Population and Food Michael Itagaki Sociology 102, Social Problems The Problem in Sociological Perspective How many people in the U.S. Each day, Americans buy an average of Eggs: 58,863,993 Orville Redenbacher popcorn 303 million 978,030 Large Fries at Burger King 443,650 The Problem in Sociological Perspective Demography Studies the size, composition, growth and distribution of human populations The Problem in Sociological Perspective World Population Abrupt increases: ex. population in Europe 1750—140 million people 1800—188 million people 1850—256 million people The Problem in Sociological Perspective World Population Why the increase? Improved public health Thomas McKeown Infanticide practice declined after 1750 Why? The Problem in Sociological Perspective Demography Studies the size, composition, growth and distribution of human populations Relationship between population and the environment The Problem in Sociological Perspective Thomas Malthus (1798) An Essay on the Principle of Population Population grows exponentially 2 to 4 to 8 to 16… = 2x Food supply increases arithmetically 1 to 2 to 3 to 4… = x+1 The Problem in Sociological Perspective Thomas Malthus (1798) Exponential growth: Penny example 1 day, 1 cent; 2 days, 2 cents; 3 days, 4 cents One week = $ 1.28 Two weeks = $ 163.84 Three weeks = $ 20,971.52 Four weeks = $2,684,354.56 The Problem in Sociological Perspective New Malthusians Exponential population growth curve Figure 13.1 (p. 424) World Population: The Exponential Growth Curve Sources: Piotrow 1973: 4; Haub 1995, 2004. The Problem in Sociological Perspective New Malthusians Exponential population growth curve Population will outgrow food supply Anti-Malthusians Exponential population growth curve is wrong People adapt to the environment The Problem in Sociological Perspective Anti-Malthusians Rational planning for having children Increased food production Technology/Agriculture Ex.: Europe’s demographic transition Figure 13-3 Figure 13.3 (p. 426) The Demographic Transition Source: By the author. Figure 13.1 (p. 424) World Population: The Exponential Growth Curve Sources: Piotrow 1973: 4; Haub 1995, 2004. The Problem in Sociological Perspective Anti-Malthusians Growth is slowing down Demographic transition for rest of world The Scope of the Problem New-Malthusians Population growth = not enough food Solution: limit population Anti-Malthusians More food available now than ever Solution: Redistribution of food (political barriers) Symbolic Interactionism Why do the poor want so many children? Asset to the family Taking the role of the other Figure 13.6 (p. 432) Why the Poor in the Least Industrialized Nations Want Many Children Based on a survey in Indonesia, this figure shows how children are economic assets in the Least Industrialized Nations. Boys and girls can be net income earners for their families by the age of 9 or 10. Source: U.N. Fund for Population Activities. Functionalism War, famine, disease are functional to society Latent dysfunctions Modern medicine Public health practices Figure 13.3 (p. 426) The Demographic Transition Source: By the author. Figure 13.7 (p. 433) Population Pyramids of Mexico and the United States Source: By the author. Computed from the U.S. Bureau of the Census, International Data Base, Table 94. Conflict Theory Power arrangements favor industrialized nations Ex. U.S. & Canada control 60% of wheat Sell surpluses for highest profit… not to the most needy Leaving farm land fallow: profit vs. production Research Findings New Malthusians Figure 13.1 (p. 424) World Population: The Exponential Growth Curve Sources: Piotrow 1973: 4; Haub 1995, 2004. Research Findings New Malthusians The earth’s three natural systems Limited carrying capacity Research Findings New Malthusians Fishing Grounds Forests Grasslands Research Findings New Malthusians Major Dangers Disease of Specialized Strains Intensification of natural disasters World peace threatened: Research Findings Anti Malthusians Figure 13.3 (p. 426) The Demographic Transition Source: By the author. Research Findings Anti Malthusians Large populations are good Food production is outpacing population growth Figure 13.4 (p. 428) How Much Food Does the World Produce Per Person? Source: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Simon 1981: 58; Statistical Abstract 1988: Table 1411; 1998: Tables 1380, 1381, 1382, 1383; recomputed to 1948-52 base. Note: Projections from 1997 on are the author's. Immigration and the U.S. Population Composition Proportion of immigrants in the U.S. population is the highest since 1940 Immigration will account for two-thirds of the population growth in the next 50 years Immigration leads to higher taxes but also brings substantial economic benefits U.S. population policies focus on immigration – particularly illegal immigrants Discussion Question Should the United States Should simply close its doors to all immigrants? What would be the consequences of doing so? How would such a move reflect on our national values and priorities? Figure 13.13a (p. 443) Density of Selected Countries (continued on next two slides) Figure 13.13b (cont.) Figure 13.13c (cont.)