen $52.00 $52.00 $50.00 $30.00 $25.00 $20.00 Per Cupcake $15.00 Half Dozen Dozen $10.00 $5.00 $0.00 Indulge Cupcake Corner Cupcake Conspiracy 46 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 Appendix G – Marketing Projections Year 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Cupcakes 36,000 37,080 38,192 39,338 40,518 Wedding 14 15 17 19 21 Cakes Year 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Cupcakes $108,000 $111,240 $114,576 $118,014 $121,554 Wedding $9,800 $10,500 $11,900 $13,300 $14,700 $117,800 $121,740 $126,476 $131,314 $136,254 Cakes Total 47 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 Appendix H – Marketing Cost Break-down Type 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 $12,090 $12,090 $9,067 $6,045 $3,022 $4,567.42 $4,567.42 $3,425.56 $2,283.71 $1,141.86 Website $950.00 $200.00 $200.00 $200.00 $200.00 Print ads $2,000.00 $2,000.00 $1,500.00 $1,000.00 $1,000.00 Signage $3,000.00 $3,000.00 $3,000.00 $3,000.00 $3,000.00 $240.00 $240.00 $240.00 $240.00 $240.00 $22,847.42 $22,097.42 $17,432.56 $12,768.71 $8,603.86 Radio Newspaper Yellow Pages Total 48 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 Appendix I – Financial Projections Financial Projections (See Excel Spreadsheet) 49 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 Appendix J – Break-even Analysis 45 40 40 42 42 28 27 36 35 31 30 30 31 29 25 Base Case 20 Breakeven 15 10 5 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 50 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt Business Plan for Indulge Comm 447 Appendix K – Ratio Analysis Ratio 2012 2016 Debt Ratio .49 0 Debt to Equity 1 0 Interest Coverage 1.67 286.67 Profit Margin 90% 90% Cost of Sales 10% 10% Return on Assets -.09 .42 Return on Equity -.18 .42 51 | P a g e Kally Schlemko Jennifer Schmidt