International Trade CHAPTER EIGHT Dr. Clayton Thyne PS 235-001: World Politics Spring 2009 Goldstein & Pevehouse, International Relations, 8/e Student notes version Theories of Trade • International trade amounts to a __________ of the total economic activity in the world. • Scholars of international political economy (IPE) study... – Most focus is on the… – Global South is… – States are the most important actors in IPE, but not as important as in… – Actors in IPE tend to act in… – Collective goods problem is important throughout... Liberalism and Mercantilism • Two major approaches within IPE differ on their views of trade. 1. Mercantilism – – Emphasizes relative power: – Importance of economic transactions lies in their implications for… – Characterized by: Liberalism and Mercantilism • Mercantilism – Economics should serve... – Creation of wealth underlies… – Achieved prominence... – Declined in… • Favorable balance of trade: positive balance of trade versus negative balance of trade Figure 8.3 Figure 8.2 US Balance of Trade Liberalism and Mercantilism 2. Liberalism – Generally shares the assumption of… – Holds that by building international organizations, institutions, and norms, states can… – It matters little to liberals whether… – Individuals and firms are… – Dominant… – Characterized by: Figure 8.1 Liberalism and Mercantilism • Free market – Bargaining space – Market price – Demand curve – Supply curve – Equilibrium price Supply and Demand: Basic Curves Supply: amount supplied at each price Price (p) Demand: amount demanded at each price Quantity (q) Supply and Demand: variation 1—price set too high Supply: amount supplied at each price Price (p) Demand: amount demanded at each price Quantity (q) Example: government cartel, minimum wage Return to equilibrium: suppliers have too much inventory, so they’ll lower prices Supply and Demand: variation 2—price set too low Supply: amount supplied at each price Price (p) Demand: amount demanded at each price Quantity (q) Example: government-set prices Return to equilibrium: consumers compete for small quantities w/ low price, produces raise price to maximize profits Supply and Demand: variation 3—demand shift right (increase) Supply: amount supplied at each price Price (p) Demand (new) Demand (old) Quantity (q) Example: coffee becomes trendy, summer driving season More demanded (by definition), so the equilibrium price increases Supply and Demand: variation 4—demand shift left (decrease) Price (p) Demand (old) Demand (new) Quantity (q) Example: boycott of some state’s goods, product becomes less trendy, end of driving season Less demanded (by definition), so the equilibrium price decreases Supply and Demand: variation 5—supply shift right (increase) Supply (old) Supply (new) Price (p) Demand: amount demanded at each price Quantity (q) Example: invention more efficient production (computer industry), oil discovered More supplied because it (may be) cheaper to produce Supply and Demand: variation 6—supply shift left (decrease) Supply (new) Supply (old) Price (p) Demand: amount demanded at each price Quantity (q) Example: environmental laws make producing less profitable, OPEC cuts production Less supplied because it (may be) more expensive to produce Comparative Advantage • The overall success of liberal economics is due to… – These gains result from… – Transaction costs • Two commodities of great importance in the world are oil and cars. – Example: Comparative Advantage: The easy example For 1 unit of resources, each state can produce… 6 5 4 State B 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 State A 5 6 Comparative Advantage: The easy example Who should produce apples? Bananas? 6 5 4 State B 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 State A 5 6 Comparative Advantage: A bit more complicated For 1 unit of resources, each state can produce… 6 5 4 State B 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 State A 5 6 Comparative Advantage: A bit more complicated Who should produce apples? Bananas? 6 5 4 State B 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 State A 5 6 Comparative Advantage • International trade generally expands … • Trade is not without drawbacks: – Long-term benefits… – Benefits and costs of trade tend… – Protectionism Political Interference in Markets • A free and efficient market requires: – – – Political Interference in Markets • World markets – Monopoly – Oligopoly – Corruption – Movement from… – Politics provides… – Taxation is… Political Interference in Markets • Sanctions – Governments can apply sanctions… – Very difficult to… • Autarky – Self-reliance – Protectionism • Definition: When states try to… – Protection of domestic industries… – Infant industry protection… – Protection of industry vital to… – Defense effort to… Protectionism • Means to discourage imports – Tariff or duties: – Nontariff barriers: – Subsidies to a domestic industry, which allow it to lower its prices without losing money: – Restrictions and regulations – Economic nationalism • Protectionism can have both positive and negative effects on an economy – Problems: Trade Regimes • Definition: • Two contradictory trends are at work in global trading patterns today: – – The World Trade Organization • WTO is a global, multilateral IGO that promotes, monitors, and adjudicates international trade. – – Successor organization to – In 2007, WTO had 150 countries (all of the major countries, with the exception of Russia) in membership. • • The World Trade Organization The World Trade Organization • Reciprocity – Basis of… – Most favored nation (MFN) concept: – Exception: • Benefits to belonging to WTO outweigh the costs. Bilateral and Regional Agreements • Most international trade is governed by more specific international political agreements. • There are generally two types: – Bilateral trade agreements • – Regional free-trade areas • • • Cartels • Definition: • Counter to… – Can use a variety of means to affect prices • Most effective is to coordinate limits on production by each member so as to lower the supply, relative to demand, of the good. • Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) – – – Cartels • Consumers do not usually form cartels, but the major oil-importing states formed their own organization – the International Energy Agency (IEA) • Other cartels: – Coffee – minerals Table 8.1 Industries and Interest Groups • Definition: – Lobbying, forming interest groups, paying bribes, and even encouraging coups – Actors include industry-sponsored groups, companies, labor unions, and individuals. – E.g., U.S. tobacco exports vs. American Cancer Society • Industrial policy • Role of industries in trade negotiations – Agriculture Industries and Interest Groups • Intellectual property rights – – • Service sector of the economy Industries and Interest Groups • Arms Trade – • Smuggling – – Enforcement of Trade Rules • Economic agreements between states depend strongly on… • Enforcement of equal terms of trade is… Enforcement of Trade Rules • Retaliation – Dumping: – Retaliatory tariffs… • International Trade Commission (U.S. agency) • Trade cooperation easier to achieve under… – Post WWII: – Now: Economic Globalization • Def: • Globalization is transforming not only trade, but… The Evolving World Economy • 1750, Britain had the world’s most advanced economy – – • Today, the largest and most advanced economy belongs to the United States. – – – The Evolving World Economy – Technological innovation – Great Depression and resultant protectionist policy – Keynesian economics – WWII – Soviet bloc - centrally planned economy • • • • Today there is a single integrated world economy that almost no country can resist joining. – Figure 8.4 Resistance to Trade • Globalization of the world economy has … – Growing nationalism – Competition from low-wage countries in the global South • • – – Human rights • – Environmental issues Resistance to Trade • Benefits of free trade more diffuse than the costs – Lower prices on goods… – Consumers may spend… – Cheap imports help keep… Interdependence • Definition: – This is a… – Mutually dependent on each other’s… – In IPE, interdependence refers less often to a bilateral mutual dependence than to a multilateral dependence in which… Interdependence • Short-term dependence versus long-term dependence – • Over time, as the world economy develops and technology advances… – – – – Impact on… Integration through… Arises from… Inherently… • Drawbacks of interdependence –