WP000
KICK-OFF MEETING
May 10-11, 2010
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WP000 – Project Coordination
 Deliverables





D0.1 : Project presentation (M 0)
D0.2 : First year report to commission (M 14)
D0.3 : Second year report to commission (M 26)
D0.4 : Final report to commission (M 36)
D0.5 : Summary for policy makers (M 36)
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WP100
KICK-OFF MEETING
May 10-11, 2010
oral presentation
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WP200
KICK-OFF MEETING
May 10-11, 2010
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WP200 (TASF)
System Design
WP210 (TASF)
Interface Requirement Strategy
(INSPIRE)
I/F with GMES
WP220 (NOV)
Service Product Definition
WP230 (LSCE)
Scientific Components
and Architecture
Specification
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Deliverables List
Del. no.
D210.1
D230.1
D220.1
Deliverable Name
System Requirements synthesis and
justification
Scientific tools and architecture
definition Document including Data
models, Engineering Point of View
V0, V1
Services/Product Definition V0, V1
WP
no.
Nature
Disseminat
ion level
Delivery
date
200
R
PU
Month 6
200
P
PU
Month 6
(V0) and
12 (V1)
200
R
PU
Month 6
(V0) and
18 (V1)
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Milestones
Milestone Milestone
number name
Progress
3
Meeting 1
Annual
4
review 1
Work package (s) involved
Expected Means of
date
verification
WP100, WP200 Draft system
T0 + 6 M Draft System specification
specifications (WP200)
report V0
Consolidated system
T0 + 12 M System specification report
specification
V0,
V0 (WP200) CARBONES
CARBONES system V0
system
review,
V0 (WP400), carbon dataset V0
input data description
(WP500), CARBONES input
report V0,
data
carbon dataset catalogue
description V0 (WP300),
V0,
Annual
integrated Business plan v1
business plan analysis (WP700)
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WP200 Objectives
Main Objectives
 To assimilate Data and products for products delivery
 To interact with other existing systems (MACC, MyOcean, Geoland2)
 To offer coherency with existing and on-going GMES standards (INSPIRE, OGC)
Key Drivers
 The portal has to be Ergonomic, Open, Perennial, Evolutive, adapted to users’ need
and further development.
 It has to take into account existing portals (CarbonTracker, Carboscope, …)
How
 Conception has to be modular (processing, viewing modules)
 It includes tools for easily implementing new functions such as analysing, viewing,
comparing, validating, processing functions : SDK, API.
 It includes list of baseline elementary functions for data viewing and analysing
 2 successives versions will be implemented :
 V1 after one year including core system implementation (SDK, Viewer, Data
ingestion)
 V2 implementing also processing
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CARBONES Baseline Functions
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CARBONES in GMES
Other Services
connected to
Carbones
Visualisation
Time series of fluxes/stocks
Maps of fluxes, tables
Applications and Geoportals
Service Bus
GeoRM Layers
Registry
Service
Discovery
Service
View
Service
Download
Service
Transf.
Service
InvokeSD
Service
Post-processing
Comparison
Registers
Service
Metadata
Data set
Metadata
Input data
from CCDAS
Spatial Data
set
Carbon
Carbon
Fluxes
Carbon
Fluxes
Carbon
Fluxes
Fluxes
Outputs from MAC, Geoland2
Validation data (forest biomass,
other satellite products,...)
Carbon
Carbon
Stocks
Stocks
Framework for
harmonised data sets
Carbon Cycle
Data assimilation
system (CCDAS)
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CARBONES Development Plan
 The first version of the portal shall be available at T0+1 year. The
portal development strategy shall take into account the full v1/v2
cycle: v1 re-use for the v2.
 Rapid prototyping techniques, based on existing as far as
possible, shall be proposed to have easy and quick updates
following feed-back from users. Several sessions with users to
be organised ?
 The portal shall be build with the contributions from all the
partners (text, figures)  easing of the updates from remote
partners.
 Products and Data assimilation : Interaction with MyOcean,
Geoland, MACC.
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Next Steps and preliminary schedule
 CERC to analyse existing portal solutions in comparison
(CARBOSCOPE, CARBONTRACKER,…)
 CERC to analyse engineering solutions (ESRI, ENVI, IDL,
GOOGLEMAP, ARCGIS,…)
 Internal Meeting with CERC, AEA within 1 month in order to fix
the technology for the framework
 Interaction with users and experts (LSCE), to better understand
how to transfer existing post-processing
 Within 1,5 month, first DRAFT specifications of the V1 including
the CCDAS interface, the viewing, the API, the SDK and related
documentation
 Within 8 months, following users need feedback, specification
of the V2, including the final set of services, post-processing
and other,…
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WP300
KICK-OFF MEETING
May 10-11, 2010
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WP300: Data preparation
The aim of this work package is to provide three
independent classes of data that will be used in the
CARBONES system and advice on methodologies to
use these data:
(a) anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions, land
cover type and meteorological data as model
forcing
(b) Satellite and in-situ data for assimilation into the
system using the Core Services Products
(c) independent validation data
(d) Definition of a future downstream carbon service
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Deliverables
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Milestones
 Annual review 1: CARBONES input data description
V0
 Annual review 2: CARBONES input data description
V1
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Next steps
 Negotiation of sites/selecetion of sites
 schedule for exchange of data
 arrage visits between LSCE and groups contributing
data
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WP400
KICK-OFF MEETING
May 10-11, 2010
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WP description (LSCE)
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WP400: System development
 Consolidate and further improve an existing
Carbon Cycle Data Assimilation System (CCDAS)
 Task 410: Consolidate the existing components
 Task 420: Improve the different components
of the CCDAS
 Task 430: Validate the successive versions of the CCDAS using
the large dataset collected in WP300 and estimate the
uncertainties associated to the different products of the
system
 Main contributors: LSCE, PKU, CLIMMOD
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Task 420: Improve the different components
of the CCDAS
 Improve Managed Ecosystems in ORCHIDEE
 Optimize specific parameters of Crop module & Forest MM
 Improve tropical cropland representation (soybean, rice,..)
 Add a radiative transfert scheme in ORCHIDEE
 Model LAI  Radiances (to be compared with Satel. Obs.)
 Improve Biomass Burning prior fluxes
 Ocean fluxes :  toward a “mechanistic” model
 Transport model (LMDZ) : increase resolution (1°x1°)
 Preparation to assess the potential of new satellite data
 Typically BIOMASS data & Atm. CO2 data (GOSAT)
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Timeline of « CARBONES » CCDAS development
 VO
T + 12
- Land: ~ 20 parameters controling soil carbon stocks
and vegetation fluxes
- Ocean: Scale fluxes
- Fossil fuel & BBurning : imposed
- Period : use IERA Meteo. Reanalysis (1989 – 2009)
- Assimilated DATA :
- AVHRR fAPAR time series (Test with MODIS)
- Atmospheric data (around 80-100 sites)
- FluxNet site : NEE / LE
- Validation Data
- Soil Carbon data
- Ocean pCO2 data, optimized ocean flux model
- Biomass burning data
- Independant Atmospheric CO2 data
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Timeline of « CARBONES » CCDAS development
 V1
T+20
- Assimilated DATA :
- Soil carbon stocks data for Initial conditions
- ORCHIDEE improvements
- Observation operator for satellite data
- Managed ecosystems
- Increase number of Parameters (up to 100)
- Ocean Component
- Statistical model
 V2
T+30
- land: ~200 - 300 parameters
- ocean: Simplified Mechanistic model (based on PISCES)
- Several sensitivity tests
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WP400: Deliverables
 D410.1: Description document of the Carbon Cycle Data
Assimilation System (CCDAS), V0 (M8) & V1 (M28).
 D420.1: CCDAS system evolution report, V0 (M18) & V1 (M36)
 D430.1: System validation: report on the comparison between
system products and independent data; (M12) and then tied to
system evolution.
 D430.2: Report on error estimations:
- Parameter errors on base configuration (M12)
- Update errors for significant system updates (tied to Sys Ev.)
- Errors on output fields (M12 & then tied to Sys Ev.)
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WP500
Kick-Off Meeting
May 10-11, 2010
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WP500 – Dataset production and visualisation

Objectives
 The objective of this task is to develop the CARBONES information package
and the CARBONES portal giving access interface and information to the
Climate Users at the appropriate level.

Based on the CCDAS system developed and validated in WP400, the generation of
30 year reanalyses will be performed at the different steps of the project, and
verification tests will be implemented.

A tailored, user-friendly interface will be developed, allowing climate modellers, other
science communities, local or regional communities and the general public to
understand and easily visualize the living carbon cycle over the past 20-30 years. The
users of the CARBONES system will use the system via a web site in which spatial
data will be displayed on a Googlemaps display or similar.

Finally, all the necessary material will be prepared for the dissemination of the
CARBONES product and services to the Climate modellers during the project for their
use and evaluation of the CARBONES information package. This task will also
prepare the dissemination of CARBONES product and services to other identified
communities of users, during and beyond the project.
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WP500 – Dataset production and visualisation

Objectives
 The objective of this task is to develop the CARBONES information package
and the CARBONES portal giving access interface and information to the
Climate Users at the appropriate level.

Based on the CCDAS system developed and validated in WP400, the generation of
30 year reanalyses will be performed at the different steps of the project, and
verification tests will be implemented.

A tailored, user-friendly interface will be developed, allowing climate modellers, other
science communities, local or regional communities and the general public to
understand and easily visualize the living carbon cycle over the past 20-30 years. The
users of the CARBONES system will use the system via a web site in which spatial
data will be displayed on a Googlemaps display or similar.

Finally, all the necessary material will be prepared for the dissemination of the
CARBONES product and services to the Climate modellers during the project for their
use and evaluation of the CARBONES information package. This task will also
prepare the dissemination of CARBONES product and services to other identified
communities of users, during and beyond the project.
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WP500 – Dataset production and visualisation
 Description of work
 Task 510: dataset generation (NOV, LSCE, METO,MPI-BCG,
ETH, DLO, USTUTT, PKU, ABDN, CLIMMOD)
 Inputs: pre-existing assimilation system and first System &
Products design specification (T0 + 6 months), CARBONES
system V0 (T0 + 10 months), updated System & Products design
specification (T0 + 20 months), CARBONES system V1 (T0 + 30
months)
 Based on the pre-existing assimilation system available at the
beginning of the project, and on the System and product design
first iteration from WP200,
 generation of a first (non scientific) template of the CARBONES
system output dataset, at T0 + 6 months
 Development of verification tests of the dataset numerical consistency
 Generation of the CARBONES V0 dataset at T0 + 12 months
 Generation of the CARBONES V1 dataset at T0 + 30 months
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WP500 – Dataset production and visualisation
 Description of work
 Task 520: CARBONES portal development and implementation
(CERC, NOV, TAS, LSCE, METO)
 This task covers the development of a tailored, user-friendly interface,
allowing climate modellers, other science communities, local or
regional communities and the general public to understand and easily
visualize the living carbon cycle over the past years.
 Inputs : Users Requirement Analysis, first System & Products design
specification, updated System & Products design specification (T0 +
20 months),
 → Development of a test plan (V0 at T0 + 12 months and V1 at T0 + 24
months).
 → Completion of the of the web portal graphical user interface (V0 at T0 +
18 months and V1 at T0 + 30 months).
 → Completion of the web portal testing with delivery of a test report
(Simplified version V0 at T0 + 12 months and V1 at T0 + 30 months).
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WP500 – Dataset production and visualisation

Description of work
 Task 530 (NOV) : preparation of the necessary material for the dissemination of
the CARBONES product and services (NOV)
 It will aim at preparing all the necessary material for the dissemination of the
CARBONES products and services to the Climate modellers during the project
for their use and evaluation of the CARBONES information package. It also
prepares the dissemination of CARBONES products and services to other
identified communities of users, during and beyond the project.
 This task will then interact with the WP100 and the WP700, which will define in
detail the user needs in terms of dissemination material. This will include:




CARBONES products and services presentation documents adapted to different
levels of dissemination (RE, RR, PU) (version V0 at T0+12 and updated version V1 at
T0+30)
Preparation, in coordination with the WP100 and the WP700, of Users workshops,
(T0+18 and T0+32),
Preparation of a CARBONES demonstration portfolio based on analyses and results
of WP600, for final delivery.
The preparation of an executive summary for policy makers.
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WP500 – Dataset production and visualisation
 Deliverables
 D510.1 : CARBONES dataset V0 (M 12)
 D510.2 : CARBONES dataset V1 (M 30)
 D520.1 : CARBONES portal simplified version for minimal dataset
access : V0 (M 12)
 D520.2 : CARBONES portal V1 (M 30)
 D530.1 : CARBONES dissemination material V0 (M 18)
 D530.2 : CARBONES dissemination material V1 (M 30)
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WP600
KICK-OFF MEETING
May 10-11, 2010
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WP600: Added-value demonstration
 demonstrate the relevance of the CARBONES 30-yr re-analysis of
the carbon cycle at global and at regional scales
 Task 610: attribution and case analysis (LSCE )
 Task 620: benchmarking of GMES Core Service products (LSCE)
 Task 630: Demonstration of effective use by climate modellers (METO)
 Task 640: Improvement in climate prediction available from the
constraint on the carbon-cycle/climate feedback (LSCE)
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 Main contributors: LSCE, METO
Task 610: attribution and case analysis
 Study the regional carbon cycle for key regions
 N. America, Europe, N. Asia, Tropics
 N. Atlantic, Southern Ocean
 Attribution of the flux variability to specific processes
(NPP, ecosystem, respiration, biomass burning)
 Hot spot analysis
 Region that play a major role or that are most uncertain
 Link to extreme events
 ENSO events, volcanic eruptions, like the 1991 Pinatubo one,
droughts and heat waves, like the 2003 anomaly in Europe
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Task 620: Benchmarking of GMES Core Service
products
 What is the benefit of combining observations
of Slow and Fast changes of C pools ?
 Compare CARBONES products to
 Geoland2 : LAI, Fluxes, biomass, Carbon storage
 MACC : gridded fluxes
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Task 630: Demonstration of effective use by climate
modellers
 Evaluation of Climate model simulations (AR5 ones)
against typical metrics
 Identify the weaknesses / strength of the models
depending on the regions
As a function of the spatial scale considered
 Identify missing processes
 Define which region controls :
Seasonal cycle, Interannual Variations, Long term mean
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Define Metrics of the Carbon Cycle
 Quantify model performances using “score”
 Quantitative model evaluation..
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Task 640: Improvement in climate prediction available from the
constraint on the carbon-cycle/climate feedback
 Perform calculation of futur C fluxes 2050 using
climate scenarios from IPCC and ORCHIDEE
 Use ORCHIDEE with different sets of parameters
(prior and optimized parameters)
  Impact on the fluxes and their uncertainty
  Contribution to the conflicting debate on the
potential climate feedback on the carbon fluxes!
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WP600: Deliverables
 D610.1: Report on the information brought by CARBONES about
the carbon cycle. M 24
 D620.1: Report on the benchmarking of the GMES Core Services. M
30
 D630.1: Report on the use of CARBONES to evaluate ESMs. M 30
 D630.2: Report on the use of CARBONES to improve ESMs. M 36.
 D640.1: Report on the impact of CARBONES on climate prediction.
M 36.
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WP700
Market Analysis
Dr Iarla Kilbane-Dawe
Director of Innovation, AEA
Rachel Yardley
CARBONES Project Manager, AEA
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WP700 Market Intelligence
Carbones KOM - May 10-11, 2010 – Toulouse, France
Climate Change Index – commercialisation
of CO2e data
TITLE
 Current client list
 Sky News, Guardian Media,
EEA and in discussion with
carbon traders.
 Phase 1 – NRT UK aggregate





Data calculated at 20 min – 7 day intervals;
Based on UK gas and electricity consumption;
Entirely automated using <XML> data feeds;
Annual integrated figures accurate to 3% of UNFCCC data.
Validated for period 2006-2009
 Phase 2 – NRT UK regional / local
 Include activity data from road, rail and aircraft in NRT (20 min);
 Include energy data at local spatial scale;
 Phase 3 – NRT EU27 National aggregates & US State aggregates
 Looking for partners to develop this.
 Phase 1 supported by ESA market development funding.
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WP700 Market Intelligence
Carbones KOM - May 10-11, 2010 – Toulouse, France
Typical product or service
TITLE development process
Product
prototype
Warm client
review
Revise
prototype
Client review
& market
intelligence
Draft product
& marketing
collateral
Market pilot
Final revisions
to product and
collateral
Product
launch
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WP700 Market Intelligence
Carbones KOM - May 10-11, 2010 – Toulouse, France
WP700 market
TITLEintelligence
CARBONES
Carbon flux data services
Month 6
Warm client review
CUAG
MI Report
CARBONES
Amended services (e.g.
algorithms, resolutions,
formats)
Business Dev Plan M12
Circa Month 18
Client review with CUAG
Test with WCRP modellers
& MI Targets
MI Report
CARBONES
Amended services (e.g.
algorithms, resolutions,
formats) & New collateral
Business Dev Plan M24
Circa Month 30
Client review with CUAG
Test with WCRP modellers
& MI Targets
MI Report
CARBONES
Services archive and
final user oriented collateral
Business Dev Plan M34
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WP700 Market Intelligence
Carbones KOM - May 10-11, 2010 – Toulouse, France
D720.1 Market TITLE
Intelligence Reports
 Market analysis – M6, 18 , 30
 Potential customers & market segments
 Size of the market (e.g. WCRP modellers, UNFCCC, Media)
 Competitors – or is this relevant, or is it a science review?
 Only relevant for non-scientific customers
 Identify blockages for market penetration
 Routes to entry
 Challenges
 We don’t yet know what the final products will be
 Time schedule – inputs to the Month 6 report will be User
requirements report (M5) and Services/Product definition (M6)
 Collaborate closely with Noveltis, Met Office and TASF
WP700 Market Intelligence
Carbones KOM - May 10-11, 2010 – Toulouse, France
44
D720.2 User and service TITLE
provider workshops & surveys
 Purpose
 Initially CUAG, later WCRP and other communities
 Explore new markets
 Develop relationships between users and service providers
 Assess needs and expectations
 Assess whether they are willing to pay for the services
 Month 6 & circa 18, 30
 First workshop to be combined with CUAG meeting
 Schedule subsequent workshops with other meetings
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WP700 Market Intelligence
Carbones KOM - May 10-11, 2010 – Toulouse, France
D720.3 Business
Development Plans
TITLE
 The services must be financially sustainable after the initial
development




AEA will provide a template business plan
Use information from user surveys to identify potential revenues.
Service providers provide costs data.
Plans will help identify additional investment required after the end of
CARBONES to continue to evolve the products on a commercial or noncommercial basis.
 Identify any marketing requirements.
 DRM required on the website?
 What is the meaning of financial sustainability for a scientific
product?
 If we find in M12 that the products are not “financially
sustainable” what does that mean?
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WP700 Market Intelligence
Carbones KOM - May 10-11, 2010 – Toulouse, France
D710.1 Future
Space Missions
TITLE
 Delivered by TASF
 Month 30
 Assess requirements for future work
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WP700 Market Intelligence
Carbones KOM - May 10-11, 2010 – Toulouse, France
What is the most important outcome
TITLE for you, the users of WP700?
 Considering the project creates scientific data
services which WP700 product is most important:
 Market Intelligence reports,
 Business development plans, or
 User needs assessment?
 AEA can revise the WP700 objectives based on what
you consider to be the most important needs.
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WP700 Market Intelligence
Carbones KOM - May 10-11, 2010 – Toulouse, France