Return on Investment in International Recruitment: A Qualitative Study NAFSA Conference | Minneapolis | 31 May 2007 Session Chair / Co-Presenter: Richard Yam, International Student Advisor University of Massachusetts – Amherst ryam@ipo.umass.edu Co-Presenters: Cheryl Darrup-Boychuck, C.I.E.O. USjournal.com, LLC cheryl@USjournal.com Ted McKown, Director of International Admissions Kent State University, Ohio tmckown@kent.edu Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 1 Why study ROI? Why now? The challenges posed by the events of 9/11 changed the world, and international recruitment as we know it. The 9/11 Effect: • Declining number of international students • Slowing enrollment • Perspectives of visa policy Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 2 Crisis in Chinese 危 = danger 機 = opportunity Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 3 International Student Enrollment Trends, 1955 through 2006 700,000 Total enrollment 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 Year Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 4 Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 5 GAO Report, January 2007 (Government Accountability Office) Global Competitiveness: Implications for the Nation’s Higher Education System Sample Recommendations: • Collecting qualitative data that could provide valuable context for quantitative data. • Developing uniform, consensus-based social and economic indicators of U.S. higher education’s competitiveness. Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 6 Limited Research Available in Measuring Return on Investment • NAFSA: International Enrollment Management Survey (Jan ‘07) • ACE: Measuring Internationalization Survey (‘01, ‘03) • Noel–Levitz: • National Enrollment Management Study (‘04) • Cost of Recruiting Report (‘05) • Reza, Corriveau, Gogerty, Blanchford, and Yam: • International Recruitment Effectiveness Survey (‘06), presented in Montreal Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 7 Highlights of the 2006 Study: A Quantitative Approach Most Effective Recruiting Activities: 1. Merit Scholarships 2. International Brochures 3. Interviews 4. Articulation Agreements 5. Express Mail of Acceptance Letters 6. Independent Travel (Fall) 7. Small Group / Tour Travel (Fall) 8. Information Sessions Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 8 NACAC Admission Trends Survey, 2005 Please provide the “total admission budget” dollar amount from which we will determine average costs based on your responses to questions. a. Number of completed applications ___ b. Number of full-time first year, degree seeking students ___ c. Number of full-time first year, degreeseeking students who enrolled ___ Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 9 NACAC Admission Trends Survey 2005 (continued) Which of the following were included in the calculation of your institution’s “total admission budget”? ___ Admission staff salaries ___ Admission staff benefits ___ Staff travel expenses for recruitment ___ Expenses for participation in college fairs and other recruitment events ___ Publication expenses ___ Payments made to third party contractors for admission or recruitment services ___ Institutional financial aid ___ Other (advertising, supplies, postage…) Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 10 Studying ROI: A Domestic Perspective NACAC Admission Trends Survey, 2005 (Average cost per enrolled student, based on domestic recruitment) $2,167 = Private institutions $1,753 = Overall average $667 = Public institutions Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 11 NACAC Admissions Trends, 2005 based on Campus Selectivity Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 12 NACAC Admissions Trends, 2005 Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 13 Current State of Studying International Recruitment / ROI Measurement Myopia • U.S. News and World Report Controversy • Administrators demand numerical justification for recruitment expenses • Corporatization of U.S. higher education: Dean of Admission --> V.P. of Enrollment Management Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 14 Studying ROI: Corporate World vs Higher Education Initial Investment vs Subsequent Profits Recruiting Expenses vs Profits, where Profits = Tuition – Cost of Instruction + Expected Donations Flaw: Tuition < Cost of Instruction, so Profits are usually negative Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 15 Current Trends in Studying ROI / International Student Recruitment Estimate Admissions Yield from recruiting in different countries or regions Yield = Number of newly-enrolled students per dollar of recruitment expenses Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 16 Evolution from Enrollment Funnel to Admissions Cylinder Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 17 Securing Pure Data: The Perspective of a Statistician • Survey the prospective students, to eliminate any bias of the recruiters • Linear Regression: Predict a dependent variable (likelihood of enrolling) based on several independent variables, such as the different types of recruitment • Topic for a Thesis? Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 18 Multivariate Likelihood Function to Predict Customer Behavior Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 19 Design of the 2007 Qualitative Study on Measuring ROI • In-depth Interviews -- 1 to 1-1/2 hours each • Interview Topics -- Plans, implementation, evaluation • Sampling -- Open Doors, successful or challenging institutions, availability Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 20 The 2007 Study: Comments from a colleague who declined to participate I find it tough to justify putting other projects aside to be involved in this one… Frankly, you may find that people who have 2 to 3 hours to devote to this may not be the most effective recruiters. As such, your sample (and study) may be at risk… Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 21 Profile of 19 Participating Schools: A Diverse Representation in the U.S. • 2 Specialized Institutions • 3 Language Institutes • 2 Community Colleges • 2 Baccalaureate Institutions • 3 Masters Institutions • 5 Doctoral / Research Institutions • 2 Boarding / Prep Schools Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 22 Geographic Representation of 18 Participating Schools Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 23 Profile of 21 Individual Participants • 322 total years in international education • Average of 15 years in the industry • 11 male and 10 female participants • 14 Directors or Vice Presidents - Institutional Advancement - Enrollment Management • 3 Associate Directors • 3 Marketing Coordinators or Recruiters • 1 International Student Advisor Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 24 Profile of 21 Individual Participants: Years in International Education 0 5 10 15 20 Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 25 30 35 40 25 Results of the 2007 Study: Attitudes toward ROI a. Realistic / Pragmatic: Know how Quantifiable / Tangible: Count inquiries, applications, deposits, enrollments, attrition, retention, graduation, alumni b. Philosophical: Know why Big Picture / Intangible: Value judgments in determining how and where to invest, based on institution’s mission of internationalization Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 26 Results of the 2007 ROI Study: Defining Return on Investment Types of Investment: • Infrastructure / Staffing • Travel (Domestic and Overseas) • Financial Aid / Scholarships • Long-term Prospects • Agents / Commission-based Options • Online / Print Promotions • Postage / Mailing Lists • Special Scenarios / Emerging Markets • Targeted Yield Activities Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 27 Types of Investment: Infrastructure / Staffing Responsibility for International Recruitment • Enrollment Management • International Student Services • International Affairs / Programs • Other Support Offices Holistic approaches throughout the infrastructure seem more effective, when recruitment is integrated to cultivate the student’s entire experience. Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 28 Types of Investment: Travel (Overseas and Domestic) Overseas Travel • Group Tours / Large Public Events • Small Tours / Targeted Private Events • Individual / One-on-One Visits Domestic Travel • Embassy Visits (generated highest ROI for one of our participants) • Conferences / Agent Workshops Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 29 Types of Investment: Financial Aid / Scholarships Most colleagues have limited funds to disburse, so they’re getting more creative: • $50 in tuition reduction for referrals • Special Pricing, i.e., fees are waived if MBA students pay tuition in advance • Re-packaging existing programs: A price tag of $19,985. looks better than $20,015. • Work more closely with grad schools on assistantships for international students Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 30 Types of Investment: Long-Term Prospects Projects that don’t pay off immediately, sometimes due to cultural issues • Articulation agreements • “Twinning” • Joint Degree Programs • Sister Schools • Overseas Campuses “We’re establishing a pipeline for supplying students over several years.” Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 31 Types of Investment: Agents / Commission-based Options • Very little middle-ground: Love / Hate • Agent-only access via .edu domains • Private language schools: More likely to engage agents than public institutions • Institutions that are more transparent (i.e., fewer layers of bureaucracy) seemed better equipped to use agents • The initial cost of engaging agents must be greater than zero (i.e., preparing for and maintaining a successful relationship) Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 32 Types of Investment: Online / Print Promotions Interviewer: How did you find out about us? Student: In a magazine. Interviewer: Which one? In the one that cost me $100 or the one that cost $1,000? Conclusion: Difficult to track accurately ---------------------------------------------------Technology allows for better tracking -- One participant is hiring a Director of Electronic Marketing, specifically for international student recruitment Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 33 Types of Investment: Postage / Mailing Lists • Express Mail I-20 / Letters of Acceptance • Few purchased names and addresses • Few mentioned sending brochures to ----- EducationUSA Advising Centers U.S. Embassies and Consular Offices International High Schools American Schools Overseas Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 34 Types of Investment: Special Scenarios / Emerging Markets • Smaller, private schools seemed more willing to experiment in emerging markets; diversity was one of their primary goals • Language schools seemed more interested in the numbers of students recruited, rather than diversity, so they tend to stick with the top sending countries • Other successful recruitment plans take advantage of unique situations that percolate via global involvement from the campus’ academic departments Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 35 Types of Investment: Other Targeted Yield Activities • Connect prospects and / or parents with campus-related people with common interests (language, home country, major) -- Phone calls / Skype -- eCorrespondence (eMail, chat, blog…) • Hosting the influencers on campus -- Coordinated campus tours -- Various summer camps • Engage Alumni Networks / Receptions • Plan to “Respond on Demand” Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 36 Characteristics of Successful International Recruitment Programs • Institutional Commitment / Mission • Organizational Infrastructure • Travel (Overseas and Domestic) • Emphasize both Recruiting and Yield • • • • • Activities to complement each other Emphasize Long-term Prospects Financial Aid / Merit Scholarship / Pricing Use Agents Prudently Explore Emerging Markets Determine Quality and Quantity Returns Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 37 Recommendations for Future Studies • Concentrate on Specific Subsets: • Language Schools • Graduate Schools (MBA, etc.) • International Student Athletes • Conduct Industry-Wide Surveys: • Cost-to-Recruit Survey • Factors to Enroll • Interview Prospective Students • Develop a Linear Regression Model Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 38 Where do we go from here? There’s no magic formula (yet). Continue the ROI conversation via NAFSA’s Marketing / Recruiting Network: • Go to http://www.nafsa.org/ • Click Knowledge Community Networks and Resources on the left • Click Recruitment, Admissions, and Preparation on the left • Click Marketing and Recruiting on the left • Click Discussion Forums on the left • Click Measuring ROI and contribute! Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 39 Return on Investment in International Recruitment: A Qualitative Study NAFSA Conference | Minneapolis | 31 May 2007 Session Chair / Co-Presenter: Richard Yam, International Student Advisor University of Massachusetts – Amherst ryam@ipo.umass.edu Co-Presenters: Cheryl Darrup-Boychuck, C.I.E.O. USjournal.com, LLC cheryl@USjournal.com Ted McKown, Director of International Admissions Kent State University, Ohio tmckown@kent.edu Measuring ROI, 31 May 2007 40