Do Philanthropic Citizens Behave like Governments? Internet Platforms and the Diffusion of Private International Aid 2009 RUBIN SYMPOSIUM The Privatization of Development Assistance December 4-5, 2009 NYU School of Law Raj M. Desai Georgetown University Homi Kharas Brookings Institution 1 Outline • • • • • • ODA vs. private aid Internet-based aid (GlobalGiving and Kiva) Comparison with official development flows The supply of private aid and microfinance The internet and donor fragmentation Conclusions 2 3 Overview • • • • Provision of aid from a rapidly diversifying set of actors Little known about cross-country and sectoral preferences/selectivity of philanthropic individuals Collect data from two popular internetbased platforms for international giving Use panel-regression and survival analysis to demonstrate that individuals do not behave like governments 4 New Private Aid • • • • Mega-charities can reduce various costs Recent growth in private aid occurring at all levels Proliferation of new forms of private aid Raises questions regarding coordination and what drives preferences of individual citizen-philanthropists 5 Public and Private Aid US Official and Private Giving, 2007 Total Official and Private Giving, 2007 40 Private Sources, $60 bn. 30 US$, billions DAC-Bilateral, $73 bn. Foundations, 3.3 Volunteerism, 3.5 Universities, 3.9 Non-DAC, $10 bn. , Corporations, 6.8 20 Religious, 8.6 10 ODA, 21.8 PVOs, 10.8 Multilateral, $28 bn. 0 Official Private 6 Two Peer-to-Peer Platforms GlobalGiving • • • • Project grants Funds channel through “partner” organizations or direct Unlimited grant size Unlimited time on website to attract donors Kiva • Loans to individuals or groups • Funds channeled interest-free through MFI (who then onlends) • Maximum loan size between $1,200 - $3,000 • Maximum time on website limited to 30 days 7 GlobalGiving Portal 8 Kiva Portal 9 P2P Giving Trends Monthly Disbursements ($ millions) Kiva and Global Giving, Monthly Disbursements 4 Kiva 2 Global Giving 0 2004m1 2005m1 2006m1 2007m1 2008m1 2009m1 10 Summary Indicators Average GlobalGiving Kiva $5,935 $725 Funding rate ($/hour) 1.19 93.68 Hours per grant/loan 11,000 52 US-based donor share 0.78 0.70 New projects, by month (2008) 12 2,229 9.5% 100% Amount requested % funded, by project (2008) 11 GlobalGiving Requested/Funded Projects 12 Kiva Requested/Funded Loans 13 ODA vs. Private Aid Compared GlobalGiving and Kiva disbursements vs. “project” ODA and official microfinance Comparison in terms of sensitivities of allocations to country-specific factors: log( Aid )it ˆ 0 ˆ1 log( Population)it 1 ˆ 2 log( GDP / capita)it 1 ˆ 3 ( Institutions)it 1 Democratic Institutions ODA Projects Official Microfinance 0 10 Disbursements Disbursements 5.5 4.5 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 70 80 90 -1 -2 3.5 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 -3 90 Sample Percentile Sample Percentile GlobalGiving Kiva 14 Disbursements Disbursements 9 8 13 12 11 7 10 20 30 40 50 60 Sample Percentile 70 80 90 10 20 30 40 50 60 Sample Percentile 15 GDP per Capita ODA Projects Official Microfinance 0 10 Disbursements Disbursements 5.5 4.5 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 70 80 90 -1 -2 3.5 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 -3 Sample Percentile Sample Percentile Kiva GlobalGiving 14 Disbursements Disbursements 10 9 8 13 12 11 7 10 20 30 40 50 60 Sample Percentile 70 80 90 10 20 30 40 50 60 Sample Percentile 16 Survival Analysis • • • Panel only describes if funding happens and to what magnitude…does not capture “duration” of a project/recipient on the web-platform Rate of funding reveals information about the preferences of donors with respect to project/recipient Estimate the effects of covariates on the time (duration) it takes for “failure” (i.e., a project/loan being fully funded) 17 GlobalGiving Funding Rates By region (ECA in bold) By polity score category By project size dummy (large project in bold) By investment grade dummy 18 Kiva Funding Rates By region (ECA in bold) By polity By MFI score Rating category (1 of (-10 5 in bold) to 5 in bold) By project size dummy (large project in bold) By gendergrade (female in bold) By investment dummy (investment grade in bold) 19 Hazard Rates GlobalGiving Kiva Amount – – Amount2 + + No. of Borrowers + Gender (% female) + Loan term (months) – Sovereign Risk 0 – GDP per Capita (log) + + Polity Score 0 + ODA per Capita (log) + + Dow Jones Change 0 – 20 SUR Kiva GlobalGiving (1) (2) (1) (2) $/hour Herfindahl $/month Herfindahl Amount – – + – Amount2 + + + + No. of Borrowers 0 + Gender (% female) + – Loan term (months) – + Sovereign Risk + 0 0 0 GDP per Capita (log) – + 0 0 Polity Score 0 0 0 0 ODA per Capita (log) 0 + + 0 21 SUR (Funding Rates over Time) 22 Conclusions • • • Countries vs. projects vs. people: new private aid transactions different on both donor and recipient sides What doesn’t seem to matter: countryspecific factors, sectors Intermediation capabilities in the field are important, but quality is less so 23