Survey of American Political Behavior Political Science 6309 Fall 2014 (T 1-4pm) Professor: Brandon Rottinghaus Email: bjrottinghaus@uh.edu Phone: 33925 (office) or 832 / 588-7336 (cell) Office: PGH 393 Office Hours: M,T,W 11-1 This course is a survey of selected segments of the literature on American political behavior. This course is designed to provide you with an advanced understanding of American government through classic and recent cutting-edge scholarship in the field of political science. The concept of political behavior is broad, but encompasses the psychology of decision making, the dynamics of opinion formation (by group and by issue type), the importance of values and affect, the stability of mass opinion, political leadership and responsiveness and the role of the media. We’ll just scrape the surface of these topics but give you a flavor for how research is conducted in these areas and a sense of the debates and discussions produced from this literature. It is designed to meet the needs of graduate students who hope at some time in the future to do original research, master a doctoral field, or teach in one or more areas of American politics. No one could master all of the literature on American political behavior in one semester or even several years, so I have therefore chosen some of the finer articles and books in what I regard as recurrent areas of interest for political scientists. Not at all incidentally, a number of the articles and books often figure in the Ph.D. examination in American Government and Politics. I hope you will gain a feel for how political scientists think about and execute empirical research. Evaluation Your grade for the course will be measured by your weekly critical writing assignments (50%) related to the readings, your class participation (25%) and a final “field essay” (25%). Letter grades will be assigned (and translated numerically) for final grading. Each are outlined with more detail below: Weekly critical writings: Each week you will be responsible for reading critically and comprehensively and crafting a two page response to the readings. Additional details are provided on the separate sheet (attached) describing what I am looking for in these assignments. Think about the readings and submit a two-page (double space, 12 pt. font) “reaction paper” each week. These papers will be due on the day the material is covered in class. These papers are an opportunity for you to organize your general assessments of the readings and how they fit with the major theoretical and methodological questions of the course. Reaction papers are not to summarize the readings; rather, they are intended to encapsulate your summary of the usefulness, strengths and weaknesses of the research. Your paper should focus on a theoretical or methodological concern from the week’s readings. The paper should discuss the issue, raise questions about the week’s readings, and suggest answers. You do not have to address each of the readings. It is important not to exceed 2 pages (doubled space). You need to learn to write a succinct argument. Participation: Your weekly in-class discussion participation is critical to my ability to track your progress and your own development in understanding the material. This requires you to have a comprehensive understanding of the readings and (obviously) to come to class. You should be prepared to answer the following questions for each reading each class: (1) (2) (3) (4) What is the main contribution of the reading to scholarly knowledge? What theoretical tradition is the reading working within or in contrast to? What hypotheses are offered for empirical evidence? What are the data and measures used in the paper appropriate for evaluating the theory and hypothesis? (5) What are the main findings? (6) What are the implications of the theory and results for understanding political behavior? (7) What are your criticisms of the research? Field essay: Due May 9 (the last day of finals week). Each student will turn in a 10-15 page “field” essay during finals week. For this assignment, you should (a) pick a particular research area in political behavior that interests you, (b) identify the principal research questions within this field, (c) discuss the major findings to date, noting any ambiguities or significant disagreements among authors, and (d) highlight possible paths for future research. The following are good examples of field essays: Norrander, Barbara. 1996. “Presidential Nomination Politics in the Post-Reform Era,” Political Research Quarterly 49:4, 875-915. Leighley, Jan E. 1995. “Attitudes, Opportunities and Incentives: A Field Essay on Political Participation,” Political Research Quarterly 48:1, 181-210. (also, Smith’s “Interest Group Influence in the U.S. Congress” in LSQ, which is on your “recommended” list during week 7 and Manza and Cook, “A Democratic Polity?” American Politics Research (2002) which is also recommended). These are longer in text and larger in scope than the one required here, but these give you a sense of how to craft a summary and synthesis of a large body of literature. One strategy in preparing for this project is to identify a smaller portion of a subfield’s literature (perhaps structured around a question) and write a more narrowly focused field essay. Use the “recommended” readings below to begin this process and please discuss it with me. Cheating and Plagiarism: All students are expected to observe the University of Houston’s rules against cheating and plagiarism. See the section on “Academic Honesty” in the University of Houston Studies handbook for a full statement regarding UH’s rules against cheating and plagiarism. A succinct discussion of the University’s policies with links to all the relevant regulations can be found at http://www.uh.edu/provost/stu/stu_syllabsuppl.html. Any violation may result in expulsion from the University. Cheating and plagiarism in this class will be punished to the maximum extent possible. ADA Statement: The American with Disabilities Act (ADA) is a federal antidiscrimination statute that provides comprehensive civil rights protection for persons with disabilities. Among other things, this legislation requires that all students with disabilities be guaranteed a learning environment that provides for reasonable accommodation of their disabilities. If you believe you have a disability requiring an accommodation, please contact UH’s Center for Students with Disabilities (CSD) at (713) 743-5400. Readings The following books are required for the class and are available at the UH Bookstore and online. I think these are books you will certainly want to keep in your collection and there is a strong likelihood you will use these in other classes. We will read portions of other books not on this list (see below) but buying them is not required (but highly recommended). An Economic Theory of Democracy. 1957. Anthony Downs. Harper Collins. Why Parties? 1995. John Aldrich. U. Chicago Press. Congress: The Electoral Connection. 1974. David Mayhew. Yale U. Press. The Rational Public. 1992. Benjamin I. Page and Robert Shapiro. U. Chicago Press. The Nature and Origin of Mass Opinion. 1998. John Zaller. Cambridge U. Press. Mobilization, Participation and Democracy in America. 1993. Steven Rosenstone and John Mark Hansen. MacMillan. The Partisan Sort: How Liberal Became Democrats and Conservatives Became Republicans. 2009. Matthew Levendusky. In addition, readings marked with an “**” denote required readings which you can find on JSTOR. Readings marked with a (BR) denote articles which are on my website. Schedule: Week 1 (August 26) – No class, APSA Week 2 (September 2) – Presidency Neustadt, Presidential Power, 1, 3-5 (BR) Ragsdale and Theis. “The Institutionalization of the American Presidency, 1924-92.” American Journal of Political Science (1997) ** Skowronek, Stephen. 1998. “Presidential Leadership in Political Time.” In The Presidency and the Political System, ed. Michael Nelson. Washington D. C.: CQ Press, 125-170. (BR) Kernell, Going Public, Chapter 1-2, 3, 5 (BR) Howell, W. and D. Lewis. “Agencies by Presidential Design.” Journal of Politics (2002)** Recommended: Jones, The Presidency in a Separated System. Brookings Press. Cameron, Charles. 2000. Veto Bargaining: Presidents and the Politics of Negative Power. Cambridge U. Press. Barber, James David. 1992. The Presidential Character. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall. McCarty, Nolan, Timothy Groseclose. 2000. “The Politics of Blame: Bargaining before an Audience.” AJPS Moe, Terry. 1985. “The Politicized Presidency.” In The New Direction in American Politics, ed. Chubb and Peterson. Brookings Press. Howell, 2003. Power without Persuasion. Princeton. Wildavsky, “The Two Presidencies,” in Wildavsky, Perspectives on the Presidency, 448-61 Deering and Maltzman. “The Politics of Executive Orders.” PRQ (1999). Canes-Wrone, Brandice, Michael C. Herron and Kenneth W. Shotts. 2001. “Leadership and Pandering: A Theory of Executive Policymaking” AJPS 45(3): 532-550. Tulis, Jeffrey. 1987. The Rhetorical Presidency. Cohen, Jeffrey. 1997. Presidential Responsiveness to Public Policy-Making. U. Michigan Press. Ostrom, Charles W., and Dennis M. Simon. 1988. “The President's Public.” AJPS Eisinger, Robert. 2003. The Evolution of Presidential Polling. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Brace, Paul and Barbara Hinckley. 1993. Follow the Leader. Basic Books. Canes-Wrone and Shotts, “The Conditional Nature of Presidential Responsiveness to Public Opinion” AJPS (2004)** Wood, “How Does Presidential Rhetoric on the Economy Affect Presidential Approval” (2005)** Week 3 (September 9) – Congress Mayhew, Congress: The Electoral Connection, Part I (skim Part II) Polsby, “The Institutionalization of the U.S. House of Representatives.” APSR (1968) Arnold 1990. The Logic of Congressional Action, 1-4, 7 (BR) Binder, “The Dynamics of Legislative Gridlock, 1947-96,” APSR (1990)** Poole & Rosenthal, “Patterns of Congressional Voting,” AJPS (1991)** Recommended: Kingdon, John W. 1981. Congressmen’s Voting Decisions, Harper and Row, chapters 1, 9-12. Fenno, Richard F. 1973. Congressmen in Committees. Little Brown (any Fenno will be helpful) Sinclair. 1998. Legislators, Leaders and Lawmaking. Johns Hopkins Press. Sinclair. 2000. Unorthodox Lawmaking. CQ Press. Krehbiel, Keith. 1991. Information and Legislative Organization. University of Michigan Press. Chapters 1-3. Weingast & Marshall, “The Industrial Organization of Congress,” Journal of Political Economy (1988) Cox and McCubbins. 1993. Legislative Leviathan. University of California Press. Cox and McCubbins. 1993. Setting the Agenda. Cambridge University Press. Groseclose and King. 2001. “Committee Theories Reconsidered.” In Congress Reconsidered. 7th edition. Edited by Lawrence Dodd and Bruce Oppenheimer. Washington D.C.: CQ Press. 191-216. Hall and Evans. 1990. “The Power of Subcommittees.” Journal of Politics Week 4 (September 16) – Judiciary and the Courts Hamilton, Federalist #78 (BR or Internet) Dahl, “Decision Making in a Democracy: The Supreme Court as a National Policy Maker.” Journal of Public Law (1957)** Casper. “The Supreme Court and National Policy Making,” APSR (1976). Segal and Spaeth. 2002. The Supreme Court and the Attitudinal Model Revisited. Cambridge University Press. Chapters 2 (pages 32-73). (BR) George and Epstein. “On the Nature of Supreme Court Decision-Making.” APRS (1992)** Brace & Hall, “The Interplay of Preferences, Case Facts, Context, and Rules in the Politics of Judicial Choice,” Journal of Politics (1997)** Whittington, “Interpose Your Friendly Hand: Political Supports and the Exercise of Judicial Review,” APSR (2005)** Recommended: Rosenberg. 1992, Hollow Hope, U. Chicago Press. Chapters 1, 3-5, 7-9. Epstein and Knight. 1998. Choices Justices Make. Washington D. C.: CQ Press. Maltzman, Spriggs II, Wahlbeck. 2000. Crafting Law on the Supreme Court : The Collegial Game. Cambridge UP. Bueno de Mesquita and Stephenson. 2002. “Informative Precedent and Intrajudicial Communication.” American Political Science Review. 96(December): 755-766. Cameron, Segal, and Songer. 2000. “Strategic Auditing in a Political Hierarchy: An Informational Model of the Supreme Court's Certiorari Decisions.” American Political Science Review. 94 (March): 101-116. Perry, 1991. Deciding to Decide: Agenda Setting in the United Sates Supreme Court. Harvard University Press. Caldeira, Wright, and Zorn. 1999. “Strategic Voting and Gatekeeping in the Supreme Court.” Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization 15(3): 549-72. Week 5 (September 23) – Interest Groups & Parties Madison, Federalist #10 (BR or Internet) Olson, 1965. The Logic of Collective Action. Harvard University Press. Chapter 1 (BR) Moe, 1981. “Toward a Broader Theory of Interest Groups.” Journal of Politics (1981) ** Nownes and Freeman, “Interest Group Activity in the States,” Journal of Politics (1998)** Aldrich, Why Parties? Chapters 1-3 Sundquist, Dynamics of the Party System (1983 ed.), Chapters 1-3 (BR) Recommended: Smith, “Interest Group Influence in the U. S. Congress,” Legislative Studies Quarterly (1995) Schlozman, Kay Lehman. 1984. “What Accent the Heavenly Chorus? Political Equality and the American Pressure System.” The Journal of Politics 46 (November): 1006-1032. Walker, Jack. 1983. “The Origins and Maintenance of Interest Groups in the United States.” American Political Science Review 77 (June): 390-406. Becker, Gary. 1983. A Theory of Competition Among Pressure Groups for Political Influence.” The Quarterly Journal of Economics 98(3): 371-400. Austen-Smith and Wright. 1994. “Counteractive Lobbying.” American Journal of Political Science 38: 25-44. Wawro, Gregory. 2001. “A Panel Probit Analysis of Campaign Contributions and Roll Call Votes.” AJPS 45(3): 563-79. Gordon, Stacy. 2001. “All Votes are Not Created Equal: Campaign Contributions and Critical Votes.” JOP 63(1):249-69. Week 6 (September 30) – Public Opinion Downs, An Economic Theory of Democracy, 5-7 Converse, Philip. 1964. “The Nature of Beliefs Systems in the Mass Public.” in Ideology and Discontent, ed. David Apter. (BR) Zaller, John and Stanley Feldman. “A Simple Theory of the Survey Response: Answering Questions versus Revealing Preferences.” American Journal of Political Science (1992)** Berinkey, Adam. “The Two Faces of Public Opinion.” American Political Science Review (1999)** Page and Shapiro, The Rational Public, Chapters 1-3, skim 7-10 Recommended: Schattschneider, E. E. 1974. The Semisovereign People. Hinsdale. Lippmann, Walter. Public Opinion. Free Press, 1922. Nie, Norman, Sidney Verba and John Petrocik. 1976. The Changing American Voter. Cambridge, MA. Achen, Christopher H. 1975. “Mass Political Attitudes and the Survey Response.” American Political Science Review. 69(4): 1218-1231. Kinder, Donald. 1983. “Diversity and Complexity in American Public Opinion.” In The State of the Discipline, ed. Ada Finifter. Washington D. C.: APSA, 389-425. Alvarez, Michael R. and John Brehm.1997 “Are Americans Ambivalent Towards Racial Policies?“ American Journal of Political Science 41(2): 345-374. Lupia, McCubbins and Popkin. 2000. Elements of Reason: Cognition, Choice and the Bounds of Rationalistic. Cambridge University Press. Berinsky, Adam. 2004. Silent Voices: Public Opinion and Political Participation in America. Princeton Univeristy Press. Huckfeldt, Johnson and Sprague. 2004. Political Disagreement: The Survival of Diverse Opinions within Communication Networks. Cambridge University Press. Hetherington, Mark. 2004. Why Trust Matters. Princeton University Press. Mutz, Diana. 1998. Impersonal Influence: How Perceptions of Mass Collectives Affect Political Attitudes. U. Chicago Press. Week 7 (October 7) – Political Representation and Responsiveness Stimson, MacKuen and Erikson. ”Dynamic Representation.” American Political Science Review (1995)** Page and Shapiro, “Effects of Public Opinion on Policy,” American Political Science Review (1983)** Wlezien, “The Public As Thermostat,” AJPS (1995) ** Rottinghaus, “Rethinking Presidential Responsiveness,” JOP (2006)** Wood and Lee, “Explaining the President’s Issue-Based Liberalism” JOP (2009) ** Recommended: Benjamin I. Page, Who Deliberates? (1993) University of Chicago Press. Brooks and Manza, “Why Do Welfare States Persist?” JOP (2006). Kuklinski, James and John E. Stanga. 1979. “Political Participation and Government Responsiveness: The Behavior of California Superior Courts.” American Political Science Review 73 (December): 1090-1099. Clinton, Joshua. 2006. “Representation in Congress: Constituents and Roll Calls in the 106th House.” The Journal of Politics 68(2): 397-409. Bishin, Ben. 2000. “Constituency Influence in Congress: Does Subconstituency Matter?” Legislative Studies Quarterly 25(3): 389-415. Achen, Christopher H. 1978. “Measuring Representation.” American Journal of Political Science 22 (August): 475510. Page, Ben. “Democratic Responsiveness? Untangling the Links Between Public Opinion and Policy” PS (1993) Monroe, “Public Opinion and Public Policy, 1980-1993” Public Opinion Quarterly 62, 1998. Week 10 (October 14) – Political Knowledge, Information and Preferences I Zaller, The Nature and Origin of Mass Opinion (all) Week 11 (October 21) – Political Knowledge, Information and Preferences II Delli Carpini and Keeter. 1989. What Americans Know About Politics and Why it Matters. Yale U. Press. Chapters 1-2 (skim). (BR) Althaus, “Information Effects in Collective Preferences” American Political Science Review (1998)** Shaw, “The Effect of TV Ads and Candidate Appearances on Statewide Presidential Votes, 198896,” The American Political Science Review (1999) ** Jerit, Barabas and Bolsen. “Citizens, Knowledge and the Information Environment.” American Journal of Political Science (2006)** Druckman, James. “On the Limits of Framing,” Journal of Politics (2001)** Chong, Dennis and Druckman, Jamie, “Framing Public Opinion in Competitive Democracies” American Political Science Review (2007)*** Recommended: Jennings, M. Kent. 1996. “Political Knowledge Over Time and Across Generations” Public Opinion Quarterly 60 (Summer): 228-252. Mondak, Jeffrey and Belinda Creel. 2001. “Asked and Answered: Knowledge Levels When We Will Not Take ‘Don’t Know’ for an Answer.” Political Behavior 23 (September): 199-225. Mondak, Jeffrey and Mary Anderson. 2004. “The Knowledge Gap: A Reexamination of Gender-Based Differences in Political Knowledge.” Journal of Politics 66 (May) 492-513. Mondak, Jeffrey. 2001. “Developing Valid Knowledge Scales.” American Journal of Political Science 45(1): 224-238. Conway, Margaret, David Ahern, and Mikel Wyckoff. 1981. “The Mass Media and Changes in Adolescents’ Political Knowledge During an Election Cycle.” Political Behavior 3 (1): 69-80. Alvarez, Mark and John Brehm. 2002. Hard Choices, Easy Answers. Princeton University Press. Lupia and McCubbins. 1998. The Democratic Dilemma: Can Citizens Learn What they Need to Know? Cambridge University Press. Sniderman, Brody and Tetlock. 1991. Reasoning and Choice. Cambridge University Press. Week 12 (October 28) – Public Opinion and Leadership Edwards, On Deaf Ears (BR) Rottinghaus, “Strategic Leaders” (Political Communication) Edwards and Wood, “Who Influences Whom?,” American Political Science Review (1999)** Page, Shapiro, and Dempsey,“What Moves Public Opinion?” American Political Science Review (1987)** Recommended: Jacobs and Shapiro, Politicians Don’t Pander (Chapters 1-2) Erikson, Robert, Michael MacKuen and James Stimson. 2002. The Macro Polity. Cambridge University Press. Krosnick and Kinder, “Altering the Foundations of Support for the President through Priming,” APSR 84 (1990), 497-512. Rudolph, T. 2003. “Who’s Responsible for the Economy?” American Journal of Political Science (47) Ostrom, Charles W., and Dennis M. Simon. 1988. “The President's Public.” AJPS Jacobs and Shapiro, 1994, “Issues, Candidate Image and Priming” APSR 88 Geer, John, 1993. From Tea Leaves to Opinion Polls. Columbia. Canes-Wrone, Brandice, Michael C. Herron and Kenneth W. Shotts. 2001. “Leadership and Pandering” AJPS 45(3): 532-550. Tulis, Jeffrey. 1987. The Rhetorical Presidency. Eisinger, Robert. 2003. The Evolution of Presidential Polling. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Brace, Paul and Barbara Hinckley. 1993. Follow the Leader. Basic Books. Canes-Wrone and Shotts, “The Conditional Nature of Presidential Responsiveness to Public Opinion” AJPS (2004) Wood, “How Does Presidential Rhetoric on the Economy Affect Presidential Approval” AJPS (2005) Week 13 (November 4) – Political Participation and Deliberation Downs, An Economic Theory of Democracy, 11-14 Rosenstone and Hansen, Mobilization, Participation and Democracy in America (all) Putnam, “Tuning In, Tuning Out: The Strange Disappearance of Social Capital in America” PS (1995)** Fishkin, Voice of the People (1997) (BR) Barabas, Jason. “How Deliberation Affects Policy Opinions.” American Political Science Review (2004)** Recommended: Riker, William and Peter Ordeshook. 1968. “A Theory of the Calculus of Voting.” American Political Science Review 62 (March): 25-42. Fiorina, Morris P. 1981. Retrospective Voting in American National Elections. Yale University Press Aldrich, John. 1993. “Rational Choice and Turnout.” American Journal of Political Science 37 (February): 246-278. Wolfinger, Raymond and Steven Rosenstone. 1980. Who Votes? New Haven: Yale UP. Chapters 2 and 4. Beck, Paul Allen and M. Kent Jennings. 1982. “Pathways to Participation.” American Political Science Review 76 (March): 94-108. Burns, Nancy, Kay Scholzman and Sidney Verba. 2001. The Private Roots of Public Action. Harvard University Press. Rosenstone and Hansen. 1993. Mobilization, Participation and Democracy in America Brehm, John and Wendy Rahn. 1997. “Individual Evidence for the Causes and Consequences of Social Capital.” American Journal of Political Science (41). Skocpol, Ganz and Munson. 2000. “A Nation of Organizers: The Institutional Origins of Civil Volunteerism in the United States.” American Political Science Review (94). Week 14 (November 11) – Voting Downs, An Economic Theory of Democracy, 2-3 Ansolabehere & Snyder, “The Incumbency Advantage in U.S. Elections,” Election Law Journal (2002)** Bartels & Zaller, “Presidential Vote Models: A Recount,” PS (2001)** Fiorina, Retrospective Voting in American National Elections, chs. 1, 4 (BR) Gerber, et. al. “Do Perceptions of Ballot Secrecy Influence Turnout?” AJPS. Malhotra, Michelson and Valenzuela, “Emails from Official Sources Can Increase Turnout” QJPS. Panagolpolous, “Thank You for Voting” JOP. Recommended: D. Mayhew, “Electoral Realignments,” Annual Review of Political Science 3 (2000), 449. M.P. McDonald & S.L. Popkin, “The Myth of the Vanishing Voter,” APSR 95 (2001), 963-74. A.S. Gerber & D.P. Green, “The Effects of Canvassing, Telephone Calls, and Direct Mail on Voter Turnout: A Field Experiment,” APSR 94 (2000), 653-63. S. Ansolabehere, J. M. de Figueiredo, & J. Snyder, Jr., “Why Is There So Little Money in U.S. Politics?” Journal of Economic Perspectives 17 (2003), 105 Week 15 (November 18) – Campaigns and Elections Gelman and King, “Why Are American Presidential Election Campaign Polls so Variable When Votes Are so Predictable?” British Journal of Political Science (1993) ** Lodge, Steenbergen and Brau, “The Responsive Voter: Campaign Information and the Dynamics of Candidate Evaluation”, APSR (1995)** Kaplan, Park and Ridout. “Dialogue in American Political Campaigns?” American Journal of Political Science (2006) Shaw, et. al. “Do Robotic Calls from Credible Sources Influence Voter Turnout or Vote Choice?” Journal of Political Marketing. Recommended: Burnham, Walter Dean. 1970. Critical Elections and the Mainsprings of American Politics. Norton. Green, Donald P. and Ian Shapiro. 1994. Pathologies of Rational Choice Theory. Yale University Press. Chapter 4, “The Paradox of Voter Turnout” Shaw, Daron R. 1999. “A Study of Presidential Campaign Event Effects from 1952 to 1992.” The Journal of Politics Petrocik, John R., William L. Benoit, and Glenn J. Hansen. 2003. “Issue Ownership and Presidential Campaigning, 1952-2000.” Political Science Quarterly Bartels, Larry. 1993. “Messages Received: The Political Impact of Media Exposure.” APSR Lawson, Chappell and James A. McCann. 2005. “Television Coverage, Media Effects, and Mexico’s 2000 Elections,” BJPS 35:1, 1-30 Sides, John. 2006. “The Origins of Campaign Agendas.” British Journal of Political Science Jamieson, Kathleen Hall (1996). Packaging the Presidency. Oxford University Press. APSR Forum, December 1999, 851-910 (negative campaigning) Geer, John. In Defense of Negative Advertising. University of Chicago Press. Week 16 (November 25) – No Class, Thanksgiving! Week 17 (December 2) – Causes and Effects of Polarization Levendusky, 2009. The Partisan Sort. Baufumi and Shapiro, “A New Partisan Voter,” JOP Carson, Crepsin and Rhode, ““Redistricting and Party Polarization in the U.S. House of Representatives.” American Politics Research Rottinghaus, “Going Partisan” (BR)