Agribusiness Management 308W, Spring 2009 Strategic Decision Making in Agribusiness Instructor: Edward (Ted) Jaenicke, Ph.D. 208A Armsby Building Telephone: 865-5282 Office Hours: 3 - 4 p.m. Wed. and Thurs. or by appt. E-mail: tjaenicke@psu.edu Course Overview: This course is designed to analyze a wide array of strategic decisions by agribusiness firms in a market environment characterized by imperfect information and market power. The course draws upon game theory and other strategic decision tools to analyze three broad types of strategic decisions, each of which corresponds with the three main parts of the course: 1. Strategic Decisions Between Rival Firms. Focusing on firm decisions made between rivals with full information, Part One includes the following topics and strategies: predatory pricing, entry deterrence, excess capacity, wars of attrition, strategic commitment, tit-for-tat pricing, avoiding price wars, and non-price competition. 2. Strategic Firm Decisions in an Uncertain World. Focusing on firm decisions made with incomplete information, Part Two includes topics on probabilities, expected value and expected utility, investment decisions, research and development decisions, and the value of waiting. 3. Company-wide Strategic Decisions – with Rivals and Uncertainty. Part Three focuses on performance-driven management decisions of company divisions and entire companies. In each of the three parts, the class will investigate how many firms’ business decisions can be deconstructed or translated into relatively simple games where one firm plays against a rival, where one firm plays against nature, or where an employer must account for both rivalry and uncertainty. Class content, which draws upon both economic theory and practical business cases, will be presented through lectures and a substantial amount of class discussion. Course materials will feature industry applications -- heavily featuring the food retailing sector -- and case studies of individual companies. The class is designed with three broad goals in mind: (i) improving students’ critical-thinking skills, (ii) improving their writing skills, and (iii) providing a realistic picture of the wide array of different decisions facing agribusiness professionals. AG BM 308 Syllabus: Page 1 Learning Objectives. Students will have the opportunity to: Classify practical agribusiness problems by the type of available information – full, incomplete, or imperfect – and by the nature of market power in an industry. Construct and analyze game trees and other representative models of strategic decisions facing businesses and employees. Analyze strategic business problems using economic models based on game theory, game-based rules of analysis, basic statistics, and other economic principles. Write and re-write business-style memos, essays, and reports that communicate or summarize a business decision, plan, or solution that is supported by economic analysis. Writing: This writing intensive course will use written assignments to help students learn the course content. The emphasis on writing is designed to demonstrate that the clear communication of innovative and thoughtful ideas is as important as the ideas themselves. Students will be reminded that the writing process develops through several iterations and that the first iteration can be characterized as a brainstorming process where ideas start with notes and are eventually refined into a thesis statement, recommendation, or piece of supporting evidence. The writing process continues with written and re-written drafts, followed by feedback from peers and/or the instructor, and yet more revisions. To emphasize the iterative process, several assignments will have multiple parts. For at least one writing assignment, students will be expected to revise their assignments after receiving a grade and written comments, and after scheduling a conference with the instructor. The revised paper can potentially receive full marks. Each writing assignment will be accompanied by a written assignment sheet. The writing assignment grades will be based on both writing style and content. Writing style, which refers to issues of composition, grammar, punctuation, and sentence structure, will be the subject of both class lectures and discussion throughout the class. Required Materials: 1. Style for Students, Joe Schall, Outernet Publishing, 2002. 2. A Course Packet containing a collection of nine business school case studies and notes. 3. The purchase an on-line simulation game from Harvard Business School 4. Handouts and readings as needed. AG BM 308 Syllabus: Page 2 Assignments: Semester Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Assign. # 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 11 12 13 10 11 12 14 15 13 14 8 9 Assignment Title/Topic Points Personal Resume Loblaw Companies Limited Universal Rental Car #1(simple assignment) Five Forces Report Universal Rental Car #2 (complex assignment) A.1 Fist mover/Price war or no price war Natureview Farm I – Solve a Decision Tree No assignment due (next week is Spring Break) OSI Group – list five risk factors and implications Natureview Farm II – Design, solve, analyze a complex decision tree Annotated Bibliography on EVA, VBM, and BSC Tesco Whole Foods I – EVA (w/comps) and ann. bibliography Whole Foods II – Five Forces and pricing strategy Whole Foods III - design a Balanced Scorecard for them Total Assigned Points 10 20 20 30 30 30 20 30 30 20 30 30 20 30 350 Grading: Fourteen Homework Assignments Peer Reviews (2 @ 5 points each) Class Participation 350 points 10 points 40 points 400 points 87.5 % 2.5 % 10.0 % 100 % Notes: 1. Class participation: Criteria for class participation include the following: class attendance; class contributions – in the form of vocal comments and/or questions; completion of a revision conference; and an optional final two-page “exit statement” that describes how a student’s approach to business analysis has evolved and how a student’s writing has changed over the semester. 2. Missing more than a certain number of classes (~ 10) is grounds for a failing grade. AG BM 308 Syllabus: Page 3 Grade Cutoffs: A AB+ B B- 92% 90% 88% 82% 80% C+ C D F 78% 72% 60% 60% Academic Integrity: Academic dishonesty includes, but is not limited to: cheating, plagiarizing, fabricating of information or citations, facilitating academic dishonesty by others, having unauthorized possession of examinations, submitting work of another person or work previously used without informing the instructor, or tampering with the academic work of others. Sanctions imposed for acts of academic dishonesty can include receiving an “F” for the assignment, course, or even expulsion from the University. All course participants are expected to adhere to the University’s Academic Integrity Policy http://www.psu.edu/ufs/policies/47-00.html#49-20. In addition, the instructor will complete a College of Agricultural Sciences Academic Integrity Form and file it with the Associate Dean for Undergraduate Education. You are encouraged to discuss concepts, ideas, and assignments with other students. The work you turn in will represent your integration of information from books and journals, other people, and your own ideas. You must accurately reference any material copied verbatim or summarized directly from other sources. Please see me if you have any questions about this policy. A Note on Plagiarism: Because this course emphasizes writing, there is a potential for plagiarism to be a big problem. Plagiarism can range from submitting someone's work as your own to copying pieces of text or phrasings without acknowledging the original source. The following Web Sites (active “hotlinks” are in the electronic version of this syllabus) not only define plagiarism, but provide examples of the different types of plagiarism: Statement of Plagiarism and Academic Dishonesty (Penn State University) Avoiding Plagiarism (The OWL at Purdue University) Unacceptable Paraphrases (Indiana University Writing Tutorial Services) Course Material on the Web: http://cms.psu.edu The material for this course is available as part of PSU’s ANGEL system. After each class, I’ll add my class notes, in the form of PowerPoint slides, to the Web site. I’ll also place all other class materials on the Web site. AG BM 508 Syllabus: Page 4