SECTION 11-2 • Events Involving “Not” and “Or” Slide 11-2-1 EVENTS INVOLVING “NOT” AND “OR” • Properties of Probability • Events Involving “Not” • Events Involving “Or” Slide 11-2-2 PROPERTIES OF PROBABILITY Let E be an event from the sample space S. That is, E is a subset of S. Then the following properties hold. 1. 0 P( E ) 1 (The probability of an event is between 0 and 1, inclusive.) 2. P() 0 (The probability of an impossible event is 0.) 3. P( S ) 1 (The probability of a certain event is 1.) Slide 11-2-3 EXAMPLE: ROLLING A DIE When a single fair die is rolled, find the probability of each event. a) the number 3 is rolled b) a number other than 3 is rolled c) the number 7 is rolled d) a number less than 7 is rolled Slide 11-2-4 EXAMPLE: ROLLING A DIE Solution The outcome for the die has six possibilities: {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}. 1 a) P (3) 6 5 b) P (not 3) 6 c) P (7) 0 d) P (less than 7) 1 Slide 11-2-5 EVENTS INVOLVING “NOT” The table on the next slide shows the correspondences that are the basis for the probability rules developed in this section. For example, the probability of an event not happening involves the complement and subtraction. Slide 11-2-6 CORRESPONDENCES Set Theory Logic Arithmetic Operation or Connective (Symbol) Complement Not Subtraction ( ) ( ) () Operation or Connective (Symbol) Union Or Addition ( ) () () Operation or Connective (Symbol) Intersection And Multiplication ( ) () () Slide 11-2-7 PROBABILITY OF A COMPLEMENT The probability that an event E will not occur is equal to one minus the probability that it will occur. E S E P(not E ) P( S ) P( E ) 1 P( E ) So we have P( E ) P E 1 and P( E ) 1 P( E ). Slide 11-2-8 EXAMPLE: COMPLEMENT When a single card is drawn from a standard 52-card deck, what is the probability that it will not be an ace? Solution P(not an ace) 1 P(ace) 4 1 52 48 12 . 52 13 Slide 11-2-9 EVENTS INVOLVING “OR” Probability of one event or another should involve the union and addition. Slide 11-2-10 MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE EVENTS Two events A and B are mutually exclusive events if they have no outcomes in common. (Mutually exclusive events cannot occur simultaneously.) Slide 11-2-11 ADDITION RULE OF PROBABILITY (FOR A OR B) If A and B are any two events, then P( A or B) P( A) P( B) P( A and B). If A and B are mutually exclusive, then P( A or B) P( A) P( B). Slide 11-2-12 EXAMPLE: PROBABILITY INVOLVING “OR” When a single card is drawn from a standard 52-card deck, what is the probability that it will be a king or a diamond? Solution P(king or diamond) P(K) P(D) P(K and D) 4 13 1 52 52 52 16 4 . 52 13 Slide 11-2-13 EXAMPLE: PROBABILITY INVOLVING “OR” If a single die is rolled, what is the probability of a 2 or odd? Solution These are mutually exclusive events. P(2 or odd) P(2) P(odd) 1 3 4 2 . 6 6 6 3 Slide 11-2-14