The Governance of Global Value Chains; Implications for Industrial Upgrading Timothy J. Sturgeon, Ph.D. Industrial Performance Center Massachusetts Institute of Technology http://web.mit.edu/ipc/www SEMINAR ON GLOBALIZATION, KNOWLEDGE, AND DEVELOPMENT Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico (UNAM) March 13-17, 2006 Mexico City Frame of Reference — Key Trends for Firm-level Analysis of Globalization • • • • • • • • Increased outsourcing Computerization of product design Computerization of process technology Formalization and segmentation of work tasks (services offshoring) Increasing market volatility and industry clock-speed (Fine) Increasing geographic scope of production systems Better integration of geographically dispersed production systems The rise of a new, global-scale supply-base The global value chains framework is an overarching rubric that can help to tie these trends together New features are global suppliers, global buyers, and value chain modularity, which eases coordination between the two. Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006 From Vertical Integration to Value Chain Modularity A) Vertical Integration Market Channel Traditional Manufacturing Firm Admin. Product strategy Prototype fab. Product R&D Parts purchasing Process R&D Manufacturing Functional design Testing Form design Packaging Dist. Sales Reps. Marketing System Int. Retail End User Firm boundary B) Value Chain Modularity Lead Firms (Brands and Retailers) Admin. Full Package Supplier Product strategy Process R&D Product R&D Design for mfg. Functional design Marketing Admin. Parts purchasing Form design Manufacturing Prototype fab. Testing Market Channel Dist. Sales Reps. Marketing System Int. Retail End User Packaging Codifiable transfer of specifications (CAE, CAD, CAM, MRP, ERP) at inter-firm link. What Baldwin and Clark (2000) call a“pinch point” in the chain of activities. Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006 Elements of Modularity • Modular product designs (e.g., the PC) • Modular value chain linkages (the hand-off) • Modular value chains (internal) • Modular value chains (external) Only modularity in external value chains leads to capacity pooling and external economies of scale Modular product designs make value chain modularity easier, but only one break point is needed — full product design modularity is not required Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006 Elements of Value Chain Modularity • Codification of complex information eases the hand-off at the inter-firm link—information technology and widely recognized standards are key. • Highly competent suppliers with multiple locations and customers • An adequate number of suppliers to allow lead firms to switch • Generic capacity – Allows lead firms to add and subtract capacity on short notice – Allows large suppliers to substitute locations Benefits for lead firms: lower costs and risk Risks for lead firms: IP leakage, creation of competitors, attenuated learning by manufacturing, forecasting and inventory distortions, de-codification with technological change, ceding of value to suppliers Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006 Performance Benefits of Modular Production Networks Preconditions Information Technology Suppliers Provide Base Processes Standards Generic Capacity Capacity Codified Network Linkages Network Characteristics Attenuated Interdependence Open Character of Network Lower Barriers to Network Entry and Exit Greater Organizational Flexibility Greater Geographic Flexibility Network Performance Lower Factor Costs Product/Customer Flexibility Higher Capacity Utilization Lower Total Cost and Risk Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006 Lead firms with captive supply bases End users Competition Lead firm A Lead firm B Value Chain Co-evolution First tier Supply Chain Supply base A Supply base B Second tier Materials Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006 Lead firms with shared, modular suppliers Co-evolution (including competition) Lead firm” n” Lead firm A Co-evolution (including competition) Shared supply base Codifiable transfer of specifications (CAE, CAD, CAM, MRP, ERP) at inter-firm link. What Baldwin and Clark (2000) call a“pinch point” in the chain of activities. Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006 Value chain modularity with supplier consolidation Co-evolution (including competition) Lead firm” n” Lead firm A Co-evolution (including competition) Global suppliers Global Supplier Examples: Electronics contract manufacturing: Flextronics, Solectron, Sanmina-SCI, Celestica, Jabil, Hon Hai, Quanta, Compal Auto parts: Magna, Delphi, Visteon, Bosch, Denso, Yazaki, Lear, Johnson Controls, TRW, Continental Call Center Servvices: Accenture, SNT Group, Atento, Convergys, SR Teleperformance, Wipro BPO, Bertelsmann Clinical Trials and Contract Medical Research: Quintiles, Covance, IMS Health, Parexel IT Services and Enterprise Computing: IBM, Accenture, PriceWaterhouseCoopers, McKinsey, Cognizant Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006 Revenue Growth at the Top Five Electronics Contract Manufacturers, 1994 through 2001, $M Flextronics Solectron Sanmina-SCI Celestica Jabil Circuit Top 5 Top 100 1994 $211 $1,642 $2,364 $1,989 $404 $6,610 NA 1999 $1,808 $8,391 $8,624 $5,297 $2,400 $26,520 $46,029 2002 $13,615 $12,261 $10,168 $8,272 $3,729 $48,045 $68,149 CAGR Share of Top ’94-‘02 100, 2002 68% 20% 29% 18% 20% 15% 20% 12% 32% 5% 28% 70% NA 100% Note: All Celestica revenues in 1994 were from IBM. Sources: Company annual and quarterly reports; Electronic Business Top 100 Contract Manufacturers, 2003. Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006 Top Five EMS Contract Manufacturers Revenues, Employment, and Facilities, and Location, 1999 and 2002; Compound Annual Growth Rate 1999-2002; and Top Five Share of Top 100, 2002 Revenues ($M) Employment Worldwide Facilities Facilities Outside N. America 1999 $26,520 123,580 244 131 2002 $48,045 280,030 420 257 CAGR Share of Top ’99-‘02 100, 2002 22% 70% 31% 63% 20% 69% 25% 82% Source: Electronic Business Top 100 Contract Manufacturers, 2000 and 2003. Notes: Flextronics facility figures are for 2000; growth rates have been adjusted accordingly. Solectron facility figures are for 2001; growth rates have been adjusted accordingly. Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006 Product Mix for the Largest Five EMS Contract Manufacturers, 2001 Other 9% Computers and peripherals 28% Consumer 8% Military 4% Medical 6% Industrial 5% Communications 40% Source: Electronic Business Top 100 Contract Manufacturers, 2002. Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006 The new global supply-base; Celestica’s global footprint 1997 2001 Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006 Global suppliers offer “total geographic flexibility” in a shared global supply-base; coordination is internalized Regional production systems are nested within global production systems Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006 Upgrading at an Electronics Contract Manufacturing Plant in Guadalajara, Mexico, February, 2001 – July, 2004 (Jabil Circuit) Emp loyment Number of customers served Number of products made Number of parts used Emp loyee turnover rate (mo nthly) Februar y 2001- July, 2002 3,500 dow n to 1,750 5 March, 2004 215 600 5,000 12,000 5% 2% Average prod uction Long run Number of Few engineering changes Represe ntative personal products computers video game consoles mob ile phone handsets 3,900 17 Short Many communications switches spec ialized hand-held credit card processing mac hines Internet firewa lls electronic controls for was hing mac hines Source: Luhnow, David. “As Jobs Move East, Plants in Mexico Retool to Compete.” Wall Street Journal.com. March 5, 2004. Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006 The Role of “Proximate Production Platforms” (Mexico, East Europe) in GVCs • Rapid order fulfillment for “lean retailing” • Last minute customization for pull-through ordering • Medium technology products and processes that require moderate degree of design/prodcution co-location • Product categories that require in-region production (autos, medical, military and security-related) • Pass through production location as newer products shift from US to China Competition is with developed country plants, not with China Regional integration needs to move beyond trade, to the integration of production, innovation, and security regimes Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006 The governance of global value chains: an analytic framework Based on a paper by: Gary Gereffi, Duke University John Humphrey, IDS Timothy Sturgeon, MIT Published in: Review of International Political Economy, 12(1) 2005 Summary of approach with related literature can be found at the Global Value Chains Initiative website: www.globalvaluechains.org Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006 Theoretical Underpinnings (starting point: industrial organization) 1. Transaction Costs Economics Key concept: Asset specificity Academic field: Institutional economics 2. Production Network Theory Key concepts: Trust, reputation, repeat transactions, social networks, geographic proximity, power Academic fields: Economic sociology, economic geography 3. Complementary Competencies Key concepts: Resource view of the firm, learning, core competence, co-evolution (buyer-supplier and industry) Academic fields: Strategic management, operations management, evolutionary economics Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006 Five GVC Governance Types Complexity of transactions Ability to codify transactions Capabilities in the supply-base Market Low High High Modular High High High Relational High Low High Captive High High Low Hie rarchy High Low Low Gove rnance Type Network org. forms Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006 Degree of explicit coordination and power asym metry Low High Some Dynamics in Global Value Chain Governance Governance Type Complexity of transactions Market Modula r Abili ty to codify transactions Capabilities in the suppl y-base Low High High High High Low High Relation al High High Captive High High Low Hierarchy High Low Low increasing complexity of transactions (harder to codify transactions; effective decrease in supplier competence) decreasing complexity of transactions (easier to codify transactions; effective increase in supplier competence) better codification of transactions (open or de facto standards, computerization) de-codification of transactions (technological change, new products, new processes) increasing supplier competence (decreased complexity, better codification, learning) decreasing supplier competence.(increased complexity, new technologies, new entrants) Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006 Supplier Upgrading (and Downgrading) in Global Value Chains Few customers More customers Few capabilities •Product upgrading •Inter-sectoral upgrading •Base process focus CAPTIVE MODULAR De-codification and reduced competence RELATIONAL More capabilities through technological change, new requirements, and new competitors FULL PACKAGE SUPPLIER •Process upgrading Many customers •Functional upgrading Many capabilities •Functional bundling Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006 GVC Governance Types Links to Policy Governance Type Linkage mechanism Firm roles and competencies Policy emphasis Market Arms-length exports Branded exporter and importer of standardized goods and services Brand and product development, market research and access, import substitution and export promotion Modular Buyer-supplier complimentary specialization in crossborder value chains “Deverticalized” lead firms and full package suppliers with generic, base process competencies, and a global footprint Knowledge of global standards, processand information technology upgrading Relational Collaboration with colocation or in cross-border value chains with lots of air travel Captive Foreign direct investment Dependent supplier, customer-specific competencies Recruitment of MNC affiliates and suppliers, local content rules Hierarchy Foreign direct investment Lower tier supplier Recruitment of MNC affiliates , education and training, infrastructure development, local content rules Clusters of specialists buyers Competence building, support of clusters and suppliers with process and districts, focus on building tacit and/or domain-specific domain knowledge competencies Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006