Recent Trends in Corporate Finance in Ireland Peter Crowley Chief Executive, IBI Corporate Finance 30 March 2006 Contents I. Introduction II. Recent Activity in the Irish Market III. Trends in the Irish Capital Markets IV. Looking to the Future V. Summary VI. About IBI 2 Section I Introduction Introduction Just completed my 6th year as CEO of IBI – a period characterised by unprecedented levels of market activity and record fee levels In addition to the historic strength in our plc franchise, a growing driver of activity has been the emergence of a healthy mid-market in private company activity. Ted Webb leads our activities in that area. Activity driven by all the factors evident in the UK market together with specific local factors in particular the confidence generated by 14/15 years of uninterrupted economic growth 4 Key Drivers Irish Economy M & A Activity Low corporation tax rates Supportive market conditions Low CGT Low interest rates Strength of property market Debt market liquidity and aggressive local banking competition Period of uninterrupted economic growth Availability of private equity Educated labour force High net-worth investors International trade/open economy Ability to form syndicates Strong consumer demand (boosted by SSIA spend) Strong competition for quality assets Boost from immigrant population Strong management teams Succession and estate planning Market consolidation Diversification 5 Section II Recent Activity in the Irish Market Recent Activity in the Irish Market ISEQ M&A Activity (value) 8,000 €bn 18.0 7,364 7,000 6,000 15.6 16.0 14.0 5,723 6,198 5,707 12.0 5,000 10.7 4,921 10.3 10.0 9.9 4,000 8.3 3,995 8.0 7.7 3,000 6.0 2,000 4.0 1,000 2.0 0 0.0 2000 Esat Telecom Elan AerFi Group CRH Hibernian Group Hamburg Airport Ocean Communications Chase de Vere 2001 Eircell Eircom Esat Digfone IN&M Greencore TSB ICC Golden Vale 2002 Jefferson Smurfit Green Property Elan Musgraves First Rate Travel BWG Foods BIAM Golden Pages 2003 Allfirst Elan CRH Riverdeep Arnotts Dunloe Ewart Jefferson Smurfit Grafton Group 2004 The Savoy Group First Active Clondalkin Group CRH Tullow Oil Kerry Group Jarvis Hotels Waterford Wedgewood 2005 Smurfit/Kappa Danske Bank Jurys Hotels Superquinn Meteor CRH The Savoy Group Kingspan 7 Deal Volumes/Type No of Deals No. of Deals 160 140 26 120 100 Private Equity / MBO Trade Sale 80 60 27 17 8 16 117 5 88 87 40 55 69 57 20 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Upward trend in volume of deal flow from 2000 to 2004 (140% increase overall) Value of deals continued to rise in 2005 despite lower volume Growing frequency of smaller but still substantial deals now being undertaken (69% of 2005 disclosed deals valued at less than €50m) Private equity/MBO deals now form a much more significant portion of the Irish deal landscape – 23% of deals in 2005 compared to 8% in 2000 8 Corporate Finance Activity by Sector 2005 By Volume 4% 5% 19% 10% 14% 9% 9% 14% 2004 By Volume 5% IT and Telecoms sector showing a strong recovery (now up to 14% of deals) after the dot.com crash in the early 2000s 7% 9% 5% 17% 20% 9% 9% 10% 7% Media & Publishing Construction & Property Retail & Industrial The Industrial and Retail sector accounted for the highest proportion of deals in 2005 (19%), replacing Food and Food Services (down from 20% in 2004 to 10%) The Financial Services sector is a continuing driver of deal activity (14% of deals) followed by Support Services & Logistics and Leisure & Travel (both at 9%) 10% 8% Food & Food Services Health & Pharma Oil, Gas & Exploration IT & Telecoms Financial Services Support Services & Logistics Leisure & Travel 9 Deal Types: Cross-Border V Domestic No of Deals No. of Deals 160 140 120 46 100 31 32 80 60 7 Domestic Cross border 12 5 97 40 70 55 61 72 84 20 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Due to the open nature of the Irish economy, cross-border deals form the vast majority of transactions in Ireland (74% of deals in 2005). Growth in in-bound activity from 2003 on, indicates strategic buyers comfortable with economic outlook However, the volume and proportion of domestic and outward bound deals is on the increase with 30 such transactions in 2005 (or 26%), compared to only five in 2000 (8% of total deal activity) This reflects the increasing scale of Irish companies and the enhanced financial resources available to them 10 Section III Trends in Capital Markets Overseas Strategic Acquirers Active in Irish Market Strategic overseas buyers back in the landscape, attracted by the impressive Irish growth rates; examples include the following: Company Sector Emap, UK Media Johnston Press, UK Media BT Group, UK IT & Telecoms Danske Bank, Denmark Financial Services Landsbanki, Iceland Financial Services Imprint, UK Support Services Stericycle, USA Waste Wolseley, UK Construction VWR International, USA Healthcare Smiths Group, UK Industrial & Retail UTV, UK Media Certain media driven concerns about overheating of the Irish economy have been allayed for Irish investors 12 Irish Companies Active Overseas Irish companies are increasingly active in overseas markets; prominent examples include the following: Company Sector(s) CRH Construction & Industrial Kerry Group Food & Foodservices Bank of Ireland Financial Services Grafton Group Construction & Industrial Tullow Oil Oil, Gas & Exploration Greencore Group Food & Foodservices Smurfit Kappa Group Industrial Quinn Group Industrial, Financial Services & Leisure DCC Healthcare, Industrial, IT, Food & Oil United Drug Healthcare Kingspan Construction & Industrial Alphyra Electronic Payment Processing Glen Dimplex Industrial 13 Emergence of HNW Investors as Nimble Aggressive Buyers Irish HNWs have become key players in overseas property transactions and now are also beginning to diversify into non-property related transactions Acquirer Property Quinlan Private Quinlan Private Sloane Capital Quinn Group Sloane Capital BOI Private Banking Warren Private Clients BOI Private Banking BOI Private Banking Non-property Kayterm Fruitfield Barry Family Longhill Investments Select Retail Holdings Target The Estate The Savoy Hotel Group Standard Chartered Bank HQ The Belfry Hotel & Golf Club Unilever HQ IT Tower, Brussels Goldman Sachs Building, Fleet St Cité de Retiro, Paris Stuten 12, Stockholm Jarvis Hotels Nestlé Ireland Batchelors Maybin Support Services Superquinn 14 International Private Equity regards Ireland as a 2nd Home Market The following is a selection of private equity firms who have invested in Ireland: Madison Dearborn Merrill Lynch Summit Partners Montague 3i HG Graphite Barclays BC Partners Bridgepoint Warburg Pincus Electra Cinven Providence Babcock & Brown Permira Alchemy Legal & General 15 Steady stream of Public to Private Transactions There has been a relatively high number of take private transactions in Ireland in recent years, notable examples of which include: Target Sector Value Jurys Doyle Leisure €1.06bn Athlone Extrusions Industrial €55m Alphyra IT and Telecoms €93m Arnotts Retail €255m Sherry Fitzgerald Real Estate €25m Riverdeep IT and Telecoms €320m Dunloe Ewart Building & Construction €197m Green Property Building & Construction €1.05bn Jefferson Smurfit Print & Paper €3.6bn 16 Trends in Capital Markets Company Mkt Cap (€bn) AIB 7.3 BoI 7.0 Elan 4.5 CRH 4.0 Smurfit Group 2.7 Irish Life 1.6 Kerry Group 1.6 Independent News & Media 1.2 AWG 1.0 NIE 1.1 Company Mkt Cap (€bn) Elan 17.5 AIB 11.5 BoI 10.5 CRH 10.3 Ryanair 5.1 IL&P 3.2 Smurfit Group 2.7 Kerry Group 2.5 Anglo Irish 1.3 Independent News & Media 1.2 Company AIB CRH BoI Anglo Ryanair Elan IL&P Kerry Group Grafton Eircom Mkt Cap (€bn) 15.7 13.3 12.9 8.8 6.4 4.9 4.7 3.5 2.2 2.1 Greater Concentration of Top 10 Companies within ISEQ 17 Trends in Capital Markets ISEQ Index 90.0% 81.7% 80.0% 78.5% 70.0% 68.4% Top Ten as % of Total Index 60.0% Financial stocks as % of Total 50.0% 45.9% 40.0% 40.4% 34.0% 30.0% Dec '97 Dec-01 Dec '05 Re-emergence of Concentration on Financial Stocks 18 Trends in Capital Markets Movement In ISEQ Constituents 30 20 21 10 7 0 1997-2001 2001-2005 Leavers Joiners -10 -28 -34 -20 -30 -40 Key Leavers Key Leavers ESAT Telecom Heitons Golden Vale Green Property ICC Bank Arnotts Jones Group Jefferson Smurfit Clondalkin Group Jurys Doyle Growth in Net Leavers from the ISE 19 Trends in Capital Markets A number of key trends are noticeable in the ISEQ Index in recent years despite growth in the overall index: Decrease in the number of listed companies A general increase in concentration with the top 10 companies now accounting for c. 80% of the overall market cap of the index Steady stream of take privates has disimproved spread of exposure for investors to the Irish economic story. Financials now account for c. 45% of total index AIM/IEX emerging as a meaningful source of activity and funding Now 33 Irish companies on AIM 20 Section IV Looking to the Future Likely Active Sectors Healthcare – driven by infrastructure deficit Waste / Environmental – consolidation and new technologies Media / New Internet – impacted by global consolidation Financial Services – new entrants and disintermediation Business Services – outsourcing Retail – consolidation of local operators 22 HNW’s to emerge as aggressive non-property investors Need to diversify from property exposure Desire for return (and increased interest rates) will focus investors on benefits of equity risk premium in broader corporate deals Increased sophistication of key players Wall of liquidity – No repeat of previous boom/bust cycle High confidence levels and ability to move quickly will give them an edge 23 Crossroads for the ISE? Ongoing trend of public to privates Apart from Aer Lingus, few new entrants - possibly Airtricity, Smurfit Kappa in time Flow of small companies onto IEX/AIM offers some hope Further concentration of index in the financials not healthy Position in global exchange consolidation as yet unclear 24 Future Trends / Rules Irish economic backdrop to remain positive - favour “soft landing” view with low level of accompanying indigestion Levels of M & A / market activity to remain high – further departures from ISE likely driven by private equity Biggest potential risk (although limited) is a series of highly levaraged defaults followed by a debt liquidity squeeze Modest levels of interest rate increases not likely to dampen activity unduly A drift towards labour market inflexibility through embracing “EuropeanStyle” labour laws would cause problems for inward investment Global liquidity generally and particularly high levels of local market liquidity will continue to drive strong demand/competition for assets 25 Section V Summary Summary Irish Stock Exchange at an all-time high Value of deal activity in the market likely to continue at historically high levels Ireland is still the fastest-growing economy in the EU, although infrastructure deficiencies and emerging risk of lack of competitiveness remain a concern Concerns that the Irish economy was overheating have disappeared for international strategic acquirers Certain sectors remain particularly buoyant, e.g. healthcare, Media/IT, financial services, outsourcing, waste/alternate technologies Increasing number of overseas financial investors/private equity players looking at Ireland for investment opportunities Irish high net-worth investors looking abroad for property underpinned opportunities in addition to seeking to diversify away from property investments into trading businesses Global liquidity equally evident as a market driver in Ireland assisted by particularly high levels of local investor liquidity buoyed by business confidence The Future Remains Bright 27 Section VI About IBI Introduction to IBI IBI is Ireland’s longest-standing corporate finance house with 40 years’ experience in the Irish market IBI is an independent, wholly-owned subsidiary of Bank of Ireland – Market Cap c.€15 billion IBI has consistently been ranked the leading corporate finance adviser in Ireland and has advised more companies than any other Irish adviser Only specialist CF adviser operating on a 32 country basis, North and South We have significantly expanded our private company/client activities in recent years – seek to bring our public company ethos to a broader range of clients IBI’s team of 23 experienced professionals has an unparalleled long-term track record in advising on a wide range of complex public and private transactions 29 Introduction to IBI IBI is the leading Irish Corporate Finance house having consistently advised on more transactions in the Irish market than any other player 2005 2004 2003 2002 Rated No. 1 Irish Corporate Finance Advisor Rated No. 2 Irish Corporate Finance Advisor Rated No. 1 Irish Corporate Finance Advisor Rated No. 1 Irish Corporate Finance Advisor " IBI Corporate Finance was the Merger and Acquisitions adviser with the most deals under its belt last year. It was involved in fourteen deals with more than €1.7bn, according to mergers & acquisition intelligence source, Mergermarket" (RTE Radio, 6 January 2006) No. 1 Adviser in Irish transactions 30 IBI Credentials – Transaction Experience “Sell-Side”/ Public Offers Take-overs & Buyouts IPO Govt/Semi-State Private Equity Unrivalled track record of sound advice in high-profile transactions 31 Sample Public Company Deals Adviser to Jurys Doyle Hotel Group plc on the €1.25bn offer by JDH Acquisitions plc Adviser to Bank of Ireland Group on its US$184m acquisition of 71.5% of Guggenheim Alternative Asset Management Adviser to Heiton Group plc on the €353m recommended offer by Grafton Group plc Acted for Unidare plc in relation to the €55m Class 1 disposal of Daalderop BV, capital distribution and related party transaction Adviser to Green Property plc on the €1.05bn recommended offer by Rodinheights Ltd Adviser to Jurys Doyle Hotel Group plc on the €260m Class 1 disposal of the Jurys Ballsbridge Hotel, the Towers and the Berkeley Court apartments to Padholme Acted as joint lead manager of the C&C Group plc €398m Global Offer and listing on the Irish and London Stock Exchanges Adviser to Kayterm plc on the Stg£159m recommended offer for Jarvis Hotels plc Adviser to the Independent Committee of the Board of Arnotts plc on the €257.3m recommended offer by Nesbitt Acquisitions Ltd Adviser to Renlin Ltd, the management team's bidding vehicle, on the €25.8m MBO of Sherry FitzGerald Group plc Adviser to Ryanair plc on its €379.8m flotation on Dublin and NASDAQ Stock Exchanges Adviser to the Independent Directors of the Board of Jefferson Smurfit Group plc on the €3.6bn takeover by Madison Dearborn Partners Adviser to Murryhill Ltd on its Stg£35.2m recommended cash offer for PGA European Tour Courses plc Adviser to e Island plc on its €3bn offer for eircom plc Adviser to Golden Vale plc on the €253m recommended offer by Kerry Group plc 32 Sample Private Company Deals Adviser to Kandel Ltd on its €90m disposal to Investcorp Techhnology Ventures & InfoNXX Adviser to Eason Electronic Ltd on its disposal to Alphyra Group plc Adviser to SHS Group Ltd on its Stg£36.7m recommended offer for Merrydown plc Adviser to Donegal Highland Radio Ltd on its €7m disposal to Scottish Radio Holdings plc/Emap plc Adviser to Sigma Communications Group Ltd on its €29.5m disposal of Sigma Wireless Technologies Ltd to US-based PCTEL Inc Adviser to Premier Group on its €9m acquisition of Nigel Lynn Associates Ltd Adviser to CR2 on its management buy-out and private equity fundraising Adviser to Brindley Media Group on its disposal to Aegis Group plc Adviser to Kish Media Ltd (Channel 6) in a private equity fundraising of €14m Adviser to Portmarnock Hotel & Golf Links Ltd on its €70m disposal to Capel Ltd Adviser to Bank of Scotland (Ireland) Ltd and Barry's Tea on the €62m acquisition of Batchelors Adviser to Treaty Radio Ltd on its €15.7m acquisition by UTV plc Adviser to City Hopper Airports Ltd on the disposal of Wolverhampton Airport Ltd to a consortium led by Mar Properties Ltd Sale of Newhill Ltd and co-investment by Newhill's shareholders in the Electra Partners Europe-backed acquisition of BWG, valued at €321m Advisers to management on the buyout of Maybin Support Services on the acquistion by Longhill Investment Ltd 33